The Master Cycle now and into 2011

The Master Cycle (MC), when active is a great cycle to know as it is very precise in predicting exact Highs and Lows. (For more information on the MC, please email me at timeandcycles@gmail.com for the free MC 2010 Forecast, where the MC is explained in details) 

The MC has been in the market Day for Day for about 7-8 weeks now, since the 11/1/10 Lows and continues to see higher prices, confounding the Bearish outlook.

However, one of these days soon we will see a hard down day, just to feed the Bearish sentiment. The MC knows exactly when to expect that.

In general though this rally should continue into January 2011 and if it is still active, It also has another major High in March 2011 as well.

2011 should be an exciting year and should see lots of Volatility and some large swings Up and Down.

Merry Christmas and a prosperous and Happy New year to all.

Vedic Astro transits in December 2010

This is what I posted back in early December:

Vedic Astro transits in December 2010:

There are 3 important Astro events in December that should have an influence on the stock markets:
1. 12/10 Mercury goes retrograde from 12/10-29. On 12/29 it goes Direct. These are often CITs.
2. 12/11 Mars conjuncts Rahu (Moon’s North Node) in Mula Nakshatra (Star group), which is star group of destruction.
3.  12/21 is a Lunar Eclipse.

From Vedic astrologer James Kelleher: “Mars and Rahu conjunct on December 11th in Mula nakshatra in the first part of Sagittarius. This is a volatile conjunction. It is accident-prone, explosive, and unpredictable. It can give unexpected flare-ups of anger. Mula Nakshatra is ruled by Niritti, a goddess of destruction. The shakti (power) of this nakshatra is the power of destruction. So you might want to steer clear of the week before and after December 11th when it comes to risk-taking activities. For example, you might want to rethink that appointment to do your first bungee jump at that time.”

Infact Mars, Rahu and Mercury are in the same House and Sign of Sagittarius, ever since Late 11/29 Major Low, when the stock markets made their Low of the week. Notice the Mars Rahu conjunction occurs on 12/11, in the weekend of the expected High. On 12/6 Moon will join this same Sign for 2 days, until 12/8 and on 12/16 the Sun will join, Mars, Rahu and Mercury in Sagittarius. On 12/22 Mercury will transit backward into Scorpio. It is not until 1/7/2011 that Mars will leave Rahu’s House. We need to watch these Astro transit dates: 12/8 , 12/10-11*, 12/16 , 12/21-22, 12/29 and 1/7/11 for potential CITs in the markets.

Notice all the Astro CITs have been working wel as short term CITs!

12/8, when Moon left the Sagittarius House, it was a 12/8 short term swing Low,
12/10-11* weekend conjunction of Mars and Rahu in the Sagittarius House was the Monday 12/13H.
12/16, when the Sun enters the Sagittarius House, along with Mars, Rahu and Mercury was the 12/16 Low.

Next 3 transits to watch is:

1. 12/21-22, the 12/21 Lunar Eclipse and 12/22, when Mercury leaves the Sagittarius House
2. 12/29, Mercury goes direct on 12/29
2. 1/7/11, When the great malefic Mars finally leaves the Sagittarius House.

The 12/16-17 Time and Cycle Cluster

Timing wise I had 12/16-17 as the CIT (Change in Trend) to watch.

Cycle wise, The dominant cycles were looking for a 12/13-14 High and a brief pullback into 12/16-17 Lows, before heading to Higher Highs.

Price wise, The cycles were expecting a sharper decline, but in these Cycles, Price Magnitude is not assured.


It is possible that we have already seen a Low in the 1st hour today, but ideally the Low was expected tomorrow, before we see the reversal higher.

The next Dollar and Solar Change in Trend (CIT)

The last Dollar CIT was on 12/9, which was the 12/8 High. The next Dollar CIT is today 12/16.

The Solar CITs are 84-90% accurate. the next Solar CIT is on 12/17.

Dominant Cycles Update

I mentioned on 12/2 that my Master Cycle was active again with 5 Hits:

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2010/12/master-cycle-is-active-again.html

11/1L, 11/09H, 11/16L, 11/26H (11/25H), 11/29L, next 12/13-14 High

Today should be the next short term High according to the Master and Major Cycle, which has been in the markets for quite some time now.  Today, 12/14 is also the next Daily Geometric CIT. 

If the Master Cycle continues to be correct, which i think it will be, then 2011 will provide plenty of large swings up and Down that should be highly profitable. I won't want to miss them. It should be an exciting year for everyone who plays these large swing Highs and Lows right.

Short term: Apex of the triangle Low

Intraday 5 min CIT (Change in Trend) Times 12/09/10: 11.50Apex, 1.15 pm Eastern

Actual: 11.55 Low of the day, 1.15 was a High

We hit the Apex of the triangle at 11.55 Low of the Day...

Timing the next Cycle High

With new closing highs that comes along with all kind of bearish divergences everywhere, we need to be alert for a High forming at any time, but when exactly?

