Follow us on Twitter Update: Intraday Times & Cycles

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles 13h13 hours ago

All intraday Time CITs (Change in Trends) are +/-5-10 min Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 12/27/17: 9.35, 11.25-35**, 2.30, 4.05 pm Eastern

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles 3m3 minutes ago

Cyan vertical lines are the 5 min CITs, 9.35 CIT was the 9.40 Low. Pink lines are the speculative path for today, a 1st hour High and a last hour Low

The Dominant 96 TD Cycle was the 12/18/17 swing High

***Happy Holidays!***

 In my last 12/11 Update, I mentioned we were looking for another High in December due to a cycle I have mentioned many times in the last few years on my blog.

It is the dominant 96 Trading day (TD) Cycle in the Emini SP. If you look carefully at this cycle on the chart above, it has been often exact and at times off by maximum 1 or 2 TD. The next 96 TD Cycle CIT was due 12/20/17 and was the 12/18 swing High.

What's next: 12/18 was also a Solar and double Geometric swing High. As bullish momentum remains strong and all trends remains firmly up, we need a solid reversal lower to confirm the highs are in and then we should now see a decline into Jan 2018. 

Are you ready for 2018? It should be an eventfull year with many major turning points.

Another T&C Cluster High is due in December

December 4 Time and Cycle (T&C) cluster High remains the High to date, but there is yet another reliable cycle, that was mentioned in previous blog posts, still due in December that should produce another important T&C cluster High, before we see a more decent decline into January 2018...

The late Nov to early Dec 2017 T&C Cluster & 132 week Cycle

From my last public post, I was looking for an "Upcoming December swing High"

The 66 wk/132 wk cycle is well known by various technical analysts. I first heard about the 132 week cycle back in late 1990's from the now retired Chuck Plank, editor of the Golden Touch Newsletter. He once correlated 3 major Highs to 3 major Lows with the 132 week Cycle.

01/14/00H +131.71 wks = 07/24/02L
03/24/00H + 132.86 wks = 10/10/02L
09/01/00H + 131.71 wks = 03/12/03L

The 66 wk/132 week cycle can also be found in the NDX Cycle below

Fro many weeks now we had a major Time and Cycle (T&C) Cluster starting from 11/24 into 12/5 Time Cluster, along with the 55 week and 132 week cycle due in that same time frame: "The next T&C Cluster is 11/24-12/4, with a 11/23 Solar, 11/24-27-28-29 Quadruple Geo CIT & 12/1 Solar and 12/4-5 triple Geo CIT along with the major 132 week Cycle due 12/1+/-

Actual: The NDX  topped out at the 11/28/17 High, right at channel resistance, while the SPX topped out at the 12/4/17 High, at the 12/1 Solar and 12/4-5 triple Geo time CIT,  piercing its long term channel resistance since the March 2009 Low, when the current Bull market began.

What's Next: From 12/4H, we started a decline that should lasts into the next major Time and Cycle Cluster. We are currently researching the Top 5-10 major Time & Cycle Clusters (Major Turning Points) for 2018, which should be very rewarding to find.

The upcoming December 2017 Swing High

From my 11/14 T&C blog post: "We bottom at the 11/13-15 triple CIT and start a rally"

Actual: We bottomed at the 11/15L and has since rallied into today. 

Since early October Low, almost 2 months now, we have been stuck in a sideways to Up channel in the Emini SP. There are a couple of reliable cycles that are due to top out in December, which will be followed by a relative sharp decline afterwards. Be prepared.

Forecast from 11/7 vs Actual & Intraday Times & Cycles for 11/15/17

Forecast from 11/7 Update: "we are rallying into the 11/7 Solar CIT suggesting a 11/7H forming. From there we see a choppiness and a decline into the next Monday 11/13 Geo CIT, bounce into 11/15 Solar CIT"

Actual: From the 11/7 Solar CIT High, we declined into 11/14L at the 11/13 & 11/14 Geo & 11/15 Solar time CIT, touching key Cyan channel support. We should see a decent rally phase from here into the next Time CIT.

What's next: We bottom at the 11/13-15 triple CIT and start a rally.

Intraday Time and Cycles for Nov 15

Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 11/15/17: 10.30, 11.20, 12.45, 1.40A, 2.55hrl, 3.40  pm Eastern

Intraday Cycle is the Pink lines (9.40L), 10.30H, 11.15L, 12.20H, 2.00L, 3.40H

Wednesday sees a possible 9.40 cycle Low+/-, rally to a 10.30 cycle High at the 10.30 time CIT, decline to a 11.15 cycle Low at the 11.20 time CIT, rally to a 12.20 cycle High at the 12.45 time CIT, decline to a 2.00 cycle Low at the 1.45 Apex & 2.55 hourly time CIT , rally to a 3.40 cycle High+/-30 min.

