Friday, November 9, 2018

Forecast Review versus Actual

From 10/31 Public Post: 10/29 Apex CIT swing Low


Forecast Review from 10/29 Weekend report:  "The cycle bias: 10/29-30L at the Friday 10/29 Apex CIT, 10/26 Astro CIT, CD to TD CIT. From there we rally into 11/6H at the 11/5-6 triple Geo & 11/7 Solar time CIT"


Actual: We bottomed on 10/29L (#1) and saw a sharp rally into 11/7H (#2)

What's Next: we decline into the next Time & Cycles swing Low and see another rally into the next Time & Cycles swing High.

Tuesday, November 6, 2018

Intraday trade and times to watch

  1. Intraday CIT (Change in Trend, High or Low) Times to watch today: 9.55 am, 10.15, 10.30, 2.20 pm Eastern, all +/-5 min
  2. Any Daytraders out there? If 9.55 am Eastern is a Low, buy it for a rally to a 1st hour High around 10.30. The intraday cycle sees a 1st hour High, midday High and last hour High. If the midday High is higher than the 1st hour High, it suggests a last hour highest High and Vice Versa

Wednesday, October 31, 2018

10/29 Apex CIT swing Low


10/29 swing Low was 1 day from the Friday 10/26 Astro Time Cluster: MidPoint VeR&D, Ve conjunct Su, Ve combust +/-3 CD & Calendar Days to Trading Day Technique due on 10/26 and exact on Monday's 10/29 Apex CIT and 1 day from 10/30 Geo time CIT

Wednesday, October 24, 2018

Time & Cycle review and what's next: 10/23 swing Low

Forecast #1 & #2 from 10/3 T&C Update: "We should now rally into 10/4 Quintuple time CIT cluster (#1 on chart), 10/3 Solar and 10/4-5 quadruple CIT. From there we decline into 10/11L (#2 on chart) at the 10/10 Solar & 10/12 Geo CIT and next 8 TD Hurst cycle Low."

Forecast # 2 from 10/11 public post: "We are now declining into the projected 10/11 short term Low.... We should then see a sharp rally followed by another test of the Lows...Timing will be critical..."


Forecast #3 & #4 from 10/17 T&C Update: "We are seeing an 10/17H at the 10/16 Geo and 10/17 Solar CIT. From there we decline into 10/22L at the next 8 TD Hurst & 143 CD cycle Low"





Actual:  
1. We topped out at the 10/3H (#1) at the quintuple time cluster.
2. We then saw a sharp 229.35 SP mini crash decline into the projected 10/11L (#2) at the 10/10 Solar &10/12 Geo CIT and next 8 TD Hurst cycle Low.
3. We then saw a sharp 106.43 SP countertrend rally into 10/17H (#3) at the 10/16 Geo and 10/17 Solar CIT.
4. We have now declined into the projected 10/23L (#4) at the 10/23 Geo and 10/24 Solar time CIT at the next 8 TD cycle Low and 143 CD Low.

What's next: From the 10/23 swing Low, we see another sharp rally phase into the next projected Time & Cycle High, before we see another sharp decline. Timing remains critical.




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Thursday, October 18, 2018

Quick Review

From 10/11: "We are now declining into the projected 10/11 short term Low.... We should then see a sharp rally followed by another test of the Lows...Timing will be critical..."

This has all come to pass...

Hard retest coming



It ain't over until its over, hard retest coming, watch 2760 SPX and 2733 SPX as key support Levels

Thursday, October 11, 2018

Before and after the Boom

From the 9/25 public blog post: "The 94 TD, 168 TD & 273 CD cycles suggesting a 9/21 major swing High"

From the 10/4 Update: "9/21H remains the High, it got retested as expected in early October Time Cluster and now Boom..."


Before:

94 TD cycle due 9/21H
168 TD cycle due 9/21H
273 CD /9 Month cycle due 9/21H

After the Boom: 



What's Next: We are now declining into the projected 10/11 short term Low. The late great Brock's proprietary Tunnel Price techniques projected 2772 SPX target, close to the 200 DMA at 2765 SPX, which we could acheive today. We should then see a sharp rally followed by another test of the Lows. Timing will be critical...


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Wednesday, October 10, 2018

You ain't seen nothing yet!

