Monday, June 24, 2019

6/21-24 Time and Cycle Cluster High


In our last public 6/3 post, we were looking for a 6/3 Time and Cycle (T&C) Cluster Low. The 2 hourly time CITs (pink vertical Lines), one on 6/3 and the other on 6/12 were both Lows. The 6/21 G9 CIT (green vertical Line) suggests a 6/21 High.



We have also rallied into the next 6/21-24 Time and Cycle Cluster, suggesting a 6/21-24 swing High is being made.


6/21-24 T&C Cluster

Time CITs:
6/19: Long term Geometric 6/19+/-3
6/22 Solar
6/25 Geometric

Cycle CIT:



94 TD Cycle is due 6/21/19H+/-2. The dominant 94 TD Cycle has been off at most 2-3 Days and was next due 6/21/19H+/-2.

1666 CD Cycle: 3/22/01 Panic Lows - 10/13/05 swing Low - 5/6/10 Flash Crash Low -11/27/14 (minor High(-2) - 6/20/19+/-2

What's next: We make a 6/21-24 High and start a decline. There are several T&C Clusters in July and August that should be very interesting to watch.

Wednesday, June 5, 2019

The power of the hourly time CITs

Before: We had a Monday 6/3  hourly time at 2.55 pm Eastern CIT (Change in Trend, pink vertical Line) that was predicted to be the 6/3 cycle Low.

After: We bottomed right at the hourly time CIT and have since reversed sharply almost 100 SP's higher in the last 2 days alone and has more to go. 
The next hourly time CIT is shown in the chart above.



6/7 Update:



The markets have been Straight Up the last 4 days and rallied a whopping 142.13 SP's since the 6/3 hourly time CIT Low.

Monday, June 3, 2019

6/3 Time and Cycle Cluster Low

From our public Post: "From the predicted 5/1-3 major multi week & month High and the forecasted decline into 5/13-15 Lows, we then predicted a 5/21 lower High. From there we would decline into the next Time and Cycle Cluster Low"

From 5/24 Daily Email: "The markets broke decisively below the contracting triangle. If wave C = wave A = 2739.50 SPX. The triangle is also projecting to 2740 SPX area. "

The next Time and Cycle cluster Low was the 5/29-6/3 Low:

Time CITs:

5/29 Geometric time CIT
6/1 Weekend Solar time CIT
6/3 Geometric time CIT

Cycle CITs:


The 168 TD or 35 week Cycle has been off max 2-3 TD and supports a decline into 5/31-6/3 Lows.



What's Next: Ideally we bottom at the 6/3 Low at the T&C Cluster Low and start a rally phase into the next T&C Cluster High. The 2740 SPX triangle Target was also achieved today, right at the 1.50-2.55 hourly time CIT today.



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Wednesday, May 29, 2019

Trapdoor to Hell

Daily cycles are still pointing lower, taking out the 5/13 Low at 2801 SPX, opens up the Trapdoor to Hell.

Tuesday, May 28, 2019

Forecast vs Actual 5 min intraday SPX

Forecast Vs actual 5 min intraday SPX



Tomorrow sees a 1st hour High, midday High and last hour High

Thursday, May 23, 2019

Review of various Time and Cycles

The 5/1 triple Top was a T&C Cluster High that should be the swing High for a number of weeks and months.

Next was the 5/13-15 T&C Cluster Low (A on chart), which held the 50 DMA and the pink triple Top turned support. 

Time CITs: 
5/15 Quadruple Geo Time CIT

Cycle CITs:
5/14: 47 CD Cycle: 9/21/18H -47-11/7/18H -49-12/26/18L -47-2/09/19L -45-3/28/19L-47- 5/13L

5/15: 94 TD/20 wk Cycle: 6/29/17L-96-11/14/17L-92-4/2/18L-95-8/15/18L-91-12/26/18LL-92-5/13L


From our 5/17 T&C Daily Email: "The current bias is 5/15 triple CIT was the 5/15L gap Low Open retest Low and we rally into 5/21-22H at the 5/21 Solar and 5/22 Geo Time CIT. From there we decline into XXX"

Actual: Since the 5/13-15 Low, we have seen a choppy contracting triangle B wave rallying into our projected 5/21-22 solar and Geometric CIT Highs (B on chart).

What's next: We start another sharp decline into our next T&C Cluster Low.



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Thursday, May 9, 2019

Next Time & Cycle Cluster is coming

My last Time and Cycle cluster was the 5/1-3 major High

We mentioned that once we broke below the 4-5 week compressed mini up channel, we would see a sharp and fast decline, which we are seeing right now. 

