Sunday, May 19, 2013

The dominant Time and Cycles

Precise timing is everything in the stock markets. For that reason over the last 2 decades, I had to discard many, many timing techniques that didn’t meet the criteria of finding a major High or Low exact to the day or at most within 1 TD.  Over time, in the last 25 years, I have found 2 proprietary timing techniques that have been consistent in pinpointing future Change in Trends (CIT), ie Highs and Lows within 1 TD. One is a geometric, mathematical timing CITs that are 70-80% accurate and the other is a Solar timing CIT that is close to 84-90% accurate.

Examples of some long term CITs was the June 4 2012 major Low and the September 14 2012 major High. A medium Term CIT was on 4/19/13, which became the 4/18 major Low. I had a rare 3 long term geometric SPX CITs, covering Decades, all clustering on one date, Friday 6/1/12, which became Monday 6/4/12 major Low at the Open. This was predicted since February 2012 in the annual 2012 forecast report. http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2012/06/long-term-timing-points.html

Normal fixed cycles versus active Master Cycles.
Normal fixed Cycles expand and contract and is always +/- few weeks or months. Over time, I have found that for some reason, some historic cycles repeat day by day and this cycle is active for many weeks and sometimes many months, until they stop working and disappear. I have named these kind of cycles the Master Cycles, because they follow a certain numerology that can be found in the Bible as well as in Ved.  With any of the Master Cycle and other cycles that are considered "active", all predicted Highs and Lows are often exact or at most +/- 1 TD.  The main rule that I use is the Master Cycle is active as long as the predicted swing Highs and Lows are either exact or +/-1 TD and it is not considered active, ie it will be incorrect, if it exceeds this 1 TD variance of predicted Highs and Lows. The benefit is you will know right away if the cycle is incorrect within 1 trading day. If the Cycle is not “active” anymore, it becomes “dormant” and it should not be used for future predictions. Both fixed and Master cycles should be used, but normal fixed cycles, does not have the active Master Cycle’s accuracy.

Time & Cycle CIT Order of importance: In my work, I consider the active Master Cycle’s Highs and Lows (CITs) as most important as they are +/-1 TD, followed by Solar Time CITs, then Geometric Time CIT, which are the most reliable Time CITs. All other time CITs, like squares, astros, numerology, etc. are only used to confirm the active Master cycles and the two dominant Time CITs. When both Time and active cycles support each other, it increases the accuracy to 90-95% of finding a CIT, a High or Low.

Future long term geometric CITs that were calculated since the beginning of the year:
1. There are two medium Term geometric Time CITs due on exact dates in July 2013.
2.  There is a long term geometric CIT, covering decades that project a certain date in August 2013 that should be an important High or Low.
3. There is a long term geometric CIT due in September 2013 as well.

What’s next short term?


The yellow vertical lines in the chart above are the last 13 Option expiration weeks, which has a generally neutral to bullish bias, with 4 down and 9 neutral to up. Also note Option Expiration weeks often mark short term Highs or Lows as shown by the arrows on the chart. At times, the High or Low arrives 1 day before or after OE week.


There is a 5/20 geometric and 5/21 Solar CIT that should most likely result in a 5/20-21 short term High. The 6 Lunar Month Cycle chart above supports a 5/20 CIT. It is possible we rally into the upper channel resistance at 1678-80 SPX.

Everyone needs valuable Time and Cycle techniques in their toolbox to make smarter and more profitable Investments decisions.

Sunday, May 5, 2013

Mars and the Dragon

http://www.safehaven.com/article/29727/mars-and-the-dragon


In Vedic Astrology, there's an ancient Dragon that was split in a
fierce battle into two parts, the upper half of the dragon's Body, Rahu
is the Moon's ("True") North Node and the lower half of the body is
Ketu, the Moon's South Node, which causes the Solar and Lunar Eclipses.
Whenever these malefics Nodes comes into a hard angles (0, 90, 180,
270 degrees) aspect with another big malefic, Mars, the planet of War,
it often produce some intense and violent conflicts and Change in Trends (CIT).

