Thursday, April 10, 2014

The Trapdoor to Hell

http://www.safehaven.com/article/33427/the-trapdoor-to-hell

For the last 7 weeks, the markets has been stuck in a large 50 SP Trading range, with 1835-40 SPX as critical Make or Break Trapdoor to Hell support and 1885-95 SPX as key resistance. We have now broken below the 1835-40 SPX Trapdoor to Hell, which should cause a sharper decline once we close below it.

In my last post, I mentioned: "We have been in a sideways trading range the last month, which ever way it breaks determines the next major direction in the markets." I was looking for a 3/28-31 Low." http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2014/03/raj-t-march-2014-review-forecast.html

Actual: The expected 3/28-31 Low was the 3/27 Low at 1842.11 SPX (1), 1 TD earlier. The 3/28 geometric CIT was the 3/27 Low. 3/27L was also as the 24 Squared week cycle Low and a Time squared CIT.

Updated forecast made on 4/2: The current bias is the 4/4 geometric Change in Trend (CIT) should be a swing High. 

Actual: We made fresh All time Highs at the 4/4 High at 1897.28 SPX and saw a Key reversal lower that day (2)


Forecast made on 4/7: Due to the many CITs in the coming week, we should see lots of volatility. From the 4/4 CIT High, we should decline into the 4/8 geometric CIT Low. We should then see a brief rally into 4/9-10H at the 4/10 geometric CIT. The decline then resumes into 4/11-14 Lows at the 4/11-14 T&C Cluster.

Actual: From the 4/4 High, we declined into 4/8 Low (3), rally into 4/10 High (4), reversed and decline into today 4/10 (5).

Friday 4/11 is the next proprietary Solar CIT and Monday 4/14 is the next important Trading day Squared CIT from 3/06/09 Major Lows:

Time Squares in TD from 03/06/09 Major Low has produced major Highs and Lows.
3/6/09L - 25.85^2 TD = 10/27/11H
3/6/09L - 27.84^2 TD = 04/02/12H
3/6/09L - 29.83^2 TD = 09/14/12H
3/6/09L - 31.83^2 TD = 03/18/13L (minor)
3/6/09L - 33.83^2 TD = 09/23/13H -2 (minor)
3/6/09L - 35.83^2 TD = 04/14/14 Next!

What's Next: We should make an 4/11-14 swing Low. The decline below 1835-40 SPX should see a sharper decline, but we should make an 4/11-14 Time Cluster CIT swing Low.

Friday, March 28, 2014

Raj T&C March 2014 Review & Forecast

http://www.safehaven.com/article/33266/raj-time-and-cycles-march-2014-review-and-forecast

In my last public post, I was looking for a 3/3-4 major Low. http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2014/03/raj-time-and-cycle-review-and-forecast.html

Since that 3/3 Low of the Month, we saw a sideways and choppy March Month. In early March 4, the important Times to watch for the month of March and the March 2014 Cycles forecast Roadmap was emailed. During the march month some times were revised 1-2 TD earlier (like the 3/17L, was adjusted to the 3/14L), but overall the forecast remained the same.

Important Times to watch for March 2014 (vertical Cyan Lines on chart, click to enlarge):

1. 3/3-4 has a 3/3 Solar CIT, 3/04 geometric CIT and 3/04 SP Cycle CIT.

2. 3/11 has a double geometric CIT and 3/12 is the next Solar CIT.

3. 3/17-18 double geometric CIT

4. 3/21 Solar CIT on Option Expiration (OE) day.

5. 3/28 geometric CIT, 3/31 Solar CIT and 7/18/06L + 53^2 = 03/27.



March 2014 Speculative Roadmap:

Forecast #1: (Red lines on chart) "We decline into the 3/3-4 Solar & geometric CIT Low"
Actual: We made a 3/3 Low of the Month at 1834.44 SPX.

Forecast #2: "From 3/3-4 Low, we rally into 3/11-12 Geometric and Solar CIT High"
Actual: We made a 3/11 High, that was a double Top with the 3/7 High.

Forecast #3: "From the 3/11-12 High, we then decline into 3/17-18 geometric CIT Low"
Actual: We declined into a 3/14-17 Low.

Forecast #4:  "We then rally into a 3/21 Solar CIT and Option Expiration (OE) High"
Actual: We rallied into a 3/21 OE High.

Forecast #5: "We then see a decline into 3/28-3/31 geometric & Solar CIT Low"
Actual: We declined so far into 3/27 Lows at 1842.11 SPX, close to my 1840 SPX target.

