Tuesday, March 30, 2021

Intraday Time and Cycles 3/30/21



The intraday 5 min SPX Time CIT 03/30/21: 1st hr, 10.15, 11.40, 12.20-45, 1.40 pm, all +/-5-10 min


Actual: 10.23L, 11.46H, 12.20L, 12.40H


Intraday Cycle are the Pink lines: (9.40H), 10.20L, 11.15H, 12.30L, 2.00H, 3.10L, all +/-30 min.


Actual: 10.25L, 11.50H, 1.10L


The 1st hourly time CIT may have been the 10.23L, as we saw a higher midday Low, suggesting a last hour higher Low.

The 10.15 CIT was a 10.23L, the 11.40 CIT was a 11.46H, the 12.20 CIT was a 12.20L and the 12.45 CIT was a 12.40H.

The intraday cycle saw a 10.25L, 11.50H and 1.10L so far.

Thursday, March 25, 2021

The active Cycle remains on track with the decline from 3/22H to 3/25L


The active cycle remains on track, with a "3/16H" (#1 on chart) and a relative sharp decline afterwards into the next major Time and Cycle Cluster Low.

The active cycle predicted "3 sharp down days" from the 3/22H (#2 on chart) into 3/25L.

We have now seen 3 down days into today, which has not been so "sharp", but still a relatively good decline and these days have again been +/-0 TD, so it is behaving itself. Remember, the active cycle coudl be +/-3 TD and is a Time cycle and does not necessarily predict Price magnitude. In any case, we are headed in the right direction.

If the cycle remains +/-0, i.e. which is purely speculative, we will see a possible spillover decline tomorrow, a retest or marginally lower Low
(there is a 9.45 time CIT tomorrow), but the overal decline from the 3/16H is not quite over yet. 

The major tradable swing Low will be due in the next proprietary Time and Cycle Cluster Low.



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Saturday, March 13, 2021

Review of the active cycle this past week

In last week's 3/6 blogpost, I mentioned the active cycle recently had 5 previous direct hits that were +/-0 TD (see chart) The active cycle then forecasted a 3/5H and 3/9L, all +/-0-3 TD

"Let's see if this cycle continues to work with this uncanny precision of +/-0 as normally this cycle has a variance of 0-3 TD, so caveat EmptorPlease note this is short term stuff only as we should continue to be volatile (Up and down) the next few days and weeks and a very large directional move is still to come."

The dominant active cycle is a great cycle, but it is not exact as it can be off by +/-3 TD, so we do not expect precise perfection.  The active cycle is a Time Cycle, ie it predicts future Highs and Lows, but does not predict Price magnitude, ie the actual Price could be higher or lower than the forecasted price. 

The recent public forecast was short term stuff and for entertainment only to see if the +/-0 TD would continue, but the predicted 3/9 retest Lows was the short term intraday 3/8 higher Low, which was all we saw.

In the Raj T&C Email Updates (for Subscribers): "The active cycle suggests the highest High this week should be 3/10H+/-3 TD"




Actual: We made a 3/8L (-1) and a 3/11 High (+1) of the week.

The dominant active cycle has a variance of +/-3 TD and it currently has 14 hits so far:

1. 03/23/20L-3 

2. 06/08/20H-3

3. 09/02/20H+1 

4. 09/24/20L+1

5. 10/12/20H+3 

6. 10/30/20L+0 

7. 01/04/21L-2

8. 01/15/21L-3

9. 02/11/21HH+ 1 1/4 TD = 2/16/21HH

10. 02/23/21L+0

11. 02/24/21H+0

12. 02/26/21L+0

13. 03/01/21H+0 

14. 03/04/21L+/-0

15. 03/05/21H +1 TD

16. 03/09/21L -1 TD

17. 03/10/21H +1 TD


What's next:  The dominant active cycle continues to predict volatility in the coming days and weeks. There is more information that I can not post on a public forum of what the cycle predicts that is more useful for the bigger picture and longer termThis will be our last post for some time.


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Saturday, March 6, 2021

Free Forecast: The dominant cycle next High and Low

As promised and requested by hundreds and just for fun, I am giving for free the dominant active cycle's next short term High and Low. Lately it has been uncannily accurate both in Time and Price magnitude. God only knows how long this accuracy will last, so we might as well enjoy it and profit from it if we can. These historic repeating cycles are rare as I have not found one in years and they have an amazing fortune making value.

