This is a stockmarket site for both swingtraders and intraday traders, trading the SP emini, ETFs, etc. Various unique Timing techniques and Cycles are researched. Precise Timing is everything. Both Intraday and daily Change in Trend (CIT) Times are calculated through several timing methods that are often exact or +/- 1 Day and the 5 min CITs are +/- 5-10 minutes for intraday times. Proprietary active & Master Cycles in the SP 500 markets are used to project future swing Highs and Lows.
Forecast from my last
public post on 10/24:“There is one 360 cycle that was similar to the current
market 7/16/07H=9/19/14H and 8/16/07L=10/15L. If we continue to
follow this cycle, we will see a sharp
rally to all time Highs (#3 on chart).”
markets unfolded as the above 360 Cycle predicted. From the 10/15L, which found
8/16/07L green parallel channel support, we rallied a whopping 210+ SP’s to fresh All time Highs into
11/7 right at the 10/11/07H green parallel channel resistance.
Forecast 10/24 Raj T&C Report: “We should rally
into 10/24H, decline 1-2 day into 10/27-28L, before we rally into 10/29-31 major Time and Cycle (T&C)
Actual: We made an 10/24 High, saw a 1 day pullback into
Monday 10/27 Low (Forecast #1 on chart) and rallied 73.09 SP’s to Monday 11/3 High (Forecast #2), 1 TD later.
Forecast 10/31 Raj T&C Weekend Report:“We have been straight
up (SU) since the 10/15 Lows into the 10/29-11/3 T&C Cluster, suggesting
a 10/31-11/3H, but in rare
occasions, such as these Straight Up markets these CIT clusters are ignored. The
bias now is we see a brief pullback into
Monday 11/3L and then chop around next week and make another 11/7-10 major higher All time High.”
Actual: We made a 11/3H,
1 TD later, saw a brief pullback into
11/4L, 1 TD later,(Forecast #3), and rallied another 30+
SP’s to fresh All time Highs into 11/7H so far. (Forecast #4).
We have a 11/7 Solar Time CIT (Change in Trend) and a 11/7
and 11/11 geometric CIT supporting this. There is a fixed 1336-37 CD Cycle due
on 11/11+/- as well. Furthermore, there are 2 important mathematical Time
Squares due on 11/7 and the other is on 11/11.
The mathematical Time
Square CIT (Change in Trend) due on 11/11+/-
On Friday evening, I posted on my public blog: "10/24 Evening Update: Monday and perhaps Tuesday 10/27-28 should be down days, before we head higher once again"
From this past weekend report:
"Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 10/27/14: 9.35, 11.05, 11.35, 1.25 pm CIT Eastern. Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines: 79/21% (9.40H), 10.20L, 11.40H, 68/32% 1.00L/H, 2.00H/L, 3.40L/H. Monday sees an Inversion with a possible 9.40 High +/- and a 79% chance we see a 10.20 Low at the 11.05 CIT, rally to a 11.40 High at the 11.35 CIT, then there is a 68% chance we see a last hour Low and a 32% chance we see a last hour High."
In my last public post, I was looking for a 9/26 CIT (Change
in Trend) Low. This CIT became the 9/25 swing High instead.
From 9/26 T&C
will see another rally into 10/3-6 Major
Time cluster CIT. The 10/3 CIT has 7
hits: 1. 10/3 Solar. 2. 10/4 Cycle CIT. 3. 4 Geometric CITs and 4. 10/4 is
the “end of the 9 days of Mother Divine CIT”.
From 9/30 T&C report:“There
is a potential “Mother Divine Crash Cycle that sees a 10/20 crash Low, but we
will address that potential-or not by the 10/3-6
cluster CIT High”
From 10/3 T&C report: “If we see an 10/3-6 High, we will see
another sharp decline into 10/10 Solar CIT”
Actual: We made an
10/6 major secondary High, right at the 10/3-6 major Time Cluster CIT and
declined sharply into 10/15 Low, which saw a volatile recovery after that. The
markets declined beyond my 10/10 Low date and bottomed before the 10/20 Low date, which was a miss in my work.
The 10/15L hit major long term 10/4/11L-11/16/12L channel
support at 1820.66 SPX.
From 10/15 T&C report: “Remember the 360 TD/75 week Cycle? There is one
360 cycle that was similar 7/16/07H=9/19/14H and 8/16/07L=10/18L”
Actual: This cycle bottomed
out on 10/15 Low, right at parallel channel support and saw a similar Time and
Price decline as the 7/16/07 High to the 8/16/07 Low and if we continue to follow
this cycle, we will see a sharp rally to all time Highs (3).