Precise Timing is going to be critical. Once the Highs are in, we should see a relative sharp correction afterward.

These Change in Trends (CIT) tend to be exact,sometimes +/- 1 TD, although they work 70-80% of the time, so take the following fwiw.

The Dollar CIT is today 12/9, the Solar CIT is 12/9 is for the stock markets. The SPX itself has a 12/10-13 CIT. These next few days are a critical Time period to watch for the markets.

As mentioned in my previous post, even though there were many reasons for a 12/7/10 High (see December 7th post), my Master Cycle and Major cycle are the dominant Cycles to watch at the moment and are currently expecting higher Highs.

On Cycle Watch, 12/7 high?

As mentioned in my previous 12/2 post, the Master Cycle is active again with 5 Hits and was looking for higher Highs above the 11/5 Highs, which has now occurred. So what's next?

There are 2 dominant Cycle that I am watching, one is my Master cycle that has us generally higher into January and March 2011, before a larger correction takes place. The other is the Major cycle that has been in the market for the last 6 months and is due top out soon. It will be interesting to see which one is more dominant.

There is one very long term cycle I mentioned on the T&C forums and elsewhere that tops out today, 12/7/10. I don't think this is the dominant Cycle right now, so here it is: 

The 29,455 CD Cycle:

1. 09/03/29 Major High = 04/26/10 High

2. 11/13/29 Major Low  = 07/06/10 Low (Actual 07/01/10L)

3. 04/16/30 Major High = 12/07/10 High

We will see if this one works or not, the current bias is the Master Cycle will be correct and we see higher Prices into next year.

The master Cycle is active again

The Master Cycle expands and contracts as the Universe and has been fine-tuned and has been active again, with 5 hits: 11/1L, 11/09H, 11/16L, 11/26H (11/25H), 11/29L

What is next?  It now expects higher highs, above the 11/5 Highs.

Review of the Dollar CITs

Review of the Dollar CITs (Change in Trend = High or Low) posted on the T&C Blog on 11/23:

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2010/11/us-dollar-cits.html




"Here are some recent and future Dollar CITs: 11/16, 11/22, 11/30, 12/9 and 12/17/10."

The 11/16 CIT was a Dollar High and a Stock market Low. 

The 11/22 CIT was a Dollar Low and a Stock market High.
The 11/30 CIT was a Dollar high and tock market Low. 

Next Dollar CITs have been adjusted to: 12/9 and 12/16.

The next Major Square of Time

I first mentioned this Square of Time back in September 2010.

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2010/09/when-is-next-major-time-cit-to-watch.html

Squares of CD from 7/18/06 Major Low:
26^2 = 05/24/08 -5 = 05/19/08 Major High

(26^2=26X26 CD=676CD+7/18/06L=5/24/08, etc.)
27^2 = 07/16/08 -1 = 07/15/08 Major Low
28^2 = 09/09/08 -5 = 09/02/08 Major High
29^2 = 11/05/08 -1 = 11/04/08 Major High
30^2 = 01/03/09+2 = 01/06/09 Major High
31^2 = 03/05/09+1 = 03/06/09 Major Low
32^2 = 05/07/09+1 = 05/08/09 Major high?
33^2 = 07/11/09-3  = 07/08/09 Major Low
34^2 = 09/16/09      = 09/16/09 High
35^2 = 11/24/09+3  = 11/27/09 Dubai Low

36^2 = 02/03/10 +2 = 02/05/10 Major Low

37^2=  04/17/10 +6 = 04/26/10 Major High

38^2 = 07/01/10 Major Low

39^2 = 9/16/10? => 8/31/10 Low?

Next is 7/18/06L + 40 squared days = 40^2 = 1600 = 12/04/10

Combine this CIT with the US Dollar CITs on 11/30 and 12/9 posted here:

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2010/11/us-dollar-cits.html

Gratitude on Thanksgiving day

"Don't look at what you have not accomplished in the last year, look at what you have accomplished. Review only Success" 

"I complained that I didn't have shoes, until i met someone who didn't have feet"

"Count your blessings"

If someone asked you what are all the things you are thankful or grateful for? Could you answer that right away? Probably not, because most people don't look at what they already have, which they take for granted, they  tend to look at what they don't have, their unfulfilled desires.

Many people after watching the award winning movie "Slumdug Millionaire" probably realized how good they have it and counted their blessings even for a moment.

There is a website that compares how rich you are with the rest of the world. Do you realize that 85% of the world's population earns less than $5.98/Day and $2,182/Year? If you earn more than that, consider yourself blessed!  http://www.globalrichlist.com/how.html and http://www.globalrichlist.com/

A recent study set out to determine the affects of gratitude. The study required several hundred people in three different groups to keep daily diaries. The first group kept a diary of the events that occurred during the day, while the second group recorded their unpleasant experiences. The last group made a daily list of things for which they were grateful.

