Monday, October 27, 2014

Monday 10/27 Intraday Times and Cycles

 On Friday evening, I posted on my public blog:
"10/24 Evening Update: Monday and perhaps Tuesday 10/27-28 should be down days, before we head higher once again"

From this past weekend report:

"Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 10/27/14: 9.35, 11.05, 11.35, 1.25 pm CIT Eastern.
Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines: 79/21% (9.40H), 10.20L, 11.40H, 68/32% 1.00L/H, 2.00H/L, 3.40L/H. Monday sees an Inversion with a possible 9.40 High +/- and a 79% chance we see a 10.20 Low at the 11.05 CIT, rally to a 11.40 High at the 11.35 CIT, then there is a 68% chance we see a last hour Low and a 32% chance we see a last hour High."


Forecast: "Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 10/27/14: 9.35, 11.05, 11.35, 1.25 pm CIT Eastern."

Actual: 9.35 High, 11.11 High, 11.35 High, 1.25 High.
 


Forecast "Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines: 79/21% (9.40H), 10.20L, 11.40H, 68/32% 1.00L/H, 2.00H/L, 3.40L/H."

Actual: 10.05L, 11.15H, 11.35H

We saw a 10.05 1st hour Low and a midday High as expected.

We now have a good 68% chance we see a last hour Low and a 32% chance we invert to a last hour High. 

If we see a last hour Low, then tomorrow sees a High am to Low pm day. 

If we see a last hour High, then tomorrow sees a Low am to High pm day.
   

Friday, October 24, 2014

Raj Time and Cycle Review and Forecast October 24 2014

http://www.safehaven.com/article/35565/raj-time-and-cycle-review-and-forecast-october-24-2014

In my last public post, I was looking for a 9/26 CIT (Change in Trend) Low. This CIT became the 9/25 swing High instead.

From 9/26 T&C report: “We will see another rally into 10/3-6 Major Time cluster CIT. The 10/3 CIT has 7 hits: 1. 10/3 Solar. 2. 10/4 Cycle CIT. 3. 4 Geometric CITs and 4. 10/4 is the “end of the 9 days of Mother Divine CIT”.

From 9/30 T&C report: “There is a potential “Mother Divine Crash Cycle that sees a 10/20 crash Low, but we will address that potential-or not by the 10/3-6 cluster CIT High”

From 10/3 T&C report: “If we see an 10/3-6 High, we will see another sharp decline into 10/10 Solar CIT”

Actual: We made an 10/6 major secondary High, right at the 10/3-6 major Time Cluster CIT and declined sharply into 10/15 Low, which  saw a volatile recovery after that. The markets declined beyond my 10/10 Low date and bottomed before the 10/20 Low date, which was a miss in my work.


The 10/15L hit major long term 10/4/11L-11/16/12L channel support at 1820.66 SPX.

From 10/15 T&C report: Remember the 360 TD/75 week Cycle? There is one 360 cycle that was similar 7/16/07H=9/19/14H and 8/16/07L=10/18L” 


Actual: This cycle bottomed out on 10/15 Low, right at parallel channel support and saw a similar Time and Price decline as the 7/16/07 High to the 8/16/07 Low and if we continue to follow this cycle, we will see a sharp rally to all time Highs (3).



What’s next: The major Low is in and we should rally into the next major Time and Cycle cluster CIT and make another swing High.

10/24 Evening Update: Monday and perhaps Tuesday 10/27-28 should be down days, before we head higher once again.

Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Gold at major Long term support

I have Gold at major Long term trend line support since April 2001 Lows.


We are in the dark days window of the stock market, be careful out there.

Friday, September 26, 2014

Raj Time and Cycle Review and Forecast Sep 26, 2014

http://www.safehaven.com/article/35256/raj-time-and-cycle-review-and-forecast-sep-26-2014


In my last public post, I was looking for an 9/11-12 Low. http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2014/09/raj-time-and-cycle-review-and-forecast_11.html

 

Forecast from the 9/12 Daily Email: “We are looking for a 9/11-12 Low. From there we rally into 9/19 High. Afterwards we see a relative sharp decline into 9/26 Time Square, Cycle and Solar CIT Low.”

