Monday, March 26, 2018

The 3/23 triangle Apex CITs worked like a charm


The 3/23 Geo time CIT, 3/23 Apex DJI CIT was a perfect Low!, Mercury Retro on 3/22 (night), 3/24 Over flight CIT, & 3/26 Mother Divine CIT Time cluster were all a 3/23 Low.

Sunday, March 25, 2018

The Sun Jupiter 30 degrees aspects


The Sun Jupiter 30 degrees aspects have been working lately as CITs (green vertical lines on chart) in the markets +/- 2 CD. The most recent one was on 3/13/18 swing High. The next Astro CIT is due on 4/11/18 +/-2.

Astro CITs are useful only if they have a statistical correlation with the markets and functions as secondary time CITs. The proprietary Solar and Geometric time CITs are more important, but these Astro CITs serve as a complement to them.



Sun 000 Jupiter 10/26/2017 12:09:16 => 10/25/17L

Sun 030 Jupiter 12/03/2017 08:01:07 => 12/01/17L

Sun 060 Jupiter 01/08/2018 06:06:50 => 1/10/18L

Sun 090 Jupiter 02/10/2018 17:20:31 => 2/09/18L

Sun 120 Jupiter 03/13/2018 14:05:37 => 3/13/18H

Sun 150 Jupiter 04/11/2018 06:14:32 =>

Sun 180 Jupiter 05/08/2018 18:38:59

Saturday, March 17, 2018

The Master Cycle (MC) still remains on track


From 3/1 public Time and Cycles blog post: The MC remains on track and suggests we see a 3/1-2 Low at the 3/2 Geo and 3/3 Solar time CIT and start a rally phase into the next short term swing High”


From 3/2 T&C Daily Email:  From the 3/2L, the MC and Bitcoin Cycles were looking for a  rally into 3/9-12H , followed by a  decline in Option Expiration (OE)  week and into 3/19-20 Lows”


Actual: We made a 3/2 Low and then rallied 154.58 SP’s into 3/13 High in the 1st half hour. We then declined 60.43 SP’s so far and it is expected to continue into 3/20 Low as the MC suggested. Normally OE week is bullish, but the MC suggested a decline, which we have now seen.

Many believe that a historic cycle with such precision is unheard of or virtually impossible, but the current MC begs to differ, eventhough it was not easy to find (the last time such an uncanny cycle was found was more than a year ago).

What’s next: The MC suggests a 3/20 Low +/-1 and start a rally phase into the next short term swing High. The MC suggests there are many more whipsaw rallies and declines to come and suggests you ain’t seen nothing yet.




The next public MC update will be in a month or so.
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Wednesday, March 7, 2018

Daytraders Update 3/7


We gapped lower to a 9.30 CIT Low and saw a 10.30 1st hour High so far.

Be aware, after the midday High, we should have another sharp decline into 2.05-2.10 Eastern double Time CITs.


Watch the Mebob for intraday Buy and Sell clues:

Intraday Mebob Buy above 2713.75 /ES (March Emini SP)

Intraday Mebob Sell below 2708.75 /ES (March Emini SP)



Mebob Buy and Sell Rules below:

From my friend Rob Falk, aka Mebob himself:

The Mebob trade has been described incorrectly by many people. Probably the most misunderstood part of it has to do with the CLOSE on the buy and sell signal. The buy or sell signals are only confirmed by the CLOSING PRICE of the following 5 minute bars and NOT the high or low. The basic concept as I originally presented it to Avid is as follows.

1. The MEBOB bar is a five minute bar that starts at 9:05 CT and ends at 9:10 Central time.

2. If you draw a horizontal line on your chart from the high and low of that bar you have the key points for the day.

3. If you CLOSE above the high of the Mebob on any subsequent 5 minute bar you buy.

4. If you CLOSE below the low of the Mebob you sell.

The most asked question is, "where is the stop loss". That is pretty obvious by the rules but some days the Mebob bar is
quite big and for some to take a 8-10 point loss is more than they want to accept. My general answer is to use a 5.25 trailing stop on your entry. I have found over the years that if the market reverses more than 5 points from the buy or sell signal it will keep going.

