Wednesday, April 17, 2019

and the beat goes on..

and the beat goes on. Shorter term, we could sell channel resistance and buy channel support until the channel breaks.

Monday, April 15, 2019

Stuck in a narrow compressed Up channel the last 2 weeks

Stuck in a narrow compressed Up channel the last 2 weeks, once it breaks, it should be relatively sharp and fast.

Tuesday, April 2, 2019

The Master Cycle Update: 4/2-3 High

In my last post, I was looking for a 3/4 swing High

From 3/4 Raj T&C Daily Email: I found a possible Master Cycle (MC) that forecasted the:

1. 09/21/18H
2. 10/29/18L
3. 11/07/18H
4. 12/03/18H
5. 12/26/18 major Low.

It is now suggesting a 3/05 swing High, followed by a decline into 3/11L, up into 3/14-15H, 3/19L, 3/21H. I don’t expect this cycle to follow perfectly all the details, as it has been off at times by 1-2 TD, but it should generally be in there."

1. 3/05H => 3/4 short term swing High, 1 TD earlier
2. 3/11L => 3/8 Low, 1 TD earlier
3.3/14-15H =>  Miss
4. 3/19L => 3/20L, 1 TD earlier
5. 3/21H => 3/21 High.

From the above we see that although the MC is not perfect as it had 1 miss, the cycle is still "active" with future hits +/-2. The MC is a time Cycle that doesn't predict Price Magnitude.

From 3/21 & 3/27 Raj T&C Daily Email: "The MC suggests a 3/21H, decline into 3/27L, rally into 4/2 swing High"

6. 3/27L => 3/25L, 2 TD earlier, 3/27 retest Low
7. 4/2H => We are currently rallying into 4/2H

There is a 16 TD, 66 TD and 25 TD fixed cycle supporting an 4/3-5 CIT as well.

Conclusion and what's Next: The Master Cycle has had some misses and is not perfect, but it remains in the markets with "active" hits +/-1-2 TD and is now suggesting an 4/2 swing High+/-2 at the 4/2 Geometric Time CIT, 4/4-5 Time Square CIT and 16, 25 and 66 TD Cycles due 4/3-5.

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