Cycle Update: 7/19 High, 7/25 Low

From the previous post: http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2012/07/cycle-update-712l-719-20h.html: "The next couple of weeks should be interesting to watch and will determine the direction of the next couple of months afterwards."

From last weekend's 7/20 Email: "The 3 active cycles,  so far agreed on the 7/3H, 7/12L and 7/19H and all agree we see at least a 7/25 Low, where the 10 TD Hurst cycle Low is due, but then these cycles diverge."

From the 7/25 daily Email: "The 7/23 Solar CIT and 7/25 geometric CIT could have been a 7/24 Low... The speculative path indicates July 25 Low and up into XXX"

Result: The markets saw a 7/24 Low of the week, fulfilling the 7/23 Solar and 7/25 geometric CIT. Globex was lower on 7/25 and reversed strongly the rest of the week.  

The rally was stronger than expected, but remains within a large 60 SP sideways channel since the 6/19 High (see SPX Daily above), for the last 5 weeks now, with major channel resistance at 1392-1396 SPX  in  the coming week.  

In the mean time, 2 cycles remains dominant with the 7/24-25 Low. The coming week will be most interesting to watch closely as very large moves are forecasted by these 2 dominant cycles.

Cycle Update: 7/12L, 7/19-20H

From the last post http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2012/07/cycles-update-72-3-high-down-to-711-12.html: "So Far, so good, we topped out on 7/3 cycle High and are now down into 7/11-12 Time CIT and Master Cycles Low. We should see a rally into Option Expiration week."

The Banks had a triple  7/11 CIT, which was the 7/12 Low and has rallied ever since. The Banks has an 8/23 CIT.

 We made a 7/12 SPX Low and have rallied strongly into OE week as expected.


So what is next?
The next couple of weeks should be interesting to watch and will determine the direction of the next couple of months afterwards.

Cycles Update: 7/2-3 High, down to 7/11-12 Low

From 2 weeks ago and in the 7/2 weekend Email: 

"This rally should complete ideally into the 7/2-3 Solar, geometric and Time and Price Square"
"Various Master Cycles General Bias: 7/2-3H, down to 7/11 Low"

On the last public blogpost on 7/3:

 'There are some Master Cycles (MC) that are active right now. To supplement the Master Cycles, We look at the various markets that has important Time CIT turning points:

The next major Time CIT to watch is on: 7/11-12, that is a triple CIT in the Banks (see chart above), a Solar and a geometric CIT."

 

and more recent via email: "Shorter term the 10 TD Hurst Cycle has topped out and we are now down into 7/11 Lows +/-2. The Banks has a triple 7/11 CIT and there is a 7/11 Solar and geometric CIT there as well, ideally a Low"

So Far, so good, we topped out on 7/3 cycle High and are now down into 7/11-12 Time CIT and Master Cycles Low. We should see a rally into Option Expiration week.

Cycles, the Banks and the US Dollar Time CITs

All Cycles in general expand and contract, the only exception is when the Master Cycles are active, they predict precise Highs and Lows. All cycles in general though are not that precise, like the 187 week Cycle that has either contracted or expanded as it was looking for a 6/25 week major Low (see previous posts).

There are some Master Cycles (MC) that are active right now. To supplement the Master Cycles, We look at the various markets that has important Time CIT turning points:

The next major Time CIT to watch is on: 7/11-12, that is a triple CIT in the Banks (see chart above), a Solar and a geometric CIT. The Banks has resistance at 47.20 and also has a 8/23-24 Time and Cycle CIT.

The Dollar Chart had a fixed 75 TD Cycle that was due on 6/29.

The Dollar Time CITs are on 7/23 and 8/3