It still remains a mystery why this cycle has been repeating a historic cycle precisely in details, and recently it has had 5 direct hits that were +/- 0 TD (Trading Days), normally this cycle has a variance of 0-3 TD and it now has 14 direct historical "hits".  





This dominant active cycle has a variance of +/-3 TD and it currently has 14 hits so far:

1. 03/23/20L-3 

2. 06/08/20H-3

3. 09/02/20H+1 

4. 09/24/20L+1

5. 10/12/20H+3 

6. 10/30/20L+0 

7. 01/04/21L-2

8. 01/15/21L-3

9. 02/11/21HH+ 1 1/4 TD = 2/16/21HH

10. 02/23/21L+0

11. 02/24/21H+0

12. 02/26/21L+0

13. 03/01/21H+0 

14. 03/04/21L+/-0

15. 03/05/21H+/-0-3 TD

16. 03/09/21L+/-0-3 TD


The dominany active cyle forecasts:

1. The recent one day strong rally on Friday 3/05 is the next short term High. 

2. This should be followed by a retest of the 3/04 Lows by Tuesday 3/09 short term Low.


Although this cycle is a TIME Cycle and doesn't always predict Price magnitude, it has been recently following the price magnitude as well as we saw this past Friday.

Let's see if this cycle continues to work with this uncanny precision of +/-0 as normally this cycle has a variance of 0-3 TD, so caveat Emptor.

Please note this is short term stuff only as we should continue to be volatile (Up and down) the next few days and weeks and a very large directional move is still to come.



Friday, March 5, 2021

March 4 short term Low is in


Yesterday, I mentioned 3/4L should be a short term Low, on the basis of the historic dominant active cycle that has been repeating very precisely and lately has had 5 hits that were +/- 0 TD (Trading days) including the 3/04L. I am still not sure exactly why the markets are following these historic dates exactly and +/-0, it is still a mystery, but let's profit from them while they last.


9. 02/11/21HH+ 1 1/4 TD (Trading Days) = 2/16/21 major High
10. 02/23/21L+0
11. 02/24/21H+0
12. 02/26/21L+0
13. 03/01/21H+0 
14. 03/04/21L+/-0



Let's see if this cycle continues to work with precision.

Please note this is short term stuff only as we should continue to be volatile (Up and down) the next few days and weeks and the Bulk of the move is yet to come.

The intraday 5 min SPX Time CIT (Change in Trend) for 03/04/21:

9.50, 10.15, 11.35, 1.10, 2.00 pm Eastern, all +/-5-10 min







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Thursday, March 4, 2021

This mysterious cycle suggests a 3/4 short term Low

In the Feb 23 public blogpost, we mentioned the secret ingredient in many crash waves and

in  the Feb 9 public blogpost, we discovered a historic dominant active cycle that is repeating and is +/-3 TD (Trading Days). For a historic cycle to be "active", it has to have atleast 3-5 direct "hits", ie repeating historic Highs and Lows. Currently this cycle has 13 hits. These cycles are rare and not found often, probably due to manipulation. They are Time Cycles and does not always predict Price magnitude.

From my 2/23 Raj T&C Daily Email: "The active cycle suggests volatility, but is generally lower into a 3/4 Low, Shorter term, we see a 2/23L (#1, see chart), 2/24H (#2), decline into 2/26L (#3), 1 day rally into 3/1H (#4) and decline into 3/4L (#5)"

Actual: From the 2/16H, we saw a 2/23L, 2/24H, 2/26L, 3/1H and 3/4L, all +/-0 TD.


This active cycle has a variance of +/-3 TD and it currently has 13 hits so far:

1. 03/23/20L-3 

2. 06/08/20H-3

3. 09/02/20H+1 

4. 09/24/20L+1

5. 10/12/20H+3 

6. 10/30/20L+0 

7. 01/04/21L-2

8. 01/15/21L-3

9. 02/11/21HH+ 1 1/4 TD = 2/16/21HH

10. 02/23/21L+0

11. 02/24/21H+0

12. 02/26/21L+0

13. 03/01/21H+0 

14. 03/04/21L+/-0?


Conclusion: The markets have been unfolding as the dominant active cycle predicted with surprising mysterious precision with the last 4 Highs and Lows being +/-0, which has been a fortune making feat, however we still do not expect perfection in any future forecast and trade as it can be generally off by +/-3 TD. 

What's next: The dominant active cycle is looking for a 3/4 short term Low, but Volatility should continue, as the largest moves are yet to come.



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