Tuesday, February 26, 2013

The Flash Crash Cycle is coming soon

The 5/6/10 mini Crash became known as the Flash Crash.

What only a few people know is that this Cycle has been in the markets ever since the Flash crash of 4/14/00.

The next potential Flash Crash is coming soon.

When exactly?  In March 2013

Are you ready for it? 
If Yes, then enjoy the ride!
If No, then get prepared and enjoy the ride!
My next blog post will be after the Flash Crash cycle Low.

Wednesday, February 13, 2013

The Master Cycle Update

Forecast from the 2/2 weekend Email Forecast: "The active Master Cycle 2 (MC2)is overall bullish, and suggests from a 2/2H, a pullback into 2/7L and then a rally into 2/12-13H" 

Actual: In general, the markets unfolded as expected (yellow lines on chart, click on chart to enlarge), we made a 2/1 High, saw a choppy decline into 2/7 Low and rallied into 2/13 Highs.

The NDX (click on chart to enlarge) has been in a relative narrow sideways channel since 1/2/13 High for 1 1/2 months now. A break above or below this range will determine the next major direction. There is a NDX  37 TD Cycle that was due today 2/13 +/-.

What's next? The Bull market has been relentless and has had its number of Top pickers along the way. The Master Cycle outlook suggest the market tops on 2/13-14, but holds its own until Option Expiration, then is looking for a decline and again another rally to fresh 5 year higher highs and then we are in a potential FLASH CRASH Cycle. It should get interesting at that time.

Sunday, February 3, 2013

A few Highlights of the 2012 annual forecast and the 2013 outlook

Highlights of the 2012 annual forecasts sent out near the beginning of (February) 2012.

"The 202 CD/139TD Cycle: is next due in late April 2012 and Mid November 2012

"November 2012 has a triple cluster of cycles due between 11/5-16
The 132 wk/635TD cycle is next due in November 2012.
The 202 CD/139TD Cycle: is next due in November 2012

The NDX 66 week Cycle: is next due in November 2012.
3/24/00H-5/22/01H- 10/10/02L-1/22/04H-4/20/05L-7/18/06L-4/26/10H-8/9/11L-

Actual: The 139 TD was the 140 TD Cycle that saw a: 5/1/12H and 11/16/12 major Low.

"Major Time CIT for 2012:
Geometric CIT: I have a double Long term Geometric CIT due
June 6-8 2012."

"The MasterCycle, the annual forecast model and the January model all suggests a bullish 2012 that closes near its Highs of the year."

Actual: In trading days, the triple CIT focused  all on 1 day: Friday 6/1, a few hours away from the Monday 6/4 Low of the year at 1266.74 SPX. 2012 was a bullish year and closed higher for the year.

Forecast for 2013.
We should see alot of volatility in the coming year as there are some Crash cycles active that are clustering in certain critical months. The Long term geometric Time CITs have been marked on the Calendar and all the various Master Cycles and fixed cycles clusters for 2013 has been noted.

Contrary to popular Opinion and despite plenty of large swings this year, we should still see a bullish 2013 that closes higher for the year.  Be prepared.