Sunday, May 19, 2013

The dominant Time and Cycles

Precise timing is everything in the stock markets. For that reason over the last 2 decades, I had to discard many, many timing techniques that didn’t meet the criteria of finding a major High or Low exact to the day or at most within 1 TD.  Over time, in the last 25 years, I have found 2 proprietary timing techniques that have been consistent in pinpointing future Change in Trends (CIT), ie Highs and Lows within 1 TD. One is a geometric, mathematical timing CITs that are 70-80% accurate and the other is a Solar timing CIT that is close to 84-90% accurate.

Examples of some long term CITs was the June 4 2012 major Low and the September 14 2012 major High. A medium Term CIT was on 4/19/13, which became the 4/18 major Low. I had a rare 3 long term geometric SPX CITs, covering Decades, all clustering on one date, Friday 6/1/12, which became Monday 6/4/12 major Low at the Open. This was predicted since February 2012 in the annual 2012 forecast report. http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2012/06/long-term-timing-points.html

Normal fixed cycles versus active Master Cycles.
Normal fixed Cycles expand and contract and is always +/- few weeks or months. Over time, I have found that for some reason, some historic cycles repeat day by day and this cycle is active for many weeks and sometimes many months, until they stop working and disappear. I have named these kind of cycles the Master Cycles, because they follow a certain numerology that can be found in the Bible as well as in Ved.  With any of the Master Cycle and other cycles that are considered "active", all predicted Highs and Lows are often exact or at most +/- 1 TD.  The main rule that I use is the Master Cycle is active as long as the predicted swing Highs and Lows are either exact or +/-1 TD and it is not considered active, ie it will be incorrect, if it exceeds this 1 TD variance of predicted Highs and Lows. The benefit is you will know right away if the cycle is incorrect within 1 trading day. If the Cycle is not “active” anymore, it becomes “dormant” and it should not be used for future predictions. Both fixed and Master cycles should be used, but normal fixed cycles, does not have the active Master Cycle’s accuracy.

Time & Cycle CIT Order of importance: In my work, I consider the active Master Cycle’s Highs and Lows (CITs) as most important as they are +/-1 TD, followed by Solar Time CITs, then Geometric Time CIT, which are the most reliable Time CITs. All other time CITs, like squares, astros, numerology, etc. are only used to confirm the active Master cycles and the two dominant Time CITs. When both Time and active cycles support each other, it increases the accuracy to 90-95% of finding a CIT, a High or Low.

Future long term geometric CITs that were calculated since the beginning of the year:
1. There are two medium Term geometric Time CITs due on exact dates in July 2013.
2.  There is a long term geometric CIT, covering decades that project a certain date in August 2013 that should be an important High or Low.
3. There is a long term geometric CIT due in September 2013 as well.

What’s next short term?


The yellow vertical lines in the chart above are the last 13 Option expiration weeks, which has a generally neutral to bullish bias, with 4 down and 9 neutral to up. Also note Option Expiration weeks often mark short term Highs or Lows as shown by the arrows on the chart. At times, the High or Low arrives 1 day before or after OE week.


There is a 5/20 geometric and 5/21 Solar CIT that should most likely result in a 5/20-21 short term High. The 6 Lunar Month Cycle chart above supports a 5/20 CIT. It is possible we rally into the upper channel resistance at 1678-80 SPX.

Everyone needs valuable Time and Cycle techniques in their toolbox to make smarter and more profitable Investments decisions.

Sunday, May 5, 2013

Mars and the Demon

http://www.safehaven.com/article/29727/mars-and-the-dragon


In Vedic Astrology, there's an ancient Demon (Swarbhanu) that was split in a
fierce battle into two parts, the upper half of the demon's Body, Rahu
is the Moon's ("True") North Node and the lower half of the body is
Ketu, the Moon's South Node, which causes the Solar and Lunar Eclipses.

Whenever these malefics Nodes comes into a hard angles (0, 90, 180,
270 degrees) aspect with another big malefic, Mars, the planet of War,
it often produce some intense and violent conflicts and Change in Trends (CIT).

