Explosive week ahead?

Will there be an Explosive week ahead? 

Here are some possible reasons:

1. 11/2 is Midterm Elections.

2. 11/3 is Fed's decision on QEII, which gives the FED (Goldman Sacs) more Power to print paper Money, which will further destabilize the US Dollar and could lead to a Currency War. http://www.h-l.co.uk/news/feature-articles/currency-wars  
Bill Gross calls it a Giant Ponzi scheme. 
(http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/10/27/bill-gross-fed-ponzi_n_774849.html)

There is a Major Cluster of CIT Times and Cycles in the coming week:

3. The Master Cycle: 11/3

4. The 7/30 SP Cycle: 5/6/10L = 10/25H, 4/29H = 10/30H, 4/26/10H = 11/2

5. 31/62 TD: 11/1

6. The regular 17-18 week Cycle due in the 1st week of November

7. The 70 TD cycle: 10/11/07, 1/23/08, 5/2/08, 8/12/08, 11/19/08, 3/4/09, 6/12/09, 9/22/09, 12/31/09, 4/14/10, 7/23/10, next: 11/1

8. Geometric CIT 11/2 (11/4 in CD)

9. Solar CIT 10/31 

10. Some Squares:

a. 6/14/06: 40 squared = 10/31

b. 8/13/04L: 18 squared weeks = 10/29

c. 8/25/87H: 92 squared = 10/27

11. Multiple of 55 TD Cycles:

a. 3/17/08L+664 TD/12X55 =660 = 10/28

b. 10/11/07H +771/14X55=770= 11/2

c. 6/14/06L +1105/20X55=1100 = 10/27

d. 10/20/05L + 1267/23X55=1265 = 11/1

e. 3/12/03L + 1926/35X55=1925 = 11/2

f. 4/14/97L +3412 TD /62 X55=3410 = 11/1

12. 9/16/96L + 3600 TD = 11/3

13. 4/10/1912 + 36,000 CD = 11/2

14. Finally Mahalaksmi, the Goddess of wealth is the New Moon  on 11/5. This NM-2 has been associated with Major dates in the past = 11/3-4 = 10/20/87L, 10/28/97L, 10/29/29L.

The coming week could cause an explosive Rally or Decline. Investors on the right side of the trade should be rewarded handsomely.  Is it Time to Panic?

Review of Tuesday 10/26th intraday Times and Cycles

Review “Intraday 5 min CIT (Change in Trend) Times 10/26/10:  9.45, 12.35 pm EDT”

Actual:   9.40LOD, 12.30H. The 5 min CITs were solid hits.


Review: “Intraday Cycle: 10.00H, 11.00L, 12.30H, 2.30L, 3.50H.  If the 12.30 High is higher than the 1^st hour High, then we should see a last hour High, other wise we see more weakness and a lower last hour High.”

Actual:  9.40LOD, 10.30H, 11.15L, 12.20H, 2.15L, 3.25HOD The intraday cycle was again followed well, with a 1^st hour High, midday higher High and last hour highest High.


What's next for tomorrow 10/27?  As mentioned before tomorrow is my next Daily CIT and the hourly CIT arrives in the 1st hour tomorrow. Let's see how it unfolds.

Review intraday forecast today and what's next for tomorrow

If we see positive Globex then we see a 1st hour rally High and sell-off the rest of the day. many do find it useful to know that 1st hour High or Low will be reversed the rest of the day
Other Cycles suggest we close near our Lows Monday and suggests a High am to Low pm day instead. Globex futures are Up, which suggests we should see a 1st hour High of the day and then a decline to a last hour Low of the day.  In "High am to Low pm Days, often (though not always) the High of the day is in the 1st hour and the Low of the day is in the last hour"

Intraday Cycle is biased to be a High am to Low pm day: 10.30H, 12.30L, 1.30H, 3.00-30L

Actual: 10.00H (1) in the chart), 12.25L (2), 1.35H (3), 2.45L (4)

The 2.45 Low came 15 min early, which is a sign of bullish strength for tomorrow, which is biased to be up at least in the first hour or so.

What is Monday 10/25 going to do during the day?

There seems to be alot of speculation what Monday 10/25 will do, so here is my guess based on Timing methods and intra day Cycle analysis.

1st I had an 10/24 Solar CIT, those are 84-90% accurate in pin pointing Highs or Lows, ie 10/22-25 should be a High or Low. The next geometric CIT is on 10/27.

These 2 turning points, 10/24 and 10/27 are the most important for the coming week.