 

 

Actual: We made a Monday 9/15 Low (1 on chart), 1 TD later and saw a 40.78 SP rally into 9/19 All time Highs (2 on chart). We then saw a 53.27 SP sharp decline into 9/25 Lows (3 on chart). 

 


Time Square of 9 Lows from 10/11/07 (Red lines on chart)
10/11/07 - 11/16/12L = 1285 TD = 35.85^2 and 131.16 SP decline in 63 CD
37.85^2 = 1433 TD = 06/24/13L and 126.85 SP decline in 33 CD
38.85     = 1509 TD = 10/10/13L-1 and 82.97 SP decline in 20 CD
39.85    = 1588 TD = 02/04/14L+1 and 112.92 SP decline in 21 CD
40.85    = 1669 TD = 06/02/14L miss
41.85    = 1751 TD = 09/26/14 Low

There are many who believe timing important Market Highs and Lows (Change in Trends = CIT) is futile and impossible, but as we have shown in the past weeks and months, pinpointing exact Highs and Lows is not only possible, it has been and can be done on a consistent basis. The proprietary Solar, Geometric and Time Square Time CIT's are precise mathematical tools.

 

What’s next: We are looking for a 9/26 swing Low+/-1 Day at the important Time Square CIT above and another rally into the next major swing High.

Thursday, September 11, 2014

Raj Time and Cycle Review and Forecast Sep 11, 2014


http://www.safehaven.com/article/35101/raj-time-and-cycle-review-and-forecast-sep-11-2014

 

In my last public post, I was looking for an 8/22-25 High. http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2014/08/raj-time-and-cycle-review-and-forecast.html

 

Forecast from the 8/22 Daily Email: From the 8/22-25 High, we see a decline into 8/29 swing Low and then another rally into 9/5 swing High.

 

Actual: We made an 8/26 High (1 on chart) and saw a brief 14.52 SP decline into 8/28 Low (2 on chart). We then saw a 20.65 SP rally into 9/4 All time High (3 on chart).

 

Forecast from the 8/28 Daily Email: From the 9/5 swing High, we decline into a  9/11 swing Low.

 

Actual: From the 9/4 swing High, we declined 28.18 SP’s into 9/10 Low (4 on chart) so far.

 

What’s next: We are looking for a 9/11 Low+/-1 Day and another rally into the next swing High. This should be followed by a very sharp decline into the next major swing Low.

Friday, August 22, 2014

Raj Time and Cycle Review and Forecast

http://www.safehaven.com/article/34902/raj-time-and-cycle-review-and-forecast


In my last 8/2 public post, I mentioned: “The Flash Crash Cycle is a fixed cycle that can expand or contract and will have its misses (3 out of 10) and is due in August”

From my 8/2 Daily Email: “Short term, the bias is 8/1 was a Low and we should see an oversold rally into 8/5 Highs at the 8/5 double Geo CIT, 8/5 Solar CIT and 8/5 Solar CIT High, before we see a sharper decline into Monday 8/11 Geo and Cycle CIT and rally into 8/15 Geo CIT Option Expiration (OE) week High…The Flash Crash cycle gets triggered only below 1883 SPX”

From the 8/8 Email Update: “This week (Aug 4-8) is the Week before Option Expiration week (WBOE) and should be an 8/8 Low, before we rally into OE crook’s week at the 8/15-18 CIT. Swing traders should lower their stop to 1946 SPX and/or cover their shorts by 8/8, as OE crook's week is around the corner.”
Actual: We saw an 8/1 Low and a brief rally into 8/4 High at the 8/5 CIT. We declined into 8/7 Geo CIT and Friday 8/8 Globex Low, 1 Trading Day before the 8/11 CIT. Swing traders shorts from 7/25 were covered for a good 50-60 SP profit on 8/8L and swingtraders who went long on 8/8-11 also booked a 25-40 SP profits as we rallied strongly into OE 8/15 week as expected and beyond. The 8/15-18 CIT was the 8/15 Low. The FC cycle never got triggered as we didn’t get to the 1883 SPX Make or Break support.