As can be seen in the examples above, the Solar and geometric Time CIT's are often exact, or at most +/- 1 day.

What's Next: We make a 3/28-31 CIT major Low, targeting 1830-40 SPX. There is another Low due at the 4/2-4 geometric CIT.The April important Times to watch and April Cycle Highs and Lows has been forecasted. We have been in a sideways trading range the last month, which ever way it breaks determines the next major direction in the markets.

3/31 Update: The expected 3/28-31 Low was the 3/27 Low, 1 TD earlier.
3/27 Low is also as the dominant 24 Squared week cycle Low (3/12/03L= 3/26/14L+1) and the 7/18/06L +52 Squared TD = 3/27/14 CIT Low. We are now bullishly biased.

Monday, March 3, 2014

Raj Time and Cycle Review and Forecast: March 3-4 Low

http://www.safehaven.com/article/32970/raj-time-and-cycle-review-and-forecast-march-3-4-low

In my last public post, I was looking for a strong rally from the 2/5/14L Squared CIT Low. http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2014/02/raj-time-and-cycle-review-and-forecast.html

Forecast #1 (Cyan lines on chart) from my 2/4 Email Update: "We should decline into 2/5 Lows, then rally into 2/18 Highs"

Actual: We made a 2/5 Low and rallied a strong 110+ SP's into 2/19 Highs as expected.

Forecast #2 from my 2/18 Email Update: "The bias is then 2/18 geometric CIT High, down into 2/20 double geometric CIT Low, then up again into 2/24-25 Solar and double geometric CIT High."


Actual: We made a 2/19H, declined into 2/20L and rallied into a 2/24H as expected. We then went sideways to lower for 2-3 days into 2/27L.




Forecast #3 from my 2/28 Update: "The 24 squared week cycle has a long track record and suggests a 2/28H and sharp decline into 3/04L"

Actual: We made a marginally higher 2/28 All time High and are now seeing a sharp decline on Monday 3/3.

What's next: We should decline into the 3/3-4 major Time & Cycle cluster Low.
The 3/3-4 Time and Cycle Cluster has a 3/3 Solar CIT, 3/04 geometric CIT and the 3/04 Symmetry Cycle CIT. Also Mars goes Retrograde and Sun trine Jupiter on 3/1 and Saturn Retrogrades on 3/2. The 322-25 TD cycle: 4/26/10H-08/09/11L-11/16/12L-03/04/14L. The 43-46 TD Cycle: 4/18/13L-6/24L-8/28L-10/30H-12/31H-03/05/14.  More importantly, the 24 squared week cycle has a 2/28H and 3/04L. 

Friday, February 7, 2014

Raj Time and Cycle Review and Forecast

http://www.safehaven.com/article/32688/raj-time-and-cycle-review-and-forecast

Review: In my last post, 3 weeks ago, on Jan 17, I was looking for a 1/17-21 swing High and start a decline that was part of a Panic Cycle. http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2014/01/the-active-panic-cycle.html

Actual:  We made a 1/21 swing high and saw a sharp 111+ SP decline so far. The Panic cycle was looking for an initial 50-60 SP decline, but we more than doubled that, with more to come.

From the 2/4 Update: “We are extremely oversold, but the decline should continue into 2/5 Low+/-1 at the 2/4 Solar and or 2/6 geometric CIT. The Symmetry Point Cycle suggested a 1/21 High and a 2/6 Low. Mercury becomes Retrograde on 2/6 as well, which is often a CIT. Downside support is the 6/24/13L-10/9/13L trend line support at 1738 SPX and the 50% retrace at 1738 SPX.”

Actual: The markets declined into a 2/5 Low, bottoming right at the 6/24/13L-10/09/13L Trend line support at 1738 SPX, at the 50% retrace from the 8/28/13L and 38% retrace from the 6/24/13L, both at 1738 SPX, 1 day after the 2/4 Solar CIT and 2/4 Squared Trading CIT and 1 day before the 2/6 geometric CIT, 2/6 SP Cycle CIT and 2/6 Mercury Retrograde CIT.

Squares in Trading days CITs

 


The above squares in Trading Days CIT is a Square of 9 timing technique that gives very precise Change in Trends (CIT), all dates are +/-1 TD.  

