Time & Cycle cluster: 4/30-5/3

For a number of weeks now, I have had 4/30-5/3 as a Time & Cycle Cluster, where I was expecting a swing Low to be made. However, we have been in a relative narrow compressed channel & trading range these last 4 weeks.  

In these "Stuck Up" markets the last 4 weeks, the normal Time and Cycles gets ignored, so we will have to see if we are seeing a swing Low or a High in this time period.

Time: 

4/30: Saturn Retro 4/29-30

4/30: Solar Time CIT: 4/30

5/2: 9 Days of MD Cycle: 5/2/19

5/3: Apex of the rising wedge due 5/3

5/3:4661 TD 

07/19/99H +4661= 01/26/18H

10/18/99L +4664= 05/03/18L

03/24/00H +4660=10/03/18H

04/14/00L +4663= 10/29/18L

05/24/00L +4659= 12/03/18H

09/01/00H +4661= 03/21/18H

10/18/00L +4660= 05/03/19

Cycles: The 77 TD,136 TD, 316-17 TD/461 CD cycles and 96 weeks/672 CD Cycle  are all due end April to early May.

77-78 TD Cycle: 11/4/16L-78-3/1/17H-76-6/19/17H-2X76-1/26/18H-80-5/22/18H-75-9/07/18L-75-12/26/18LL-80-4/29/18

136 TD Cycle: 4/29/18

461 CD/317 TD Cycle: 7/1/10L -460-10/4/11L-454-12/31/12L-466-4/11/14L-465-7/20/15H-473-11/4/16L-448-1/26/18H-461-4/30-5/3/19

96 wks/ 672 CD/ 463 TD cycle of Lows: 4/14/97L-3X668- 10/10/02L-672-8/13/04L-670-6/14/06L-2X676- 2/25/10L-12/19/11L- 2 X 672 = 8/24/15L-6/26/17L+3—4/29/19

Conclusion: 4/30-5/3 Time and Cycle Cluster, should be an important Change in Trend.

Join our free forecasts and Updates at: 

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/

https://twitter.com/TimeandCycles 
Email: timeandcycles@gmail.com

SPX and US Dollar in compressed channels

SPX has been a narrow compressed sideways to Up channel for more than a month now.

Everyone is talking about the recent US Dollar Breakout, but it remains in a long term channel and right at channel resistance.

and the beat goes on..

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles 51s51 seconds ago

and the beat goes on. Shorter term, we could sell channel resistance and buy channel support until the channel breaks.

Stuck in a narrow compressed Up channel the last 2 weeks

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles 3m3 minutes ago

Stuck in a narrow compressed Up channel the last 2 weeks, once it breaks, it should be relatively sharp and fast.

The Master Cycle Update: 4/2-3 High

In my last post, I was looking for a 3/4 swing High

From 3/4 Raj T&C Daily Email: I found a possible Master Cycle (MC) that forecasted the:

1. 09/21/18H

2. 10/29/18L

3. 11/07/18H

4. 12/03/18H

5. 12/26/18 major Low.

It is now suggesting a 3/05 swing High, followed by a decline into 3/11L, up into 3/14-15H, 3/19L, 3/21H. I don’t expect this cycle to follow perfectly all the details, as it has been off at times by 1-2 TD, but it should generally be in there."

Actual: 

1. 3/05H => 3/4 short term swing High, 1 TD earlier

2. 3/11L => 3/8 Low, 1 TD earlier

3.3/14-15H =>  Miss

4. 3/19L => 3/20L, 1 TD earlier

5. 3/21H => 3/21 High.

From the above we see that although the MC is not perfect as it had 1 miss, the cycle is still "active" with future hits +/-2. The MC is a time Cycle that doesn't predict Price Magnitude.

From 3/21 & 3/27 Raj T&C Daily Email: "The MC suggests a 3/21H, decline into 3/27L, rally into 4/2 swing High"

Actual:

6. 3/27L => 3/25L, 2 TD earlier, 3/27 retest Low

7. 4/2H => We are currently rallying into 4/2H

There is a 16 TD, 66 TD and 25 TD fixed cycle supporting an 4/3-5 CIT as well.

Conclusion and what's Next: The Master Cycle has had some misses and is not perfect, but it remains in the markets with "active" hits +/-1-2 TD and is now suggesting an 4/2 swing High+/-2 at the 4/2 Geometric Time CIT, 4/4-5 Time Square CIT and 16, 25 and 66 TD Cycles due 4/3-5.

Join our free forecasts and Updates at: 

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/

https://twitter.com/TimeandCycles 
Email: timeandcycles@gmail.com