The squared cycle reviewed in details

The bearish squared cycle I was watching and posted on 4/23/11 on my blog:

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2011/04/cycles-and-forecast.html 

The Master Cycle and longer term cycle all were suggesting higher above 2/18 highs, but the bearish squared cycle was in contrast with the majority of bullish cycles  

The bearish Squared Cycle was 24 squared weeks =4032 CD Cycle, here is the chart I posted:

1. 2/28/00L + 34 Squared weeks = 3/14/11 Low (+2) 
2. 3/24/00H + 34 Squared weeks = 4/08/11 High
3. 4/04/00L + 34 Squared weeks = 4/19/11 Low (-1)
4. 4/10/00H + 34 Squared weeks = 4/25/11
5. 4/14/00L + 34 Squared weeks = 4/29/11

 The 4/10/00H inverted to a 4/25 Low.  

"I already have a bias which one will be exact, But I will know for sure on the basis on one particular cluster Timing CIT due in the coming week."

The CIT I was watching for this week was that 4/25 date, which was a Low, so the Master cycle and Long Term bullish cycles got confirmed early on, which was my bias at the beginning of the week.



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The Major Divergence to watch closely

The Stock markets have been making new yearly and recovery Highs as the Master Cycles expected, but the Bank Indices have not joined in the party. This kind of bearish divergences, if prolonged are often an indication of  a topping process.

The daily Banks Index (BKX) (click on chart to enlarge) are struggling to rally, closing fractionally higher  at 51.40, close to yearly Lows, despite the general market being at new yearly highs. The Banks are seriously bearishly diverging from the rest of the markets and should be closely watched. We are below the 12/31/10 Low yearly close at 52.21, which means we are down for the year and this is bearish.  Long term Make or Break Cyan channel support is at 50.00.  Any sharp drop and solid close below 50.00 would be Super bearish.We have been in this LT bullish up channel, ever since the 3/6/09 Lows, with Key channel support is at 50.00.

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Cycles and forecast in the coming week

Any cycle, for it to be an active Cycle in my work has to abide by certain rules:

1. They have to have at least 3-5 consecutive recent direct "hits", ie they have to have predicted at least 3-5 recent Highs and Lows.

2. They have to have a proven numerology behind them, ie they have to have a Vedic, Squared, Astro, etc. based numerology in them for the cycle to be even considered.

3. There are other rules, but these are some of them.

In light of the above, as mentioned before, both the long term and Master cycle (Click on chart to enlarge) suggested a short squeeze in the coming weeks. In the chart, Red lines are the forecast, blue, cyan lines are the projected Highs and Lows.

 However, for next week only, there is also the "squared" cycle (left, click on chart to enlarge) that I rediscovered that suggest we could be down this coming week only, before heading higher. 

Of course it would have been better if all cycles agreed, but sometimes, like in the coming week, you have to be aware, that they are opposing cycles at work. It is not that easy. if it was easy, we would all be rich.

I already have a bias which one will be exact, But I will know for sure on the basis on one particular cluster Timing CIT due in the coming week.


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The coming April 25-29 week

Various Cycles suggest a large move in the coming week, some suggest Up, other suggest down.

It will depend on one particular Timing cluster CIT (Change in Trend = High or Low) in the coming week, which will determine the outcome. It should be very profitable, if the Timing is right.

The US Dollar Times and Cycles

The US Dollar weekly (click on chart to enlarge) has been in a solid weekly Down trend ever since the June 2010 and more recently the Jan 2011 Highs. The Dollar is closely linked with many other markets including the Stock markets.

Upcoming Dollar Daily Change in Trend (CIT) Times:  5/3*, 6/20, 7/5, 8/18

Upcoming Dollar Weekly Change in Trend (CIT) Times:  1st wk of May, 5/20-27 wk, 1st wk of July, 8/26 wk, 12/23 wk.

The 5/3 CIT and 1st wk of May should be an important turning point to watch.
The 7/5 CIT and the 1st wk of July should be an important turning point to watch.

Key Dollar Price Resistance: 75.80, 76.88, 77.45

A weekly rally above the 1st Down trend line at 75.80 would be the 1st Buy signal, above 76.88, the wave 1 low of the current decline is bullish for a move to 77.45. A rally above 77.45 double weekly Down trend lines is bullish.

Key Dollar Price Support: 74.17, the 11/09 Low, 72.86, the 88.6%, Major Long term Support 70.70 3/17/08L 

We closed below the 78.6% retrace suggesting a full retest of the 3/17/08 Low at 70.70 Support.

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The short squeeze from Hell

I mentioned yesterday in the T&C Live chat Forum, that I see a possible short squeeze from Hell in the next couple of weeks.

This is due to the long term Cycle I mentioned in last night's email, which bottomed on the 4/18 Lows, along with the Hurst 20 TD/5week Lows at 23 TD from the 3/16 Lows and sees a Bull stampede the next couple of weeks.