What’s next: The major
Low is in and we should rally into the next major Time and Cycle cluster CIT
and make another swing High.
10/24 Evening Update: Monday and perhaps Tuesday 10/27-28 should be down days, before we head higher once again.
from the 9/12 Daily Email: “We are looking for a 9/11-12 Low.From there we rally into 9/19 High. Afterwards we see a relative sharp decline into 9/26 Time Square, Cycle and Solar CIT
Actual: We made
a Monday 9/15 Low (1 on
chart), 1 TD later and saw a 40.78 SP rally into 9/19 All time Highs (2 on chart). We then saw a 53.27 SP sharp
decline into 9/25 Lows (3
Time Square of 9 Lows from 10/11/07 (Red lines on chart)
10/11/07 - 11/16/12L
= 1285 TD = 35.85^2 and 131.16 SP
decline in 63 CD
37.85^2 = 1433 TD = 06/24/13L and 126.85 SP decline in 33 CD
38.85 = 1509 TD = 10/10/13L-1 and 82.97 SP
decline in 20 CD
39.85 = 1588 TD = 02/04/14L+1 and 112.92
SP decline in 21 CD
40.85 = 1669 TD = 06/02/14L miss
41.85 = 1751 TD = 09/26/14 Low
are many who believe timing important Market Highs and Lows (Change in
Trends = CIT) is futile and impossible, but as we have shown in the past weeks and months,
pinpointing exact Highs and Lows is not only possible, it has been and can be done
on a consistent basis. The proprietary Solar, Geometric and Time Square
Time CIT's are precise mathematical tools.
next: We are looking for a 9/26 swing Low+/-1 Day at
the important Time Square CIT above and another rally into the next major swing
In my last 8/2 public post, I mentioned: “The Flash Crash Cycle is a fixed cycle that can expand or
contract and will have its misses (3 out of 10) and is due in August”
From my 8/2 Daily Email:“Short
term, the bias is 8/1 was a Low and we should see an oversold rally into 8/5
Highs at the 8/5 double Geo CIT, 8/5 Solar CIT and 8/5 Solar CIT High, before
we see a sharper decline intoMonday 8/11 Geo and Cycle CIT and rally into 8/15 Geo
CIT Option Expiration (OE) week High…The Flash Crash cycle gets triggered only below 1883 SPX”
From the 8/8 Email Update:“This week (Aug 4-8) is
the Week before Option Expiration week (WBOE) and should be an 8/8 Low, before we rally into OE crook’s
week at the 8/15-18 CIT. Swing traders should lower their stop to 1946 SPX and/or cover their shortsby
8/8, as OE crook's week is around the corner.”
Actual: We saw an 8/1
Low and a brief rally into 8/4 High at the 8/5 CIT. We declined into 8/7 Geo
CIT and Friday 8/8 Globex Low, 1 Trading Day before the 8/11 CIT. Swing traders shorts from
7/25 were covered for a good 50-60 SP profit on 8/8L and swingtraders who went long on 8/8-11 also booked a 25-40 SP profits as we rallied strongly into OE 8/15 week as expected and beyond. The
8/15-18 CIT was the 8/15 Low. The FC cycle never
got triggered as we didn’t get to the 1883 SPX Make or Break support.
From the 8/21 Email: “The 8/21 Long and short term double Geo CIT,
the 8/24 Solar CIT and 8/22-25 Time square is the next major CIT Cluster to
watch and should be an8/21-25 major High.”
Actual: We are
rallying into the 8/21-25 major Time
and Cycle Cluster CIT suggesting a major High is due soon.
We have rallied into the 361 TD FC Cycle (see chart) and into
the 8/21-25 major T&C Cluster suggesting
an important 8/21-25 major High forming, before a sharp decline starts. Also
the 30 week cycle due around this time: The 30 week cycle:
7/8/09L -212/30- 2/5/10L -207- 8/27/10L -201- 3/16/11L -202- 10/04/11L -210/30-
5/1/12H -210/30- 11/27/12L(-11) -210/30- 6/25/13L -210- 1/21/14-213 = 8/22/14+/-week.
8/21-25 is the next
major Time CIT Cluster to watch:
1. The Long Term Geometric CIT
since the 3/6/09 Low and a short term Geometric CIT is due on 8/21+/-1.
2. The next Solar CIT
is This weekend 8/24.
3. 8/22-25 is next major Time Square CIT from 10/11/07H.
