Monday, September 24, 2018

Update: 273 CD Cycle

The 167 and 93 TD Cycle seems stretched. The 273 CD/9 Month cycle suggests we top out at anytime, which may be the 9/21H


Thursday, September 13, 2018

The G9 8/29H & the 167 TD and 93 TD cycle 9/13H+/-2

The "G9" (Geometric 9) CIT (Change in Trend) technique I learnt many decades ago from a gentleman, whose name was "G9" on the Crystal Ball forum http://www.crystalball-forum.com/context/main/crystal/. 



The G9 CIT pinpointed the 7/23/18 Low, 8/15/18 Low and the 8/29/18 swing High.


The 8/29/18 swing High was also part of the Flash Crash  75 week cycle, which I posted about in the past here, here and here to name a few.


The regular 167 TD (Trading Days) Cycle was also mentioned in the past here and is next due 9/13/18 +/-



167 TD  Cycle (Pink lines on chart): 9/19/14H -167-5/20/15H -167+1-1/20/16L-167-1-9/14/16L-167+2-5/18/17L-167- 1/16/18 - 167- 9/13/18H+/-2

The regular 93-94 TD Cycle was also a regular cycle mentioned in the past on this blog here and here and is next due 9/13/18+/-.



93 TD Cycle (red lines on chart): 9/29/15L -93- 2/11/16L -94- 6/27/16L -92- 11/4/16L -95- 8/8/17H -91- 12/14/17L -95- 5/3/18L -94- 9/13/18H+/-2

As fixed cycles can expand and contract, the 167 TD and 93 TD Cycle has a maximum +/-2 TD leeway and has been pretty consistent and suggests a 9/13/18 swing High +/-2.

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Tuesday, August 21, 2018

8/15 Cycle Lows

It should be clear by now that 8/15 was the 45 TD Hurst swing Low at 33 TD (Trading Days) Long. In 2018, they have averaged 31 TD, This is in agreement with the active Biblical cycle Lows as well.

Wednesday, August 15, 2018

The 45 TD Hurst Cycle

The 45 TD Hurst Cycle is also in a declining phase

In 2018, the 45 TD Hurst Cycle has averaged 31 TD (Trading Days) so far, 

12/29/17L -28- 2/9L -34- 4/2L -23- 5/3L -39- 6/28L -33- 8/15L+ (ongoing)

Today, 8/15 it is 33 TD Long (from the last 45 TD Hurst Low at the 6/28L)

Tuesday, August 14, 2018

A Crisis of Confidence

The active biblical cycle does suggest the coming High will be a major High and afterwards we will see lower Highs & lower Lows and that eventually a crisis of Confidence will be coming, but that is only if the cycle remains active many months down the road, which is to be seen.

Friday, August 10, 2018

Biblical numerology

some may be wondering what this "Biblical numerology" that the active cycle is based on, is all about, here are some simple examples http://numerology.center/bible_num.php

Tuesday, August 7, 2018

Update

The active biblical cycle was looking for an 8/2 Swing Low, then a multi week rally, with a short term 8/6-7H, but it is allowed to be a few days off, so we don't try to trade this too perfectly. In general we are higher for a number of weeks.

Monday, August 6, 2018

The active Biblical Cycle: 8/2L, 8/6H


The 25 TD Cyan Fixed cycle on the Emini SP (see above chart) and the 8 TD Cycle, which was at most 1 TD off, was the 8/2L



Fixed Cycles Cluster8/2/18L

The 139 CD, 90 CD, 358 TD & 331 CD fixed Cycles below were all the 8/2/18L


96 TD/139 CD Cycle: 2/25/15H-145-7/20/15H-135-12/1/15H-141-4/20/16H-140-9/7/16H-136-1/23/17L-(6/7/17  miss)-2 X 137.5 10/25/17L 139- 3/13/18H – 139- 7/30/18+/- => 8/2/18L

90 CD: 90 CD: 5/20/15H-8/18H-11/16L- 2/14/16H, 5/14+5L, 8/12+1H, 11/10L-6, 2/10/17L-2, 5/11H-2, 8/9/17H-1, 11/7/17H -94- 2/5/18 -83- 5/3/18L -90- 8/2/18L


358 TD Cycle: 5/12/04L-359-10/13/05L-354-3/14/07L-356-8/11/08H-357-1/11/10H-361-6/16/11L-358-11/16/12L-351-4/11/14L-369-9/29/15L-357-3/1/17H-358-8/02/18+/-=> 8/2/18L

331 CD/228 TD/46-47 wk Cycle: 8/11/08H-331-7/08/09L-335-6/8/10L-328-5/2/11H-336-04/02/12H-330-2/26/13L-329-1/21/14H-329-12/16/14L-335-11/16/15L-329-10/10/16H-330-9/5/17L- 8/2/18L.

There is an active “Biblical” cycle (a Cycle following biblical numerology) right now, which is our current bias and takes precedent above other cycles. This cycle may be off a few days, but it is still "active". An active Cycle is a cycle that is repeating past Highs and Lows and has at least 3-5 "hits".  