1. 10/11/07H - 11/16/12L = 1285 Trading Days (TD), take the Square root of 1285 and you get: 35.85^2 (35.85 squared)

Now increment that number by 1 or 2 each time and re square to get future CITs:

2. 35.85+2 = 37.85^2 = 1433 TD + 10/11/07H = 6/24/13L

3. 35.85+3 = 38.85^2 = 1509 TD + 10/11/07H = 10/10/13L-1

4. 35.85+4 = 39.85^2 = 1588 TD + 10/11/07H = 2/04/14 +1 = 2/5/14 Low

Please note that 2/4 was also a Solar CIT, suggesting strongly that 2/4 +/- 1 TD was going to be an important CIT. This became the 2/5 Low as expected.

What’s Next?: We made a 2/5 Low and should rally until the next swing High at the next proprietary Time and Cycle Cluster CIT, before we see yet another sharp decline. My next public post will be right after the next Panic Low.



2/9 Update Square of 9 CIT Dates

I had a conversation with Bruce Larson, who inspired me to look at these square of 9 CIT Dates.

Blue Lines are Bruce's Square of 9 Highs from 10/11/07H.
Notice the increment is +2 each time on those lines

04/02/12H = 1127 TD = 33.57^2
10/18/12H = 1266 TD = 35.58^2
05/22/13H = 1412 TD = 37.58^2
12/31/13H = 1566 TD = 39.57^2

Red Lines are my square of 9 Lows from 10/11/07H

1. 10/11/07H - 11/16/12L = 1285 Trading Days (TD) = 35.85^2
2. 37.85^2 = 1433 TD + 10/11/07H = 6/24/13L
3. 38.85^2 = 1509 TD + 10/11/07H = 10/10/13L-1
4. 39.85^2 = 1588 TD + 10/11/07H = 2/04/14 +1 = 2/5/14 Low


The 10/18/12H- 11/16/12L, 5/22/13H-6/24/13L and 12/31/13H-2/5/14L are Square of 9 fractals.

The High/Low relationship
10/18/12H-11/16/12L = 20 TD
05/22/13H-06/24/13L = 22 TD
12/31/13H-02/05/14L = 23 TD

Friday, January 17, 2014

The active Panic Cycle

http://www.safehaven.com/article/32432/the-active-panic-cycle

From my last public post:“We made a 12/31 High and have started a decline. There are some indications that we will see another High later on in January 2014.”

Actual: From the 12/31H, we declined 33.9 SP's into a 1/13 Low and have reversed higher since.

There are various unique Time and Cycles techniques used to determine important Change in Trends (CIT), Highs and Lows and Cycles Research to find “dominant or active” cycles is the most important and takes precedence above other timing techniques. If a cycle has been discovered to have predicted at least 3-5 recent swing Highs or Lows+/-1 day, it is considered dominant or active and can then predict future Highs and Lows, within 1 trading day accuracy, as opposed to fixed cycles, that are +/- many days and weeks. The active Cycle is best used in combination with the proprietary Solar and Geometric Timing CITs. The ideal is that they support and confirm each other, which increase the prediction accuracy to 90-95%.

A week or so ago an active/dominant Cycle was discovered, that is part of a larger upcoming Panic Cycle.
From the 1/12 Forecast: “The current dominant cycle has 6 direct hits and predicts a 1/9-10H, decline into 1/14L and then higher into 1/17 swing High, which should retest the 12/31 ATH and even see marginally higher Highs. We will have to see how it performs in OE manipulation week, which normally skews the Time and Cycles.”

Actual: We saw a 1/9-10 High, decline into 1/13 Low (-1), followed by a sharp reversal rally higher and we should rally into January 17-21 and see marginally higher All time Highs.


There is also a long term 228 TD/331 CD fixed Cycle (click on chart to enlarge) due on Jan 17-20, right at the 1/18 Solar Time CIT supporting the active Cycle’s 1/17 swing High.
The 331 CD/228 TD fixed Cycle: 8/11/08H-331-7/08/09L-335-6/8/10L-328-5/2/11H-336-04/02/12H-330-2/26/13L-328-1/17-21
So far the active Panic Cycle currently has 8 direct hits as it pinpointed:
1. 11/20/13 Low
2. 12/09/13H
3. 12/18/13 major Low
4. 12/31/13 swing High
5. 01/07/14 Low (-1)
6. 1/09/14 High
7. 1/14/14L (-1)
8. 1/17/14 swing High

What’s Next: We make a 1/17-21 swing High and start a decline into the next swing cycle Low and then rally once more. We will see a series of swing Highs and Lows, until a major swing High is reached, before the actual Panic wave starts. Be prepared, timing will be important.