Long term geometric CIT is due on Thursday 8/21***
Time Squares of Highs from
10/11/07 - 4/2/12 High = 1127 TD = 33.56 Squared
10/11/07 - 10/17/12 High = 1265 TD = 35.56^2
10/11/07 - 5/21/13 High = 1411 TD = 37.56^2
10/11/07 -12/31/13 High = 1566 TD =39.57^2
41.56 = 1727 TD =8/22/14 High next!
41.57 = 1728 TD =8/25/14
The last 3Time Squares from 10/11/07H has all beenmajor Highs (blue lines)
and the next one due on 8/22-25 and should also be a major High. If
correct, we will see a relative sharp decline as the last 3 declines averaged 120 SP’s into a major Low,
based on another Time square series from 10/11/07H that has all been major Lows (Red Lines on chart).
Please note as these public posts are an excerpt, they will
not include all the information needed. To trade these T&C clusters CIT, we
follow one simple rule: As all trends are up, swing traders should short only
when we see a clear reversal and close lower. Once the Highs are in, there will be plenty of time to get short and
always place a stop at those Highs.
Actual: We made a 7/24 major High and saw a sharp 75.02 SP decline into Friday's Lows.
The 5/6/10 mini Crash became known as the Flash Crash. I discovered this
cycle back in 2010, when the Flash Crash occurred, which is why I named it the
Flash crash cycle. This Cycle has been in the markets ever since the crash of
4/14/00 Low. I was amazed, when I first discovered this cycle to find it was a
perfect 360 Trading Days (TD) Cycle, like the 360 degrees of a Circle
(Cycle), it suggested that this fixed Cycle was found at major turning points.
The Flash Crash (FC) Cycle is a fixed 75 wk/525CD/360 TD (degree)
Cycle that is next due Mid to Late
Some of the 525 CD/75 week cycle Lows were major Panic Lows, like the
4/14/00 Low, 9/21/01 Panic Low and the 11/21/08 banking crisis Low, although some were not all that "flashy", like the 3/12/03 Low and
8/13/04 Low, but still they were major Lows. The Flash Crash cycle in details
04/14/00L - 09/21/01L = 525 CD = 75 weeks
= 2.618 X 200 CD = 523.6
04/14/00L - 03/12/03L = 1062 CD = 2.02 X 525 CD = 03/12/03
04/14/00L - 08/13/04L = 1582 CD = 3.01 X 525 CD = 08/13/04
04/14/00L - 11/21/08L = 3143 CD = 5.99 X 525 CD = 11/21/08
04/14/00L - 05/06/10L = 3674 CD = 7.00 X 525 CD = 05/06/10
04/14/00L - 10/14/11 = 4200 CD = 7.98 X 525 CD = 10/04/11L, Major Low. 04/14/00L -08/29/14 = 5250 CD = 10.00X 525 CD = 08/29/14
7 out of 10 FC Cycles saw 7%-26% (avg 12-14%) declines and most are in
03/24/00H - 04/14/00L was a 14% decline in 3 weeks
08/31/01H - 09/21/01L was a 20% decline in 3 weeks
01/31/13H - 03/12/03L was a 16% decline in 8 weeks
06/24/04H - 08/13/04L was a 7% decline in 7 weeks
11/04/08H - 11/21/08L was a 26% decline in 3 weeks
4/26/10H - 05/06/10L was a 12% decline in 3 weeks
9/16/11H - 10/04/11L was a 12% decline in 2 weeks
7 out of 10 (70%) of the Flash Crash 360 TD/75 week Cycles saw sharp 12-14%
declines, (3 did not see any decline) mostly in 2-3 weeks some time
in August 2014 Lows. Some were not "flashy", like the 3/12/03L
and 8/13/04L, but were still major Lows.
Perfect (exact) 360 TD (degrees) Harmonics all due in August 2014!
04/14/00L + 3600 TD (10 X 360 TD)= 08/11/14
09/21/01L + 3240 TD ( 9 X 360 TD) = 08/07/14
03/12/03L + 2880 TD (8 X 360 TD) = 08/20/14
08/13/04L + 2520 TD (7 X 360 TD) = 08/19/14
11/21/08L + 1440 TD (4 X 360 TD) = 08/15/14
05/06/10L + 1080 TD (3 X 360 TD) = 08/21/14
10/04/11L + 720 TD (2 X 360 TD) = 08/15/14
It is interesting that so many (7) 360 TD degree Harmonics are all
due in August 2014.