The active Biblical cycle recently predicted the 7/25 High and suggests  8/2 Low was the Low for some time. Next it is suggesting Monday 8/6+/-1 should be a short term High, before we see a retrace, then higher Highs afterwards. Once this cycle eventually tops out, be prepared for a giant roller coaster ride of biblical proportions.



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Wednesday, July 25, 2018

7/24 Geo CIT was the 7/23 Low instead

We have seen no reversal lower, so the current bias is the 7/24 Geo time CIT was the 10 TD Hurst Low at the 7/23 Low. 

We should now be rallying into a major Time & Cycle Cluster coming Up, will update when we get there.

Tuesday, July 24, 2018

7/24 short term High


Review: In our July 2 update, we were looking for a 7/2 major Low, with a hard retest of the 6/28 Low and a sharp rally afterwards: https://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2018/07/the-active-dominant-cycle-july-2-major.html

Actual: We made a 6/28-7/2 double Low and have since rallied into today's Highs. 


What's Next?: We are rallying into the 7/24 Geometric time CIT & 1st hourly CIT today, suggesting a 1st hour High at 2830 SPX channel resistance, but as bullish momentum is strong, we need a reversal lower to confirm. There is a 25 TD Cycle due 7/25 supporting a 7/24-25 short term High as well. 



2.44 pm Eastern Update:  We are seeing a nice reversal lower from the 1st hourly CIT High today, Key channel support to watch 2801 SPX and the 7/23 last siwng Low at 2795 SPX.



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Monday, July 9, 2018

Monday, July 2, 2018

The active dominant cycle: July 2 major swing Low.

Review: From the June 4th Raj T&C Weekend Email (One month ago): "There is a cluster of 6-7 fixed cycles all due end June/early July that should be a major High or Low"

Actual: The fixed cycles due end June/early July: the 80 CD Cycle, the 90 CD Cycle, the 95 CD Cycle, the 32-33 wk cycle, the 5 Month cycle and the 1308 CD Cycle are all due late June/early July should be a major swing Low based on the dominant active cycle shown below. Fixed cycles can expand and contract by a few days to a few weeks and are not exact, while an "active" cycle is a precise historic cycle as it is +/- 1 to 2 days max.


Review: From the June 23 Raj T&C Daily Email: "There is a possible active cycle (grey lines in chart), which is the current cycle bias, that suggests from 6/22H, we decline into 6/25L (1), rally into 6/27H (2) and decline into 7/2 swing Low (3)"

Actual: From 6/22H, we declined into 6/25L, rallied into 6/27H and we are now declining into 7/2 swing Lows, which makes the above active cycle the dominant cycle to watch.


What's Next: We should see a hard retest of the 6/28 Lows and ideally see lower Lows at today's projected July 2 major swing Low+/-2 and start a multi week rally phase. Bears beware.




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Friday, June 29, 2018

The 15 CD/10-11 TD pattern


We have had 3 rally phases since the 4/2 Low. The 1st two were followed by a 15 CD/10-11 TD decline and suggests the decline from 6/13H should last 15 C/11 TD into 6/28/18L+/-,which we have now seen. Will this be the Low?



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Thursday, June 21, 2018

Retest of Lows in the coming days

The projected 6/18L was the 1st hour 6/19L at the 55 TD Cycle & 6/18 Geo time CIT.
We touched upper down channel resistance yesterday and we are now declining off that High and remain firmly in the 5 min & hourly down channel.
We should see a retest of the Lows in the coming days.

Monday, June 18, 2018

June 18 Low


The 55 TD Cycle was due today Monday, 6/18.



The next Apex CIT was  due today, 6/18.

The next Geometric time CIT was also due today 6/18.

We have declined into 6/18 Geo Time CIT, 6/18 Apex CIT and 55 TD Cycle, suggesting a 6/18 short term Low is forming.

We remain in the large Pink channel since the 4/2 Low.

Tuesday, June 12, 2018

The 80-20% rule in the markets

The 80-20% rule is certainly in these markets (80% of the price move happens in the last 20% of time), but applies to most everything else in our lives. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fCn8zs912OE

Thursday, June 7, 2018

SP near pink channel resistance at the projected 6/7 High, will it hold?

SP near pink channel resistance at the projected 6/7 High, will it hold?

Wednesday, June 6, 2018

Raj Time and Cycles 6/6/18 Review & Forecast



In my last major Cycle update, I was looking for an 4/18-19 swing High

From 4/19 Daily Email: “From the 4/18-19H, we were looking for a 5 day sharp decline into 4/25L

Actual: We made an 4/18H and saw a 5 day relatively sharp 105 SP decline into 4/25L.



The dominant cycle (green Lines) then predicted a choppy rally, with an 4/30H, 5/1L, 5/3H-1, 5/4 swing Low, followed by another rally into 5/10H+2, which was the 5/14 swing High.