1/23 Update: The active Panic Cycle is working its charm. Its focus is on the SPX. The 1/21 SPX High remained the High, while the NDX and BKX made a 1/22 High.  I have said enough publicly, clients are starting to complain.

Thursday, January 2, 2014

The 12/31-1/02 major Time and Cycle Cluster

http://www.safehaven.com/article/32285/the-1231-102-major-time-and-cycle-cluster

Forecast: For the December month, we were expecting a rally to All Time Highs into the 12/31-1/2 Major Time and Cycles (T&C) cluster CIT (Change in Trend).

Actual: We have made a 12/31/13 All time High so far.

The 12/31-1/-2 Time and Cycles Cluster:

Time:
1/01 Solar CIT => 12/31 High
12/31-1/02 double geometric CIT => 12/31 High
12/30: Sun Square Uranus Conjunct Pluto => 12/31 High
1/03/14 VIX Apex
1/03/14 Major Bradley

Cycles:

1. 140 TD Cycle (see chart above): 2/5/10L, 8/27/10L, 3/18/11L(-2), 10/6/11L(-2), 4/27/12H(+2), 11/16/12L, 6/10/13 miss, 12/30/13H => 12/31 High

2. 177 TD Cycle: 10/21/09H-173-7/1/10L-178-3/16/11L-177-11/25/11L-172-8/2/12L-177-4/18/13L-177-12/30/13 => 12/31 High

3. 55 TD Inverse cycle has 10/9L= 12/30H => 12/31 High

4. 99 hourly cycle due 12/31 = => 12/31 High


5. Banks Index (click on chart to enlarge) has a regular 113 TD Cycle due 1/2/14 => 12/31 High

6. Many Lindsay Low Low High patterns:

a.7/08/09L-818-10/4/11L-818-12/30/13H  => 12/31 High

b. 10/04/11L 409- 11/16/12L-409-12/30/13H => 12/31 High

c. 9/2/08H-972-5/2/11H-972-12/29/13H => 12/31 High

d. 4/28/42L, 3/1/78L, 1/2/14H => 12/31 High

7. Symmetry Point Cycle has 1/6/14 CIT

What’s Next: We made a 12/31 High and have started a decline. There are some indications that we will see another High later on in January 2014.  There are many that are comparing Nikkei 12/31/1989H and 9/3/1929H, with 12/31/2013H and some others are suggesting a mid Jan major High and a potential crash afterwards, but right now there are too many eyes on this Scenario making this unlikely to happen. We wish everyone the very best in the New year.

Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Intraday Time and Cycles Updates Wednesday Dec 18, 2013

3.10 pm Eastern: Final Update of the Raj T&C Free week


We are rallying into a last hour high as expected.
Today's Fed announcement looks like a Low instead of a High. (yellow Lines on the hourly chart).
This will be my last Update for the Free week.

If you want to subscribe, you can do so here: 
You need to do a Cost Benefit analysis. The $110-140/Month subscription is $3.50-$4.50/Day, will the various unique Time and Cycles techniques be beneficial to you as an Investor? Can you make more than 3 Mini SP points in one month for it to be profitable for you? My current subscribers certainly think so and some make more than 3 Emini SP's in a day, but still alot will also depend on your own Money management skills.

We wish everyone Happy & Healthy Holidays.

========================================================================

  2.20 pm Eastern T&C Intraday Update

Fed cuts bond-buying but stresses easy policy

Fed tapers by $10 Billion dollars, which led to a spike lower to 1767.99 SPX for 5 minutes at the 2.00 pm cycle Low, but will continue to ease, which led to the sharp rally afterwards, above the Make or Break trend line resistance at 1783-84 SPX, which is bullish.

We should still see a last hour High.


Intraday 5 min SPX Time CIT 12/18/13: 10.10, 11.05 Apex, 1.15*, 1.45, 3.25 pm

Actual:
10.15 High, 11.00 High, 1.16 Low, 1.35 Low,


Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines: (9.40L), 10.30H, 11.15L, 12.20H, 2.00L, 3.40H

Actual: 9.40H, 9.55L, 10.15H, 10.55L, 12.30H, 1.15L, 2.00L
========================================================================

10.20 am Eastern T&C Intraday Update

Good Morning,

Welcome to the last day of our free week, we hope it has been enjoyable, informative and profitable.

The intraday cycle sees a 1st hour High and normal bias to be higher.

Also as yesterday was a down day, today will tend to be an Up day.

We have seen a 1st hour High so far today and are just above the 1784 SPX down trend line, which would be bullish if we stay above it.