The Flash Crash Cycle is a fixed cycle that can expand or contract and will
have its misses (3), but if you study it carefully, when they do work, you'll
see some amazing accuracies in Trading Days (TD), that are off maximum 1-4 TD
variance from the 360 TD Cycle (Circle, degrees):
The best way to use this Flash Crash cycle is with other Time and Cycle
techniques and they are a few other reliable timing techniques to help pinpoint
the exact date for the Low, whether it crashes or not, the date for the low in August is already marked on my calendar.
Conclusion Flash Crash (FC) cycle: The next Flash Crash cycle is due
Mid to late August Lows. 7 out of 10 Flash Crash 360 TD Cycles saw sharp 12-14%
declines (3 of them were off or did not see any declines), mostly in 2-3
weeks some time in August 2014 Lows. Please note some were not
"flashy", like the 3/12/03L and 8/13/04L, but were still major
Lows.If the Flash Crash Cycle is active, we will
see a swift 2-3 week, minimum 7% to average 12% decline most likely into the August major Lows.
Forecast (1) from my
July 11 Report: “After the 7/10-11L, we rally into OE crook’s week into 7/16
Solar and Geometric CIT High of the week”
Actual: We made a July
10 Low and rallied 32.75 SP’s into a 7/16 High. From there we saw a sharp
Forecast (2) from the 7/19 weekend Report: “The bias has
shifted that the 7/16 CIT was the 7/17L and we will rally into the 7/24 double
Geometric CIT and the 70/140 TD and 270 TD Cycle due 7/22+/-wk. Any rally above
1986 SPX targets the 2000 SPX area.”
Actual: From the 7/17
Low, we rallied to All time Highs at 1991.39
SPX into 7/24 double Geometric CIT Highs.
There were 2 fixed cycles due
around this time (Fixed Cycles has a variance of a couple of days)
What’s next: We should
make a July 24-25 High that could stretch into Monday's July 28 Solar CIT and start a decline. We have a double long term monthly
SPX resistance (see chart above) for
July at the 2000 SPX area.
Forecast made on 7/1:We should see one last higher High by 7/2-3 at the 7/2 Geometric and Solar CIT and decline into 7/10-12 Lows. The 10 TD Hurst Cycle was 10 TD long at the 6/26L from the 6/12L and is
next due 7/11L+/-3, right at the reliable Time Square from 7/18/06L +
54^2 = 07/12/14. The 45 TD Hurst Cycle should then bottom at that time."
Actual: We made a 7/3 High and declined 32.73 SP's into 7/10 Lows, 9 TD from the 6/26L.
From 7/10 update: "Markets so far has declined into 7/10 in an ABC decline. We
are expecting a Low today, so it is time to TMAR (Take the money and run)."Globex has been down all night. Often, though not always, we see the Low of the day right near the Open or 1st half hour."
"Declines since the 4/11/14L has been maximum 30-40 SP in 2-4 TD. This
suggests max a 7/10L at 1945-55 SPX ."
Actual: Markets bottomed right at the Open on 7/10 in an ABC decline, in 4 TD and 32.73 SP's at 1952.86 SPX, right at the 1945-55 SPX target zone.
We have had 6 declines since the 4/11/14L that has ALL been
between 30-40 SP in 2-4 TD.
1. 4/22H - 4/28L = 34.28 SP in 4 TD
2. 5/02H - 5/07L = 31.54 SP in 3 TD
3. 5/13H - 5/15L = 39.81 SP in 2 TD
4. 6/09H - 6/12L = 29.77 SP in 3 TD
5. 6/24H - 6/26L = 23.48 SP in 2 TD
6. 7/03H –7/10L = 32.73 SP in 4 TD
It would be a Change in Trend, if we declined more than 4 TD and more than 40 SP's.
Time Squares from
7/18/06 Major Low have a long history of accuracy
The Squared Days from certain past Highs and Lows have
marked important future Highs and Lows. For example, 7/18/06L + 50 Squared CD =
50 X 50 = 2500 CD + 7/18/06L = 5/22/13H
26^2 = 05/24/08 -5 = 05/19/08 Major High27^2 = 07/16/08 -1 = 07/15/08 Major Low
28^2 = 09/09/08 -5 = 09/02/08 Major High29^2 = 11/05/08 -1 = 11/04/08 Major High
30^2 = 01/03/09+2 = 01/06/09 Major High31^2 = 03/05/09+1 = 03/06/09 Major Low
32^2 = 05/07/09+1 = 05/08/09 Major high33^2 = 07/11/09-3= 07/08/09 Major Low
Review: The 6/2
T&C Cluster CIT from my last public post was a minor 6/2 Low.