Some examples of Mars Rahu aspects from the past:
Mars squares Rahu: between 7/4/90 and 8/20/90, exact aspect was on
7/23/90. The market declined from 7/13/90 into 8/23/90.
Mars squares Rahu: Between 9/20/97 and 10/30/97, exact aspect was on
10/25/97. The market declined from 10/8/97 into 10/28/97.
Mars conjuncts Rahu: Between 9/27/98 and 11/17/98, exact aspect was
on 10/8/98. The market declined from 9/24/98 into 10/8/98.
Mars squares Rahu: Between 10/25/00 and 12/13/00, exact aspect was
on 11/29/00. The market declined from 11/6/00 into 12/21/00.

Here are some examples in the recent years, most were important CITs:


Mars 180 Rahu 07/23/2011 17:31=> 7/21/11H, crash into 8/9/11L
Mars 090 Rahu 12/13/2011 06:12  => 12/19/11 major Low+6
Mars 090 Rahu 03/19/2012 18:30  => 3/27/12 major High+8
Mars 090 Rahu 04/30/2012 23:30  => 5/1/12 High+1
Mars 000 Rahu 10/02/2012 15:06  => 10/5/12 High+3
Mars 090 Rahu 01/24/2013 19:48  => Miss
Mars 180 Rahu 05/13/2013 05:46 => coming up!

The Mars opposite Rahu (Moon's North Node) Crash Cycle
.
1. Mars opposite Rahu: between 9/25/29 and 11/7/29, exact aspect was on 10/24/29. The market crashed into 10/11/29 into 10/29/29
2. Mars opposite Rahu: between on 9/29/87 and 10/30/87, exact aspect was on 10/12/87. The market crashed from 10/2/87H into 10/20/87L.
3. Mars opposite Rahu: between 8/25/01 and 10/18/01, exact aspect was on 9/14/01. The market crashed from 8/27/01 into 9/21/01L.

Notice that in the 3 examples above, the Mars Opposition Rahu played a direct role in the 3 biggest Crashes of the last Century.

Ma opposite Rahu (exact) = 9/14/01! = 10/12/87! = 10/24/29!

The statistical odds that this was due to chance is very low.

Here is the last 10 years of Mars opposite Rahu aspects, notice that 3 of the 7 Mars opposite Rahu aspects resulted in sharp declines.

Mars 180 True Node 09/14/2001 11:23 => crashed into 9/21/01L
Mars 180 True Node 01/27/2003 22:53
Mars 180 True Node 11/14/2004 08:04
Mars 180 True Node 09/01/2006 03:20
Mars 180 True Node 06/15/2008 02:32 => crashed into 7/15/08L
Mars 180 True Node 10/09/2009 19:05
Mars 180 True Node 07/23/2011 17:34  => crashed into 08/09/11L

The next Mars opposite Rahu cycle is due on 5/13/13. 
This date is supported by a long term geometric CIT due on 5/14, so we should see an important 5/13-14 CIT. Ofcourse, there are many Mars opposite Rahu aspects, which is a 1-2 year cycle, but actual crashes are rare events and odds are relatively low, but you still need to be aware of this potential Crash Cycle in the May 2013 Month.

A word of caution: The purpose of this article is not to make people fearful and no one should depend on any crashes to make money and they certainly should not trade on this information alone. Currently, all trends are up, the markets are bullish and trading against the trend is like swimming upstream. What I do suggest is take the time to study the statistical data presented, you might find it a very valuable tool.

Wednesday, May 1, 2013

WSJ: The American Heart Association recommends the Transcendental Meditation technique above all others

According to the American Heart Association, the Transcendental Meditation technique (http://www.tm.org/) is the only meditation practice that has been shown to lower blood pressure, which substantially reduced rates of death, heart attack and stroke. Other meditation or relaxation techniques have not given these results.

http://online.wsj.com/article/PR-CO-20130501-909027.html?mod=googlenews_wsj