Monday, June 24, 2019

6/21-24 Time and Cycle Cluster High


In our last public 6/3 post, we were looking for a 6/3 Time and Cycle (T&C) Cluster Low. The 2 hourly time CITs (pink vertical Lines), one on 6/3 and the other on 6/12 were both Lows. The 6/21 G9 CIT (green vertical Line) suggests a 6/21 High.



We have also rallied into the next 6/21-24 Time and Cycle Cluster, suggesting a 6/21-24 swing High is being made.


6/21-24 T&C Cluster

Time CITs:
6/19: Long term Geometric 6/19+/-3
6/22 Solar
6/25 Geometric

Cycle CIT:



94 TD Cycle is due 6/21/19H+/-2. The dominant 94 TD Cycle has been off at most 2-3 Days and was next due 6/21/19H+/-2.

1666 CD Cycle: 3/22/01 Panic Lows - 10/13/05 swing Low - 5/6/10 Flash Crash Low -11/27/14 (minor High(-2) - 6/20/19+/-2

What's next: We make a 6/21-24 High and start a decline. There are several T&C Clusters in July and August that should be very interesting to watch.

Wednesday, June 5, 2019

The power of the hourly time CITs

Before: We had a Monday 6/3  hourly time at 2.55 pm Eastern CIT (Change in Trend, pink vertical Line) that was predicted to be the 6/3 cycle Low.

After: We bottomed right at the hourly time CIT and have since reversed sharply almost 100 SP's higher in the last 2 days alone and has more to go. 
The next hourly time CIT is shown in the chart above.



6/7 Update:



The markets have been Straight Up the last 4 days and rallied a whopping 142.13 SP's since the 6/3 hourly time CIT Low.

Monday, June 3, 2019

6/3 Time and Cycle Cluster Low

From our public Post: "From the predicted 5/1-3 major multi week & month High and the forecasted decline into 5/13-15 Lows, we then predicted a 5/21 lower High. From there we would decline into the next Time and Cycle Cluster Low"

From 5/24 Daily Email: "The markets broke decisively below the contracting triangle. If wave C = wave A = 2739.50 SPX. The triangle is also projecting to 2740 SPX area. "

The next Time and Cycle cluster Low was the 5/29-6/3 Low:

Time CITs:

5/29 Geometric time CIT
6/1 Weekend Solar time CIT
6/3 Geometric time CIT

Cycle CITs:


The 168 TD or 35 week Cycle has been off max 2-3 TD and supports a decline into 5/31-6/3 Lows.



What's Next: Ideally we bottom at the 6/3 Low at the T&C Cluster Low and start a rally phase into the next T&C Cluster High. The 2740 SPX triangle Target was also achieved today, right at the 1.50-2.55 hourly time CIT today.



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Wednesday, May 29, 2019

Trapdoor to Hell

Daily cycles are still pointing lower, taking out the 5/13 Low at 2801 SPX, opens up the Trapdoor to Hell.

Tuesday, May 28, 2019

Forecast vs Actual 5 min intraday SPX

Forecast Vs actual 5 min intraday SPX



Tomorrow sees a 1st hour High, midday High and last hour High

Thursday, May 23, 2019

Review of various Time and Cycles

The 5/1 triple Top was a T&C Cluster High that should be the swing High for a number of weeks and months.

Next was the 5/13-15 T&C Cluster Low (A on chart), which held the 50 DMA and the pink triple Top turned support. 

Time CITs: 
5/15 Quadruple Geo Time CIT

Cycle CITs:
5/14: 47 CD Cycle: 9/21/18H -47-11/7/18H -49-12/26/18L -47-2/09/19L -45-3/28/19L-47- 5/13L

5/15: 94 TD/20 wk Cycle: 6/29/17L-96-11/14/17L-92-4/2/18L-95-8/15/18L-91-12/26/18LL-92-5/13L


From our 5/17 T&C Daily Email: "The current bias is 5/15 triple CIT was the 5/15L gap Low Open retest Low and we rally into 5/21-22H at the 5/21 Solar and 5/22 Geo Time CIT. From there we decline into XXX"

Actual: Since the 5/13-15 Low, we have seen a choppy contracting triangle B wave rallying into our projected 5/21-22 solar and Geometric CIT Highs (B on chart).