What’s next: 

From the 8/21 Email: The 8/21 Long and short term double Geo CIT, the 8/24 Solar CIT and 8/22-25 Time square is the next major CIT Cluster to watch and should be an  8/21-25 major High.”
Actual: We are rallying into the 8/21-25 major Time and Cycle Cluster CIT suggesting a major High is due soon.


We have rallied into the 361 TD FC Cycle (see chart) and into the 8/21-25 major T&C Cluster suggesting an important 8/21-25 major High forming, before a sharp decline starts. Also the 30 week cycle due around this time:  The 30 week cycle: 7/8/09L -212/30- 2/5/10L -207- 8/27/10L -201- 3/16/11L -202- 10/04/11L -210/30- 5/1/12H -210/30- 11/27/12L(-11) -210/30- 6/25/13L -210- 1/21/14-213 = 8/22/14+/-week.

8/21-25 is the next major Time CIT Cluster to watch:
1. The Long Term Geometric CIT since the 3/6/09 Low and a short term Geometric CIT is due on 8/21+/-1.
2. The next Solar CIT is This weekend 8/24.
3. 8/22-25 is next major Time Square CIT from 10/11/07H.

Long term geometric CIT is due on Thursday 8/21***

Time Squares of Highs from 10/11/07
10/11/07 - 4/2/12 High =  1127 TD = 33.56 Squared
10/11/07 - 10/17/12 High = 1265 TD = 35.56^2
10/11/07 - 5/21/13 High = 1411 TD = 37.56^2
10/11/07 -12/31/13 High = 1566 TD =39.57^2
41.56 = 1727 TD = 8/22/14 High next!
41.57 = 1728 TD = 8/25/14

The last 3 Time Squares from 10/11/07H has all been major Highs (blue lines) and the next one due on 8/22-25 and should also be a major High. If correct, we will see a relative sharp decline as the last 3 declines averaged 120 SP’s into a major Low, based on another Time square series from 10/11/07H that has all been major Lows (Red Lines on chart).

Please note as these public posts are an excerpt, they will not include all the information needed. To trade these T&C clusters CIT, we follow one simple rule: As all trends are up, swing traders should short only when we see a clear reversal and close lower. Once the Highs are in, there will be plenty of time to get short and always place a stop at those Highs.

Saturday, August 2, 2014

The Flash Crash Cycle is due in August 2014

http://www.safehaven.com/article/34713/the-flash-crash-cycle-is-due-in-august-2014

In my last post, I was looking for a 7/24-25 High. http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2014/07/raj-time-and-cycle-review-and-forecast.html

Actual: We made a 7/24 major High and saw a sharp 75.02 SP decline into Friday's Lows.


The 5/6/10 mini Crash became known as the Flash Crash. I discovered this cycle back in 2010, when the Flash Crash occurred, which is why I named it the Flash crash cycle. This Cycle has been in the markets ever since the crash of 4/14/00 Low. I was amazed, when I first discovered this cycle to find it was a perfect 360 Trading Days (TD) Cycle, like the 360 degrees of a Circle (Cycle), it suggested that this fixed Cycle was found at major turning points.

The Flash Crash (FC) Cycle is a fixed 75 wk/525CD/360 TD (degree) Cycle that is next due Mid to Late August 2014.