Review Intraday Time CITs 11/9/17

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles12h12 hours ago
Intraday cycle stuff suggests a 1st hour Low and last hour High Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 11/09/17: 9.55, 11.05 am Eastern
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Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles

9.55 CIT Low and 11.05 CIT High of Day, Bulls Eye Hits and we closed just below the wedge.

We saw a 1st hour Low and a last hour High

Twitter Update 11/9/17

Globex futures - 13.50 on worries about Tax plan
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stocks-poised-to-lose-grip-of-record-highs-on-delay-worries-about-tax-plan-2017-11-09

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles  now

Intraday cycle stuff suggests a 1st hour Low and last hour High Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 11/09/17: 9.55, 11.05 am Eastern

Twitter Update 11/8/17

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles  24s24 seconds ago

The intraday cycle is an Inversion day with a high 79% chance we see a 1st hour 10.20 High+/- and if seen there is a 68% chance we see a last hour High and a 32% chance we invert. Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 11/08/17: 10.05, 10.55, 11.50, 1.20 pm Eastern

18 Gaps below since 1/1/17

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles  now

Markets remain in an Up channel since 8/21L and since 10/25L has formed a contracting wedge/triangle. Make or Break is right around the corner.

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles  42s43 seconds ago

We have seen max 2 corrections of 34 SP's max and 5 Trading Days corrections since 8/21L. A true CIT takes place when we see > 34 SP's decline and > 5 TD. Until then all trends remains Up

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Twiiter Update 10/26

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles  13m13 minutes ago

The giddiness is getting less, so here are today's power intraday time CITs that are +/-5 min: 10/26/17: 10.25, 2.05**, 3.45 pm Eastern

Twitter Update 10/25

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles  The markets have started to track the various Time and Cycles again, with the 10/19L & 10/23H. The roadmap & outlook are crystalizing.

Triangle 10/23 Apex CIT, with 2577.40 SPX target

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles  now

Triangle 10/23 Apex CIT, with 2577.40 SPX target

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Long term Major channels

Raj Time and Cycle cluster on 10/18 & How to find a true CIT in these "Stuck Up" markets

We have been focusing on a major Time and Cycle Cluster, centered on 10/18/17 for many weeks now as the most important Change in Trend (CIT) of the October month.

From the 10/2/17 Raj T&C weekend report: "There is major Time and Cycle cluster on 10/18L+/-1: 1. 787 CD/543 TD Cycle: 3/6/09L- 5/2/11H- 6/27/13L -8/23/15L+1 – 10/18/17. 2. Triple 10/17-19 Geo CIT & 10/17 Solar CIT."

Raj Time and Cycle Cluster on 10/18/17 +/-1 

Time CITs:
1. 10/17 Solar time CIT
2. 10/17-18-18 Triple Geometric time CIT
3. 10/17 is the next Time Square CIT from 10/15/14

Cycle CIT: 
787 CD/543 TD Cycle: 3/6/09L- 5/2/11H- 6/27/13L -8/23/15L+1 – 10/20/17+/-

Stuck Up Markets, How do we find a true CIT?

We have had highly unusual  “Stuck Up” markets since 9/25L, where we see the normal Time and Cycle techniques getting ignored. We have to let the market run its rally course and prove itself, by giving us a CIT of these melt up patterns.

1.Since 9/25L, we have seen max a 2 consecutive down days of max 11 SP's from High to Low. 

For a true CIT, a change in this melt up pattern of the last 3-4 weeks, we would need to see declines that last more than 2 consecutive days and more than 11 SP's.

2. Since 8/21L, we have seen max 2 consecutive down days, but the corrections have been  max 3-5 days, with a max 21-33 SP declines from High to Low.

For a true CIT, a change in this pattern of the last 8 weeks, we would need to see declines that last more than 5 consecutive days and more than 33 SP's.

Intraday Timing: We also have a 9.35 am CIT & a 1st hour CIT today that could be a Low of the day.

Twitter Update 10/17/17

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles  now

More

For almost 2 weeks now (9 TD), we have been this narrow red channel, so we are definitely in a daytraders mode and it' not for swingtraders

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles  3s4 seconds ago

A close up shows the daily has a bearish rising wedge, with an 10/23 Apex CIT (Change in Trend)