Monday, January 30, 2017

The active dominant cycle: 1/27 major High


Forecast from the 12/30/16 Raj T&C Daily Email: “The cycle bias is we decline into 12/30-1/3 Time CIT (#1 on chart), rally into 1/9H (#2)and decline into 1/12L (#3) 

Forecast from the 1/09/17 Raj T&C Daily Email: The cycle bias is from the 1/12L, we rally into 1/20H (#4)”


Actual: We bottomed on 12/30/16L, rallied to a 1/06/17H, 1 day earlier, and decline into 1/12L, we then saw a choppy rally into a 1/20H.

The active dominant cycle, 1/19 T&C Update: “Last night, I found an  “active or dominant” cycle, which has been in the markets since the 6/27/16L. It predicted the 8/15/16H, 9/7/16H, 11/4/16L and more recently, the 1/6/17H and 1/12L. It is now looking for a 1/27 major swing High+/-1 (#5 on chart).

Actual: From the 1/23 CIT Low, the rally continued into 1/26 High at 2300.99 SPX, 1 day earlier than the forecasted 1/27 major High.


The active dominant cycle is a historic pattern that is currently repeating day by day and thus predicts exact Highs and Lows+/-1-2 days. There were some time periods in the past where the cycle faded (grey lines) and inverted (11/4/16L), only to work again afterwards. When active, the dominant cycle is given precedent above all other cycles. The active dominant cycle is a rare and potential fortune making opportunity. They are not easy to find and they don't come around often. We can benefit from it as long as it lasts. It suggests we see a rally into 1/27 major High+/-1, decline into  XXX and see another retest of the recent Highs.


What’s Next: The active dominant cycle saw a 1/26 major High. We should now see an initial decline and a retest of the recent Highs.


2/15 Update: Dominant Cycle faded. https://twitter.com/TimeandCycles: 

From my 1/31 post: "The active dominant cycle saw a 1/26 major High. We should now see an initial decline and a retest of the recent Highs"

After 1/26H, we did see an initial decline and we were expecting a 2/3-10 retest Higher or lower High, whihc we have seen, but since then the markets have rallied beyond expectation, fading the dominant cycle.

We are now expecting this rally to continue into XXX Major High.

2 comments:

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Intraday CIT times to watch: Times 2/08/17: 11.15, 12.55 pm Eastern

The intraday cycle sees a 1st hour Low, midday Low and last hour Low.

If the midday Low is higher than the 1st hour Low, it indicates underlying strength and suggests a last hour higher Low and higher High.

If the midday Low is lower than the 1st hour Low, it indicates underlying weakness and suggests a last hour lower Low.

Raj Time and Cycles said...

https://twitter.com/TimeandCycles: 2/15 Update:

From my 1/31 post: "The active dominant cycle saw a 1/26 major High. We should now see an initial decline and a retest of the recent Highs"

After 1/26H, we did see an initial decline and we were expecting a 2/3-10 retest Higher or lower High. The markets have rallied beyond expectation, fading the dominant cycle.

We are now expecting this rally to continue into XXX Major High.