Some examples of Mars Rahu aspects from the past:
Mars squares Rahu: between 7/4/90 and 8/20/90, exact aspect was on
7/23/90. The market declined from 7/13/90 into 8/23/90.
Mars squares Rahu: Between 9/20/97 and 10/30/97, exact aspect was on
10/25/97. The market declined from 10/8/97 into 10/28/97.
Mars conjuncts Rahu: Between 9/27/98 and 11/17/98, exact aspect was
on 10/8/98. The market declined from 9/24/98 into 10/8/98.
Mars squares Rahu: Between 10/25/00 and 12/13/00, exact aspect was
on 11/29/00. The market declined from 11/6/00 into 12/21/00.

Here are some examples in the recent years, most were important CITs:


Mars 180 Rahu 07/23/2011 17:31=> 7/21/11H, crash into 8/9/11L
Mars 090 Rahu 12/13/2011 06:12  => 12/19/11 major Low+6
Mars 090 Rahu 03/19/2012 18:30  => 3/27/12 major High+8
Mars 090 Rahu 04/30/2012 23:30  => 5/1/12 High+1
Mars 000 Rahu 10/02/2012 15:06  => 10/5/12 High+3
Mars 090 Rahu 01/24/2013 19:48  => Miss
Mars 180 Rahu 05/13/2013 05:46 => coming up!

The Mars opposite Rahu (Moon's North Node) Crash Cycle
.
1. Mars opposite Rahu: between 9/25/29 and 11/7/29, exact aspect was on 10/24/29. The market crashed into 10/11/29 into 10/29/29
2. Mars opposite Rahu: between on 9/29/87 and 10/30/87, exact aspect was on 10/12/87. The market crashed from 10/2/87H into 10/20/87L.
3. Mars opposite Rahu: between 8/25/01 and 10/18/01, exact aspect was on 9/14/01. The market crashed from 8/27/01 into 9/21/01L.

Notice that in the 3 examples above, the Mars Opposition Rahu played a direct role in the 3 biggest Crashes of the last Century.

Ma opposite Rahu (exact) = 9/14/01! = 10/12/87! = 10/24/29!

The statistical odds that this was due to chance is very low.

Here is the last 10 years of Mars opposite Rahu aspects, notice that 3 of the 7 Mars opposite Rahu aspects resulted in sharp declines.

Mars 180 True Node 09/14/2001 11:23 => crashed into 9/21/01L
Mars 180 True Node 01/27/2003 22:53
Mars 180 True Node 11/14/2004 08:04
Mars 180 True Node 09/01/2006 03:20
Mars 180 True Node 06/15/2008 02:32 => crashed into 7/15/08L
Mars 180 True Node 10/09/2009 19:05
Mars 180 True Node 07/23/2011 17:34  => crashed into 08/09/11L

The next Mars opposite Rahu cycle is due on 5/13/13. 
This date is supported by a long term geometric CIT due on 5/14, so we should see an important 5/13-14 CIT. Ofcourse, there are many Mars opposite Rahu aspects, which is a 1-2 year cycle, but actual crashes are rare events and odds are relatively low, but you still need to be aware of this potential Crash Cycle in the May 2013 Month.

A word of caution: The purpose of this article is not to make people fearful and no one should depend on any crashes to make money and they certainly should not trade on this information alone. Currently, all trends are up, the markets are bullish and trading against the trend is like swimming upstream. What I do suggest is take the time to study the statistical data presented, you might find it a very valuable tool.

Wednesday, May 1, 2013

WSJ: The American Heart Association recommends the Transcendental Meditation technique above all others

According to the American Heart Association, the Transcendental Meditation technique (http://www.tm.org/) is the only meditation practice that has been shown to lower blood pressure, which substantially reduced rates of death, heart attack and stroke. Other meditation or relaxation techniques have not given these results.

http://online.wsj.com/article/PR-CO-20130501-909027.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

Friday, April 12, 2013

The Dominant Cycle forecasts


In my 4/3 public post I mentioned: http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2013/04/the-flash-crash-cycle.html

"Even though there are good odds, it does not matter if a 7-12% Flash crash (FC) cycle occurs or not, what matters is that the dominant Cycle1 determines when exactly we should be long and then short if and when the FC does occur."