The late great Brock's proprietary Tunnel Price target projects much lower prices...

Thursday, October 4, 2018

Boom

9/21H remains the High, it got retested as expected in early October Time Cluster and now Boom...

Sunday, September 30, 2018

Trend line and channel support


No real decline can get going until the current Trendline and Channel support gets broken decisively.

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

94 TD, 168 TD & 273 CD cycles suggesting a 9/21 major swing High


94 TD cycle due 9/24H+/-

168 TD cycle due 9/21H+/-

273 CD /9 Month cycle due 9/24H+/-

If 9/21/18 High gets confirmed, we should be ready for a sharp decline into October and possibly November major Lows.



Monday, September 24, 2018

Update: 273 CD Cycle

The 167 and 93 TD Cycle seems stretched. The 273 CD/9 Month cycle suggests we top out at anytime, which may be the 9/21H


Thursday, September 13, 2018

The G9 8/29H & the 167 TD and 93 TD cycle 9/13H+/-2

The "G9" (Geometric 9) CIT (Change in Trend) technique I learnt many decades ago from a gentleman, whose name was "G9" on the Crystal Ball forum http://www.crystalball-forum.com/context/main/crystal/. 



The G9 CIT pinpointed the 7/23/18 Low, 8/15/18 Low and the 8/29/18 swing High.


The 8/29/18 swing High was also part of the Flash Crash  75 week cycle, which I posted about in the past here, here and here to name a few.


The regular 167 TD (Trading Days) Cycle was also mentioned in the past here and is next due 9/13/18 +/-



167 TD  Cycle (Pink lines on chart): 9/19/14H -167-5/20/15H -167+1-1/20/16L-167-1-9/14/16L-167+2-5/18/17L-167- 1/16/18 - 167- 9/13/18H+/-2

The regular 93-94 TD Cycle was also a regular cycle mentioned in the past on this blog here and here and is next due 9/13/18+/-.



93 TD Cycle (red lines on chart): 9/29/15L -93- 2/11/16L -94- 6/27/16L -92- 11/4/16L -95- 8/8/17H -91- 12/14/17L -95- 5/3/18L -94- 9/13/18H+/-2

As fixed cycles can expand and contract, the 167 TD and 93 TD Cycle has a maximum +/-2 TD leeway and has been pretty consistent and suggests a 9/13/18 swing High +/-2.

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Tuesday, August 21, 2018

8/15 Cycle Lows

It should be clear by now that 8/15 was the 45 TD Hurst swing Low at 33 TD (Trading Days) Long. In 2018, they have averaged 31 TD, This is in agreement with the active Biblical cycle Lows as well.

Wednesday, August 15, 2018

The 45 TD Hurst Cycle

The 45 TD Hurst Cycle is also in a declining phase

In 2018, the 45 TD Hurst Cycle has averaged 31 TD (Trading Days) so far, 

12/29/17L -28- 2/9L -34- 4/2L -23- 5/3L -39- 6/28L -33- 8/15L+ (ongoing)

Today, 8/15 it is 33 TD Long (from the last 45 TD Hurst Low at the 6/28L)

Tuesday, August 14, 2018

A Crisis of Confidence

The active biblical cycle does suggest the coming High will be a major High and afterwards we will see lower Highs & lower Lows and that eventually a crisis of Confidence will be coming, but that is only if the cycle remains active many months down the road, which is to be seen.

Friday, August 10, 2018

Biblical numerology

some may be wondering what this "Biblical numerology" that the active cycle is based on, is all about, here are some simple examples http://numerology.center/bible_num.php

Tuesday, August 7, 2018

Update

The active biblical cycle was looking for an 8/2 Swing Low, then a multi week rally, with a short term 8/6-7H, but it is allowed to be a few days off, so we don't try to trade this too perfectly. In general we are higher for a number of weeks.