04/14/00L -358- 9/21/01L - 369/77- 3/12/03L -359 - 8/13/04L- 1078 (3X 360
=1080) - 11/21/08L-356-4/26/10H-364-10/4/11L-720-8/15/14+/-

Some of the 525 CD/75 week cycle Lows were major Panic Lows, like the 4/14/00 Low, 9/21/01 Panic Low and the 11/21/08 banking crisis Low, although some were not all that "flashy", like the 3/12/03 Low and 8/13/04 Low, but still they were major Lows.
The Flash Crash cycle in details
04/14/00L - 09/21/01L = 525 CD = 75 weeks = 2.618 X 200 CD = 523.6
04/14/00L - 03/12/03L = 1062 CD = 2.02 X 525 CD = 03/12/03 Major Low
04/14/00L - 08/13/04L = 1582 CD = 3.01 X 525 CD = 08/13/04 Major Low
04/14/00L - 11/21/08L = 3143 CD = 5.99 X 525 CD = 11/21/08 Major Low,
04/14/00L - 05/06/10L = 3674 CD = 7.00 X 525 CD = 05/06/10 flash Crash,
04/14/00L - 10/14/11 = 4200 CD = 7.98 X 525 CD = 10/04/11L, Major Low.
04/14/00L -08/29/14 = 5250 CD = 10.00X 525 CD = 08/29/14 +/-

7 out of 10 FC Cycles saw 7%-26% (avg 12-14%) declines and most are in 2-3 wks
03/24/00H - 04/14/00L was a 14% decline in 3 weeks
08/31/01H - 09/21/01L was a 20% decline in 3 weeks
01/31/13H - 03/12/03L was a 16% decline in 8 weeks
06/24/04H - 08/13/04L was a 7% decline in 7 weeks
11/04/08H - 11/21/08L was a 26% decline in 3 weeks
4/26/10H - 05/06/10L was a 12% decline in 3 weeks
9/16/11H - 10/04/11L was a 12% decline in 2 weeks

7 out of 10 (70%) of the Flash Crash 360 TD/75 week Cycles saw sharp 12-14% declines, (3 did not see any decline) mostly in 2-3 weeks some time in August 2014 Lows. Some were not "flashy", like the 3/12/03L and 8/13/04L, but were still major Lows.

Perfect (exact) 360 TD (degrees) Harmonics all due in August 2014!
04/14/00L + 3600 TD (10 X 360 TD)= 08/11/14
09/21/01L + 3240 TD ( 9 X 360 TD) = 08/07/14
03/12/03L + 2880 TD (8 X 360 TD) = 08/20/14
08/13/04L + 2520 TD (7 X 360 TD) = 08/19/14
11/21/08L + 1440 TD (4 X 360 TD) = 08/15/14
05/06/10L + 1080 TD (3 X 360 TD) = 08/21/14
10/04/11L +  720 TD (2 X 360 TD) = 08/15/14

It is interesting that so many (7) 360 TD degree Harmonics are all due in August 2014.

The Flash Crash Cycle is a fixed cycle that can expand or contract and will have its misses (3), but if you study it carefully, when they do work, you'll see some amazing accuracies in Trading Days (TD), that are off maximum 1-4 TD variance from the 360 TD Cycle (Circle, degrees):

1. 04/14/00L - 358 TD- 09/21/01L, +2 TD = 360
2. 03/12/03L - 359 TD- 08/13/04L, +1 TD = 360
3. 08/13/04L -1078 TD-11/21/08L, +2 TD = 360 X 3
4. 11/21/08L - 364 TD -05/06/10L, +4 TD = 360
5. 05/06/10L - 356 TD -10/04/11L, -4 TD = 360
6. 11/21/08L - 720 TD - 10/04/11L, -0 TD = 360 X 2
7. 08/16/07L - 723 TD - 07/01/10L, -3 TD = 360 X 2

The best way to use this Flash Crash cycle is with other Time and Cycle techniques and they are a few other reliable timing techniques to help pinpoint the exact date for the Low, whether it crashes or not, the date for the low in August is already marked on my calendar.

Conclusion Flash Crash (FC) cycle: The next Flash Crash cycle is due Mid to late August Lows. 7 out of 10 Flash Crash 360 TD Cycles saw sharp 12-14% declines (3 of them were off or did not see any declines), mostly in 2-3 weeks some time in August 2014 Lows. Please note some were not "flashy", like the 3/12/03L and 8/13/04L, but were still major Lows.  If the Flash Crash Cycle is active, we will see a swift 2-3 week, minimum 7% to average 12% decline most likely into the August major Lows.