Today is Fed decision day, which has often marked short term Highs in the past 6-7 months, within 1-2 days, as can be seen as the yellow vertical lines on the SPX hourly chart.



Intraday 5 min SPX Time CIT 12/18/13: 10.10, 11.05 Apex, 1.15*, 1.45, 3.25 pm
Actual: 10.15 High

Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines: (9.40L), 10.30H, 11.15L, 12.20H, 2.00L, 3.40H
Actual: 9.55 Low, 10.15 High (In progress)

Wednesday sees a possible 9.40 Low+/-, rally to a 10.30 cycle High at the 10.10 CIT, decline to a 11.15 cycle Low at the 11.05 Apex CIT, rally to a 12.20 High at the 1.15 CIT, decline to 2.00 cycle Low at the 1.45 CIT, rally to a 3.40 cycle High at the 3.25 CIT.

Intraday Mebob Buy above 1778.25 /ES (Dec Emini SP)

Intraday Mebob Sell below 1777.00 /ES (Dec Emini SP)

Tuesday, December 17, 2013

Intraday Time and Cycle Review Tuesday 12/17 and Forecast 12/18




Review: “Intraday 5 min SPX Time CIT 12/17/13: 9.35, 10.30, 11.25, 3.45 pm”

Actual: 9.30 High od day (HOD), 10.40 High, 11.30 Low of Day (LOD), 3.35 High

Review: “Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines: (9.40L), 10.00H, 11.00L, 12.30H, 2.30L, 3.50H.

Tuesday sees a possible 9.40 Low at the 9.35 CIT, rally to a 10.00 cycle High at the 10.30 CIT, decline to a 11.00 cycle Low at the 11.25 CIT, rally to a 12.30 cycle High+/-30, decline to 2/30 cycle Low+/-30, rally to a 3.50 cycle High at the 3.45 CIT.”

Actual: 9.30HOD, 10.15H, 11.30LOD, 2.15H, 3.25H, 4.05L
The intraday cycle saw a 2.15 High and 4.05 Low.


Intraday Time and Cycle Forecast 12/18



Intraday 5 min SPX Time CIT 12/18/13: 10.10, 11.05 Apex, 1.15*, 1.45, 3.25 pm

Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines: (9.40L), 10.30H, 11.15L, 12.20H, 2.00L, 3.40H

Wednesday sees a possible 9.40 Low+/-, rally to a 10.30 cycle High at the 10.10 CIT, decline to a 11.15 cycle Low at the 11.05 Apex CIT, rally to a 12.20 High at the 1.15 CIT, decline to 2.00 cycle Low at the 1.45 CIT, rally to a 3.40 cycle High at the 3.25 CIT.

Notes: There is an Apex CIT around 11.05 am. Fed's decision on IR is at 2.15 pm.
If we rally solidly above the 5 min Downtrend line at 1784 SPX, it is bullish, below is bearish.



Intraday Time and Cycles Tuesday Dec 17, 2013

 1.00 pm Eastern T&C Update
 
The midday high is lower than the 1st hour High, which suggests weakness into the last hour High.

We are still in the 12/16-17 Solar CIT window, so only if we decline below 1772 SPX today, will we see 1760 and 1745 SPX.

The downtrend line remains critical for the Bull/Bear Scenario short term.

Short term looks like a 5 min Bull flag, but we would need to break above the DTL at 1786 SPX to confirm a bullish break-out, which is not likely today.
Tomorrow's intraday sees a 1st hour Low and bias to be lower.
It is also the 1st Fed day and there is an 11.15 am Apex CIT.


Intraday 5 min SPX Time CIT 12/17/13: 9.35, 10.30, 11.25, 3.45 pm Eastern

Actual: 9.30 High, 10.40 High, 11.30 Low

Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines: (9.40L), 10.00H, 11.00L, 12.30H, 2.30L, 3.50H

Actual: 9.30 High, 9.55 Low, 10.15 High, 11.30 Low,
12.55 High (in progress)
 
=============================================================== 10.25 am Eastern T&C Update
Good Morning,

Welcome to day 2 of OE crook's week.

As yesterday was an Up day, today will tend to be a consolidation or down day. 

The 5 min downtrend Line is acting as Key resistance at 1789-90 SPX and should be watched closely. 

If it holds, it would give a bearish bias and a solid rally above it, is bullish.

As yesterday' intraday cycle was not crystal clear, we will watch today for more clues, so far we have seen a 9.55L and 10.15H.

The 9.35 Time CIT was a 9.30 High, next is 10.30 am CIT.