My next Time and cycle cluster should be a mini crash Low. Are you ready to rock and roll?

Thursday, May 2, 2019

Tuesday, April 30, 2019

Time & Cycle cluster: 4/30-5/3


For a number of weeks now, I have had 4/30-5/3 as a Time & Cycle Cluster, where I was expecting a swing Low to be made. However, we have been in a relative narrow compressed channel & trading range these last 4 weeks.  


In these "Stuck Up" markets the last 4 weeks, the normal Time and Cycles gets ignored, so we will have to see if we are seeing a swing Low or a High in this time period.

Time: 

4/30: Saturn Retro 4/29-30
4/30: Solar Time CIT: 4/30
5/2: 9 Days of MD Cycle: 5/2/19
5/3: Apex of the rising wedge due 5/3


5/3:4661 TD 
07/19/99H +4661= 01/26/18H
10/18/99L +4664= 05/03/18L
03/24/00H +4660=10/03/18H
04/14/00L +4663= 10/29/18L
05/24/00L +4659= 12/03/18H
09/01/00H +4661= 03/21/18H
10/18/00L +4660= 05/03/19


Cycles: The 77 TD,136 TD, 316-17 TD/461 CD cycles and 96 weeks/672 CD Cycle  are all due end April to early May.


77-78 TD Cycle: 11/4/16L-78-3/1/17H-76-6/19/17H-2X76-1/26/18H-80-5/22/18H-75-9/07/18L-75-12/26/18LL-80-4/29/18

136 TD Cycle: 4/29/18

461 CD/317 TD Cycle: 7/1/10L -460-10/4/11L-454-12/31/12L-466-4/11/14L-465-7/20/15H-473-11/4/16L-448-1/26/18H-461-4/30-5/3/19

96 wks/ 672 CD/ 463 TD cycle of Lows: 4/14/97L-3X668- 10/10/02L-672-8/13/04L-670-6/14/06L-2X676- 2/25/10L-12/19/11L- 2 X 672 = 8/24/15L-6/26/17L+34/29/19



Conclusion: 4/30-5/3 Time and Cycle Cluster, should be an important Change in Trend.



Sunday, April 28, 2019

SPX and US Dollar in compressed channels

SPX has been a narrow compressed sideways to Up channel for more than a month now.



Everyone is talking about the recent US Dollar Breakout, but it remains in a long term channel and right at channel resistance.

Wednesday, April 17, 2019

and the beat goes on..

and the beat goes on. Shorter term, we could sell channel resistance and buy channel support until the channel breaks.

Monday, April 15, 2019

Stuck in a narrow compressed Up channel the last 2 weeks

Stuck in a narrow compressed Up channel the last 2 weeks, once it breaks, it should be relatively sharp and fast.

Tuesday, April 2, 2019

The Master Cycle Update: 4/2-3 High

In my last post, I was looking for a 3/4 swing High

From 3/4 Raj T&C Daily Email: I found a possible Master Cycle (MC) that forecasted the:

1. 09/21/18H
2. 10/29/18L
3. 11/07/18H
4. 12/03/18H
5. 12/26/18 major Low.

It is now suggesting a 3/05 swing High, followed by a decline into 3/11L, up into 3/14-15H, 3/19L, 3/21H. I don’t expect this cycle to follow perfectly all the details, as it has been off at times by 1-2 TD, but it should generally be in there."

Actual: 
1. 3/05H => 3/4 short term swing High, 1 TD earlier
2. 3/11L => 3/8 Low, 1 TD earlier
3.3/14-15H =>  Miss
4. 3/19L => 3/20L, 1 TD earlier
5. 3/21H => 3/21 High.

From the above we see that although the MC is not perfect as it had 1 miss, the cycle is still "active" with future hits +/-2. The MC is a time Cycle that doesn't predict Price Magnitude.


From 3/21 & 3/27 Raj T&C Daily Email: "The MC suggests a 3/21H, decline into 3/27L, rally into 4/2 swing High"

Actual:
6. 3/27L => 3/25L, 2 TD earlier, 3/27 retest Low
7. 4/2H => We are currently rallying into 4/2H


There is a 16 TD, 66 TD and 25 TD fixed cycle supporting an 4/3-5 CIT as well.

Conclusion and what's Next: The Master Cycle has had some misses and is not perfect, but it remains in the markets with "active" hits +/-1-2 TD and is now suggesting an 4/2 swing High+/-2 at the 4/2 Geometric Time CIT, 4/4-5 Time Square CIT and 16, 25 and 66 TD Cycles due 4/3-5.



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