The results of the study indicated that daily gratitude exercises resulted in higher reported levels of alertness, enthusiasm, determination, optimism and energy. Additionally, the gratitude group experienced less depression and stress. They were more likely to help others, exercised more frequently and made more progress toward personal goals. According to the findings, people who feel grateful are also more likely to feel loved. Researchers noted that gratitude encouraged a positive cycle of reciprocal kindness among people because one act of gratitude encourages another.

This suggests that anyone can increase their sense of well-being and create positive social effects just from counting their blessings.

What are you thankful for?

The US Dollar CITs

The US Dollar is often Inverse related to the US Stockmarkets.

Here are some recent and future Dollar CITs: 11/16, 11/22, 11/30, 12/9 and 12/17/10.

The 11/16 double CIT was a Dollar High and a Stock market Low. The 11/22 CIT was a Dollar short term Low and a stockmarket short term High.

Let's see how the future CITs, 11/30, 12/9 and 12/17/10 works.  

For today, 11/23, I have both a Geometric and Solar CIT in the SPX Markets, suggesting a Low and reversal is closeby, be alert.

Review of the Mayan Calender and Dr Ravi Batra's predictions

The following is a re post of an article I posted on my blog in September 2008:
http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2008/09/amazing-predictions-by-mayan-calender.html


What the Mayan Calender and Dr Batra were saying at that time and predicting, applies to the current times with corruption rampant in the FED (Quantitative Easing) and Goldman Sacs, etc. 

Without putting a Time element on the Mayan Calender, you can see what they were saying is a very accurate description of the current times. 

Dr Batra in a 11/4th interview assures us we will see a double Dip recession, which will be caused by the FED and Goldman Sacs corrupt practices.

http://www.askbutwhy.com/2010/11/dr-rav ... 11-04.html

The Mayan calender:

In the Fifth NIGHT,  ruled by the energy of Tezcatlipoca, the god of darkness), we will see the last desperate attempts of the West, and power hierarchies based on materialism everywhere, to remain in control and strengthen their power in some new very oppressive way. If the international monetary system collapses in DAY 5 we may for instance come to see this replaced by a centralized electronic control over everyone’s economic interactions (Not to mention control of whereabouts and other things). "

"Following the Fifth NIGHT large groups of people will however in the Sixth DAY break away from hierarchical control and guided by their intuition find a path towards increased wholeness. This is when the hierarchies will really start to break down, probably largely in a chaotic way. Yet, this is exactly the kind of chaos that is needed for the recreation of an Enlightened world." "The paradox to understand is that the very process that seems to break down the world economy and political dominance is also the one that paves the way for Enlightenment."

There is also Dr Ravi Batra's Economic predictions that has been 80-90% accurate and the following is worth mentioning, he predicted back in 1999:
http://www.usagold.com/taylorbatracrash.html

"Soon after the stock market crash, a democratic revolution at the ballot box will catapult the United States into a golden age that will eclipse the reign of wealth in politics, establish a truly free enterprise economy, end permissiveness, and bring now discarded spiritual values back into fashion. Then will dawn a brilliant day, quickly sweeping across the world, the beginning of a thousand years of righteousness, compassion, and innate goodness on earth. The darker moments in human history will finally succumb to the nobility inherent in each and every one of us. It could take another thirty-year cycle before the new age sprouts in its all-encompassing effulgence, but come it will."

The 70 TD Cycle

Bruce Larson (or myself) discovered the 70 TD Cycle (click on chart to enlarge) about 1 1/2 years ago and we both posted the updates of it regularly at the T&C Forums http://www.timeandcycles.com

70 TD cycle: 10/11/07, 1/23/08, 5/2/08, 8/12/08, 11/19/08, 3/4/09, 6/12/09, 9/22/09, 12/31/09, 4/14/10, 7/23/10, 11/2/10 High. 

The latest 70 TD Cycle was the 11/5/10 High.

Update

 

The 1.05 Low may have been the 12.45 hourly CIT Low, as it was right at Key support area, but we do have a Gap and Go SD Day suggesting a last hour Low, but those hourly CITs are powerful.

Is there a Major Change in Trend (CIT) at hand?

In a previous post (http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2010/10/explosive-week-ahead.html) , I noticed that there was a Time and Cycle cluster  in the FED week, the 1st week of November, which could have been the 10/27 Low or the 11/5 Mahalaksmi Day High.
 

Here are 3 cycles that supports the 11/5/10 High, the last 2 were posted by Peter at the T&C forums:

1. 77-80 wk cycle: 10/25/04L-80w-5/8/06L-77wk-10/31/07H -2X78.5 wks = 11/5/10H

2. 95 TD Cycle: 5/08/09H -95- 9/23/09H-93-2/5/10L -95- 6/21/10H -96- 11/5/10H

3. 1519 TD/6 Yr Cycle: 10/5/92L-1519-10/8/98L-1519-10/25/04L-1520-11/5H

They say the trend is your friend, but what does that really mean? Here are some clues:

Since the late August Lows, we have had 5 corrections (Cyan lines in chart), lasting 1-2 TD: 

1. 08/27H-08/31L = 24.33 SP's   

2. 09/21H-09/23L = 25.80 SP's    

3. 09/30H-10/04L = 25.29 SP's

4. 10/18H-10/19L = 25.82 SP’s

5. 10/25H-10/27L = 24.40 SP's 

The Main Rules to have a real Change in Trend to down (which means do not short this uptrend aggressively until then), is the decline should last longer than 2 TD and must exceed 26 SP’s.
 