Friday, July 25, 2014

Raj Time and Cycle Review and Forecast

http://www.safehaven.com/article/34629/raj-time-and-cycle-review-and-forecast


In my last public post, I was looking for a 7/10-11 Low. http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2014/07/forecasted-73-high-decline-into-710-11.html

Forecast (1) from my July 11 Report: “After the 7/10-11L, we rally into OE crook’s week into 7/16 Solar and Geometric CIT High of the week”

Actual: We made a July 10 Low and rallied 32.75 SP’s into a 7/16 High. From there we saw a sharp decline afterwards.


Forecast (2) from the 7/19 weekend Report: The bias has shifted that the 7/16 CIT was the 7/17L and we will rally into the 7/24 double Geometric CIT and the 70/140 TD and 270 TD Cycle due 7/22+/-wk. Any rally above 1986 SPX targets the 2000 SPX area.”

Actual: From the 7/17 Low, we rallied to All time Highs at 1991.39 SPX into 7/24 double Geometric CIT Highs.

There were 2 fixed cycles due around this time (Fixed Cycles has a variance of a couple of days)

1. The 70/140 Trading Day (TD) Cycle: 2/5/10L, 8/27/10L, 3/18/11L(-2), 10/6/11L(-2), 4/27/12H(+2)-138 TD- 70 TD: 11/16/12L, 3/1/13L, 6/10/13, 9/19/13H, 12/31/13H-4/11/14L-7/24/14H.

2. 270 TD Cycle: 3/6/09L -542 TD - (2X271)-5/02/11H-275-6/4/12L-264-6/24/13L-271- 7/24/14H.



What’s next: We should make a July 24-25 High that could stretch into Monday's July 28 Solar CIT and start a decline. We have a double long term monthly SPX resistance (see chart above) for July at the 2000 SPX area.

Friday, July 11, 2014

Forecasted: 7/3 High, decline into 7/10-11 Low

http://www.safehaven.com/article/34486/raj-time-and-cycles-july-2014-review-and-forecast

Forecast made on 7/1: We should see one last higher High by 7/2-3 at the 7/2 Geometric and Solar CIT and decline into 7/10-12 Lows. The 10 TD Hurst Cycle was 10 TD long at the 6/26L from the 6/12L and is next due 7/11L+/-3, right at the reliable Time Square from 7/18/06L + 54^2 = 07/12/14. The 45 TD Hurst Cycle should then bottom at that time."

Actual: We made a 7/3 High and declined 32.73 SP's into 7/10 Lows, 9 TD from the 6/26L.

From 7/10 update:  "Markets so far has declined into 7/10 in an ABC decline. We are expecting a Low today, so it is time to TMAR (Take the money and run). "Globex has been down all night. Often, though not always, we see the Low of the day right near the Open or 1st half hour."

"Declines since the 4/11/14L has been maximum 30-40 SP in 2-4 TD. This suggests max a 7/10L at 1945-55 SPX ."

Actual: Markets bottomed right at the Open on 7/10 in an ABC decline, in 4 TD and 32.73 SP's at 1952.86 SPX, right at the 1945-55 SPX target zone.


We have had 6 declines since the 4/11/14L that has ALL been between 30-40 SP in 2-4 TD.
1. 4/22H - 4/28L = 34.28 SP in 4 TD
2. 5/02H - 5/07L = 31.54 SP in 3 TD
3. 5/13H - 5/15L = 39.81 SP in 2 TD
4. 6/09H - 6/12L = 29.77 SP in 3 TD
5. 6/24H - 6/26L = 23.48 SP in 2 TD
6. 7/03H –7/10L = 32.73 SP in 4 TD

It would be a Change in Trend, if we declined more than 4 TD and more than 40 SP's.