Intraday 5 min CIT (Change in Trend) Times 10/25/10: 11.45, 1.05 pm EDT

Intraday Cycle: 10.30L, 12.45H, 1.40L, 3.00-30H or 10.30H, 12.45L, 1.40H, 3.00-30L

Monday’s bias is a Low am to High pm day or a High am to Low pm day with a 10.30 Cycle Low+/-30, rally to a 12.45 Cycle High at the 11.45 CIT, decline to a 1.40 Cycle Low at the 1.05 CIT and rally to a 3.00-30 Cycle High. Other Cycles suggest we close near our Lows Monday and suggests a High am to Low pm day instead.

If we see positive Globex  then we see a  1^st hour rally High and sell-off the rest of the day, but

If we see negative Globex, then we see a  1^st hour Low and rally the rest of the day.

The Master Cycle Update: No Mini Crashes on the Horizon

The Master Cycle (MC) is a TIME Cycle and does not predict Price Magnitude and was looking for an 10/19 heavy down day, which we got and a rebound into an 10/20 High, which saw a 1 hour spillover into 10/21 1^st hour HOD.

In Terms of TIME, the MC remains mainly on track, but is not giving the expected Price Magnitudes. For this reason the MC suggests any decline should be limited and is not expecting any future Mini Crashes, but just a limited decline.

The markets are being influenced by the new money mantra “QE II” and are awaiting the Fed’s decision on QE II on 11/2-3 (ie “print more money” and “print your way out of a recession”) and the all important midterm elections on 11/2.  

The good news here is once the MC bottoms, we should see a stronger rally to new recovery Highs.

The US Dollar has bottomed

 The daily US Dollar hit a double Trend line bottom on 10/15/2010 and saw a sharp reversal higher. 
We however are still in a down channel, which needs to be tested around the 38-50% retrace at 78.97-79.85. 

Key resistance is at 80.08, the wave 1 Low. Important CITs are on 11/16 and 11/22.

The weekly US Dollar is in a long term uptrend channel. The March 08 Low connects with the November 09 Low and with the most recent October 2010 Lows. 

If we break below this upchannel, it will be bearish for the dollar and we should retest the Nov 09 Lows and March 08 Lows. As long as we stay in this up channel the US Dollar should be considered bullish. The next 82 week cycle due in early July 2011 Major CIT is biased to be a US Dollar  High.

Quick update on the Master Cycle

This was emailed to the Raj T&C Email Group since the last week:

Prediction: "The large down day that the Master Cycle is predicting is for Tuesday 10/19"

Actual: We saw a large down exactly on Tuesday 10/19, as the markets dropped 25+ SP's off its Highs made on 10/18 High. It doesn't get any better than that, but there is more to come.

The Master Cycle remains ontrack in Option Expiration week

The Master Cycle remains ontrack (Red lines in chart) as it called for the rally to continue into 10/13 High of the week. The following forecast was made last weekend (10/11 via the Raj T&C Emails) and was reviewed in this weekend's email:
 
Review of the past week: "Ideally the market hold its own until Options expire. The Master Cycle suggests a 9/30 High, 10/4 Low and should make an 10/11 and 10/13 double High of the week. The Mother Divine Cycle suggests an 10/15-18 High and a Crash into 11/4/10 Major Lows. The precedent is given to the Master Cycle"

Actual: The Master Cycle again saw another good week as the market unfolded exactly as expected as we saw a choppy rally into 10/13 Major High of the week at 1184 SPX, which is 144 SP’s from the 1040 SPX triple Bottom, we then saw the market moving sideways into 10/15 as expected. The Master Cycle has been active for the last 67 Days, so far so good.

Sunday 10/17/10 T&C Forums Open House

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The Master Cycle update and intraday Times and Cycles

The markets continues to rally as the Master cycle was expecting this rally into Option Expiration week as well (see previous post: http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2010/10/master-cycle-remains-ontrack_08.html ) and is reaching the "Tunnel through the Air" target of 1178 SPX that was projected since the beginning of this move in the 1st week of September.

We are right at the next 63 hourly cycle in the 1st hour today, let's see if that holds.

Here are the intraday Change in Trend (CIT) Times for today:

Intraday 5 min CIT (Change in Trend) Times 10/13/10: 9.40, 11.10, 11.55, 12.30, 12.50 pm EDT

Actual: 9.40 Low, next to watch is 11.10

Intraday Cycle: 10.00-30L, 12.45H, 1.40L, 3.00-30H or 10.00-30H, 12.30L, 1.40H, 3.00-30L

Wednesday’s bias is either a Low am to High pm day or a High am to Low pm day. The first hour today usually determines the rest of the day.

