We have been sideways since the 11/5-8/21H, which remains the All time Highs (ATH) in many indices and market leaders like the Russel, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Tesla. The Dow made marginally fresh ATH on 12/30 and is at a potential double top with the 11/5-8H.
There is a 334 week cycle due 12/24/21 week+/-, although it only has 3 hits so far.
The Master Cycle is now active again and will guide us in 2022.
The market bottomed at the 12/20 T&C Cluster Low at the 12/20 Apple, 12/21 double SPX Time CIT and 10 TD Cycle Lows and we are rallying as expected into the next T&C Cluster.
Merry Christmas 🎄 🎁 and Happy Holidays to all 🙏🏼
We declined almost 100 SP's in the last 2 days, since the 12/10 High.
It baffles me that these geometric mathematical formulas to find CITs continue to work even today. I frankly don't know why they work, just that they do 70-80% of the time, ie 20-30% don't work.
http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2021/12/forecast-1-short-term-1213-swing-high.html
11.20 am Update: We got our 9.30H and our expected decline into 11.15 Low so far. The 11.00 CIT (High or Low) was a 10.55H.
The following short term forecast is speculative and for Entertainment purposes only, do trade at your own risk.
All trends are Up as we recently bottomed at the 49 Trading Day (TD) Cycle of Lows (see Emini SP chart below), we are generally higher and surprises will be to the upside.
We have rallied into Friday 12/10 SPX proprietary Geometric* time CIT (change in Trend) and into Monday 12/13 Apple Geometric time CIT, suggesting a short term 12/13 swing High is being made. We need a reversal and close lower to confirm a 12/13 swing High is in.
The intraday cycles are suggesting a possible spillover rally Monday in the 1st minutes, before we reverse lower.
Intraday CIT times to watch, all /-5-10 mins are: 11.00, 11.30 and 1.10-15 pm Eastern.
Speculative Intraday Times and Cycles Bias: The current bias (but that can change quickly) is 11.00 will be a Low, 11.30 will be a High and 1.10-15 pm will be a Low. So if we get an opening 9.40H+/-, we decline into 10.20-11.00 Low (Speculative), rally to a 11.30H+/-, decline to a 1.10-15 pm Low. We see a last hour Low.
Bitcoin, the bubble leader, remains weak and closed lower Friday, below key pink channel support. We are declining into 12/13 Geometric time CIT, suggesting a short term Low.
* Notes: We use 2 proprietary Time CITs (Change in Trend) that are unique to our Raj T&C Daily Email newsletters.
1. Geometric time CITs are +/-1 Trading Day (TD) and are 70-80% accurate (20-30% will not work).
If we rally into a Geo time CIT, it suggests a High being made +/-1 trading day (TD).
If we decline into a Geo time CIT, it suggests a Low being made +/-1 trading day (TD).
2. Solar time CITs are +/- 1 TD and are 80-90% accurate (10-20% will not work).
The current rally forecast was posted in the evening of 12/7 for subscribers and also the decline and cycle Low that follows it.
Folks as this is a season of Giving, I will post what our T&C research suggests is the next Cycle High and Low, if I get 300 likes on this blog and on https://twitter.com/TimeandCycles
So far, the Friday 11/19 Lunar Eclipse topped this market on Monday 11/22H and we bottomed on Friday 12/3L at the 12/4 Solar Eclipse.
In my post from 11/8/21, I stated: "We rallied into long term channel resistance at 2720-50 SPX and into the 18 wk and 75 wk Flash Crash cycles due to top out now or in the coming week+/-"
The actual results are as follows:
What's Next?
A few weeks ago, we were looking for a Nov. 22 high and a decline into the next 'Time and Cycle Cluster Low,' which appears to still be in progress.
something to watch closely
Conclusion: We rallied into long term channel resistance at 2720-50 SPX and into the 18 wk and 75 wk Flash Crash cycles due to top out now or in the coming week+/-.
The 9 days of Mother Divine (MD) was on 10/6-15.
The MD Crash Cycle, IF active, suggests a secondary 10/15H and a crash wave into the NM–2 = 11/3L.
The Flash Crash 75 week cycle, if active suggests a crash Low due 11/5L.
Here is some more info on the crash History of the 9 Days of Mother Divine http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2008/04/crash-history-of-9-days-of-mother.html
Here is some more info on the Flash Crash 75 week cycle: http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2013/04/the-flash-crash-cycle.html
The NDX Master Cycle (MC) gets precedent above all other cycles. It recently predicted an 10/11L(+1) and the rally into 10/15H+/-. The MC has its own unique path,which I will update this weekend for members.
Next Time CIT (Change in Trend) to watch 10/6-7:
Forecast 1: From 9/17 Raj T&C weekend report: "We declined into a T&C Cluster and right at the 21 TD Cycle of Lows due 9/17L+/-1, suggesting a 9/17-20L, then rally into 9/26-27 Solar and Geo time CIT."
Actual: We made a 9/20L and rallied 160+ SP's into 9/24 swing High, at the 9/26 weekend (9/24-27) Solar & 1 day before the 9/27 Geometric time CIT.
Forecast 2: From the 9/25 Raj T&C weekend report: "From the 9/24H, we decline into 9/30-10/1L at the 9/30 Geo and 10/3 Solar weekend CIT"
Actual: From the 9/24H, we have declined 160 SP's into 9/30-10/1 as expected and should now see a rally next week.
Similarly, NDX and Bitcoin (see previous post) is declining into Bitcoin's 9/9-10 proprietary triple Geo Time CIT, suggesting a Time and Cycles swing Low being made.
1. The 3/13/20 red Trendline acted as Key resistance at the recent 9/6/21 swing High, the 70.7% retrace.
2. The other trendline will act as Trendline support around 39485, close to the 55% retrace.
3. The pink vertical lines are proprietary Geometric Time CITs (Change in Trend = High or Low) and we are declining into 9/9-10 triple Geometric Time Cluster, suggesting a 9/10 swing Low.
4. The 68 TD Cycle last saw the 1/8/21 High, 4/14/21 High and 7/20/21 swing Low is next looking for an 10/21 High or Low, right at the 10/22 Geo Time CIT.
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5. The proprietary NDX Master Cycle remains active. It recently projected a 9/7-8H and we saw a 9/7 NDX High and is now looking for a sharp decline into 9/10 swing Low, supporting the above Bitcoin outlook.
The weekly SPX is in a long term rising wedge.