What's next: We start another sharp decline into our next T&C Cluster Low.



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Thursday, May 9, 2019

Next Time & Cycle Cluster is coming

My last Time and Cycle cluster was the 5/1-3 major High

We mentioned that once we broke below the 4-5 week compressed mini up channel, we would see a sharp and fast decline, which we are seeing right now. 

My next Time and cycle cluster should be a mini crash Low. Are you ready to rock and roll?

Thursday, May 2, 2019

Tuesday, April 30, 2019

Time & Cycle cluster: 4/30-5/3


For a number of weeks now, I have had 4/30-5/3 as a Time & Cycle Cluster, where I was expecting a swing Low to be made. However, we have been in a relative narrow compressed channel & trading range these last 4 weeks.  


In these "Stuck Up" markets the last 4 weeks, the normal Time and Cycles gets ignored, so we will have to see if we are seeing a swing Low or a High in this time period.

Time: 

4/30: Saturn Retro 4/29-30
4/30: Solar Time CIT: 4/30
5/2: 9 Days of MD Cycle: 5/2/19
5/3: Apex of the rising wedge due 5/3


5/3:4661 TD 
07/19/99H +4661= 01/26/18H
10/18/99L +4664= 05/03/18L
03/24/00H +4660=10/03/18H
04/14/00L +4663= 10/29/18L
05/24/00L +4659= 12/03/18H
09/01/00H +4661= 03/21/18H
10/18/00L +4660= 05/03/19


Cycles: The 77 TD,136 TD, 316-17 TD/461 CD cycles and 96 weeks/672 CD Cycle  are all due end April to early May.


77-78 TD Cycle: 11/4/16L-78-3/1/17H-76-6/19/17H-2X76-1/26/18H-80-5/22/18H-75-9/07/18L-75-12/26/18LL-80-4/29/18

136 TD Cycle: 4/29/18

461 CD/317 TD Cycle: 7/1/10L -460-10/4/11L-454-12/31/12L-466-4/11/14L-465-7/20/15H-473-11/4/16L-448-1/26/18H-461-4/30-5/3/19

96 wks/ 672 CD/ 463 TD cycle of Lows: 4/14/97L-3X668- 10/10/02L-672-8/13/04L-670-6/14/06L-2X676- 2/25/10L-12/19/11L- 2 X 672 = 8/24/15L-6/26/17L+34/29/19



Conclusion: 4/30-5/3 Time and Cycle Cluster, should be an important Change in Trend.



Sunday, April 28, 2019

SPX and US Dollar in compressed channels

SPX has been a narrow compressed sideways to Up channel for more than a month now.



Everyone is talking about the recent US Dollar Breakout, but it remains in a long term channel and right at channel resistance.

Wednesday, April 17, 2019

and the beat goes on..

and the beat goes on. Shorter term, we could sell channel resistance and buy channel support until the channel breaks.

Monday, April 15, 2019

Stuck in a narrow compressed Up channel the last 2 weeks

Stuck in a narrow compressed Up channel the last 2 weeks, once it breaks, it should be relatively sharp and fast.

Tuesday, April 2, 2019

The Master Cycle Update: 4/2-3 High

In my last post, I was looking for a 3/4 swing High

From 3/4 Raj T&C Daily Email: I found a possible Master Cycle (MC) that forecasted the:

1. 09/21/18H
2. 10/29/18L
3. 11/07/18H
4. 12/03/18H
5. 12/26/18 major Low.

It is now suggesting a 3/05 swing High, followed by a decline into 3/11L, up into 3/14-15H, 3/19L, 3/21H. I don’t expect this cycle to follow perfectly all the details, as it has been off at times by 1-2 TD, but it should generally be in there."

Actual: 
1. 3/05H => 3/4 short term swing High, 1 TD earlier
2. 3/11L => 3/8 Low, 1 TD earlier
3.3/14-15H =>  Miss
4. 3/19L => 3/20L, 1 TD earlier
5. 3/21H => 3/21 High.