The principle of the 2nd element

"Problems are not solved on the level of problems. Analyzing a problem to find its solution is like trying to restore freshness to a leaf by treating the leaf itself, whereas the solution lies in watering the root.

It is the principle of the second element, remove darkness and Ignorance simply by bringing in the Light. You don’t solve darkness by analyzing and talking about darkness, you bring in the 2nd element of light and all darkness simply disappears.

When you practice Transcendental Meditation (www.tm.org) and contact Pure Consciousness within, which the physicist calls the Unified Field, the source of all Light and Energy, all individual problems disappears with the regular experience of Pure Consciousness."      Maharishi

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The Master Cycle remains ontrack

The Master Cycle (which is different than the Mother Divine Cycle) remains ontrack (Red lines in chart) as it called for an 8/9 High, decline to 8/30 Major Lows and most recently, it called for a 9/30 High and 10/4 Low before we rallied the rest of this past week. The following forecast was made last weekend (10/2) (via the Raj T&C Emails):

Review of the past week: “The original Master Cycle suggested a 9/30 High from the 8/27 Major Lows. From there we should see a brief, sharp pullback into 10/4-5 Lows +/- 1, target is 1125-30 SPX and another rally afterwards into end of the week and into an October Major High, Target is 1166-68 SPX, before we see a Mini Crash into October/November 2010 Major Lows. The 2/5 SP Cycle, the 120 TD cycle, the 220 TD cycle and the 7/30 SP Cycle all suggests an 10/4 CIT (Low).”

Actual: The Master Cycle proved correct again this past week as we saw an 10/4 Low of the week at 1131.87 SPX, less than 2 SP’s off its target and we rallied the rest of the week as predicted, closing Friday, up 19 SP’s near its Highs of the week at 1163.87 SPX.
 
The next couple of weeks should be highly rewarding if the Master Cycle remains on track and should present some good opportunities for those who have the timing right.

The 9 Days of Mother Divine and a potential Crash Cycle

The 9 Days of Mother Divine starts on 10/08/10

In Vedic Literature, Mother Divine (MD) is the original force/Natural Laws, responsible for all of creation and evolution and is lively during the 9 days of Mother Divine in their primordial female forms of dissolution, maintenance and creation (Durga, Mahalaksmi and Saraswati). 

The first 3 days of MD,  the Durga/destructive forces are lively, which destroys our impurities, our evils, our sins and our ignorance within ourselves. What are some of these evils? Arrogance, Greed,  Lust/addiction, wrath/rage/anger, attachment, ego/pride, etc. 

After we have been purified, in the next 3 days,  Mahalaksmi, the Natural Laws governing wealth, supports all wealth and comforts on us.  

The final 3 days we are blessed by the Natural Laws of Wisdom and knowledge, Maha Saraswati. It is through knowledge,we can create a better life for ourselves and others. 

Thus the process of evolution, is first destruction of Ignorance, then maintenance through wealth and finally creation through knowledge and wisdom. 

The 9 Lunar days of Mother Divine occurs twice a year in the Vedic Lunar Calender in the Lunar Month around Mid March/Mid April and  Mid September/Mid October. It starts around the New Moon. They are 6 Lunar Months apart.

The 9 Days of Mother Divine potential Crash Cycle Research:

The Research on the 9 days of Mother Divine was inspired by Chris Carolan (http://www.carolan.org), who discovered that there was a direct Lunar day Link in that there were exactly 717 Lunar Months (1 Lunar Month = 29.53 CD) between the 10/29 Crash and 10/87 Crash and that 1987 was a Lunar day by lunar day copy of the 1929 Crash, ie 9/3/29H=8/25/87H, lunar day by lunar day into the 10/29/29 Crash Low = 10/20/87 Crash Low, Day for day. Also the actual crash occurs in the 7th Lunar Month following the spring on his “Dark Days”, the New Moon -2.

1. In 1929, the 9 days started on 10/02/29 and ended on 10/10/29. There was a 10/2/29L and a 10/10/29 secondary High Before the Big Crash into 2 days before Deepavali (Mahalaksmi) New Moon Day, the Natural laws governing Wealth = New Moon following the 9 Days of MD.

2. In 1987, the 9 days started on 09/23/87 and ended on 10/02/87 .There was a 09/22/87L and a 10/02/87 secondary High Before the Big Crash into 2 days before Deepavali (Mahalaksmi) New Moon Day, the Natural laws governing Wealth = New Moon following the 9 Days of MD.

