Friday, March 6, 2015

Raj Time and Cycles Review and Forecast 3/6/15

http://safehaven.com/article/36878/raj-time-and-cycles-review-and-forecast-3615

In my last public post, I was looking for a 2/2 swing Low and a strong rally afterwards.

Forecast #(1) from the 2/2 Raj T&C Daily Report: “The current bias is we made a 2/2 Low and rally strongly into 2/5 Solar CIT High at the 2050 SPX area.
Actual: We rallied into 2/6 High, 1 day later at 2072.40 SPX, exceeding the 2050 SPX target.

Forecast #(2) from the 2/9 Raj T&C daily Email: “Any rally above 2/6H means the mini Crash cycle from 2/6H into 2/12L is incorrect. There is also a 2/10 Geometric CIT and a 2/10 hourly CIT at 2.55 pm that should be another (lower) High.
Actual: We saw a 2/10 retest High as expected, but as it rallied more than expected and came close to the 2/6 Highs, the crash call was canceled on the same 2/10 day and swing traders went flat with a minor loss.
The proprietary Solar and Geometric Time CITs (Change in Trend, is High or Low) continue to work its charm (1-5 Cyan vertical lines):
  1. The 2/10 Geometric CIT was the 2/9 Low.
  2. The next major Time CIT is on 2/13-17 (long weekend, Monday 2/16 is a Holiday) at the 2/13-14 weekend Solar CIT and Tuesday 2/17 Geometric CIT was the 2/17 High.
  3. The 2/22 weekend Solar and 2/23 double Geometric CIT was the 2/20 Low.
  4. The 2/26 double Geometric CIT was the 2/26 Low.
  5. The 3/3 Solar CIT was the 3/2 High.


Forecast #(3) - #(5) from the 2/26 Raj T&C Daily Email: Swing Cycle: 2/20L, 2/25H, 2/26L, 3/2-3H, 3/6L. From the 2/25 High,  we decline into 2/26 double Geometric CIT Low and rally into 3/2-3 Solar CIT High. 2/20L was the 10 TD Low and the next 10 TD Hurst TD Low is due 3/6 Low+/-. We have formed a relatively narrow upside channel. A break of this channel support, will trigger a sharp 50+ SP decline.”

Actual: We declined as expected into 2/26 Low, rallied into 3/2 High and declined 54 SP’s from the Highs so far into 3/6 Low.

What’s next: 3/6-9 should be a short term Low and we see another rally into the next Solar CIT High and decline once again.

3/10 Update: There were no Time CITs at the suggested 3/6-9L, just the 10 TD Cycle Low, which is extending, currently 12 TD from the last 10 TD 2/20 Hurst Low. The decline continues into the next Solar CIT.

8 comments:

Peter Lo said...

May i please ask for you next solar CIT estimate turn dates?

Happy Again said...

Looks like it was a high not a low

Raj Time and Cycles said...

There were no Time CITs at the suggested 3/6-9L, just the 10 TD Cycle Low, which is extending, currently 12 TD from the last 10 TD 2/20 Hurst Low. The decline continues into the next Solar CIT

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Peter Lo, Those dates are reserved for clients.

Regards

Peter Lo said...

Raj, in your response to happy again; are you now saying decline in to your next cit as oppose to reversing on the 6-9 and rallying in to the next cit???

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Hi Peter Lo, yes the decline should continue.

Joe Pitt said...

March 13 should be LOW.

joe

Raj Time and Cycles said...

Thanks Joe, what are your reasons that you have for that date?