Another point that needs to be considered to increase your probability of success is the technicals at the time. In the case of the
attached example from 6-12, the RSI was at a very high level and should have produced a 100% potential for a successful trade. On the other hand if the RSI had been under 30 and I got a sell signal, I would have been concerned that the potential for entering the trade was not good and would probably pass for the day. No reason to trade every day and if the technical are against you, why fight it. When Mebob works as it did on Thursday its a very profitable short term trade with minimum risk. You have your entry point and stop loss point established and then its just a matter of deciding how long you stay in. Although many people with no technical skill can make money by just using a reasonably stop on the trade and closing it at the end of the day. You will see on the
attached example, the market reversed from an RSI reading under
30 and provided a 15 point gain on the trade. It was also the close
from the previous day and an important low. No reason to expect much
more out of a day trade and time to take the profit.

I hope this clears up the Mebob trade for you. Like any trade it works best in a trending market. The concept also works in markets beyond the S & P.

Bob

12.10 pm Update: 


We saw an early and lower midday 11.40 High, suggesting weakness into 2.00 pm Low is likely, which could then be the Low of Day.


We still have an 80% chance to see the last hour High to be the High of day, we'll see if that can happen.


2.35 pm Update: 
The intraday cycle is a little out of sync, the 2.00 pm cycle Low arrived at the 1.20L. 

The 2.05-2.10 pm Time CIT was the 2.05 higher Low.

In emotional markets (as today), the ideal intraday cycle Lows and Highs gets stretched, we should still see a last hour High.


4.00 pm Final result: 



"We still have an 80% chance to see the last hour High to be the High of day"

From the 2.00 pm CIT Low, we saw an 18 SP rally into a last hour 3.50 pm High of day, filling the morning's Gap.

This rally was supported by the daily Cycles as the MC was looking for a 3/2 swing Low and we remain in a volatile rally phase into the next swing High.


This will be my last public post for some time, 
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Tuesday, March 6, 2018

Daytraders Intraday Time and Cycles 3/7


Intraday 5 min SPX CIT (Change in Trend = High or Low) Times 3/07/18: 9.35, 2.05-10 pm Eastern

1. After a Sharp gap Lower at the Open/9.35 CIT Low, we have a 90% chance we rally into a 1st hour 10.30 Cycle High


2. The intraday cycle, after a spillover 9.40 Low, sees a 1st hour High, midday High and last hour High.

3. If the midday High is higher than the 1st hour High, it suggests a last hour highest High.

4. Current bias is 9.35 CIT is the Low of Day (LOD) or the 2.05-10 pm double CIT Low will be the LOD

5. There is an 80% chance we see a last hour High of Day (HOD).



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Daytraders Update 3/6




5 min Chart sent out last night: "Today is expected to be a consolidation day. The intraday cycle sees a 1st hour Low, midday Low and last hour Low. If the midday Low is lower than the 1st hour Low, it suggests a last hour lowest Low and Vice Versa."


12.00 Update: The intraday cycle saw a 1st hour 10.15 Low and a  lower 11.45 midday Low. We should see a last hour Low.



5.10 pm Update: Final Result: We saw a last hour 3.20 higher Low, which is bullish for tomorrow. The intraday cycle tomorrow, after perhaps initial weakness, is biased higher. Permature Bears be aware.

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Monday, March 5, 2018

Daytraders 3/5 Update


5 min Chart sent out last night: "Monday's intraday cycle is a Low am (1st hour Low) to High pm (last hour High) day. A rally above 2711 SPX DTL is bullish"





4.05 pm Final Result:


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Friday, March 2, 2018

3/2/18 Daytraders Update




Daytraders 9 am Update: The intraday cycle sees a 1st hour High, midday High and last hour High. If the midday High is higher than the 1st hour High, it suggests a last hour highest High and Vice Versa.

12.00 pm Update: We saw a higher midday High, suggesting a last hour Highest High



4.10 pm Update: The Master Cycles suggested a 3/2 Swing Low here: 
http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2018/03/the-master-cycle-update.html

To da Moon! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Hf1t_BXGfk


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Thursday, March 1, 2018

The Master Cycle Update

Forecast from our public 2/15 blogpost: "The Master Cycle is expecting a short term 2/16H"

Forecast from 2/22 T&C Update: "The adjusted MC, shifted +1 and the Bitcoin Cycles, suggesting a 2/22L, then a continued rally for 2 more days 2/26H, before we see a decline. The 2 cycles above are now pretty much identical "



Actual: The Master Cycle (MC) topped out at the 2/16H as expected, declined into 2/22L, rallied 2-3 days strongly into 2/27H in 1st hour and has since declined into today's Lows.

What's next: The MC remains ontrack and suggests we see a 3/1-2 Low at the 3/2 Geo and 3/3 Solar time CIT and start a rally phase into the next short term swing High.


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