Monday, August 6, 2018

The active Biblical Cycle: 8/2L, 8/6H


The 25 TD Cyan Fixed cycle on the Emini SP (see above chart) and the 8 TD Cycle, which was at most 1 TD off, was the 8/2L



Fixed Cycles Cluster8/2/18L

The 139 CD, 90 CD, 358 TD & 331 CD fixed Cycles below were all the 8/2/18L


96 TD/139 CD Cycle: 2/25/15H-145-7/20/15H-135-12/1/15H-141-4/20/16H-140-9/7/16H-136-1/23/17L-(6/7/17  miss)-2 X 137.5 10/25/17L 139- 3/13/18H – 139- 7/30/18+/- => 8/2/18L

90 CD: 90 CD: 5/20/15H-8/18H-11/16L- 2/14/16H, 5/14+5L, 8/12+1H, 11/10L-6, 2/10/17L-2, 5/11H-2, 8/9/17H-1, 11/7/17H -94- 2/5/18 -83- 5/3/18L -90- 8/2/18L


358 TD Cycle: 5/12/04L-359-10/13/05L-354-3/14/07L-356-8/11/08H-357-1/11/10H-361-6/16/11L-358-11/16/12L-351-4/11/14L-369-9/29/15L-357-3/1/17H-358-8/02/18+/-=> 8/2/18L

331 CD/228 TD/46-47 wk Cycle: 8/11/08H-331-7/08/09L-335-6/8/10L-328-5/2/11H-336-04/02/12H-330-2/26/13L-329-1/21/14H-329-12/16/14L-335-11/16/15L-329-10/10/16H-330-9/5/17L- 8/2/18L.

There is an active “Biblical” cycle (a Cycle following biblical numerology) right now, which is our current bias and takes precedent above other cycles. This cycle may be off a few days, but it is still "active". An active Cycle is a cycle that is repeating past Highs and Lows and has at least 3-5 "hits".  

The active Biblical cycle recently predicted the 7/25 High and suggests  8/2 Low was the Low for some time. Next it is suggesting Monday 8/6+/-1 should be a short term High, before we see a retrace, then higher Highs afterwards. Once this cycle eventually tops out, be prepared for a giant roller coaster ride of biblical proportions.



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Wednesday, July 25, 2018

7/24 Geo CIT was the 7/23 Low instead

We have seen no reversal lower, so the current bias is the 7/24 Geo time CIT was the 10 TD Hurst Low at the 7/23 Low. 

We should now be rallying into a major Time & Cycle Cluster coming Up, will update when we get there.

Tuesday, July 24, 2018

7/24 short term High


Review: In our July 2 update, we were looking for a 7/2 major Low, with a hard retest of the 6/28 Low and a sharp rally afterwards: https://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2018/07/the-active-dominant-cycle-july-2-major.html

Actual: We made a 6/28-7/2 double Low and have since rallied into today's Highs. 


What's Next?: We are rallying into the 7/24 Geometric time CIT & 1st hourly CIT today, suggesting a 1st hour High at 2830 SPX channel resistance, but as bullish momentum is strong, we need a reversal lower to confirm. There is a 25 TD Cycle due 7/25 supporting a 7/24-25 short term High as well. 



2.44 pm Eastern Update:  We are seeing a nice reversal lower from the 1st hourly CIT High today, Key channel support to watch 2801 SPX and the 7/23 last siwng Low at 2795 SPX.



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Monday, July 9, 2018

Monday, July 2, 2018

The active dominant cycle: July 2 major swing Low.

Review: From the June 4th Raj T&C Weekend Email (One month ago): "There is a cluster of 6-7 fixed cycles all due end June/early July that should be a major High or Low"

Actual: The fixed cycles due end June/early July: the 80 CD Cycle, the 90 CD Cycle, the 95 CD Cycle, the 32-33 wk cycle, the 5 Month cycle and the 1308 CD Cycle are all due late June/early July should be a major swing Low based on the dominant active cycle shown below. Fixed cycles can expand and contract by a few days to a few weeks and are not exact, while an "active" cycle is a precise historic cycle as it is +/- 1 to 2 days max.


Review: From the June 23 Raj T&C Daily Email: "There is a possible active cycle (grey lines in chart), which is the current cycle bias, that suggests from 6/22H, we decline into 6/25L (1), rally into 6/27H (2) and decline into 7/2 swing Low (3)"

Actual: From 6/22H, we declined into 6/25L, rallied into 6/27H and we are now declining into 7/2 swing Lows, which makes the above active cycle the dominant cycle to watch.


What's Next: We should see a hard retest of the 6/28 Lows and ideally see lower Lows at today's projected July 2 major swing Low+/-2 and start a multi week rally phase. Bears beware.




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