Monday, October 1, 2012

Dominant Cycle Update

The dominant Cycle has been active, since the 4/2/12 High and has seen many high Quality solid hits, with no Inversions (which is ideal). I first mentioned the dominant cycle in the markets on my 9/13th blog post: http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2012/09/cycle-update-910-high-911-low-up-into.html

Since then the dominant Cycle predicted the following Highs and Lows (Cyan Lines), all within 1 TD:
 9/10H, 9/11L, 9/17H (9/14H,-1TD), 9/19L (9/20L), 9/24H (9/21H,-1 TD).


From last weekend's 9/22 Email: "The dominant cycle suggests: 9/24H (9/21H), decline into 9/26L, then a solid rally into 10/2H, all +/-1."

Actual: We saw a 9/21 High, 1 TD earlier, and a decline into 9/26 Cycle Low, which was a Bulls-eye hit. Time CITs: The 9/25 Solar CIT and the 9/26 Apex CIT supported this 9/26 Cycle Low and reversal higher. So far So good.

What's next?:  From the 9/26 Cycle Low, we should continue to rally into 10/2 Cycle High+/-1.
Time CITs (Change in Trend): This 10/2 cycle High is support by a double 9/28-29 weekend geometric CIT, but more important by an 10/2 Solar CIT, which has an 84-90% accuracy.

This Cycle has been active since the 4/2 major High, but has only been recently discovered. It is an exact repetition of a certain historic pattern of Highs and Lows. As long as this cycle remains active, we can ride the waves as it will continue to be precise. Let's see how long it continues.

18 comments:

Unknown said...

Any chance the cycle high arrived 1 TD early? Thanks.

jj914 said...

Thanks for your very informative update and analysis. Looking at your graph, it appears to me there may be significant upside to this market over the coming weeks. Looks like we are in the lower end of the channel. Lets keep this dominant cycle going and keep the market up.
thx again for your update.
John

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Yes, the cycle could have arrived 1 TD early, so let's see what today 10/2 brings.

Thanks John, for the market to remain Up, we should have to hold channel support.

Suren said...

When does the time band expire for Mars Rahu conjunction, which will give the all clear sign for an end of the year rally?

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Suren, the aspect could be a High or a Low. If you look at the most recent aspects, that Low or High should be anywhere between 2-6 CD from the aspect:

Mars 180 True Node 07/23/2011 17:34 was the 7/21/11 major High

Mars 090 True Node 12/13/2011 06:12 was the12/19/11 major Low

Mars 090 True Node 03/19/2012 18:30 was the 4/2/12 major High

Mars 090 True Node 04/30/2012 23:30 was the 5/1/2012 secondary High

Mars 000 True Node 10/02/2012 15:06  Next!

jojopig.com said...

thanks for the posts.

Unknown said...

Can we now assume the Cycle high occurred on 10/1/2012, and we will decline into the next Cycle low?

CTPtrader said...

A higher high today on 10/4 is outside the 10/2 +/- 1 cycle window you mentioned. How do you interpret this? Is it a cycle failure?

Unknown said...

Apparently the solar CIT does not work. Can it be off by 2 TD's. I thought it was up to 90% accurate.

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Yes, this was a Cycle failure in my book.

10/2 solar CIT became the 10/2 Low of the week.

CTPtrader said...

In my cycle work I find that sometimes fundamental events can override the cycles. In this case I suspect that we will get a "surprise" better than expected jobs report. And those insider who know this report was coming have bid the market up all week.

Unknown said...

This time it did not work, but no system is perfect. I'll keep checking for future results. Much thanks for sharing, however.

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Right, I told clients to buy above the triangle break-out and above 1457.14 the 10/1 High, the cycle was wrong and that is where your buy stop should be placed.

Suren said...

looks like the Mars Rahu crash cycle is in full force. According to my cycles, VIX is supposed to peak on 11/1. Earlier, you called for a 11/1 high. Is this still the case?

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Suren,

The Mars conjunct Rahu (10/2) could have been the 10/5 High

Unknown said...

Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think past crashes occurred when Mars was in opposition to Rahu. Is this another way of saying Mars is 180 degrees to Rahu? Is there a website that lists all future dates for Mars/Rahu hard aspects? Thanks.

Raj Time and Cycles said...

That is right, some of the Mars 180 Rahu aspects were associated with crashes, but alot of them were not.

Besides, we have a Mars 0 Rahu on 10/2, which was the 10/5 High.

apple melau said...

hi, could you please kindly give us a update on your forecast on coming date?

Thanks