This means any decline is limited to 1201 SPX (26 SP’s from the 11/5 Highs) and 2 TD and If it is more, then the trend has changed to down, which would then suggest a sharper decline.
 

We are currently more than 2 TD down and have surpassed the 1201 SPX at least in the Globex, this indicates an important CIT is in the works. Also NDX, the leader closed below its Major uptrend Line. Globex took out the 1201 Critical support area and was as Low as 1193 Dec SP, which is around 1195 SPX.

Often, though not always, the Globex Lows gets retested during the regular trading session, so we'll see.  For now here are today's intraday Times and cycles:

  

Intraday 5 min CIT (Change in Trend) Times 11/12/10: 10.05, 11.40-12.45 hourly*, 12.20, 2.55, 3.15 pm Eastern

Intraday Cycle: 10.30H, 11.15L, 12.30H, 2.00L, 3.40H

There is an hourly CIT today at 11.40-12.45 pm that should be important.

The next few weeks should be more interesting and exciting than the last 7-8 weeks.

The daily SPX outlook

The daily SPX made a Hurst 83 TD/17-18 week Cycle Low on 10/27 Lows (click on chart to enlarge) and is now in bullish mode.  Normally the 17-18 week Cycle sees a sharper retrace than what we have seen into 10/27 Lows, even though we are in a wave 3 Higher. The 62 TD Cycle arrived on 11/1 Low and is also in bullish mode.


The market rallied to Cyan and red Channel resistance, closing at 1225.85 SPX Friday, suggesting a pullback is due. 


IF Wave 3 is 1.618 X Wave 1 = 1231.16 SPX,  also 61.8 % retrace of the 10/07H-3/09L = 1228.74 SPX, so 1229-1231 SPX should be formidable resistance.  Friday's 11/5 intraday High was at 1227.08 SPX. 

2/05/10 Low + 54 TD = 4/26/10 High.
8/27/10 Low + 54 TD = 11/12/10.

Once wave 3 completes, we will see a larger wave 4 corrective decline, that should hold above the 1130 SPX wave 1 Highs.


 

Happy Divali (Festival of Lights) 11/5/10

Sri Suktam is a very special Mantra to invoke Mahalaksmi, the Goddess of wealth.

We are nothing but sound vibrations, to get the blessings, simply listen quietly to these Mantras (video below)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Vd6xbQDTYs&feature=related

O Agni, please pray to that Lakshmi
that we should be blessed with inexhaustible wealth.
May that wealth bring greatest joy and peace
along with all material comforts, and,
highest of all, Liberation.
(Shri Sukta)

Intraday Time and Cycles 11/3/10

As this is a most important day to watch, here is what the Intraday Times and Cycles suggests.

Intraday 5 min CIT (Change in Trend, High or Low) Times 11/03/10: 9.40, 10.00, 11.35, 1.35, 3.15 pm Eastern

Intraday Cycle: 10.20L, 11.40H, 12.30L, 2.00H, 3.10L Eastern

The general bias is choppy to down to a 3.15 CIT LOD (Low of the Day)

Fed's decision is at 2.15 pm. Today's intraday Cycle suggest we sell-off into 3.15 Low of the day.

Pure Speculation of course.

Dhanvantari and MahaLaksmi 11/3 and 11/5

Awakening Dhanvantari

Enliven Health 3rd November 2010


Day of Dhanvantari to bestow perfect health

Dhanvantari is the aspect of Natural Law which brings health and immortality. Maharishi Yagya performances on the Day of Dhanvantari promotes good health for the individual.




Awakening Mahalakshmi

Enlivens Wealth, Prosperity and Affluence

5th November 2010




Day of Mahalakshmi to bestow wealth, prosperity and bliss

The Day of Mahalakshmi is the most important day of the year in the Vedic calendar. The Sanskrit word Mahalakshmi means ‘great wealth’. The wealth represented by Mahalakshmi appears in eight forms which cover all aspects of material life. All eight taken together create bliss consciousness, which is more than the collection of parts. The togetherness of the eight parts creates fullness of life: 100% relative and 100% absolute.


1. Dhanya Lakshmi – Food and Nourishment

2. Dhana Lakshmi – Money and Wealth

3. Dhairya Lakshmi – Enterprise and Valor

4. Apara Vidya Lakshmi – Material Knowledge

5. Jaya Lakshmi – Victory, Success

6. Veerya Lakshmi – Vitality and Children

7. Gaja Lakshmi – Power and Status

8. Saubhagya Lakshmi – Prosperity and Protection


Maharishi Yagya performances on the Day of Mahalakshmi enliven all eight forms of wealth and promote progress in both the material and spiritual fields of life.