Intraday 5 min SPX Time CIT 12/17/13: 9.35, 10.30, 11.25, 3.45 pm Eastern

Actual: 9.30 High,

Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines: (9.40L), 10.00H, 11.00L, 12.30H, 2.30L, 3.50H

Actual: 9.30 High, 9.55 Low, 10.15 High (in progress)

Tuesday sees a possible 9.40 Low at the 9.35 CIT, rally to a 10.00 cycle High at the 10.30 CIT, decline to a 11.00 cycle Low at the 11.25 CIT, rally to a 12.30 cycle High+/-30, decline to 2/30 cycle Low+/-30, rally to a 3.50 cycle High at the 3.45 CIT.

Intraday Mebob Buy above 1778.50 /ES (Dec Emini SP)

Intraday Mebob Sell below 1776.75 /ES (Dec Emini SP)

Monday, December 16, 2013

Intraday Time and Cycle Review Monday 12/16 and Forecast Tuesday 12/17

Review Monday 12/16:




Review: “Intraday 5 min SPX Time CIT 12/16/13: 10.50, 11.25*, 12.00 pm Eastern”

Actual: 10.55 High, 11.30 High, 11.55 High

Review: “Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines: (9.40H), 10.30L, 12.45H, 1.40L, 3.30H

Actual: 10.05HOD, 11.05L, 11.30H, 1.10L, 2.10H, 4.05L The intraday cycle saw a High am to Low pm day, with a 1st hour High and last hour Low.


Forecast Tuesday Dec 17:


Intraday 5 min SPX Time CIT 12/17/13: 9.35, 10.30, 11.25, 3.45 pm Eastern

Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines: (9.40L), 10.00H, 11.00L, 12.30H, 2.30L, 3.50H

Tuesday sees a possible 9.40 Low at the 9.35 CIT, rally to a 10.00 cycle High at the 10.30 CIT, decline to a 11.00 cycle Low at the 11.25 CIT, rally to a 12.30 cycle High+/-30, decline to 2/30 cycle Low+/-30, rally to a 3.50 cycle High at the 3.45 CIT.

Notes: The intraday cycle Tuesday sees a 1st hour High and a normal bias to be higher, but we need to get above the 5 min downtrend line at 1790 SPX to get a stronger rally going. OE week often messes with the cycles and as Monday was an Up day, tomorrow will tend to be a down day. Rarely do you see back to back Up or down days. We do need to see a follow through rally to confirm the Lows are in.

Intraday Time and Cycles Updates Monday Dec 16, 2013

2.05 pm Eastern T&C Intraday Update


Markets so far made a 10.01 High and has been gradually declining, but still at lofty level, but the intraday cycle is still not crystal clear.


The best guess is that we are seeing a High am to Low pm day (green lines), which would suggest a last hour Low.

If correct then tomorrow sees a 1st hour High and bias to be higher.
From the 12/9 Solar High we were expecting a decline into 12/16 Solar CIT, which arrived at the 12/13 Low, 1 TD earlier.

Intraday 5 min SPX Time CIT 12/16/13: 10.50, 11.25*, 12.00 pm Eastern

Actual: 10.55 High, 11.30 High, 11.55 High

Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines: (9.40H), 10.30L, 12.45H, 1.40L, 3.30H or Inverse 10.30H, 12.30L, 1.30H, 3.30L

Actual: 10.00H, 11.05L, 11.30H, 1.10L, 1.30H
===============================================================
10.45 am Eastern T&C Intraday Update

From the regular Raj T&C Daily Email:

"From Bill Meridian: “Since 1885 Jupiter trine Saturn coincides with lows and Jupiter trine Neptune coincides with short term highs. The next Jupiter 120 Saturn is tomorrow 12/13/2013L, which is 1 TD away from our 12/16 Solar CIT Low."

"We need to solidly take out the 1772 SPX intraday lows and decisively close below 1775 SPX to get a stronger decline going, otherwise it is possible the decline into Monday 12/16 Solar and Geometric CIT Low will be limited to the current Levels"

We jumped above the 5 min mini triangle, which is bullish and suggests a Low is already in.

Often in OE week, If one day is Up, the next day is down and next day is Up.

So far we have seen a 10.01 High and a 10.40 Low (in progress)

The Intraday cycle is a Low am to High pm day or could be inverted.

We need more data to confirm either way and see if Midday 12.30 is a High or a Low.

Today will determine what tomorrow's intraday cycle will be.


