http://www.safehaven.com/article/32688/raj-time-and-cycle-review-and-forecast
Review: In my last post, 3 weeks ago, on Jan
17, I was looking for a 1/17-21
swing High and start a decline that was part of a Panic Cycle. http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2014/01/the-active-panic-cycle.html
Actual: We made a 1/21 swing high and saw a sharp 111+ SP decline so far. The Panic cycle
was looking for an initial 50-60 SP decline, but we more than doubled that, with more to come.
From the 2/4 Update:
“We are
extremely oversold, but the decline should continue into 2/5 Low+/-1 at the 2/4 Solar and or 2/6 geometric CIT. The Symmetry
Point Cycle suggested a 1/21 High and a 2/6 Low. Mercury becomes Retrograde on
2/6 as well, which is often a CIT. Downside support is the 6/24/13L-10/9/13L
trend line support at 1738 SPX and the
50% retrace at 1738 SPX.”
Actual: The
markets declined into a 2/5 Low, bottoming
right at the 6/24/13L-10/09/13L Trend line support at 1738 SPX, at the 50%
retrace from the 8/28/13L and 38% retrace from the 6/24/13L, both at 1738 SPX, 1
day after the 2/4 Solar CIT and 2/4 Squared Trading CIT and 1 day before the
2/6 geometric CIT, 2/6 SP Cycle CIT and 2/6 Mercury Retrograde CIT.
Squares in Trading days CITs
The above squares in Trading Days CIT is a Square of 9
timing technique that gives very precise Change in Trends (CIT), all dates are
+/-1 TD.
1. 10/11/07H - 11/16/12L = 1285 Trading Days (TD),
take the Square root of 1285 and you get: 35.85^2 (35.85 squared)
Now increment that number by 1 or 2 each time and re square
to get future CITs:
2. 35.85+2 = 37.85^2 = 1433 TD + 10/11/07H = 6/24/13L
3. 35.85+3
= 38.85^2 = 1509 TD + 10/11/07H
= 10/10/13L-1
4. 35.85+4 = 39.85^2 =
1588 TD + 10/11/07H = 2/04/14 +1 = 2/5/14 Low
Please note that 2/4 was also a Solar CIT, suggesting
strongly that 2/4 +/- 1 TD was going to be an important CIT.
This became the 2/5 Low as expected.
What’s Next?: We
made a 2/5 Low and should rally until the next swing High at the next proprietary Time and
Cycle Cluster CIT, before we see yet another sharp decline. My next public post will be right after the next Panic Low.
2/9 Update Square of 9 CIT Dates
I had a conversation with Bruce Larson, who inspired me to look at these square of 9 CIT Dates.
Blue Lines are Bruce's Square of 9 Highs from 10/11/07H.
Notice the increment is +2 each time on those lines
04/02/12H = 1127 TD = 33.57^2
10/18/12H = 1266 TD = 35.58^2
05/22/13H = 1412 TD = 37.58^2
12/31/13H = 1566 TD = 39.57^2
Red Lines are my square of 9 Lows from 10/11/07H
1. 10/11/07H - 11/16/12L = 1285 Trading Days (TD) = 35.85^2
2. 37.85^2 = 1433 TD + 10/11/07H = 6/24/13L
3. 38.85^2 = 1509 TD + 10/11/07H = 10/10/13L-1
4. 39.85^2 = 1588 TD + 10/11/07H = 2/04/14 +1 = 2/5/14 Low
The 10/18/12H- 11/16/12L, 5/22/13H-6/24/13L and 12/31/13H-2/5/14L are Square of 9 fractals.
The High/Low relationship
10/18/12H-11/16/12L = 20 TD
05/22/13H-06/24/13L = 22 TD
12/31/13H-02/05/14L = 23 TD
2/9 Update Square of 9 CIT Dates
I had a conversation with Bruce Larson, who inspired me to look at these square of 9 CIT Dates.
Blue Lines are Bruce's Square of 9 Highs from 10/11/07H.
Notice the increment is +2 each time on those lines
04/02/12H = 1127 TD = 33.57^2
10/18/12H = 1266 TD = 35.58^2
05/22/13H = 1412 TD = 37.58^2
12/31/13H = 1566 TD = 39.57^2
Red Lines are my square of 9 Lows from 10/11/07H
1. 10/11/07H - 11/16/12L = 1285 Trading Days (TD) = 35.85^2
2. 37.85^2 = 1433 TD + 10/11/07H = 6/24/13L
3. 38.85^2 = 1509 TD + 10/11/07H = 10/10/13L-1
4. 39.85^2 = 1588 TD + 10/11/07H = 2/04/14 +1 = 2/5/14 Low
The 10/18/12H- 11/16/12L, 5/22/13H-6/24/13L and 12/31/13H-2/5/14L are Square of 9 fractals.
The High/Low relationship
10/18/12H-11/16/12L = 20 TD
05/22/13H-06/24/13L = 22 TD
12/31/13H-02/05/14L = 23 TD