The dominant cycle recently had 7 hits: 5/15L, 5/17H, 5/21L (5/18L -1), 5/22H, 5/29L, rally into 5/30H at the 5/30 Geo CIT and another decline into 6/1 Low (5/31L-1).

What’s next: We are looking for a short term 6/7 High, followed by another decline into XXX and another rally afterwards.


Daytraders: Intraday Time and Cycle Forecast:

Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 6/06/18: 10.35-40, 12.35, 3.50, 4.15 pm Eastern

Actual:

Intraday Cycle is the Pink lines(9.40H), 10.20L, 11.15H, 12.30L, 2.00H, 3.10L

Actual: 9.45H, 10.10L

Wednesday sees a possible 9.40 cycle High+/- , decline to a 10.20 cycle Low at the 10.35-40 time CIT, rally to a 11.15 cycle High+/-30, decline to a 12.30 cycle Low at the 12.35 time CIT, rally to a 2.00 cycle High+/-30 min, decline to a 3.10 cycle Low at the 3.50-4.15 pm time CIT.


Actual: We gapped higher to a 9.45H and made a 10.10 1st hour Low so far.

The intraday cycle sees a 1st hour Low, midday Low and last hour Low.


If the midday Low is lower than the 1st hour Low, it suggests a last hour lowest Low and Vice Versa.

Tomorrow’s intraday cycle is biased higher.





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Tuesday, May 15, 2018

5/14 Apex CIT High and 2.15-40 pm CITs


The most recent daily Apex CIT (Change in Trend) was on 5/14 at the 5/14H. The hourly Apex of the same, was on Friday 5/11 at the close. The actual swing High arrived a little more than 1 hour later on Monday 5/14 at 10.40 am. There are other future Apex Time CITs to watch.


The last 9 consecutive days saw an important CIT (Change in Trend) centered on 2.15-2.50 pm Eastern. 5 were High of Day (HOD) and 3 were a Low of day (LOD).

5/2 2.15HOD
5/3 2.45HOD
5/4 2.50HOD
5/7 2.40HOD
5/8 2.45LOD
5/9 2.15HOD
5/10 2.45L
5/11 2.15LOD
5/14 2.20LOD
5/15 2.15-50?


Wednesday, May 9, 2018

Short term Trends and the next daily Sun Jupiter 30 degrees




The last 5 consecutive days saw a CIT (Change in Trend) centered on 2.40-2.50 pm Eastern (red lines). The first 4 were High of Day (HOD) and yesterday was a Low of day (LOD).

5/2 2.15HOD
5/3 2.45HOD
5/4 2.50HOD
5/7 2.40HOD
5/8 2.45LOD

Will today be another 2.40-50 time CIT? 

In any case, there is 2683-84 SPX triple resistance above.


Meanwhile, we had another daily Sun Jupiter 30 degrees CIT on 5/8-9.





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Wednesday, May 2, 2018

3 Upcoming Apex CITs to watch


Within the large contracting triangle, we are in a smaller contracting (brown lines) triangle, with 2685 SPX, resistance and 2630 SPX support. A break out (large move) of the smaller triangle is imminent. (green lines is the active cycle).


The pink vertical lines are Apex CITs (Change in Trend) that has worked well in the past (see chart). There are 3 upcoming hourly Apex CITs to watch closely on 5/3, 5/8 and 5/11, suggesting the choppiness should continue for a while longer. The Daily Apex CITs falls on different dates, which gives daily time CITs.





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Thursday, April 26, 2018

Stuck in a large triangle the last 3 months


From the projected 4/18H, we declined a profitable 104.72 SPs into 4/25 Low so far.

We remain in a large red contracting triangle the last 3 months, with 2738 SPX resistance and 2566 SPX support, whichever way it breaks, will determine the next 350 SP direction.




Per request, here is the crude monthly chart. 

I look at crude in the weekend Updates, the chart is in a clear up channel, with resistance at 71.56. There is a possible Junction point f Trendlines CIT for the April Month.

Monthly crude bottomed at the 37 month cycle back in June 2017 Low, before that there was a large monthly Apex CIT at the Feb 2016 Lows/

Sunday, April 22, 2018

The Updated Bitcoin Cycle

I first discovered a  Bitcoin cycle shifted 40-41 CD to predict the SPX back  on 2/5/18.

My friend Georg from http://time-price-research-astrofin.blogspot.ca/ upon my request updated the Bitcoin Chart shifted +44. here are the results. The Updated Bitcoin Cycle supports the Master Cycle (MC) and the two other active Cycles suggesting an 4/18 major High. Please note the MC, which has precedent, has a different path than the Bitcoin cycle after some time.  



Saturday, April 14, 2018


S&P 500 Index vs BitCoin | shifted 44 Calendar Days


The correlation between Bitcoin prices shifted 44 Calendar Days into the future and the S&P 500 was discovered by Raj Time and Cycles (HERE + HERE). The correlation cycle is not perfect; it contracts and stretches ± 2 calendar days. Currently a 44 calendar day correlation points to a major high in the S&P 500 around April 17 (Tue).


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