Intraday 5 min SPX Time CIT 12/16/13: 10.50, 11.25*, 12.00 pm Eastern

Actual:

Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines: (9.40H), 10.30L, 12.45H, 1.40L, 3.30H or Inverse 10.30H, 12.30L, 1.30H, 3.30L

Actual: 10.01 High, 10.40 Low (in progress)

Monday sees a Low am to High pm day (or Inverse), with a possible 9.40 High+/-, decline to a 10.30 cycle Low at the 10.50 time CIT or more likely the 11.25 CIT LOD, rally to a 12.45 High at the 12.00 CIT, decline to a 1.40 Low+/-30, rally to a 3.30 High+/-.

Intraday Mebob Buy above 1785.25 /ES (Dec Emini SP)

Intraday Mebob Sell below 1783.25 /ES (Dec Emini SP)
===============================================================
9.25 am Eastern T&C Intraday Update
 
Good Morning,

Globex Futures are +8,75 after being down as much as -9.00.

Welcome to Option Expiration Crooks week, which often has an Up bias and tends to skew the times and cycles.

It is possible that the projected 12/16 Solar CIT Low arrived at the Globex Low and 1 TD earlier at Friday 12/13 Low.

We will have to wait and see how much it retraces today to get a better idea.

Today is a Low am to High pm day (or Inverse) and we should see a 1st hour 10.30 Low+/-, which means either way we should expect some retrace.

Saturday, December 14, 2013

Intraday Time and Cycle Review Friday 12/13 and Forecast Monday 12/16

Intraday Time and Cycle Review Friday 12/13

Review: “Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 12/13/13: 10.20, 1.35, 2.20*, 3.55 pm”


Actual: 10.25 Low of day (LOD), 1.35 High, 2.20 retest Low, 3.55 High

Review: “Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines: (9.40L), 10.00H, 11.00L, 12.30H, 2.30L*, 3.50H. Friday sees a possible 9.40 Low+/-, rally to a 10.00 High at the 10.20 time CIT, decline to a 11.00 Low+/-30, rally to a 12.30 High+/-30, decline to 2.30 cycle Low at either the 1.35 or more likely the 2.20* CIT, we then rally to a 3.50 high at the 3.55 CIT.”

Actual: 9.40HOD, 10.25LOD, 1.35H, 2.25L, 3.30H The intraday cycle saw a last hour High as expected.


Intraday Time and Cycle Forecast Monday 12/16



Intraday 5 min SPX Time CIT (Change in Trend) Times are the pink vertical lines 12/16/13:
10.50, 11.25*, 12.00 pm Eastern

Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines: (9.40H), 10.30L, 12.45H, 1.40L, 3.30H

***All intraday Cycle times are usually +/-30, but at times it could be + /- 60 min***
Biases suggested below can and do change depending on actual Price unfoldment.

Monday sees a Low am to High pm day (or Inverse), with a possible 9.40 High+/-, decline to a 10.30 cycle Low at either the 10.50 time CIT or more likely the 11.25 CIT and possible Low of day, rally to a 12.45 cycle High at the 12.00 CIT, decline to a 1.40 cycle Low+/-30, rally to a 3.30 cycle High+/-30.

Speculative Path: (9.40H), 10.50L, 11.25*LOD, 12.00H, 1.40L, 3.30H .

Notes: The 5 min chart is in a potential bearish triangle, if broken would target the 1763 SPX area.
We need to watch the 11.25 Eastern time CIT Monday as a potential Low of the day.

Friday, December 13, 2013

Intraday Updates Time and Cycles for Friday Dec 13, 2013.

4.05 pm Eastern T&C Intraday Update

"it is expected that tomorrow's intraday cycle will have a bearish bias and we can see a 2.20 Time CIT potential Low of the day"

The 2.20 Time CIT was projected to be the Low of the day and that is exactly what we got, a 2.25 Low of the day.


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 2.20 Eastern T&C Intraday Update

1.35 pm Time CIT High was another Bulls-eye hit, next to the 10.25 am Time CIT Low.

An astute trader mentioned that my Intraday Time and Cycles has been posted elsewhere, with out mentioning the source: http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/.


In the free week, you are allowed to post this elsewhere, only if you mention http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/ along with it.

Copyright Reminder: It is illegal to copy or forward the content of the Raj T&C Daily Email and it may not be reproduced in part or in its entirety or posted elsewhere on any forum, without the consent of its author.
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1.05 pm Eastern T&C Intraday Update


We are seeing a sideways movement so far and we made a 12.30 lower High (so far), which suggests weakness and a last hour lower High.


