Thursday, September 22, 2016

9/23 swing High!

http://safehaven.com/article/42589/923-swing-high

Forecast from my 9/9 public post, I was looking for a 9/7 major High and a 9/12 Solar CIT.

Actual: 9/7H remains an important major High and 9/12 Solar CIT was a large range day that was both a High and Low. 


Forecast from the 9/18 weekend Report:  "9/19-23 should be volatile and choppy into 9/21 Fed CIT, but bias is 9/19H, 9/21L and rally into 9/23H. The Ezekiel Wheel cycle has 9/8H, 9/21-22L, 9/23H and decline into XXX Low."

ActualSince the 9/12 CIT Low, we saw a volatile chop into 9/21 Fed Day and formed a triangle, with a 9/19H, 9/21L and we are rallying into Friday 9/23H at the 9/23 Geo CIT and 9/23-26 Apex CIT. We back-kissed the old 2 month channel resistance yesterday.


What's Next: 9/23 +/-1 is the next swing High and the start of a relatively sharp decline.


Below is today's Daytrading's outlook:



Daytraders: The intraday cycle is a Low am to High pm day or Inverse, "with a possible 9.40 cycle High+/-, decline to a 10.30 cycle Low at the 10.15 time CIT."

We saw a 9.40H and a 10.15 1st hour Low. We should see a midday and last hour High.

Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 9/23/16: 10.15, 1.15 pm 


Actual: 10.15L

Intraday Cycle is the Pink lines  (9.40H), 10.30L, 12.45H, 1.40L, 3.30H

Actual: 9.40H, 10.15L

Friday sees a Low am to High pm day (or Inverse), with a possible 9.40 cycle High+/-, decline to a 10.30 cycle Low at the 10.15 time CIT, rally to a 12.45 cycle High+/-30, decline to a 1.40 cycle Low at the 1.15 time CIT, rally to a 3.30 cycle High+/-30 min.

Tuesday, September 13, 2016

Quick Update

From the 9/10 weekend Report:
" Cycle bias is we decline into 9/12 Solar CIT Low, bounce for 1-2 days into 9/12-13H, then decline again into XXXX Some cycles suggests a sharp decline coming."

From last night's 9/12 email: 
"There are high odds we pullback tomorrow, at least 20+ SP’s or more"

Actual: We saw a 9/12 Low and High and today we are seeing the resumption of the downtrend.
Taking out yesterday's Low at 2119.12 SPX is an additional confirmation.

Friday, September 9, 2016

Raj T&C Review and Forecast Sep 9 2016

http://safehaven.com/article/42482/raj-tc-review-and-forecast

Review: From my last 6/24 public blogpost, I was looking for a 6/24-27 major Low.
Actual: 6/27 was a major Low, from where we rallied a whopping 202 SP’s into 8/15/16 High. The dominant cycle stopped working after some time and the market has been stuck in a 2 month long choppy trendless sideways channel, probably due to the Summer Doldrums, but that is about to end.


Even though we got stuck in this 2 month sideway channel, the Solar and Geometric Time CIT (Change in Trend, High or Low) dates continue to work with a high degree of accuracy:

Our proprietary Time CITs:

  1. 6/27 Geo CIT => 6/27L
  2. 6/30 Geo CIT => 7/1 High
  3. 7/3 Weekend Solar CIT (7/1-5) => 7/1 High
  4. 7/7 Geo CIT => 7/6L
  5. 7/18 Solar CIT => Miss or 7/15L
  6. 7/22 Geo CIT  => 7/22H
  7. 7/26 Geo CIT  => 7/27L
  8. 7/30 Solar CIT => 8/1H
  9. 8/11 Solar and 8/11 Geo CIT => 8/10L
  10. 8/12 Friday Geo CIT is Monday 8/15H
  11. 8/18 Solar and Geo CIT => 8/17L
  12. 8/23-24 Solar and Geo CIT => 8/23H
  13. 8/30 Solar CIT & 8/31 Geo CIT => 9/1L


We have a Time and Cycle cluster due in the 1st weeks of September.

Time CITs:

1. 9/6 Geo CIT => 9/7H

2. Calendar Days to Trading Days CIT due on: 10/4/11L+1240 CD = 2/15/15H, +1240 TD =  9/7H.

3. 144 TD Inverse Cycle: 7/20/16H =2/12/16L-1,  12/2/15H =6/29/16L-2, 1/20/16L =8/15/16H and 2/11/16L = 9/7H

2.  9/12 Solar and 9/12-13 double Geometric CIT

Cycle CITs:


1.  The 47 TD Cycle of alternation of Highs and Lows (Blue lines in SPX Daily) suggests a 9/1L or 9/7H: 9/29/15L-45-12/2/15H-48-2/11/16L-47-4/20/16H-47-6/27/16L-47- 9/01/16L or 9/7/16H


1. 290 CD/41-42 week Cycles5/10/06H -290-2/24/07H -290-12/11/07H-291- 9/27/08H -284-7/8/09L-292- 4/26/10H-298- 2/18/11H-280-11/25/11L-294- 9/14/12H -283 -6/24/13L-291-4/11/14L-297-2/2/15L -287-11/16/15L-290-= 9/01/16 +/-7-8 CD