From the 4/2/13 Email:
"The dominant Cycle1 has been active and suggest an 4/1H, decline into 4/4L, 4/5-8H and 4/9L and then a rally into 4/16 higher Highs." 

Actual: We rallied into an 4/2 High (+1), declined into 4/5 Low (+1), rallied into 4/9H(+1) and saw a brief intraday 4/9 pullback Low, before the rally continued into All time Highs into today. The dominant cycle1 kept one from shorting prematurely as it was looking for an 4/5L and a rally to new All time Highs and with more to come.  

What's next: The dominant Cycle1 suggest the rally should continue into 4/17 High +/-1. The range we saw from 3/14 High into 4/5 Low, gives us a 1607.82 SPX target, which is close to the 1.272 extension at 1607.63 SPX and close to the expanding triangle trend line at 1606.79 SPX at the expected 4/17 High

You won't want to miss what happens next as the dominant cycle1 sees some wild swings afterwards.

Wednesday, April 3, 2013

The Flash Crash Cycle


http://www.safehaven.com/article/29369/the-flash-crash-cycle

The 5/6/10 mini Crash became known as the Flash Crash. I discovered this cycle back in 2010, when the Flash Crash occurred, which is why I named it the Flash crash cycle. This Cycle has been in the markets ever since the crash of 4/14/00 Low. I was amazed, when I first discovered this cycle to find it was a perfect 360 Trading Days (TD) Cycle, like the 360 degrees of a Circle (Cycle), it suggested that this fixed Cycle was found at major turning points.


The Flash Crash (FC) Cycle is a fixed 75 wk/525CD/360 TD (degree) Cycle that was ideally due 3/23/13 +/- 1 month.


04/14/00L -358- 9/21/01L - 369/77- 3/12/03L -359 - 8/13/04L- 1078 (3X 360
=1080) - 11/21/08L-356/521-4/26/10H-364/526-10/4/11L-3/23/13 +/-Mo.

Some of the 525 CD/75 week cycle Lows were major Panic Lows, like the 4/14/00 Low, 9/21/01 Panic Low and the 11/21/08 banking crisis Low, although some were not all that "flashy", like the 3/12/03 Low and 8/13/04 Low, but still they were major Lows.

The Flash Crash cycle in details
04/14/00L - 09/21/01L = 525 CD = 75 weeks = 2.618 X 200 CD = 523.6
04/14/00L - 03/12/03L = 1062 CD = 2.02 X 525 CD = 03/12/03 Major Low
04/14/00L - 08/13/04L = 1582 CD = 3.01 X 525 CD = 08/13/04 Major Low
04/14/00L - 11/21/08L = 3143 CD = 5.99 X 525 CD = 11/21/08 Major Low,
04/14/00L - 05/06/10L = 3674 CD = 7.00 X 525 CD = 05/06/10 flash Crash,
04/14/00L - 10/14/11 = 4200 CD = 7.98 X 525 CD = 10/04/11L, Major Low.
Next → 04/14/00L= 4275 CD = 9.00 X 525 CD = 03/23/13 +/- Month

Looking back at all the FC Lows, we notice the next 75 wk Cycle Low is due 3/23/13L +/-month, in April 2013.

