Monday, December 11, 2017

Another T&C Cluster High is due in December

December 4 Time and Cycle (T&C) cluster High remains the High to date, but there is yet another reliable cycle, that was mentioned in previous blog posts, still due in December that should produce another important T&C cluster High, before we see a more decent decline into January 2018...

Wednesday, December 6, 2017

The late Nov to early Dec 2017 T&C Cluster & 132 week Cycle

From my last public post, I was looking for an "Upcoming December swing High"

The 66 wk/132 wk cycle is well known by various technical analysts. I first heard about the 132 week cycle back in late 1990's from the now retired Chuck Plank, editor of the Golden Touch Newsletter. He once correlated 3 major Highs to 3 major Lows with the 132 week Cycle.

01/14/00H +131.71 wks = 07/24/02L
03/24/00H + 132.86 wks = 10/10/02L
09/01/00H + 131.71 wks = 03/12/03L

The 66 wk/132 week cycle can also be found in the NDX Cycle below

Fro many weeks now we had a major Time and Cycle (T&C) Cluster starting from 11/24 into 12/5 Time Cluster, along with the 55 week and 132 week cycle due in that same time frame: "The next T&C Cluster is 11/24-12/4, with a 11/23 Solar, 11/24-27-28-29 Quadruple Geo CIT & 12/1 Solar and 12/4-5 triple Geo CIT along with the major 132 week Cycle due 12/1+/-

Actual: The NDX  topped out at the 11/28/17 High, right at channel resistance, while the SPX topped out at the 12/4/17 High, at the 12/1 Solar and 12/4-5 triple Geo time CIT,  piercing its long term channel resistance since the March 2009 Low, when the current Bull market began.

What's Next: From 12/4H, we started a decline that should lasts into the next major Time and Cycle Cluster. We are currently researching the Top 5-10 major Time & Cycle Clusters (Major Turning Points) for 2018, which should be very rewarding to find.

Tuesday, November 28, 2017

The upcoming December 2017 Swing High

From my 11/14 T&C blog post: "We bottom at the 11/13-15 triple CIT and start a rally"

Actual: We bottomed at the 11/15L and has since rallied into today. 

Since early October Low, almost 2 months now, we have been stuck in a sideways to Up channel in the Emini SP. There are a couple of reliable cycles that are due to top out in December, which will be followed by a relative sharp decline afterwards. Be prepared.

Tuesday, November 14, 2017

Forecast from 11/7 vs Actual & Intraday Times & Cycles for 11/15/17

Forecast from 11/7 Update: "we are rallying into the 11/7 Solar CIT suggesting a 11/7H forming. From there we see a choppiness and a decline into the next Monday 11/13 Geo CIT, bounce into 11/15 Solar CIT"

Actual: From the 11/7 Solar CIT High, we declined into 11/14L at the 11/13 & 11/14 Geo & 11/15 Solar time CIT, touching key Cyan channel support. We should see a decent rally phase from here into the next Time CIT.

What's next: We bottom at the 11/13-15 triple CIT and start a rally.

Intraday Time and Cycles for Nov 15

Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 11/15/17: 10.30, 11.20, 12.45, 1.40A, 2.55hrl, 3.40  pm Eastern

Intraday Cycle is the Pink lines (9.40L), 10.30H, 11.15L, 12.20H, 2.00L, 3.40H

Wednesday sees a possible 9.40 cycle Low+/-, rally to a 10.30 cycle High at the 10.30 time CIT, decline to a 11.15 cycle Low at the 11.20 time CIT, rally to a 12.20 cycle High at the 12.45 time CIT, decline to a 2.00 cycle Low at the 1.45 Apex & 2.55 hourly time CIT , rally to a 3.40 cycle High+/-30 min.

