Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Cycles forecast: The 139 TD Cycle has us down into 11/9L +/-1

From this past 11/3 weekend Email: "  The next 10 TD Hurst Cycle is due on 11/9 Low+/-2. There is a regular 139 TD Cycle due on 11/9 Low as well. Various Cycles, including the 45 Yr Cycles suggest we should see a drop into 11/7-8L+/-. There are very high odds Monday 11/5 closes up for the day"

From 11/5 daily Email:  "Cycle Summary: 11/5-6H, down to 11/8L.
Time CIT:  There is a 11/6 MeR, 11/7 Solar and 11/08 geometric CIT supporting a 11/7-8 Low. 
11/8-9 Fibonacci cluster: 9/14H+55CD =11/8, 8/21H +55TD=11/9, 7/3H+89 TD =11/9, 2/5/10L+144wks=11/9"

Actual: We saw a 11/6 High at the Mercury Retrograde and are seeing a sharp decline today 11/7.


The 139 TD cycle has been very reliable in the past and is also pointing down into 11/9 Low +/-1. 

A closer look at the 139 TD Cycle confirm that the Lows are at most +/-1 TD (not +/-3).

2/5/10L + 140 = 8/27/10L +139 = 3/16/11L + 140 = 10/4/11L + 138 = 4/23/12L + 139 = 11/9L+/- 1 TD

22 comments:

Marketguy said...

+/- 3 days?!? lol!

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Yes market guy, that is what the 139 TD Cycle, it is a long cycle.

Ofcourse, I have other Time and Cycles for subs that pinpoints the exact day.

Marketguy said...

what happened to 10/26 being the low?

Raj Time and Cycles said...

It got taken out. That is only one cycle I am looking at. markets are not that simple. I told subs we could still see lower lows in the coming days.

Unknown said...

So are you expecting this coming low to hold, or will it be a short term/temporary low?

Marketguy said...

that's what I don't understand...if you follow enough cycles eventually some will hit but if not, you move onto a different one(?)

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Margetguy,

That is simply an incorrect understanding.

10/26 was a Low, which was correct and now the 139 TD Cycle +/- 1 TD will also be a Low.

Upon a closer look at the 139 TD Cycle I noticed that the Lows are at most +/-1 TD, not 3.

2/5/10L + 140 = 8/27/10L +139 = 3/16/11L + 140 = 10/4/11L + 138 = 4/23/12L + 139 = 11/9L+/- 1 TD

Fred said...

Raj,

Great work on nailing the last few highs and low. Coupled with the 200 day moving average as support for the S&P, do you see this as more of an intermediate low that may hold for more than a few weeks?

Fred said...

Raj,

Great work on nailing the last few highs and lows. Coupled with the 200 day moving average as support for the S&P, do you see this as more of an intermediate low that may hold for more than a few days, and more like a few weeks or more?

Big Bang Investor said...

Hi Raj.

Did you count the 2 trading days the market had to skip due to the storm?

Thanks.

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Big Bang, yes 139 TD is on 11/9+/-1.

Yes Fred, it should be an intermediate Low. I am looking for a multi week rally

Raj Time and Cycles said...

FYI and FWIW, 139 TD cycle has failed to produce a Low and we are looking for lower lows

Big Bang Investor said...

Ha. I think we all got that much already...

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Today is merely 3 TD past the predicted 11/9L at 1373.03 SPX. Current prices are at 1367 SPX, only -6 SP's lower, but still that for me is a cycle failure in my work and indicates we have NOT bottomed yet.

Big Bang Investor said...

Does the eclipse hold any significance in your work?

Raj Time and Cycles said...

BBI, the SE was a minor swing High, not all eclipses have CIT power though

stevesteve121 said...

when is the "real" low? since the 139 cycle failed

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Hi Steve, I am expecting within 1-2 weeks of the 139 TD projected Low.

I know others don't see that as a failure, bt as I am a perfectionist, the 139 doesn't work for me as a perfect timing tool.

You have to use these fixed cycles in confluence with other Timing and cycle techniques.

Suren said...

Raj:

The Puetz crash window opens on 11/22 - 6 days before a lunar eclipse preceded by a solar eclipse. Does your cycle work project such crash possibilites?

Marketguy said...

man, are you guys still looking for a low (been over a week and much pain now)?

Jerry said...

Hi IAN,
I will have to look into this 139 TD cycle. I love the 144TD cycle +/- 3td but you may have find tuned that cycle.
Best to you.
Jerry O

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Thanks JerryO, The 139 Cycle was 5 TD late as it arrived at the 11/16 Low.

Regards,

Ian