Monday, November 9, 2009

Crash History Repeat? Sep 1929, August 1987 and October 2009

Sep 3rd 1929 was an exact Fibonacci 55 squared weeks (Also close to Spiral calender (SC) F29) from August 25th 1987, exact all the way into the 10/29/29 Crash of 1929 = 10/20/87 Crash 0f 1987.

Here is the interesting part: October 09 is currently following an exact Fibonacci 34 squared weeks (also close to SC F25) cycle from the 8/25/1987 High.


Here is how the cycle breaks down:


1. 8/25/87 High = 10/20/09 High (+1)


2. 9/08/87 Low = 11/03/09 Low (-1 )


3. 9/14/87 High = 11/09/09 High +/-1


4. 9/22/87 Low = 11/17/09 Low +/-1


5. 10/5/87 High = 11/30/09 High +/-1


6. 10/12/87 Low = 12/07/09 Low +/-1


7. 10/13/87 High = 12/08/09 High +- 1


8. Crash Week: 10/20/87 Crash Low = 12/15/09 Low +/-
1

September 3rd 1929 High was an exact Fibonacci 55 Squared weeks away from August 25th 1987, which is an exact
Fibonacci 34 squared weeks away from October 21st 2009 High. How unusual is that? Will History repeat?

This cycle might in fact work great until the 12/7/09 Lows +/- 1 TD, but then when everyone is expecting a crash week, it will simply disappear, or perhaps for the fun of it will just work fine this time.

4 comments:

Jay Strauss said...

HI Ian
Love the dates, but it appears
they will be OPPOSITE

Nov16hi
Nov 30 lo
DEc7 hi
DEc14lo
Dec22 hi
Dec29lo
Thanks
Jay

TimeandCycles Intraday CITs said...

Thanks Jay,

The dominant Cycle is still the MC, which suggestswe see higher highs in December 09. Raj.

tommy t said...

is this crash cycle broken now with recent action? TIA.

TimeandCycles Intraday CITs said...

Hi Tommy,

The cycle has deviated with a new High, etc. but we can still watch the dates to see if they fall in place again:

8/25/87 High = 10/20/09 High (+1)

2. 9/08/87 Low = 11/03/09 Low (-1 )

3. 9/14/87 High = 11/09/09 High +/-1

=> Actual: 11/11/09 HIGH +2 TD

4. 9/22/87 Low = 11/17/09 Low +/-1

Actual 11/13/09 Low -2 TD

NEXT is:

5. 10/5/87 High = 11/30/09 High +/-1


Etc.