7 out of 9 FC Cycles saw 7%-26% (avg 12-14%) declines and most are in 2-3 wks
03/24/00H - 04/14/00L was a 14% decline in 3 weeks
08/31/01H - 09/21/01L was a 20% decline in 3 weeks
01/31/13H - 03/12/03L was a 16% decline in 8 weeks
06/24/04H - 08/13/04L was a 7% decline in 7 weeks
11/04/08H - 11/21/08L was a 26% decline in 3 weeks
4/26/10H - 05/06/10L was a 12% decline in 3 weeks
9/16/11H - 10/04/11L was a 12% decline in 2 weeks

7 out of 9 (78%) of the Flash Crash 360 TD/75 week Cycles saw sharp 12-14% declines, (2 of 9, 22% did not see any decline) mostly in 2-3 weeks some time in April 2013 Lows. Some were not "flashy", like the 3/12/03L and 8/13/04L, but were still major Lows.

Perfect (exact) 360 TD (degrees) Harmonics:
04/14/00L + 3240 TD (9 X 360 TD) = 03/07/13
09/21/01L + 2880 TD (8 X 360 TD) = 03/05/13
03/12/03L + 2520 TD (7 X 360 TD) = 03/18/13
08/13/04L + 2160 TD (6 X 360 TD) = 03/15/13
11/21/08L + 1080 TD (3 X 360 TD) = 03/13/13
05/06/10L + 720 TD (2 X 360 TD)  =  03/19/13
10/04/11L + 360 TD (1 X 360 TD)  =  03/13/13

It is interesting that so many (7) 360 TD degree Harmonics are all due in March 2013.

Conclusion Flash Crash (FC) cycle: As the Flash Crash (FC) Cycle is a 1 1/2 year fixed cycle, it will have a variance of a month, which means we can see the FC decline in April. Ideally the FC Low is due in April 2013. Once the major High is determined by the more precise dominant Cycle1, we will then see a swift 2-3 week, minimum 7% to average 12% decline most likely into the April Lows.

Even though there are good odds, it does not matter if a 7-12% Flash crash (FC) cycle occurs or not, what matters is that the dominant Cycle1 (http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2013/04/cycle-review-and-update.html) determines when exactly we should be long and then short if and when the FC does occur. 

Monday, April 1, 2013

Cycle Review and Update



There are 2 cycles that are active and being watched closely:

1.  The Flash Crash (FC) fixed Cycle. Experienced cycle experts know that all fixed cycles expands and contracts and as this FC Cycle is a long 1-2 year fixed cycle, it will have a normal variation of a few weeks to a month. I first mentioned on 2/26 that a Flash crash is coming in March, but as it is a fixed cycle, it could also be a month later, in April 2013 that we see the projected minimum 7% to average 12% decline.


2. The current dominant cycle is much more precise as it predicted the most recent Highs and Lows (click on chart above to enlarge), like the 2/4/13L, 2/19H, 2/26L, 3/6L and more recently the 3/18 High, which was 1 TD early at the 3/15H.  The dominant Cycle1 pinpoints, unlike the FC fixed cycle, the next swing High and Low, within 1 trading day. If you want precision, you need to follow the dominant Cycle. 

Here are some previous blog post examples of the dominant Cycle that was looking for: "2/25L, 2/28H, 3/1-4L”   Actual: 2/26L, 2/28H, 3/1L, see the 3/5 post: http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2013/03/review-and-update-on-flash-crash.html
It also predicted the 3/12L and a 3/18H. Actual: 3/12L, 3/15H, 1 TD earlier, see the 3/14 post: http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2013/03/review-and-flash-crash-cycle-update.html
More recently in the 3/18 weekend Email:All trends remains firmly higher. The dominant Cycle suggests a rally into 3/18H at 1564-68 SPX, decline into 3/22 Lows and rally into 4/1 Highs.”

Actual: We rallied into a 3/15H (-1TD), declined into 3/21L (-1 TD) and we are now rallying into Monday 4/1 High, as the dominant Cycle predicted.

Conclusion: The FC fixed Cycle may still manifest a 7-12% decline (see previous posts) in April 2013, but if a more precise guide is needed, you will need to follow the current dominant cycle that determines the next short and medium term swing High and Low. The dominant cycle would have prevented anyone from getting prematurely short between January to March 2013. 