We didn’t see any reversal lower, so shorts were not
Forecast from the
June 7 weekend report: “Odds are good we will see higher highs Monday, 6/9. A
couple of arguments for a 6/6-9 swing
High: 1. Fibo: 10/11/07H-4/26/10H= 928 X 2.618 = 2430 CD +10/11/07H = 6/6/14. 2. The 423 hourly Cycle is due
near the close 6/6 to open 6/9. 3. Mercury goes Retrograde on 6/7, often a CIT.
From this 6/6-9High, we should see a brief sharp decline into 6/11 Solar CIT. We expect a decent pullback of at least 30 SP’s (1930 SPX) to even 50+ SP’s to
the 1900 SPX+/-10 area, before we bottom.”
Actual:We made a 6/9
swing High and saw a 30 SP decline into 6/12
Solar CIT Low of the week, before the rally into Option Expiration week.
Forecast from the June 19 report:“The 6/22 Solar CIT (change
in Trend) is biased to be a 6/23 High
andtargets major Long term channel
resistance at 1966-68 SPX.”
Actual: We rallied
into Monday 6/23 High, with an intraday Friday High of 1963.91 SPX so far.
The 35 week cycle has produced major Highs and Lows in the last 5 years: 3/6/09L-35 week-
6/23/14+/-. The 333 TD or 69 wk cycle is double the 35 wk cycle and
suggests a major CIT around 6/23/14+/- week.
What’s next: We make a
6/23 swing High. As all trends are up, we need a clear reversal lower no later than tomorrow to
confirm this. We will then decline into my next upcoming Time Square, Geometric and Solar CIT major Cluster.
6/25 Update: "As all trends are up, we need a clear reversal lower no later than tomorrow (6/24) to confirm this"
We finally saw a nice reversal lower yesterday, confirming a short term High is in. We need to see a follow through decline to get a larger decline going.
Review: In my
last post, I was looking for a 5/22-23 High, based on the 5/22 Solar Time CIT
(Change in Trend), but as soon as we rallied beyond 5/23, we knew right away,
it was a rare miss as Solar CIT’s are maximum +/- 1 Trading Day (TD). Solar
CITs have an unusual high 85-90% accuracy, but at times they have 10-15%
The next major Time and Cycle (T&C) cluster is 5/30-6/3, centered on Monday 6/2, which is 1 TD from the
Friday 5/30 Geo CITs, Sunday 6/1 is Solar CIT, 6/2 is a Time Square CIT (see
below) and 6/3 Calendar to Trading Days CIT.
The 35 TD +/-1 Cycle (click on chart to enlarge) is due on 6/3+/-1:
8/2/13H-9/19H-11/13L-12/31H-2/20/14L-4/11/14L-6/03/14H+/-.There is a 207 TD Bank Cycle due on 6/2 +/-.
There is also an hourly time CIT focused on the 1st hour of Monday 6/2.
Squares in Trading days CITs
The squares in Trading Days CIT is a Square of 9 timing
technique that gives very
precise Change in Trends (CIT), all dates are +/-1 TD.
Red Lines are Square of 9 mostly Lows from
10/11/07H, the most recent one is 6/2 and should be a High.
1. 10/11/07H - 11/16/12L = 1285 Trading Days (TD),
take the Square root of 1285 and
you get: 35.85^2 (35.85 squared)
Now increment that number by 1 or 2 each time and re square
to get future CITs:
Forecast from last
May 17-18 weekend: “The 5/16 Geo CIT was most likely the 5/15L and we are now
headed higher into the 5/22 Solar CIT, where we could retest the previous 5/13
ATH, but remain in the 4 week channel”
Actual: From the 5/15
Low, we rallied 34 SP’s into 5/22 High at 1896.33 SPX, retesting the 5/13 All
time High at 1902.17 SPX.
A few days down, followed by a few days Up, this has been
the non trending nature of the market for the last 5 weeks, frustrating Bull
and Bear alike and making it relatively difficult to trade for many. We remain
in this 5 week trading channel, with channel resistance at 1905 SPX and channel
support at 1868 SPX channel support. All trends are up, but whichever way it breaks this 5 week
channel will determine the next major trending direction.
What’s next:Swing Traders: We make a May 22-23 swing High
and start a decline soon after into the next major swing Low at the next Solar
and Geometirc Time and Cycle cluster.
Intraday traders: Intraday 5 min SPX Change in Trend (Highs
or Lows) Times to watch for Friday 05/23/14: 10.40, 11.05, 12.15, 12.40 pm Eastern.