Vedic history reports that in the beginning of creation there was a long period of perfect life in accord with all the Laws of Nature. But eventually the harmony was disturbed bringing crime and disease to society. A large assembly of Rishis (Vedic sages) decided to introduce Yagyas to the world to re-establish peace and harmony.

Since ancient times, Vedic Pandits have been performing Yagyas and applying this Vedic technology to eliminate problems for individuals and for society.

Explosive week ahead?

Will there be an Explosive week ahead? 

Here are some possible reasons:

1. 11/2 is Midterm Elections.

2. 11/3 is Fed's decision on QEII, which gives the FED (Goldman Sacs) more Power to print paper Money, which will further destabilize the US Dollar and could lead to a Currency War. http://www.h-l.co.uk/news/feature-articles/currency-wars  
Bill Gross calls it a Giant Ponzi scheme. 
(http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/10/27/bill-gross-fed-ponzi_n_774849.html)

There is a Major Cluster of CIT Times and Cycles in the coming week:

3. The Master Cycle: 11/3

4. The 7/30 SP Cycle: 5/6/10L = 10/25H, 4/29H = 10/30H, 4/26/10H = 11/2

5. 31/62 TD: 11/1

6. The regular 17-18 week Cycle due in the 1st week of November

7. The 70 TD cycle: 10/11/07, 1/23/08, 5/2/08, 8/12/08, 11/19/08, 3/4/09, 6/12/09, 9/22/09, 12/31/09, 4/14/10, 7/23/10, next: 11/1

8. Geometric CIT 11/2 (11/4 in CD)

9. Solar CIT 10/31 

10. Some Squares:

a. 6/14/06: 40 squared = 10/31

b. 8/13/04L: 18 squared weeks = 10/29

c. 8/25/87H: 92 squared = 10/27

11. Multiple of 55 TD Cycles:

a. 3/17/08L+664 TD/12X55 =660 = 10/28

b. 10/11/07H +771/14X55=770= 11/2

c. 6/14/06L +1105/20X55=1100 = 10/27

d. 10/20/05L + 1267/23X55=1265 = 11/1

e. 3/12/03L + 1926/35X55=1925 = 11/2

f. 4/14/97L +3412 TD /62 X55=3410 = 11/1

12. 9/16/96L + 3600 TD = 11/3

13. 4/10/1912 + 36,000 CD = 11/2

14. Finally Mahalaksmi, the Goddess of wealth is the New Moon  on 11/5. This NM-2 has been associated with Major dates in the past = 11/3-4 = 10/20/87L, 10/28/97L, 10/29/29L.

The coming week could cause an explosive Rally or Decline. Investors on the right side of the trade should be rewarded handsomely.  Is it Time to Panic?

Review of Tuesday 10/26th intraday Times and Cycles

Review “Intraday 5 min CIT (Change in Trend) Times 10/26/10:  9.45, 12.35 pm EDT”

Actual:   9.40LOD, 12.30H. The 5 min CITs were solid hits.


Review: “Intraday Cycle: 10.00H, 11.00L, 12.30H, 2.30L, 3.50H.  If the 12.30 High is higher than the 1^st hour High, then we should see a last hour High, other wise we see more weakness and a lower last hour High.”

Actual:  9.40LOD, 10.30H, 11.15L, 12.20H, 2.15L, 3.25HOD The intraday cycle was again followed well, with a 1^st hour High, midday higher High and last hour highest High.


What's next for tomorrow 10/27?  As mentioned before tomorrow is my next Daily CIT and the hourly CIT arrives in the 1st hour tomorrow. Let's see how it unfolds.

Review intraday forecast today and what's next for tomorrow

If we see positive Globex then we see a 1st hour rally High and sell-off the rest of the day. many do find it useful to know that 1st hour High or Low will be reversed the rest of the day
Other Cycles suggest we close near our Lows Monday and suggests a High am to Low pm day instead. Globex futures are Up, which suggests we should see a 1st hour High of the day and then a decline to a last hour Low of the day.  In "High am to Low pm Days, often (though not always) the High of the day is in the 1st hour and the Low of the day is in the last hour"

Intraday Cycle is biased to be a High am to Low pm day: 10.30H, 12.30L, 1.30H, 3.00-30L

Actual: 10.00H (1) in the chart), 12.25L (2), 1.35H (3), 2.45L (4)

The 2.45 Low came 15 min early, which is a sign of bullish strength for tomorrow, which is biased to be up at least in the first hour or so.

What is Monday 10/25 going to do during the day?

There seems to be alot of speculation what Monday 10/25 will do, so here is my guess based on Timing methods and intra day Cycle analysis.

1st I had an 10/24 Solar CIT, those are 84-90% accurate in pin pointing Highs or Lows, ie 10/22-25 should be a High or Low. The next geometric CIT is on 10/27.