Thursday, March 14, 2013

Review and the Flash Crash cycle Update

From last week 3/08 weekend Report: "OE weeks tend to be bullish. Statistics suggests any decline should be limited in OE week and above 1520 SPX by 3/15-18. Markets are also close to expanding triangle and channel resistance at 1555 SPX, so a pullback into 3/12 Solar CIT is expected, followed by a rally into 3/18H at 1560-65 SPX" 
Actual: Markets rallied to a 1556 SPX High and saw the expected 1 day pullback into 3/12 Solar CIT Low, before rallying to higher highs today.

What's next?: We should continue the rally into Monday 3/18 quadruple CIT High. Mercury also goes direct on 3/17. The 6 Lunar Month Cycle supports the rally into 3/18-19.

In my 3/5 blog post I mentioned this Flash Crash (FC) statistic:
7 out of 9 (78%) of the Flash Crash Cycles saw sharp 12% declines, 2 of 9, 22% did not see any decline.

Here is some more information on the FC cycle:
The 5/6/10 mini Crash became known as the Flash Crash. I discovered this cycle in 2010, when the Flash Crash occurred, which is why I named it the Flash crash cycle. This Cycle has been in the markets ever since the mini crash of 4/14/00 Low.  The FC Cycle is a 1-2 year long fixed cycle,  it will have a normal variance of a few weeks to a month. Once the Highs are in, we should see the FC Cycle decline, with a minimum 7% (110 SP's) to an average of 12% (187 SP's) decline which could even spillover into April.


3/17 Update: 
I first mentioned the Flash crash Cycle on Feb 26 2013 and that it was due in March 2013.
http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2013/02/the-flash-crash-cycle-is-coming-soon.html

I was looking for a very important turning point at Monday's shorter term quadruple 3/18 CIT, which was 1 TD earlier at the Friday 3/15 High.

This reminded of the rare 3 long term geometric SPX CITs covering Decades, all clustering on one date, Friday 6/1/12, which was 1 TD later at the Monday 6/4/12 Major Low

There are Five of those seven Flash Cycle (FC) Harmonics that are EXACT within 0-2 days at the 3/15/13 High. The accuracy is simply amazing.

I will post the entire analysis after the  FC cycle has completed its course.

3/19 Update: 
 As the 1-2 year Flash Crash Cycle is a Fixed Cycle, it will have a +/- few weeks to a month variation. This means the FC Cycle could manifest in APRIL.

I have a more active dominant cycle that is more precise with the next Highs and Lows that tells me that will be the case.

3/21 Update:
There are 2 cycles I am currently watching, one is the FC fixed Cycle that is +/- a few weeks to a month
The other is the current dominant cycle that is much more precise as it predicted all the most recent Highs and Lows, like the 11/16/12L, 2/4/13L, 2/19H, 2/26 major Low, 3/6 Low and most recently the 3/18 High, which was 1 TD early at the 3/15H.
This cycle is very exact, and forecasted the current decline and is also looking for another rally.  
 
I know of no one that finds cycles this precise as all Cycle experts knows only of Fixed cycles, +/- a few weeks, like the FC Cycle.
 
The dominant cycle also tells me when the next major decline and FC should actually occur in April
It also knew that the decline was not quite over with yesterday's rally.



Saturday, March 9, 2013

OT: The TM Blog

 http://www.tm.org/blog/ 

Good Health is your greatest wealth 

Getting rid of stress so that we can have a calm, creative mind is a good reason to practice the Transcendental Meditation technique each day. Scientists seem to keep giving us even more incentives to meditate. Read more
Meditation researchers from around the country came together to share findings from new studies on a wide range of different meditation traditions, ranging from mindfulness and Zazen to Qi Gong and the Transcendental Meditation technique. Read more
On January 19, healthcare professionals around the country tuned in online to watch Transcendental Meditation, Stress, and Heart Health—a webinar featuring two leading experts on the TM technique’s benefits in preventing and treating cardiovascular disease. Read more

Tuesday, March 5, 2013

Review and Update on the Flash Crash Statistics

Review of the last week: Monday 2/25 evening report: “There are still good statistical indications that we should be higher than the January Month (1496 SPX) and > 1502 SPX by 2/28, in 3 TD, which in turn gives a 90% chance we close UP for 2013. This suggests we should see a short term bottom today or in the next day (2/25-26L) and see an oversold rally into 2/28. Conclusion: The current bias is 2/25L, 2/28H, 3/1-4L

Actual: The markets bottomed on 2/26L, rallied into 2/28H and declined into 3/1L.