From the above we see that although the MC is not perfect as it had 1 miss, the cycle is still "active" with future hits +/-2. The MC is a time Cycle that doesn't predict Price Magnitude.


From 3/21 & 3/27 Raj T&C Daily Email: "The MC suggests a 3/21H, decline into 3/27L, rally into 4/2 swing High"

Actual:
6. 3/27L => 3/25L, 2 TD earlier, 3/27 retest Low
7. 4/2H => We are currently rallying into 4/2H


There is a 16 TD, 66 TD and 25 TD fixed cycle supporting an 4/3-5 CIT as well.

Conclusion and what's Next: The Master Cycle has had some misses and is not perfect, but it remains in the markets with "active" hits +/-1-2 TD and is now suggesting an 4/2 swing High+/-2 at the 4/2 Geometric Time CIT, 4/4-5 Time Square CIT and 16, 25 and 66 TD Cycles due 4/3-5.



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Wednesday, March 6, 2019

Hourly Channel support breaking...

Hourly Channel support breaking...

Hourly channel support has held since 12/28/18 and is currently at 2777 SPX, a break below that is an initial sell signal.

Tuesday, March 5, 2019

The Master Cycle suggests a 3/4-05 major swing High

Review from 2/26/19 Report: "The 2/21 time Square CIT High could be the overdue 45 TD Hurst swing 2/25H, along with the 2/22 time Geo and 2/23 (2/22-25) Solar Time CITs."

"There is a CD to TD CIT is on 2/28, along with 25 TD cycle due 3/1, the 3/1 Bradley and 3/4 Emini Apex CIT is biased to be another High."



Review from 2/27/19 Update: "We are seeing a further decline this morning, confirming the 2/25H is in place, but after a 2/27L, we are still expecting another High due 3/1-4 lower or higher High."

Actual: We made a 2/25H, declined into 2/27L and made a 3/4H



What's Next: There is a proprietary Master Cycle (MC) that forecasted:

1. 9/21/18H
2. 10/29/18L
3. 11/7/18H
4. 12/3/18H
5. 12/26/18 major Low

The MC can be off by 1-2 TD, but it has been generally in there.  

The MC now suggests a 3/04-05 major swing Highfollowed by a sharp decline into XXX. 



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Wednesday, February 27, 2019

Thursday, February 14, 2019

Triangle Apex CIT 2/13 at Open High

Triangle Apex CIT with 5 waves up. The 2/13H @ Open was the 2/12-13 Apex time CIT (Change in Trend), 2/12 double Geometric time CIT and intraday 2/12 last hourly CIT and 2/12 Close-2/13 Open CIT. Time was Up.

Tuesday, February 12, 2019

The 94 Trading Day Cycle 2/12 swing High

Review: From 1/31/19 Update: "Markets have rallied above the mini wave 4 bullish pennant/triangle pattern in a 5th wave rally. The triangle targets 2739 SPX, right at the 200 DMA at 2741.47 SPX, which is major resistance. "

From 2/5/19 Update: "We are rallying into 2/5 Solar time CIT (Change in Trend) suggesting a 2/5H in the make, but as bullish momentum remains strong and all trends remain Up, we go with the flow and wait for a trend reversal lower before considering any shorts"

Actual: We reached our outstanding 2739 SPX Triangle Target, right at the 200 DMA at the 2/5 Solar CIT High, which remains the Highs to date.



We are currently rallying into the next 94 Trading Day (TD) Cycle, that last saw the 9/21/18 major High and is next due 2/11/19+/-3. The 94 TD Cycle has been consistently in the markets for more than 4 years now, since the 12/29/14H and has been often exact, but at times off 3-4 Trading Days.



The same triangle that projected 2739 SPX price target has an Apex CIT due today 2/12, right at the double 2/12 Geometric time CITs and the 94 TD Cycle suggesting a 2/12 swing High being made.


All trends remains up, since the projected 12/26/18 major Low and the markets have been in an hourly up channel. We would need to break this up channel to get an initial Sell signal.

What's Next: We should make a 2/12 swing High+/- and start a retrace.





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