These 2 turning points, 10/24 and 10/27 are the most important for the coming week.

Intraday 5 min CIT (Change in Trend) Times 10/25/10: 11.45, 1.05 pm EDT

Intraday Cycle: 10.30L, 12.45H, 1.40L, 3.00-30H or 10.30H, 12.45L, 1.40H, 3.00-30L

Monday’s bias is a Low am to High pm day or a High am to Low pm day with a 10.30 Cycle Low+/-30, rally to a 12.45 Cycle High at the 11.45 CIT, decline to a 1.40 Cycle Low at the 1.05 CIT and rally to a 3.00-30 Cycle High. Other Cycles suggest we close near our Lows Monday and suggests a High am to Low pm day instead.

If we see positive Globex  then we see a  1^st hour rally High and sell-off the rest of the day, but

If we see negative Globex, then we see a  1^st hour Low and rally the rest of the day.

The Master Cycle Update: No Mini Crashes on the Horizon

The Master Cycle (MC) is a TIME Cycle and does not predict Price Magnitude and was looking for an 10/19 heavy down day, which we got and a rebound into an 10/20 High, which saw a 1 hour spillover into 10/21 1^st hour HOD.

In Terms of TIME, the MC remains mainly on track, but is not giving the expected Price Magnitudes. For this reason the MC suggests any decline should be limited and is not expecting any future Mini Crashes, but just a limited decline.

The markets are being influenced by the new money mantra “QE II” and are awaiting the Fed’s decision on QE II on 11/2-3 (ie “print more money” and “print your way out of a recession”) and the all important midterm elections on 11/2.  

The good news here is once the MC bottoms, we should see a stronger rally to new recovery Highs.

The US Dollar has bottomed

 The daily US Dollar hit a double Trend line bottom on 10/15/2010 and saw a sharp reversal higher. 
We however are still in a down channel, which needs to be tested around the 38-50% retrace at 78.97-79.85. 

Key resistance is at 80.08, the wave 1 Low. Important CITs are on 11/16 and 11/22.

The weekly US Dollar is in a long term uptrend channel. The March 08 Low connects with the November 09 Low and with the most recent October 2010 Lows. 

If we break below this upchannel, it will be bearish for the dollar and we should retest the Nov 09 Lows and March 08 Lows. As long as we stay in this up channel the US Dollar should be considered bullish. The next 82 week cycle due in early July 2011 Major CIT is biased to be a US Dollar  High.

Quick update on the Master Cycle

This was emailed to the Raj T&C Email Group since the last week:

Prediction: "The large down day that the Master Cycle is predicting is for Tuesday 10/19"

Actual: We saw a large down exactly on Tuesday 10/19, as the markets dropped 25+ SP's off its Highs made on 10/18 High. It doesn't get any better than that, but there is more to come.

The Master Cycle remains ontrack in Option Expiration week

The Master Cycle remains ontrack (Red lines in chart) as it called for the rally to continue into 10/13 High of the week. The following forecast was made last weekend (10/11 via the Raj T&C Emails) and was reviewed in this weekend's email:
 
Review of the past week: "Ideally the market hold its own until Options expire. The Master Cycle suggests a 9/30 High, 10/4 Low and should make an 10/11 and 10/13 double High of the week. The Mother Divine Cycle suggests an 10/15-18 High and a Crash into 11/4/10 Major Lows. The precedent is given to the Master Cycle"

Actual: The Master Cycle again saw another good week as the market unfolded exactly as expected as we saw a choppy rally into 10/13 Major High of the week at 1184 SPX, which is 144 SP’s from the 1040 SPX triple Bottom, we then saw the market moving sideways into 10/15 as expected. The Master Cycle has been active for the last 67 Days, so far so good.

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The Master Cycle update and intraday Times and Cycles

The markets continues to rally as the Master cycle was expecting this rally into Option Expiration week as well (see previous post: http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2010/10/master-cycle-remains-ontrack_08.html ) and is reaching the "Tunnel through the Air" target of 1178 SPX that was projected since the beginning of this move in the 1st week of September.

We are right at the next 63 hourly cycle in the 1st hour today, let's see if that holds.

Here are the intraday Change in Trend (CIT) Times for today:

Intraday 5 min CIT (Change in Trend) Times 10/13/10: 9.40, 11.10, 11.55, 12.30, 12.50 pm EDT

Actual: 9.40 Low, next to watch is 11.10

Intraday Cycle: 10.00-30L, 12.45H, 1.40L, 3.00-30H or 10.00-30H, 12.30L, 1.40H, 3.00-30L

Wednesday’s bias is either a Low am to High pm day or a High am to Low pm day. The first hour today usually determines the rest of the day.

The principle of the 2nd element

"Problems are not solved on the level of problems. Analyzing a problem to find its solution is like trying to restore freshness to a leaf by treating the leaf itself, whereas the solution lies in watering the root.