The general Master Cycle looking for a Power rally above 1344 SPX have expanded to the 4/18 Lows and will be proven correct for a continued rally into May-June Highs. All Cycles expand and contract due to planetary speeds, this includes the current Mercury Retrograde, which is about to go direct this weekend.





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The Master Cycle 2011 Update: higher Stock market Prices ahead

On 4/14 I posted in the comment section of my previous post: 

 "The Master cycle had a 4/12 Low +/-, then we make higher Highs after. That still stands, even if we are off by 2 days today. Ideally we bottom out at the 4/13-14 CIT. We again tested the ideal MC target of 1305-1310 SPX. That would also make the 10 and 20 TD Hurst Lows extended to 12 TD and 22 TD Long and overdue for a bottom. We need a reversal higher to confirm."

The Master Cycle (MC) (click on chart to enlarge) expected 4/12 Low arrived 2 days later on my targeted 4/14 NDX CIT Low at 1302.40 SPX, right at the MC 1305 SPX target.  There is plenty of bearish sentiment on various forums, but The MC now projects higher Prices in the days and weeks ahead. We should ideally see a rally above the 2/18 High at 1344 SPX.  The Master Cycle has an ideal targeted Time and Price for the next swing High and next swing Low.

 

The Master Cycle (MC) 2011-2012 Long term forecast was first mentioned in the beginning of 2011 (http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2011/01/stockmarket-forecast-2011-and-next.html and http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2011/02/master-cycle-2011-2012-crash-forecast.html ) and is so far being followed, ie generally higher into June 2011, which should be the MAJOR HIGH of 2011 and then weaker in the 2nd Half of the year and lower into October 2012 Major Lows. Major Uptrend line resistance is at 1386 SPX next week. A break below the major Uptrend line at 1259 SPX is Super bearish. We should retrace at least 50% to 1000 SPX from the June 2011 High. The Price Magnitude is not a guarantee in the chart, but should be a general guideline. Other cycles that I watch confirms the MC outlook for a June High and down the rest of the year and into 2012 Lows.

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The Master Cycle Update and 1 week trial of the Raj T&C Daily Email

In my last Master cycle (MC) Update almost 3 weeks ago, I suggested "the Panic Major Lows are already in on 3/16 and we are in a new rally phase" 

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2011/03/master-cycle-update-panic-lows-are.html

The rally phase is still in progress. 

In the mean time, from the 3/18 Lows, the MC (click on chart to enlarge) was looking for: 

1. rally into 3/25 High
2. Brief pullback into 3/30 Low (actual 3/29 low)
3. Another rally into 4/6 High
4. Pullback into 4/12 Low +/-
5. Rally to higher Highs above the 2/18 Highs...


So far so good as the MC and other cycles remains generally on track.

There are certainly some interesting and volatile weeks and months directly ahead and you don't want to miss it!

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Open House/Free week at the Time and Cycles Forums moved to 5/5

The Open House/Free week at the Time and Cycles Forums moved to 5/5-5/12, instead of 4/12-4/19.

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Happy Vedic New Year

Most Vedic Astrologers agrees the Vedic New Year starts on the New Moon between the Mid March and Mid April Lunar Month, which is the start of Spring and the beginning of the 9 Days of Mother Divine. The Vedic New Year, Spring and the 9 Days starts this year on 4/4/2011.

The 9 Lunar days of Mother Divine occurs twice a year in the Vedic Year in the Lunar Months  between Mid March/Mid April and 6 Lunar Months later between Mid September/Mid October.  They start right around the New Moon.  

These primordial female forces, aka Mother Divine (MD) (Mother Nature)  are the forces responsible for all of creation. These forces are lively and accessible during these 9 days of Mother Divine in their original forms of dissolution, maintenance and creation (Durga, Mahalaksmi and Saraswati).  

The first 3 days of MD are known as the MahaDurga forces/energies, which destroys all the impurities, evils, sins and Ignorance within ourselves.  

After we have been purified by the Durga forces, in the next 3 days, MahaLaksmi's forces and energies becomes lively. These Natural Laws bestows all wealth and comforts on us to sustain us.

The final 3 days, Maha Saraswati becomes lively, the Natural laws of Wisdom and knowledge. 

It is through knowledge,we can create a better life for ourselves and others. 

Thus the process in these 9 days are destruction of ignorance, maintenance through wealth and Creation or fulfilling your desires through Knowledge. These 9 days at the beginning of the new year are considered to be a very auspicious time.

Intraday Time and Cycles 4/01/11

Intraday 5 min CIT (Change in Trend) (click on chart to enlarge) Times are the red vertical lines 4/01/11: 9.35, 10.00, 11.55 pm Eastern

Solar Price Support/Resistance are the light Green horizontal lines:  1261, 1269*, 1279, 1297, 1314, 1315, 1333, 1351 June SP

Intraday Cycle are the Cyan lines: 10.30H, 11.15L, 12.30H, 2.00L, 3.40H (80%)

 Chart updated, Please note, I have made intraday updates in the commentary section of this post. 


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