Thursday, November 9, 2017

Review Intraday Time CITs 11/9/17

Twitter Update 11/9/17

Globex futures - 13.50 on worries about Tax plan

Intraday cycle stuff suggests a 1st hour Low and last hour High Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 11/09/17: 9.55, 11.05 am Eastern

Wednesday, November 8, 2017

Twitter Update 11/8/17

The intraday cycle is an Inversion day with a high 79% chance we see a 1st hour 10.20 High+/- and if seen there is a 68% chance we see a last hour High and a 32% chance we invert. Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 11/08/17: 10.05, 10.55, 11.50, 1.20 pm Eastern

18 Gaps below since 1/1/17

Markets remain in an Up channel since 8/21L and since 10/25L has formed a contracting wedge/triangle. Make or Break is right around the corner.

We have seen max 2 corrections of 34 SP's max and 5 Trading Days corrections since 8/21L. A true CIT takes place when we see > 34 SP's decline and > 5 TD. Until then all trends remains Up

Thursday, October 26, 2017

Twiiter Update 10/26

The giddiness is getting less, so here are today's power intraday time CITs that are +/-5 min: 10/26/17: 10.25, 2.05**, 3.45 pm Eastern

Wednesday, October 25, 2017

Twitter Update 10/25

  The markets have started to track the various Time and Cycles again, with the 10/19L & 10/23H. The roadmap & outlook are crystalizing.

Monday, October 23, 2017

Triangle 10/23 Apex CIT, with 2577.40 SPX target

Triangle 10/23 Apex CIT, with 2577.40 SPX target

Friday, October 20, 2017

Thursday, October 19, 2017

Raj Time and Cycle cluster on 10/18 & How to find a true CIT in these "Stuck Up" markets

We have been focusing on a major Time and Cycle Cluster, centered on 10/18/17 for many weeks now as the most important Change in Trend (CIT) of the October month.

From the 10/2/17 Raj T&C weekend report: "There is major Time and Cycle cluster on 10/18L+/-1: 1. 787 CD/543 TD Cycle: 3/6/09L- 5/2/11H- 6/27/13L -8/23/15L+1 – 10/18/17. 2. Triple 10/17-19 Geo CIT & 10/17 Solar CIT."

Raj Time and Cycle Cluster on 10/18/17 +/-1 

Time CITs:
1. 10/17 Solar time CIT
2. 10/17-18-18 Triple Geometric time CIT
3. 10/17 is the next Time Square CIT from 10/15/14

Cycle CIT: 
787 CD/543 TD Cycle: 3/6/09L- 5/2/11H- 6/27/13L -8/23/15L+1 – 10/20/17+/-

Stuck Up Markets, How do we find a true CIT?

We have had highly unusual  “Stuck Up” markets since 9/25L, where we see the normal Time and Cycle techniques getting ignored. We have to let the market run its rally course and prove itself, by giving us a CIT of these melt up patterns.

1.Since 9/25L, we have seen max a 2 consecutive down days of max 11 SP's from High to Low. 

For a true CIT, a change in this melt up pattern of the last 3-4 weeks, we would need to see declines that last more than consecutive days and more than 11 SP's.

2. Since 8/21L, we have seen max 2 consecutive down days, but the corrections have been  max 3-5 days, with a max 21-33 SP declines from High to Low.

For a true CIT, a change in this pattern of the last 8 weeks, we would need to see declines that last more than 5 consecutive days and more than 33 SP's.

Intraday Timing: We also have a 9.35 am CIT & a 1st hour CIT today that could be a Low of the day.

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

Twitter Update 10/17/17

For almost 2 weeks now (9 TD), we have been this narrow red channel, so we are definitely in a daytraders mode and it' not for swingtraders

A close up shows the daily has a bearish rising wedge, with an 10/23 Apex CIT (Change in Trend)

Friday, October 13, 2017

Twitter Updates 10/13/17

  1. Markets have been in a bullish Stuck-Up/Melt Up phase since 9/25, where the normal Time and Cycles techniques have not been working.
  2. We have to let this rally run its course & give us a clear Change of the meltup trend and decline below 2540 SPX, before we consider shorts.