Time Squares from 7/18/06 Major Low have a long history of accuracy
The Squared Days from certain past Highs and Lows have marked important future Highs and Lows. For example, 7/18/06L + 50 Squared CD = 50 X 50 = 2500 CD + 7/18/06L = 5/22/13H

26^2 = 05/24/08 -5 = 05/19/08 Major High  27^2 = 07/16/08 -1 = 07/15/08 Major Low
28^2 = 09/09/08 -5 = 09/02/08 Major High  29^2 = 11/05/08 -1 = 11/04/08 Major High
30^2 = 01/03/09+2 = 01/06/09 Major High  31^2 = 03/05/09+1 = 03/06/09 Major Low
32^2 = 05/07/09+1 = 05/08/09 Major high   33^2 = 07/11/09-3  = 07/08/09 Major Low
34^2 = 09/16/09      = 09/16/09 High            35^2 = 11/24/09+3  = 11/27/09 Dubai Low
36^2 = 02/03/10 +2 = 02/05/10 Major Low  37^2=  04/17/10  -2 = 04/15/10 High
38^2 = 07/01/10 Major Low                         39^2 = 9/16/10 Miss
40^2 = 12/04/10 was the 11/29/10L              41^2 = 02/23/11=> 2/18/11 High
42^2 = 05/17/11 Low                                    43^2 = 8/10/11 => 8/9/11 Low
44^2= 11/5/11 => 10/27/11 High                  45^2= 2/2/12 => 1/30/12 Low
46^2 = 5/3/12 => 5/1/12H                             47^2 = 8/4/12 è 8/2/12 Low
48^2 = 11/7/12  => 11/16/12 major Low       49^2 = 2/12/13 Miss
50^ 2 =5/22/13 => 5/22/13 High                   51^2 =8/31/13=8/28/13L   
52^2=12/12/13L                                            53^2 = 03/27/14  => 3/27/14 Low
54^2 = 07/12/14 is next

What's next: We make a 7/10-11 short term Low and rally into the next Solar and Geometric CIT.

Monday, June 23, 2014

Time and Cycle Review and Forecast

http://www.safehaven.com/article/34287/time-and-cycle-review-and-forecast


Review: The 6/2 T&C Cluster CIT from my last public post was a minor 6/2 Low.
We didn’t see any reversal lower, so shorts were not triggered.

Forecast from the June 7 weekend report: “Odds are good we will see higher highs Monday, 6/9. A couple of arguments for a 6/6-9 swing High: 1. Fibo: 10/11/07H-4/26/10H= 928 X 2.618 = 2430 CD +10/11/07H = 6/6/14. 2. The 423 hourly Cycle is due near the close 6/6 to open 6/9. 3. Mercury goes Retrograde on 6/7, often a CIT. From this 6/6-9 High, we should see a brief sharp decline into 6/11 Solar CIT. We expect a decent pullback of at least 30 SP’s (1930 SPX) to even 50+ SP’s to the 1900 SPX+/-10 area, before we bottom.”

Actual: We made a 6/9 swing High and saw a 30 SP decline into 6/12 Solar CIT Low of the week, before the rally into Option Expiration week.

Forecast from the June 19 report: “The 6/22 Solar CIT (change in Trend) is biased to be a 6/23 High and  targets major Long term channel resistance at 1966-68 SPX.”

Actual: We rallied into Monday 6/23 High, with an intraday Friday High of 1963.91 SPX so far.



The 35 week cycle has produced major Highs and Lows in the last 5 years: 3/6/09L-35 week-
11/2/09L-34-7/1/10L-33-2/18/11H-33-10/4/11L-35-6/4/12L-38-2/28/13-32-10/9/13L-37-6/27/14+/-.

The 333 TD/69 wks/484 Cycle has produced major Highs and Lows since the last 8 years :  
7/18/06L-325 TD-10/31/07H-338-3/06/09L-332-07/01/10L-335-10/27/11H-332-2/26/13L-333 TD-
6/23/14+/-.  The 333 TD or 69 wk cycle is double the 35 wk cycle and suggests a major CIT around 6/23/14+/- week.