It is the principle of the second element, remove darkness and Ignorance simply by bringing in the Light. You don’t solve darkness by analyzing and talking about darkness, you bring in the 2nd element of light and all darkness simply disappears.

When you practice Transcendental Meditation (www.tm.org) and contact Pure Consciousness within, which the physicist calls the Unified Field, the source of all Light and Energy, all individual problems disappears with the regular experience of Pure Consciousness."      Maharishi

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The Master Cycle remains ontrack

The Master Cycle (which is different than the Mother Divine Cycle) remains ontrack (Red lines in chart) as it called for an 8/9 High, decline to 8/30 Major Lows and most recently, it called for a 9/30 High and 10/4 Low before we rallied the rest of this past week. The following forecast was made last weekend (10/2) (via the Raj T&C Emails):

Review of the past week: “The original Master Cycle suggested a 9/30 High from the 8/27 Major Lows. From there we should see a brief, sharp pullback into 10/4-5 Lows +/- 1, target is 1125-30 SPX and another rally afterwards into end of the week and into an October Major High, Target is 1166-68 SPX, before we see a Mini Crash into October/November 2010 Major Lows. The 2/5 SP Cycle, the 120 TD cycle, the 220 TD cycle and the 7/30 SP Cycle all suggests an 10/4 CIT (Low).”

Actual: The Master Cycle proved correct again this past week as we saw an 10/4 Low of the week at 1131.87 SPX, less than 2 SP’s off its target and we rallied the rest of the week as predicted, closing Friday, up 19 SP’s near its Highs of the week at 1163.87 SPX.
 
The next couple of weeks should be highly rewarding if the Master Cycle remains on track and should present some good opportunities for those who have the timing right.

The 9 Days of Mother Divine and a potential Crash Cycle

The 9 Days of Mother Divine starts on 10/08/10

In Vedic Literature, Mother Divine (MD) is the original force/Natural Laws, responsible for all of creation and evolution and is lively during the 9 days of Mother Divine in their primordial female forms of dissolution, maintenance and creation (Durga, Mahalaksmi and Saraswati). 

The first 3 days of MD,  the Durga/destructive forces are lively, which destroys our impurities, our evils, our sins and our ignorance within ourselves. What are some of these evils? Arrogance, Greed,  Lust/addiction, wrath/rage/anger, attachment, ego/pride, etc. 

After we have been purified, in the next 3 days,  Mahalaksmi, the Natural Laws governing wealth, supports all wealth and comforts on us.  

The final 3 days we are blessed by the Natural Laws of Wisdom and knowledge, Maha Saraswati. It is through knowledge,we can create a better life for ourselves and others. 

Thus the process of evolution, is first destruction of Ignorance, then maintenance through wealth and finally creation through knowledge and wisdom. 

The 9 Lunar days of Mother Divine occurs twice a year in the Vedic Lunar Calender in the Lunar Month around Mid March/Mid April and  Mid September/Mid October. It starts around the New Moon. They are 6 Lunar Months apart.

The 9 Days of Mother Divine potential Crash Cycle Research:

The Research on the 9 days of Mother Divine was inspired by Chris Carolan (http://www.carolan.org), who discovered that there was a direct Lunar day Link in that there were exactly 717 Lunar Months (1 Lunar Month = 29.53 CD) between the 10/29 Crash and 10/87 Crash and that 1987 was a Lunar day by lunar day copy of the 1929 Crash, ie 9/3/29H=8/25/87H, lunar day by lunar day into the 10/29/29 Crash Low = 10/20/87 Crash Low, Day for day. Also the actual crash occurs in the 7th Lunar Month following the spring on his “Dark Days”, the New Moon -2.

1. In 1929, the 9 days started on 10/02/29 and ended on 10/10/29. There was a 10/2/29L and a 10/10/29 secondary High Before the Big Crash into 2 days before Deepavali (Mahalaksmi) New Moon Day, the Natural laws governing Wealth = New Moon following the 9 Days of MD.

2. In 1987, the 9 days started on 09/23/87 and ended on 10/02/87 .There was a 09/22/87L and a 10/02/87 secondary High Before the Big Crash into 2 days before Deepavali (Mahalaksmi) New Moon Day, the Natural laws governing Wealth = New Moon following the 9 Days of MD.

3. In 1997, the 9 days started on 10/1/97 and ended 10/9/97, There was an 10/8/97 High Before the Big Crash into 2 days before Deepavali (Mahalaksmi) New Moon Day, the Natural laws governing Wealth = New Moon following the 9 Days of MD.

In all 3 Crash-markets the secondary High was at the END of the 9 days and the New Moon -2 (Mahalakmi Day= Natural law of wealth) after that was the Crash Lows. It is as if all wealth was surrendered (crashed) to the  feet of the Natural Laws governing wealth.


Caveat Emptor: Before drawing any wild conclusions,  please remember crashes are rare events and the Mother Divine Days occurs twice a year, so many times no crashes have occurred in these time frames.

