Friday, June 29, 2012

Review of the 187 week Panic cycle and what's next

From the previous post: "Of course, all cycles do expand and contract, but it is interesting that there is an unusual 6/22-26 Time & Cycle Cluster in the coming Panic Cycle week."

The  recent 6/22-26 Time Cluster was the 6/25 Low of the week, which was a solid hit. The previous Time Cluster was the triple Long term CIT due on Friday 6/1, which was the Monday 6/4 Major Low.   Both Time clusters were direct hits and important Lows.



The regular 187 week Panic Cycle due this past week has either contracted to 184.5 weeks to the 6/4 Major Low or will expand into the near by future date as we saw on the 5/22/01 High, which was one of the 186 week Cycle dates. This makes the July Month an interesting month to watch.

There are some upcoming Time & Cycle Clusters in the month of July that should be important Highs and Lows to monitor. The current active Master Cycles focuses on 3 important July Dates in the nearby future. The Banks has an upcoming triple Time & Cycle CIT cluster that should mark an important turning point. It should cause some large price movements.



Thursday, June 21, 2012

The long term Crash & Panic cycle: A critical time to watch

"I now have another important Long term NDX CIT coming up that should mark an important High or Low. This date is also supported by a Solar CIT on this date. Again if we rally into this date, it will become an important High and if we decline into this date, it will become an important Low. 

My current cycles indicate we are still in a long term Panic window and this date will be an important High or Low to watch."


The amazing Panic cycle: 

10/11/90L-181- 04/4/94L -186-10/28/97L-186-05/22/01H => 4 Month shift!   
09/21/01L-187-4/20/05L-187-11/21/08L-187- 6/25/12L/H?

The long term Panic Cycle (click on chart to enlarge) is the regular 186-187 week Cycle that has some of the biggest crashes in the last 2 decades and is next due in the coming 6/25 week.  

This 187 crash cycle was one of the main reasons I was expecting a major secondary 6/1-4 High, where I had 3 long term timing CITs, but as we declined into this timing CIT, it became an intermediate 6/4 Low and the cycles were proven incorrect.  

Of course, all cycles do expand and contract, but it is interesting that there is an unusual Time & Cycle Cluster in the coming 3 Trading Day window, starting with this Friday 6/22 geometric and Solar timing CIT (Change in Trend) cluster and into Tuesday 6/26 long term NDX geometric and Solar CIT, which falls within the Panic cycle window. This Time window is also supported by some important Astro CITs:  6/24: Uranus Square Pluto, 6/25 Saturn goes direct, 6/27 Venus goes Direct, making these coming 3 days a critical time to watch.

It is entirely possible that this 6/22-26 T&C Cluster window will become an important High instead, like we once did in one of the 186-87 week Crash cycles, back on May 22 2001 High (see chart), before we saw the infamous 9/11 Crash.  
 





Sunday, June 17, 2012

Long Term Timing Points

Precise Timing is Everything in this Business.

I use 2 proprietary Timing techniques to help me pinpoint future "Change in Trend" (CIT) Dates. One is "Geometric" CITs and the other that I have found highly accurate over time are "Solar" CITs. A CIT could be a High or a Low. The rule is, if we rally into the CIT date and reverse out of it, it will be a High and if we decline into the CIT Date, and reverse out of it, it will be a Low.


Since early January 2012,  I had a rare 3 long term geometric SPX CITs, covering Decades, all clustering on one date, Friday 6/1/12, which became the Monday 6/4/12 Low right at the Open.  Originally I was looking for a 6/1-4 secondary High, but as we declined into it, it became a 6/4 Low and the cycles were proven incorrect.  We have now rallied for 2 weeks ever since this important 6/4 Low.


I now have another important Long term NDX CIT coming up that should mark an important High or Low. This date is also supported by a Solar CIT on this date. Again if we rally into this date, it will become an important High and if we decline into this date, it will become an important Low. 

My current cycles indicate we are still in a long term Panic window and this date will be an important High or Low to watch.