What’s next: We make a 6/23 swing High. As all trends are up, we need a clear reversal lower no later than tomorrow to confirm this. We will then decline into my next upcoming Time Square, Geometric and Solar CIT major Cluster.




6/25 Update:   "As all trends are up, we need a clear reversal lower no later than tomorrow (6/24) to confirm this"

We finally saw a nice reversal lower yesterday, confirming a short term High is in.
We need to see a follow through decline to get a larger decline going.
 

Monday, June 2, 2014

The next major Time and Cycle Cluster

http://www.safehaven.com/article/34019/the-next-major-time-and-cycle-cluster

Review: In my last post, I was looking for a 5/22-23 High, based on the 5/22 Solar Time CIT (Change in Trend), but as soon as we rallied beyond 5/23, we knew right away, it was a rare miss as Solar CIT’s are maximum +/- 1 Trading Day (TD). Solar CITs have an unusual high 85-90% accuracy, but at times they have 10-15% misses.

The next major Time and Cycle (T&C) cluster is 5/30-6/3, centered on Monday 6/2, which is 1 TD from the Friday 5/30 Geo CITs, Sunday 6/1 is Solar CIT, 6/2 is a Time Square CIT (see below) and 6/3 Calendar to Trading Days CIT. 


The 35 TD +/-1 Cycle (click on chart to enlarge) is due on 6/3+/-1: 8/2/13H-9/19H-11/13L-12/31H-2/20/14L-4/11/14L-6/03/14H+/-.  There is a 207 TD Bank Cycle due on 6/2 +/-. There is also an hourly time CIT focused on the 1st hour of Monday 6/2.

Squares in Trading days CITs
The squares in Trading Days CIT is a Square of 9 timing technique that gives very
precise Change in Trends (CIT), all dates are +/-1 TD.


Red Lines are Square of 9 mostly Lows from 10/11/07H, the most recent one is 6/2 and should be a High.

1. 10/11/07H - 11/16/12L = 1285 Trading Days (TD), take the Square root of 1285 and
you get: 35.85^2 (35.85 squared)

Now increment that number by 1 or 2 each time and re square to get future CITs:
2. 35.85+2 = 37.85^2 = 1433 TD + 10/11/07H = 6/24/13L
3. 35.85+3 = 38.85^2 = 1509 TD + 10/11/07H = 10/10/13L-1
4. 35.85+4 = 39.85^2 = 1588 TD + 10/11/07H = 02/05/14L +1
5. 35.85 +5 =49.85^2 = 1669 TD + 10/11/07H = 06/02/14+/-1

Blue Lines are Square of 9 Highs from 10/11/07H.
Notice the increment is +2 each time on those lines
04/02/12H = 1127 TD = 33.57^2
10/18/12H = 1266 TD = 35.58^2
05/22/13H = 1412 TD = 37.58^2
12/31/13H = 1566 TD = 39.57^2

Calendar Days to Trading Days relationship in the market causes CITs.
10/4/11L: + 52 CD = 11/25/11L, + 53 TD = 12/19/11L
+181 CD = 04/02/12H, +182 TD = 06/25/12L
+241 CD = 06/01/12L, + 239 TD = 09/14/12H
+346 CD = 09/14/12H, +345 TD = 02/20/13H
+409 CD = 11/16/12L, + 409 TD = 05/22/13H
+454 CD = 12/31/12L, + 459 TD = 08/02/13H
+511 CD = 2/26/13L, + 506 TD = 10/09/13L
+596 CD = 5/22/13H, + 596 TD = 02/20/14 = 2/20/14L
+629 CD = 6/24/13L + 629 TD = 04/04/14H -1
+668 CD = 08/02/13H, +668 TD = 06/03/14+/-1

What’s next: We have rallied into the current T&C Cluster, centered on 6/2, suggesting a major swing High forming, which should be followed by a decline into the next Time and Cycle Cluster Low.