USA Jyotish predictions for 2011 and 2012

 The council of the Maharishi Jyotshis (Vedic Astrology) focused on the World Kundali (World Chart):

The Graha's (Planets) are always moving, always delivering the Karma's of mankind.

Guru (Jupiter) is transiting in Pisces at this time (10/2/10)

During Jupiter Retrograde from 8/02/10 - 11/18/2010: More care in Nations finances is needed, greater expenses for international affairs.

Guru's transit is more favorable from December through May 2011 and contributes more to financial progress.

Sani's (Saturn) transit in Kanya (Virgo) from 11/5/10 into 8/2012 slows/weighs down financial progress/Economic recovery for USA

From 3/24/11: Budh (Mercury) period, the planet of mediation, communication and diplomacy from 3/24/2011 increases Rivalry, political infighting, expansion in foreign affairs but with challenges, Mercury gives new ideas and directions, likes to move the Economy, with much work.

From 7/24/2011 : Ketu period, Ketu has more influence: Rising resistance from opponents, more care is needed in that area.

From 9/15/2011: Sukra (Venus) period is most responsible and will give mixed counsel in managing difficult situations, structuring and handling National debt will require wise counseling.

From Jan 2012- August 2012: Even more challenging time due to Saturn's position, compounded by the planetary period of the Sun from 2/5/2012 onward: bring some difficulty in Government function and interaction, both domestically and internationally, more caution and care needed for anti social elements and enemies of the state.

 
The 1st 6 months of 2012 are not easy due to the influences of Saturn's transit and the Sun's period. The jyotishis were specifically asked about the "Mayan" and other predictions about the potential destruction of the world in 2012 and the Jyotish Pandits delved really hard, but were unable to find any such dire predictions.

The answer may be in the following cartoon:  

October month Crash Phobia is here!

October is a month often associated with Crashes and steep declines. This includes, the October 1929 Crash, October 1987 Crash, October 1997 Crash, October 1998, October 2008 Crash, etc.  It is no wonder that the general sentiment is extremely bearish for this month on various forums. 

Black_Monday_Dow_Jones

The Master Cycle, if correct predicts  only a Mini crash starting sometime in October and lasting into November Lows, but will it be correct?

Here is what was said in the January 2010 Master Cycle forecast 2010 report (freely available upon request):

"Before we look at the MC 2010 forecast, it is good to remember a couple of points:
1. The MC can be correct and exact sometimes predicting exact swing Highs and
lows for many days, weeks and months at a time. In this time you might tend to
“fall in Love” with this cycle and be impressed with its accuracy, but Caveat
Emptor.
2. At other times, the MC can and will be flat out wrong. For some unknown
reason, the MC fades, inverts or becomes dormant. This could last for days,
weeks and even months. It is best to use it only when it is “active”. I define a
cycle to be active when it gets 3 “Hits”, ie when it gets 3 Highs and Lows correct.
When it is inactive, I simply don’t use it. I use my other Time & Cycle work to
tell me what is happening. It is best to be patient and wait until it becomes active
again and then trade on it as it tends to be very precise, as can be seen in the many
examples above.
3. The MC does not always follow the predicted Price magnitude, ie the actual
Price rally/decline could be a whole lot bigger/smaller than the forecasted Price
rally/decline as shown on the forecasted chart."

The Master Cycle is currently active and predicting a mini crash into a November Low,  but ONLY IF it remains active, ie only IF the coming series of Highs and Lows are exact into the very last High, before the Mini crash wave starts. These High and Lows will be updated in the Raj T&C Emails. Timing is going be very critical here, because if you go short or buy puts too soon, the Bull will fork you to death with his horns. 

One thing is for sure, if correct, it is going to be one of those great Money making opportunities for the year AND also one of those great BUYing opportunities of the year, similar to the 2/5/10 Lows which the MC predicted as well.

SPX weekly is close to double Trendline Resistance

SPX weekly is close to double Trend Line Resistance. 
The 63 hourly Cycle (see previous post) was the 1st hour High today.

There is a triple Junction Point of Trend lines at the 12/3 week, right where the next Square from 7/18/06 is due (12/4).
That is where the red arrow is pointing to on the linear chart shown here.

The US Dollar Time and Cycles

They say a falling dollar supports a rising stock market, so let's take a look at the Daily Dollar chart, which is in a steep down channel ever since the 6/7/2010 High.

The next Daily Geometric CIT is on 11/16 and 12/8. There is also a regular 58 TD cycle due around 11/16, which confirms the geometric CIT.  Price wise, there is double channel and TL support around the 76 area. If wave 1 or A = wave 3 or C, then 74.93 is a potential down target.

The weekly Dollar broke below its Fork support, suggesting further weakness ahead. It has so far retraced 66% of its recent advance. The 78.6% retrace is at 77.28, which is right near Key channel support around  the 77.45 area.

The next 2 weekly geometric CITs are the 5/6/2011 and 7/8/2011 weeks.  It has a regular 82 week cycle next due 7/8/2011 wk, supporting the geometric CIT.