Thursday, August 15, 2013

The next Time and Cycles (T&C) Cluster is on August 16-19 Low of the Month

In my last blog post, I was looking for an 8/2 High and then "a decline into my next Time and Cycle (T&C) Cluster Change in Trend (CIT) and make a major Low of the Month."

Forecast: From 14 days ago, in the 8/3 Raj T&C Weekend Email: "We should rally into 8/2-5 major Highs, then decline into August 16 Time and Cycle Cluster Lows, targeting at least 1650 SPX+/-"

Actual: 8/2 High, decline into 8/15 Low at 1658.59 SPX so far

What's Next: We should continue to decline into an 8/16-19 T&C Cluster Low of the month. 
Time CIT: 8/17 is the next proprietary Solar Time CIT that should be a 8/16-19 Low. There was an 8/15 Long term proprietary geometric Time CIT due on 8/15, that is +/-2-3 TD as it covers decades.  There was also a shorter term geometric 8/15 Time CIT.
Cycle CIT: The last four 45 TD Cycles has been averaging 38-39 TD (see chart) , targeting August 16-19 major Low of the Month.
The intraday cycles Friday (and Monday) supports a decline with a 1st hour low and bias to be lower.

Wednesday, August 7, 2013

Time and Cycles Review and Forecast

In my 7/27 blog post, I had a 7/26-29 Time and Cycles (T&C) Cluster Change in Trend (CIT), which became the 7/26 Low.

From my 7/27 T&C weekend Email: "Short Term: 7/26-29L, rally into 8/2-5 Highs".

Actual: We made a 7/26 Low and rallied into Friday 8/2 High at 1709.67 SPX, which was the 8/5 Solar CIT High and right into triple trend line resistance. The 4/26/10H-5/2/11H major trend line held back the recent 5/22/13 rally High and more recently the 8/2/13 All time Highs.

What's next: We should now decline into my next T&C Cluster CIT and make a major Low of the Month.

7/8 Update: First we make a secondary High first.