http://safehaven.com/article/43814/raj-t-and-c-review-and-forecast-march-1-2-cycle-high
In my last public blogpost on 1/30/17, I was looking for a 1/26 major High.
In my last public blogpost on 1/30/17, I was looking for a 1/26 major High.
From the 1/27 Raj T&C Daily Email: “The Cycle bias is 1/26
major High, decline into 2/2L+/-1, 2/3H, chop into a 2/9L and see a retest of the Highs at the 2/10H”
From the 2/3 Raj T&C Daily Email: “As
the dominant cycle is a Time Cycle, it does not predict Price magnitude, so we could
see a higher or lower High at the 2/10H”
Actual: We made a 1/26
High, decline sharply into 1/31 Low and 2/2
higher Low, we then rallied into 2/3H,
chopped lower into 2/8L, 1 day
earlier and rallied above the 1/26H and beyond 2/10H. The dominant cycle (shown as the Cyan lines on the chart) worked
well through Friday 2/10, when a
High was expected, but when we rallied strongly to fresh ATH on Monday 2/13, the cycle was confirmed Non active. The next day, on 2/14 evening Update, we made a
forecast based on various Times and Cycles
and E-waves (grey lines) looking for a continued rally into 3/1H.
From the 2/15 Raj T&C Daily Email: “The
Cycle bias is we chop higher into 2/21H,
decline into 2/23L and rally into 3/1H+/-1”
Actual: The markets unfolded as expected, with
a 2/21H, 2/24L and we are now
rallying into a 3/1 Cycle High.
What’s Next: The forecast since 2/14 has remained on track for more than 2
weeks now. The recent rally since the
11/4/16 Low has been typical of a wave 3 rally, strong and relentless. We are
still expecting a rally into 3/1-2 cycle High at the 2/28 Geo CIT or 3/3 Solar time CIT and start a retrace.
13 comments:
Ian,
Sun conjunct Neptune, Jupiter opposition Uranus then Venus retrograde.
We should have a change in trend over the next few days.
Gord
very good, Raj.
Thanks as always for sharing your work.
Thanks Gord, that makes alot of sense and supporting the 3/3 Solar Time CIT.
You're welcome SJ and Jim, Please note this is not Investment Advice, so please take it Fwiw.
From last night's email: "The intraday cycle tomorrow 3/1 sees an Inversion day that has a high 79% chance we see a 1st hour cycle High.
We saw a 1st hour High as expected. We now have a 68% chance we see a last hour High.
SPX intraday Time CITs 3/01/17 to watch: 11.25, 12.30, 2.20, 2.55 pm Eastern
You nailed this cycle today! I used this opportunity to sell SPY call credits spreads expiring in September.
HiIan,
Where do you get the 3,5 times the unit ratio from?
Does it follow a specific sequence with other ratios like 1 and 1,5?
And what are the unites where this is aplicable?
Hi Miguel,
3/1-2 = March 1-2
Got you. Nevertheless are you aware of any cycles that have the ratio 1, 1,5 and 3,5 in their sequence or as a function of a sequence?
I m thinking spe ifically about the sequence
Thank you
Nevertheless are you aware of any specific cycle with the ratios 1 1,5 and 3,5 in their sequence or as a function of their sequence numbers.? Maybe also expressed as 2,3, and 7.
I am thinking specifically about:
131, 88, 88,131,89.,87,131, 315
Miguel, many cycles has these fractals or derivates that often work and some do not, you have to do the research if they do or not.
Sorry, No I am not
Thank you.
I love your work.
I am doing investigations myself.
Cycles are absolutely fascinating. The maths are everywhere yet so much intermingled and they are showing themselves in so may expressions that is mind blowing.
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