Monday, July 9, 2018

Monday, July 2, 2018

The active dominant cycle: July 2 major swing Low.

Review: From the June 4th Raj T&C Weekend Email (One month ago): "There is a cluster of 6-7 fixed cycles all due end June/early July that should be a major High or Low"

Actual: The fixed cycles due end June/early July: the 80 CD Cycle, the 90 CD Cycle, the 95 CD Cycle, the 32-33 wk cycle, the 5 Month cycle and the 1308 CD Cycle are all due late June/early July should be a major swing Low based on the dominant active cycle shown below. Fixed cycles can expand and contract by a few days to a few weeks and are not exact, while an "active" cycle is a precise historic cycle as it is +/- 1 to 2 days max.

Review: From the June 23 Raj T&C Daily Email: "There is a possible active cycle (grey lines in chart), which is the current cycle bias, that suggests from 6/22H, we decline into 6/25L (1), rally into 6/27H (2) and decline into 7/2 swing Low (3)"

Actual: From 6/22H, we declined into 6/25L, rallied into 6/27H and we are now declining into 7/2 swing Lows, which makes the above active cycle the dominant cycle to watch.

What's Next: We should see a hard retest of the 6/28 Lows and ideally see lower Lows at today's projected July 2 major swing Low+/-2 and start a multi week rally phase. Bears beware.

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Friday, June 29, 2018

The 15 CD/10-11 TD pattern

We have had 3 rally phases since the 4/2 Low. The 1st two were followed by a 15 CD/10-11 TD decline and suggests the decline from 6/13H should last 15 C/11 TD into 6/28/18L+/-,which we have now seen. Will this be the Low?

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Thursday, June 21, 2018

Retest of Lows in the coming days

The projected 6/18L was the 1st hour 6/19L at the 55 TD Cycle & 6/18 Geo time CIT.
We touched upper down channel resistance yesterday and we are now declining off that High and remain firmly in the 5 min & hourly down channel.
We should see a retest of the Lows in the coming days.

Monday, June 18, 2018

June 18 Low

The 55 TD Cycle was due today Monday, 6/18.

The next Apex CIT was  due today, 6/18.

The next Geometric time CIT was also due today 6/18.

We have declined into 6/18 Geo Time CIT, 6/18 Apex CIT and 55 TD Cycle, suggesting a 6/18 short term Low is forming.

We remain in the large Pink channel since the 4/2 Low.

Tuesday, June 12, 2018

The 80-20% rule in the markets

The 80-20% rule is certainly in these markets (80% of the price move happens in the last 20% of time), but applies to most everything else in our lives.

Thursday, June 7, 2018

SP near pink channel resistance at the projected 6/7 High, will it hold?

SP near pink channel resistance at the projected 6/7 High, will it hold?

Wednesday, June 6, 2018

Raj Time and Cycles 6/6/18 Review & Forecast

In my last major Cycle update, I was looking for an 4/18-19 swing High

From 4/19 Daily Email: “From the 4/18-19H, we were looking for a 5 day sharp decline into 4/25L

Actual: We made an 4/18H and saw a 5 day relatively sharp 105 SP decline into 4/25L.

The dominant cycle (green Lines) then predicted a choppy rally, with an 4/30H, 5/1L, 5/3H-1, 5/4 swing Low, followed by another rally into 5/10H+2, which was the 5/14 swing High.

The dominant cycle recently had 7 hits: 5/15L, 5/17H, 5/21L (5/18L -1), 5/22H, 5/29L, rally into 5/30H at the 5/30 Geo CIT and another decline into 6/1 Low (5/31L-1).

What’s next: We are looking for a short term 6/7 High, followed by another decline into XXX and another rally afterwards.

Daytraders: Intraday Time and Cycle Forecast:

Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 6/06/18: 10.35-40, 12.35, 3.50, 4.15 pm Eastern


Intraday Cycle is the Pink lines(9.40H), 10.20L, 11.15H, 12.30L, 2.00H, 3.10L

Actual: 9.45H, 10.10L

Wednesday sees a possible 9.40 cycle High+/- , decline to a 10.20 cycle Low at the 10.35-40 time CIT, rally to a 11.15 cycle High+/-30, decline to a 12.30 cycle Low at the 12.35 time CIT, rally to a 2.00 cycle High+/-30 min, decline to a 3.10 cycle Low at the 3.50-4.15 pm time CIT.

Actual: We gapped higher to a 9.45H and made a 10.10 1st hour Low so far.

The intraday cycle sees a 1st hour Low, midday Low and last hour Low.

If the midday Low is lower than the 1st hour Low, it suggests a last hour lowest Low and Vice Versa.

Tomorrow’s intraday cycle is biased higher.

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Tuesday, May 15, 2018

5/14 Apex CIT High and 2.15-40 pm CITs

The most recent daily Apex CIT (Change in Trend) was on 5/14 at the 5/14H. The hourly Apex of the same, was on Friday 5/11 at the close. The actual swing High arrived a little more than 1 hour later on Monday 5/14 at 10.40 am. There are other future Apex Time CITs to watch.

The last 9 consecutive days saw an important CIT (Change in Trend) centered on 2.15-2.50 pm Eastern. 5 were High of Day (HOD) and 3 were a Low of day (LOD).

5/2 2.15HOD
5/3 2.45HOD
5/4 2.50HOD
5/7 2.40HOD
5/8 2.45LOD
5/9 2.15HOD
5/10 2.45L
5/11 2.15LOD
5/14 2.20LOD
5/15 2.15-50?

