Wednesday, January 16, 2013

Review and Forecast

In My last post, various Time and Cycles (T&C) projected a 12/31 Low.
http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2013/01/review-1231-low-and-new-years-poem.html

From my 12/30 weekend report: "We expect a 12/31L, right at the 1/1 Solar, 12/28 Bradley,  Time and Price square on 12/29 and MTC due on 12/30-31, see a potential sharp rally into 1/4/13 CIT High, decline into 1/09-10 solar CIT Low."

Actual:  We saw a 12/31L, then a sharp rally into 1/4/13H, followed by a decline into 1/8 Low.


From the 1/11 daily Email: "The current bias is we will rally into the 1/11 CIT High, see a  decline into 1/16 intraday Low, close higher and rally into 1/18-21 Highs."

Actual: We made a 1/11H and have since declined into 1/15-16.

The previous forecasts have also been drawn, since my call for a 11/16/12 major Low on my public and private blog http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2012/11/review-1116-major-low-up-into-december.html

What's next: From the 1/15-16 Low, we should see another rally into 1/18-21 Cycle Highs, ideally targeting 1485 SPX+/-5 and right at Friday's 1/18 Solar Time CIT and Monday 1/21 geometric Time CIT.


13 comments:

Suren said...

What is your forecast for Jan. 24th Mars Rahu conjuction?

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Suren, that is a good question it is close to the 1/21H and should be a High

HousewifeMaggi said...

21 Jan 2013- a H, then 24 Jan 13 a H, but 25 Jan 13 is full moon....I cant get it, so many Hs?

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Hi Maggi,

There are many timing factors to look at to determine CITs (Change in Trend), HIghs and Lows, that is why you need to know which ones exactly are most important.

My order of importance is:

1. Active Master Cycle Highs & Lows are first.

2. Then my proprietary Solar CITs

3. Next is my proprietary geometric CITs

4. After that I look at various Astro CIT, squares, etc to support the first three, iow astro CITs are least important and serve to support the more important CITs.

Suren said...

The 1/21 High seems to be over-done by two days and counting depending on AAPL results today?

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Hi Suren,

1/21 was a Holiday, so I was looking for a 1/22 High, which came 1 TD late at 1/23 High, but all trends remain up, I would be very careful shorting against the trend, until we get certain sell signals.

I was looking for "a" 1/22 High, not "the" High as I do see higher Highs.

Unknown said...

The 1/23 high was not much of a high. Although the trend remains up, a more significant high seems to be forming based on various momentum divergences.

Unknown said...

The 1/23 high was not much of a high. Although the trend remains up, a more significant high seems to be forming based on various momentum divergences.

Raj Time and Cycles said...

unknown, In my daily email, I was looking for only a 1 day brief pullback after the 1/23H, before we continued on to higher Highs, which we did.

Marketguy said...

are there any major cycle highs coming up?

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Suren posted (comment accidentally deleted): Archcrawford (crash before end of FEb. 2013) and Marc Faber are calling for a imminent market crash soon. Martin Armstrong says that volatility will increase in 1st quarter 2013. Does your forecast have a similar view for the first quarter 2013 - a brief correction and then higher highs before the BIG HIGH?

Answer: Yes that sounds about right, but timing will be they when those Highs and Lows should happen

Marketguy said...

when "isn't" Arch Crawford calling for a crash? lol

Raj Time and Cycles said...

That signal from Arch is old.

His Mars Uranus potential Crash Cycle is between 7/19/12 and 2/1/13.