http://safehaven.com/article/37488/raj-time-and-cycle-review-and-forecast-43015
From my 3/27 last public blog post: ”We should make a 3/27 Low +/-1 Trading Day at the 3/27 Geometric CIT and start a relative sharp rally”
Actual: The 3/27 Geo CIT was the 3/26 Low, which remains the Low to date.
Since that 3/26 Low, the markets have been in a choppy, sideways to up (Red) channel, without a clear directional trend, frustrating Bulls and Bears alike.
There is a 2/20/15 Symmetry (mirror Image) Cycle that has been in the markets:
- 02/02L = 03/11L
- 01/22H = 03/20H
- 01/14L = 04/01L
- 12/26H = 04/15H
- 12/16L = 04/27H
- 12/05H = 05/05H is next!
The proprietary Solar and Geometric Time CITs (Change in Trend, is High or Low) in the last 4 weeks (Cyan vertical lines on chart) continue to outperform, all +/-1 Day:
- 3/27 Geometric CIT was the 3/26 Low
- 4/01 Solar CIT was the 4/1 Low
- 4/06 Geometric CIT was the 4/6 Low
- 4/11 weekend Solar CIT and 4/13-15 triple Geometric CIT was the 4/13-15 High
- 4/21 Solar CIT was the 4/22 Low
- 4/24 Geometric CIT was Monday 4/27 High, 1 day later.
- 5/1 Solar CIT is the 4/30 Low so far
From the 4/25 Raj T&C weekend Email: “We have rallied into Friday 4/24 Geometric and 4/24 SP Cycle CIT suggesting an 4/24-27 High forming. We are overbought, suggesting a pullback is due soon, most likely into the 5/1 Solar CIT Low and 156 TD Cycle due 5/1.”
Actual: We made a Monday 4/27 High in the 1st hour and right at pink channel resistance and reversed lower into Thursday 4/30 Low so far.
What’s next?: The red channel break opens the door for lower prices, especially if we decline below the last 4/17 swing Low. We are lower into the 5/1-5 cluster CIT Low at the 5/1 Solar CIT and 156 TD Cycle due 5/1 and 2 TD later at the 5/5 double Geometric and 2/20 Symmetry Cycle CIT on 5/5.
Forecast: Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 4/30/15: 9.35, 11.25, 4.10 pm CIT Eastern
Actual: 9.40 High of day (HOD), 11.35 High, 4.05 High
Forecast: Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines (9.40L), 10.30H, 12.30L, 1.30H, 3.30L
Actual: 9.40HOD, 10.25L, 11.35H, 12.55L, 1.35H, 3.15LOD
Thursday sees a High am to Low pm day, with a possible 9.40 Low at the 9.35 CIT, rally to a 10.30 High at the 11.25 CIT, decline to a 12.30 Low+/-30. rally to a 1.30 High+/-30, decline to a 3.30 Low at the 4.10 CIT
Result: The intraday cycle saw a High am to Low pm day, with a 9.40 1st hour HIgh of day and a last hour 3.15 Low of Day.
5/4 Noon Update: The 5/1 Solar CIT was the 4/30 Low, which was the 10 TD Hurst Low, being 9 TD from the 4/17 Low and if we rally into the 5/5 double Geometric CIT, it will be a swing High.
Forecast: Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 4/30/15: 9.35, 11.25, 4.10 pm CIT Eastern
Actual: 9.40 High of day (HOD), 11.35 High, 4.05 High
Forecast: Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines (9.40L), 10.30H, 12.30L, 1.30H, 3.30L
Actual: 9.40HOD, 10.25L, 11.35H, 12.55L, 1.35H, 3.15LOD
Thursday sees a High am to Low pm day, with a possible 9.40 Low at the 9.35 CIT, rally to a 10.30 High at the 11.25 CIT, decline to a 12.30 Low+/-30. rally to a 1.30 High+/-30, decline to a 3.30 Low at the 4.10 CIT
Result: The intraday cycle saw a High am to Low pm day, with a 9.40 1st hour HIgh of day and a last hour 3.15 Low of Day.
5/4 Noon Update: The 5/1 Solar CIT was the 4/30 Low, which was the 10 TD Hurst Low, being 9 TD from the 4/17 Low and if we rally into the 5/5 double Geometric CIT, it will be a swing High.
10 comments:
thank you, Raj...I guess after Aunt Yellen's all time highs, and the recent Bradley Date, a healthy pullback was indeed already expected. Had you sent your notice a few days earlier, I'm sure folks may have appreciated that a bit more...especially after today's drop. best to you...
Hi dc-BEAR , If we take out the 4/17 Low at 1972 SPX, we still have lower to go in the coming days.
Isnt 4/17 spx low @ 2072 and didnt the 1972 low occur on 12/16/14? Too cryptic for me to read/follow. Keeping it simple here, rally to next bradley turn at 5/10 starting with a nice pop tomorrow. Brad's turn this past monday was spot on FMoon. Or the complete opposite.
Peter Lo, sorry Yes, it should be 2072 SPX not 1972 SPX
Forecast: Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 4/30/15: 9.35, 11.25, 4.10 pm CIT Eastern
Actual: 9.40 High of day (HOD), 11.35 High, 4.05 High
Forecast: Intraday Cycle is the Cyan lines (9.40L), 10.30H, 12.30L, 1.30H, 3.30L
Actual: 9.40HOD, 10.25L, 11.35H, 12.55L, 1.35H, 3.15LOD
Thursday sees a High am to Low pm day, with a possible 9.40 Low at the 9.35 CIT, rally to a 10.30 High at the 11.25 CIT, decline to a 12.30 Low+/-30. rally to a 1.30 High+/-30, decline to a 3.30 Low at the 4.10 CIT
Result: The intraday cycle saw a High am to Low pm day, with a last hour 3.15 Low of Day
Raj,
Can your timing window invert and we see a swing high May 5th? Thanks
A follow up question, you mentioned 5.1-5.5 as a major low. If instead, we put in a high would you consider that an important high?
Hi Topher, It is always possible.
and if the markets wanted to perverse, which it usually loves to be, then 4/30 Low was the 5/1 Low and the 5/5 double Geo CIT is a 5/5-6 High
The 5/1 Solar CIT was the 4/30 Low, which was the 10 TD Hurst Low, being 9 TD from the 4/17 Low.
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