3. In 1997, the 9 days started on 10/1/97 and ended 10/9/97, There was an 10/8/97 High Before the Big Crash into 2 days before Deepavali (Mahalaksmi) New Moon Day, the Natural laws governing Wealth = New Moon following the 9 Days of MD.

In all 3 Crash-markets the secondary High was at the END of the 9 days and the New Moon -2 (Mahalakmi Day= Natural law of wealth) after that was the Crash Lows. It is as if all wealth was surrendered (crashed) to the  feet of the Natural Laws governing wealth.


Caveat Emptor: Before drawing any wild conclusions,  please remember crashes are rare events and the Mother Divine Days occurs twice a year, so many times no crashes have occurred in these time frames.

USA Jyotish predictions for 2011 and 2012

 The council of the Maharishi Jyotshis (Vedic Astrology) focused on the World Kundali (World Chart):

The Graha's (Planets) are always moving, always delivering the Karma's of mankind.

Guru (Jupiter) is transiting in Pisces at this time (10/2/10)

During Jupiter Retrograde from 8/02/10 - 11/18/2010: More care in Nations finances is needed, greater expenses for international affairs.

Guru's transit is more favorable from December through May 2011 and contributes more to financial progress.

Sani's (Saturn) transit in Kanya (Virgo) from 11/5/10 into 8/2012 slows/weighs down financial progress/Economic recovery for USA

From 3/24/11: Budh (Mercury) period, the planet of mediation, communication and diplomacy from 3/24/2011 increases Rivalry, political infighting, expansion in foreign affairs but with challenges, Mercury gives new ideas and directions, likes to move the Economy, with much work.

From 7/24/2011 : Ketu period, Ketu has more influence: Rising resistance from opponents, more care is needed in that area.

From 9/15/2011: Sukra (Venus) period is most responsible and will give mixed counsel in managing difficult situations, structuring and handling National debt will require wise counseling.

From Jan 2012- August 2012: Even more challenging time due to Saturn's position, compounded by the planetary period of the Sun from 2/5/2012 onward: bring some difficulty in Government function and interaction, both domestically and internationally, more caution and care needed for anti social elements and enemies of the state.

 
The 1st 6 months of 2012 are not easy due to the influences of Saturn's transit and the Sun's period. The jyotishis were specifically asked about the "Mayan" and other predictions about the potential destruction of the world in 2012 and the Jyotish Pandits delved really hard, but were unable to find any such dire predictions.

The answer may be in the following cartoon:  

October month Crash Phobia is here!

October is a month often associated with Crashes and steep declines. This includes, the October 1929 Crash, October 1987 Crash, October 1997 Crash, October 1998, October 2008 Crash, etc.  It is no wonder that the general sentiment is extremely bearish for this month on various forums. 

Black_Monday_Dow_Jones

The Master Cycle, if correct predicts  only a Mini crash starting sometime in October and lasting into November Lows, but will it be correct?

Here is what was said in the January 2010 Master Cycle forecast 2010 report (freely available upon request):

"Before we look at the MC 2010 forecast, it is good to remember a couple of points:
1. The MC can be correct and exact sometimes predicting exact swing Highs and
lows for many days, weeks and months at a time. In this time you might tend to
“fall in Love” with this cycle and be impressed with its accuracy, but Caveat
Emptor.
2. At other times, the MC can and will be flat out wrong. For some unknown
reason, the MC fades, inverts or becomes dormant. This could last for days,
weeks and even months. It is best to use it only when it is “active”. I define a
cycle to be active when it gets 3 “Hits”, ie when it gets 3 Highs and Lows correct.
When it is inactive, I simply don’t use it. I use my other Time & Cycle work to
tell me what is happening. It is best to be patient and wait until it becomes active
again and then trade on it as it tends to be very precise, as can be seen in the many
examples above.
3. The MC does not always follow the predicted Price magnitude, ie the actual
Price rally/decline could be a whole lot bigger/smaller than the forecasted Price
rally/decline as shown on the forecasted chart."

The Master Cycle is currently active and predicting a mini crash into a November Low,  but ONLY IF it remains active, ie only IF the coming series of Highs and Lows are exact into the very last High, before the Mini crash wave starts. These High and Lows will be updated in the Raj T&C Emails. Timing is going be very critical here, because if you go short or buy puts too soon, the Bull will fork you to death with his horns. 

One thing is for sure, if correct, it is going to be one of those great Money making opportunities for the year AND also one of those great BUYing opportunities of the year, similar to the 2/5/10 Lows which the MC predicted as well.