We retested yesterday's Low at the 10.25 CIT Low.

The 10.20 Time CIT was the 10.25 Low of the day so far.

Monday's intraday cycle sees a Low am to High pm day (or Inverse)

We need to solidly take out yesterday's lows and close below 1775 SPX to get a stronger decline going, otherwise it is possible the decline into 12/16 Low will be limited to the current Levels, especially if we keep going sideways.


Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 12/13/13: 10.20, 1.35, 2.20*, 3.55 pm Eastern


Actual: 10.25 Low, 1.35 High


Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines: (9.40L), 10.00H, 11.00L, 12.30H, 2.30L*, 3.50H

Actual: 9.40 High, 10.25 Low,11.05 Low, 12.30 High?

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10.15 am Eastern T&C Intraday Update

Good Morning,

The intraday cycle today normally has a bullish bias, with a 1st hour High and a normal bias to be higher, but as the hourly cycle turned lower, we should see a bearish bias and a down market today. Watch the intraday Mebob (below) for clues.

Here is what to look for:

If the midday High is higher than the 1st hour High, it indicates strength and we will then see a last hour highest High.

If the midday high is lower than the 1st hour High, it indicates weakness and we will then see a last hour lower High.

We still need to get a solid close below 1775 SPX to get a stronger decline going into Monday 12/16 Solar CIT Lows+/-1.

Overall, the bias is we should still see lower lows the next few days and make a 12/16 Lows.

Swing traders were looking for a 12/9 Solar CIT High and a decline into 12/16 Solar CIT Low.

12/17-18 is Fed Days in OE Crook's week.
 


Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 12/13/13: 10.20, 1.35, 2.20*, 3.55 pm Eastern
Actual:

Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines: (9.40L), 10.00H, 11.00L, 12.30H, 2.30L*, 3.50H
Actual: 9.40 High, 10.00 Low,

Friday sees a possible 9.40 Low+/-, rally to a 10.00 cycle High at the 10.20 time CIT, decline to a 11.00 Low+/-30, rally to a 12.30 High+/-30, decline to 2.30 cycle Low at either the 1.35 or more likely the 2.20* CIT, we then rally to a 3.50 high at the 3.55 CIT.


Intraday Mebob Buy above 1770.50 /ES (Dec Emini SP)

Intraday Mebob Sell below 1769.25 /ES (Dec Emini SP)

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Intraday Time and Cycles Review 12/12 and Forecast 12/13


Intraday Time and Cycles Review & Forecasts

Review Thursday 12/12/13: “Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times : 11.55, 12.25-30 pm Eastern”
Actual: 11.55 High, 12.25 Low of Day (LOD). The 12.25-30 Double CIT was the Low of the day.
(Click on charts to enlarge)

Review: “Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines: (9.40L), 10.30H, 12.30L, 1.30H, 3.30L
Thursday sees a High am to Low pm day (or Inverse), with a possible 9.40 Low+/-, rally to a 10.30 cycle High+/-30, decline to a 12.30 cycle Low at either the 11.55 or 12.25-30 double CIT, rally to a 1.30 cycle High+/-30, decline to a 3.30 cycle Low+/-30.”
Actual: 9.45HOD, 12.25LOD, 3.00H, 4.05L. The intraday cycle saw a High am to Low pm day, with a 1st hour 9.45 High of day and a last hour 4.05 Low.


Intraday Time and Cycles Forecast Friday Dec 13, 2013 


Intraday 5 min SPX Time CIT (Change in Trend) are the red vertical lines 12/13/13:  
10.20, 1.35, 2.20*, 3.55 pm Eastern

Intraday Cycle  12/13/13 is the Cyan lines: (9.40L), 10.00H, 11.00L, 12.30H, 2.30L*, 3.50H

***All intraday Cycle times are usually +/-30, but at times it could be + /- 60 min***
Biases suggested below can and do change depending on actual Price unfoldment.

Friday sees a possible 9.40 Low+/-, rally to a 10.00 cycle High at the 10.20 time CIT, decline to a 11.00 Low+/-30, rally to a 12.30 High+/-30, decline to 2.30 cycle Low at either the 1.35 or more likely the 2.20* CIT, we then rally to a 3.50 high at the 3.55 CIT.

Speculative Path: (9.40L), 10.20H, 11.00L, 12.30H, 1.35L, 2.20L*, 3.55H

Notes: as the Hourly and Daily Trends turned lower, it is expected that tomorrow's intraday cycle will have a bearish bias and we can see a 2.20 Time CIT potential Low of the day