Friday, May 23, 2014

May 22-23 Swing High

http://www.safehaven.com/article/33907/may-22-23-swing-high

Forecast from last May 17-18 weekend: The 5/16 Geo CIT was most likely the 5/15L and we are now headed higher into the 5/22 Solar CIT, where we could retest the previous 5/13 ATH, but remain in the 4 week channel”

Actual: From the 5/15 Low, we rallied 34 SP’s into 5/22 High at 1896.33 SPX, retesting the 5/13 All time High at 1902.17 SPX.




A few days down, followed by a few days Up, this has been the non trending nature of the market for the last 5 weeks, frustrating Bull and Bear alike and making it relatively difficult to trade for many. We remain in this 5 week trading channel, with channel resistance at 1905 SPX and channel support at 1868 SPX channel support. All trends are up, but whichever way it breaks this 5 week channel will determine the next major trending direction.

What’s next:  Swing Traders: We make a May 22-23 swing High and start a decline soon after into the next major swing Low at the next Solar and Geometirc Time and Cycle cluster.

Intraday traders: Intraday 5 min SPX Change in Trend (Highs or Lows) Times to watch for Friday 05/23/14: 10.40, 11.05, 12.15, 12.40 pm Eastern.

Wednesday, April 23, 2014

April 22-24 is the next swing High

http://www.safehaven.com/article/33547/april-22-24-is-the-next-swing-high

In my last post on April 10, I was looking for a 4/11-14 major swing Low.

Forecast made in the 4/12 Raj T&C weekend report: "After the 4/11-14L, the bias is higher into 4/22-24H at the 4/21 Solar and 4/22& 4/24 geometric CIT."

Actual: We made an 4/11 Low as expected (click on chart to enlarge) and have so far rallied 70 SP's into 4/22 High, right at the upper edge of the 8.5 week large trading range & sideways channel.



What's Next: We make an 4/22-24 swing High at the 4/21 Solar, 4/22 Geometric and 4/24 Geometric CIT.

There are a cluster of 144 TD, 360 TD and 250/500 TD Cycles due the next 2 weeks.

144 TD cycles:
10 X 144 = 1440 TD + 08/11/08H= 5/01
09 X 144 = 1296 TD + 03/06/09L = 4/30, 1296 is also 36 Squared.
08 X 144 = 1152 TD + 09/03/09L = 4/4/14H!
07 X 144 = 1008 CD + 7/21/11H = 4/24
07 X 144 = 1008 TD + 4/26/10H = 4/28
06 X 144 =  864 TD + 11/16/10L = 4/25
05 X 144 =  720 TD + 06/16/11L = 4/29
04 X 144 =  576 TD + 12/19/11L = 4/4/14H! (-1 TD)
03 X 144 =  432 TD + 08/02/12L = 4/23
02 X 144 =  288 TD + 02/26/13L = 4/17
01 X 144 =  144 TD + 09/19/13H = 4/16

360 TD Cycles:

1 X 360 = 11/16/12L +   360 TD = 4/25
2 X 360 = 06/16/11L +   720 TD = 4/29
3 X 360 = 01/14/10H + 1080 TD = 4/30
4 X 360 = 08/11/08H + 1440 TD = 5/01

250 TD Cycles:
  500 + 05/01/12H = 4/29
  750 + 05/02/11H = 4/25
1000 + 04/26/10H = 4/16
1500 + 05/19/08H = 5/06
2000 + 05/08/06H = 4/21
2500 + 05/12/04L = 4/21
3000 + 05/07/02H = 4/21
3500 + 05/24/00L = 4/28
4000 + 06/16/98L = 5/12
4500 + 06/06/96H = 4/25
8000 + 08/09/82L = 4/30



Also due around this time are the Bond Market Interest Rates that has a regular long term 93 week cycle that has been active since January 2000. The last 93 week Cycle major Low (and Bond High) was the 7/25/12 Low at 24.52, piercing below the double bottom at 25.10-25.19.  The next 93 wk cycle is due in the April 25 2014 week +/- 2 wks and is biased to be an Interest Rate major Low.