Wednesday, May 9, 2018

Short term Trends and the next daily Sun Jupiter 30 degrees

The last 5 consecutive days saw a CIT (Change in Trend) centered on 2.40-2.50 pm Eastern (red lines). The first 4 were High of Day (HOD) and yesterday was a Low of day (LOD).

5/2 2.15HOD
5/3 2.45HOD
5/4 2.50HOD
5/7 2.40HOD
5/8 2.45LOD

Will today be another 2.40-50 time CIT? 

In any case, there is 2683-84 SPX triple resistance above.

Meanwhile, we had another daily Sun Jupiter 30 degrees CIT on 5/8-9.

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Wednesday, May 2, 2018

3 Upcoming Apex CITs to watch

Within the large contracting triangle, we are in a smaller contracting (brown lines) triangle, with 2685 SPX, resistance and 2630 SPX support. A break out (large move) of the smaller triangle is imminent. (green lines is the active cycle).

The pink vertical lines are Apex CITs (Change in Trend) that has worked well in the past (see chart). There are 3 upcoming hourly Apex CITs to watch closely on 5/3, 5/8 and 5/11, suggesting the choppiness should continue for a while longer. The Daily Apex CITs falls on different dates, which gives daily time CITs.

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Thursday, April 26, 2018

Stuck in a large triangle the last 3 months

From the projected 4/18H, we declined a profitable 104.72 SPs into 4/25 Low so far.

We remain in a large red contracting triangle the last 3 months, with 2738 SPX resistance and 2566 SPX support, whichever way it breaks, will determine the next 350 SP direction.

Per request, here is the crude monthly chart. 

I look at crude in the weekend Updates, the chart is in a clear up channel, with resistance at 71.56. There is a possible Junction point f Trendlines CIT for the April Month.

Monthly crude bottomed at the 37 month cycle back in June 2017 Low, before that there was a large monthly Apex CIT at the Feb 2016 Lows/

Sunday, April 22, 2018

The Updated Bitcoin Cycle

I first discovered a  Bitcoin cycle shifted 40-41 CD to predict the SPX back  on 2/5/18.

My friend Georg from upon my request updated the Bitcoin Chart shifted +44. here are the results. The Updated Bitcoin Cycle supports the Master Cycle (MC) and the two other active Cycles suggesting an 4/18 major High. Please note the MC, which has precedent, has a different path than the Bitcoin cycle after some time.  

Saturday, April 14, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs BitCoin | shifted 44 Calendar Days

The correlation between Bitcoin prices shifted 44 Calendar Days into the future and the S&P 500 was discovered by Raj Time and Cycles (HERE + HERE). The correlation cycle is not perfect; it contracts and stretches ± 2 calendar days. Currently a 44 calendar day correlation points to a major high in the S&P 500 around April 17 (Tue).

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Thursday, April 19, 2018

The April 18-19 Time and Cycle Cluster swing High

Time Cluster 4/17-20 

1. 4/19 Geometric time CIT (Change in Trend)

2. 4/20 Solar Time CIT

3. Time Square CITs from 10/11/07H:
10/11/07  39.88^2=1590 TD = 2/6/14L
42.88^2=1838 TD = 1/30/15L+1
45.88 = 2105 TD = 2/23/16L+1
48.88 = 2389 TD = 4/17/18+1

Explanation in mathematical terms: 

Example: Time Square CITs from 10/11/07H: 10/11/07H  39.88^2=1590 TD = 2/6/14L

1. There are 1590 Trading Days (TD)  between 10/11/07H anf 2/06/14L
2. Take the Square root of 1590 = 39.88 (39.88 X 39.88 = 1590)
3. Increment that number by 3 to get the next number, 39.88 + 3 = 42.88
4. Re-square the new number: 42.88^2 = 42.88 X 42.88 = 1838.69 TD
5. Add that to the 10/11/07H + 1838.69 TD = 1/31/15 Low...

4. Time Squares CITs from 9/3/1929H +
55 Squared weeks = 8/25/87H
56 Squared weeks = 10/10/89H
57 Squared weeks = 12/10/91L+1
58 Squared weeks = 2/22/94H-2
59 Squared weeks = 5/21/96H+2
60 Squared weeks = 09/01/98L
61 Squared weeks = 12/26/00L-2
62 Squared weeks = 05/06/03 Miss
63 Squared weeks = 09/27/05+4
64 Squared weeks = 03/04/08H-4
65 squared weeks = 8/24/10L+2
66 squared weeks = 2/26/13L
67 squared weeks = 09/15/15H+2
68 Squared weeks = 4/17/18+1

Example Time Squares CITs from 9/3/1929H + 55 Squared weeks = 8/25/87H

Explanation: 55 Squared weeks = 55 X 55 x 7 CD = 21175 CD + 9/3/29H = 8/25/87H, etc.

So now you can calculate the next major CIT dates for yourself: 

69 Squared weeks + 9/3/29H = 12/01/2020

70 Squared weeks + 9/3/29H = 08/01/2023, etc.

Cycle Cluster 4/18-19

Besides the current Master Cycle (shown as the green lines on the chart), there are 2 other cycles topping out at 4/18-19H.

1. Cycle 1 is an exact Lunar Month Cycle that has several important hits: 

1. 2/09/18L+2 

2. 3/13/18H 
3. 4/02/18L+1 
4. 4/04/18L 
5. 4/18/18 swing High

2. Cycle 2 has the following hits: 

1. 3/13/18H+2 

2. 3/23/18L 
3. 4/06/18L 
4. 4/18-19 swing High

Conclusion: 4/18 was a swing High, Bulls Beware, you ain't seen nothing yet.

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