From last night's Email:  "Various Cycles, including the Flash Crash analog suggests a rally into 3/5-6H"

Actual: From the 3/1 Low we rallied into today as expected and made fresh 5 year Highs.

What's next?:  Ideally we see "a" High today or (less likely) tomorrow. Today is the next geometric CIT and Midpoint of MeR and MeD. Also I have a regular 115 TD Cycle that is due today.

The 115 TD Cycle also has  3/05/13

6/8/10L -112- 11/16/10L -114- 5/2/11H -2X116- 4/2/12H -115- 9/14/12H -115- 3/5/13H

7/7/11H -115- 12/19/11L -114- 6/4/12L -115- 11/16/12L - 114 - 5/3/13

9/1/00H + 3141 TD (Pi)
= 3/05/13


I had some question on this blog wrt the Flash crash Cycle. Here are some of the statistics on it:
7 out of 9 (78%) of the Flash Crash Cycles saw sharp 12% declines, 2 of 9, 22% did not see any decline.

Tuesday, February 26, 2013

The Flash Crash Cycle is coming soon


The 5/6/10 mini Crash became known as the Flash Crash.

What only a few people know is that this Cycle has been in the markets ever since the Flash crash of 4/14/00.


The next potential Flash Crash is coming soon.

When exactly?  In March 2013

Are you ready for it? 
 
If Yes, then enjoy the ride!
 
If No, then get prepared and enjoy the ride!
 
My next blog post will be after the Flash Crash cycle Low.

Wednesday, February 13, 2013

The Master Cycle Update

Forecast from the 2/2 weekend Email Forecast: "The active Master Cycle 2 (MC2)is overall bullish, and suggests from a 2/2H, a pullback into 2/7L and then a rally into 2/12-13H" 


Actual: In general, the markets unfolded as expected (yellow lines on chart, click on chart to enlarge), we made a 2/1 High, saw a choppy decline into 2/7 Low and rallied into 2/13 Highs.


The NDX (click on chart to enlarge) has been in a relative narrow sideways channel since 1/2/13 High for 1 1/2 months now. A break above or below this range will determine the next major direction. There is a NDX  37 TD Cycle that was due today 2/13 +/-.

What's next? The Bull market has been relentless and has had its number of Top pickers along the way. The Master Cycle outlook suggest the market tops on 2/13-14, but holds its own until Option Expiration, then is looking for a decline and again another rally to fresh 5 year higher highs and then we are in a potential FLASH CRASH Cycle. It should get interesting at that time.

Sunday, February 3, 2013

A few Highlights of the 2012 annual forecast and the 2013 outlook

Highlights of the 2012 annual forecasts sent out near the beginning of (February) 2012.

"The 202 CD/139TD Cycle: is next due in late April 2012 and Mid November 2012
2/5/10L-203-8/27/10L-201-3/16/11L-202-10/4/11L-4/23/12-11/11/12"


"November 2012 has a triple cluster of cycles due between 11/5-16
The 132 wk/635TD cycle is next due in November 2012.
10/5/92L-2X132-10/27/97L-126-3/24/00H-133-10/10/02L-132-4/20/05L-129-
10/11/07H-132-4/26/10H-132-11/5/2012
The 202 CD/139TD Cycle: is next due in November 2012
2/5/10L-203-8/27/10L-201-3/16/11L-202-10/4/11L-4/23/12-11/11/12

The NDX 66 week Cycle: is next due in November 2012.
3/24/00H-5/22/01H- 10/10/02L-1/22/04H-4/20/05L-7/18/06L-4/26/10H-8/9/11L-
11/16/12."



Actual: The 139 TD was the 140 TD Cycle that saw a: 5/1/12H and 11/16/12 major Low.


"Major Time CIT for 2012:
Geometric CIT: I have a double Long term Geometric CIT due
June 6-8 2012."


"The MasterCycle, the annual forecast model and the January model all suggests a bullish 2012 that closes near its Highs of the year."


Actual: In trading days, the triple CIT focused  all on 1 day: Friday 6/1, a few hours away from the Monday 6/4 Low of the year at 1266.74 SPX. 2012 was a bullish year and closed higher for the year.

Forecast for 2013.
We should see alot of volatility in the coming year as there are some Crash cycles active that are clustering in certain critical months. The Long term geometric Time CITs have been marked on the Calendar and all the various Master Cycles and fixed cycles clusters for 2013 has been noted.

Contrary to popular Opinion and despite plenty of large swings this year, we should still see a bullish 2013 that closes higher for the year.  Be prepared.

Wednesday, January 16, 2013

Review and Forecast

In My last post, various Time and Cycles (T&C) projected a 12/31 Low.
http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2013/01/review-1231-low-and-new-years-poem.html

From my 12/30 weekend report: "We expect a 12/31L, right at the 1/1 Solar, 12/28 Bradley,  Time and Price square on 12/29 and MTC due on 12/30-31, see a potential sharp rally into 1/4/13 CIT High, decline into 1/09-10 solar CIT Low."

Actual:  We saw a 12/31L, then a sharp rally into 1/4/13H, followed by a decline into 1/8 Low.


From the 1/11 daily Email: "The current bias is we will rally into the 1/11 CIT High, see a  decline into 1/16 intraday Low, close higher and rally into 1/18-21 Highs."

Actual: We made a 1/11H and have since declined into 1/15-16.

The previous forecasts have also been drawn, since my call for a 11/16/12 major Low on my public and private blog http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2012/11/review-1116-major-low-up-into-december.html

What's next: From the 1/15-16 Low, we should see another rally into 1/18-21 Cycle Highs, ideally targeting 1485 SPX+/-5 and right at Friday's 1/18 Solar Time CIT and Monday 1/21 geometric Time CIT.


Wednesday, January 2, 2013

Review 12/31 Low and a New Year's Poem

From 12/28/12 Email: "We expected the 12/27L and reversal higher, which we saw, but the lean is we continue the choppy decline into 12/31L"

From 12/29/12 Email: "We expect a 12/31 Low, right at the 1/1 Solar, 12/28 Bradley,  Time & Price square on 12/29 and MTC due on 12/30-31, then see a potential sharp rally into the long term CIT."

From 12/31 Update: "6/4/12L - 9/14/12 yearly High = 1474.51-1266.74 = 207.77 SP
6/4/12L + 207.77 CD = 12/28-29 Low"


Actual: Various Time and Cycles were looking for a 12/31 Low and the Fiscal Cliff deal caused a Monday 12/31 Low right at the open in the SPX Cash, although SP futures made its Low at the close of Friday 12/28L. The Time & Price Square due 12/28-29 and 1/1 Solar CIT worked its charm.

Here are some previous examples of Time & Price Squares:

4/2/12H-6/4/12L  = 155 SP's  

4/2/12H + 155 CD =09/04/12L  
6/4/12L + 155 CD = 11/06/12H


155 seems to vibrate in the markets:


5/2/11H + 155 CD = 10/4/11L

10/27/11H + 155 CD = 3/30/12H, 1 TD from the 4/2/12H


1/28/11L + 155 CD = 5/1/12H

A New Year's Poem
"Ring the bells that still can ring
Forget your perfect offering
There is a crack, a crack in everything
That's how the light gets in."


Leonard Cohen


Happy New Year!