SP declines averages 107 SP’s in the 290 CD cycle:
(larger declines in 2007, 2008 and 2010 were not counted)

107 (05/10/06H-06/14/06L),
094 (02/22/07H-03/14/07L),
087 (06/11/09H-07/08/09L),
095 (02/18/11H-03/16/11L),
134 (10/27/11H-11/25/11L),
131 (09/14/12H-11/16/12L),
127 (05/22/13H-06/24/13L),
083 (04/04/14H-04/11/14L),
112 (12/29/14H-02/02/15L),
097 (11/03/15H-11/16/15L),


2. The NDX 66 week cycle is due 1st week of September+/-, which should be a major High.


Conclusion: We have been stuck in a 2 month boring, choppy sideways channel, but any solid break of that channel support at 2165/ES or 2167 SPX will be a CIT. I had a Time and Cycle Cluster due in the 1st week of September and 2 timing CITs for that to occur: 9/6-7 or 9/12. The 9/7 High is looking good right now.

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Intraday Time and Cycles for Tuesday June 28 2016


Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 6/28/16: 10.05, 11.10, 11.25, 12.40, 3.35 pm Eastern

Actual: 10.05H, 11.10L

Intraday Cycle is the Pink lines (9.40L), 10.00H, 11.00L, 12.30H, 2.30L, 3.50H

Actual: 10.05H, 11.10L

If the midday High is higher than the 1st hour High, it indicates strength and suggests we will see a last hour highest High.

If the midday High is lower than the 1st hour High, it indicates weakness and suggests we will see a last hour lowest High and lower Low.

Friday, June 24, 2016

The Dominant cycle has 6/24-27 as the next cycle Low

http://safehaven.com/article/41809/the-dominant-cycle-has-624-27-as-the-next-cycle-low

In my last 6/10 blogpost, "I was looking for a 6/10 High+/-2 of the month, which was the 6/8 High" 



From the Raj T&C 6/13 Weekend Email: "The Dominant Cycle 6/10 cycle High arrived 2 days earlier at the 6/8H and is looking for a straight down decline into 6/17 Low, then a  sharp rally into 6/22 High at the 2100-05 SPX area and then another sharp decline into 6/24 Low at 2025-30 SPX"



Actual: From the 6/8 High, we saw a straight down decline into 6/16 Low, 1 day earlier, at 2050.37 SPX, reversed and saw a sharp rally into 6/23 High, 1 day later, at 2113.32 SPX, only to see a sharp reversal back lower to a 6/24 Low at 2032.57 SPX so far.


The Golden ratio fixed Cycle suggests a 6/25 Low, supporting the dominant cycle.

Golden ratio 1618 CD Cycle of Lows: 10/10/02L 1616- 03/14/07L - 1618- 08/20/11L-1614- 01/20/16L

Golden ratio 1618 CD Cycle of Lows: 10/08/98L-1616- 03/12/03L  -1618- 08/16/07L-1618 X 2 = 06/25/16L?

What's next: The dominant cycle is looking for a 6/24-27 swing Low at the 6/27 Geometric Time CIT, chop around and then start a new rally phase.

Friday, June 10, 2016

The dominant Cycle 6/10 major High of the month +/-2

http://safehaven.com/article/41671/the-dominant-cycle-610-major-high-of-the-month-2


In my last public blogpost, I was looking for a 5/27 high +/-1


From the 5/30 Raj T&C Weekend Email: “The dominant cycle suggests we are generally higher into 5/27-31H at 2100+ SPX. It then suggest a few days pullback into 6/1-2L at the 6/1 Solar and 6/2 Geo CIT, followed by another rally into 6/10H, retesting the 5/20/15 ATH at 2134.72 SPX”



Actual: We rallied into a 5/31H,1 day from the 5/27H, declined into 6/1 Low at 2085.10 SPX, chopped for 2 days into 6/3 double bottom, before we rallied into 6/8 High at 2120.55 SPX so far. The Cycle High may have arrived 2 days earlier. Normally the cycle is exact or off by 1 day and at one other time at the 4/22 High, it was off 2 days. Swing traders that were long from the 5/19 Low at 2026 SPX made 60+ SP’s profits today, which is $3000/Emini Contract (each mini SP is $50/point) and those that just went long from the 6/1L at 2085 SPX made 17 SP’s or $850/Emini contract today.

The dominant cycle saw 14 “hits” and 1 miss: 2/11L, 2/24L, 3/4H, 3/11L(-1), 3/17H (miss), 3/28L(-1), 3/31H(+1), 4/12L, 4/22H (-2), 4/27H, 5/4L, 5/6L, 5/12H (-2), 5/19L, 5/27H, 6/1L

What’s Next: We make a 6/10+/-2 major swing High of the Month and start a volatile decline. The dominant cycle is a historic cycle that predicts exact Highs and Lows +/-1-2 days. The cycle suggests to be prepared for some large volatile swings, both Up and down in the coming weeks.

Monday, June 6, 2016

Quick Update

"The dominant Cycle was looking for a 5/27-30H, then a decline into 6/1L, chop around into 6/3L, before we get a stronger rally going, no later than by Monday 6/6+/-1"

Monday, May 30, 2016

In memory of my good friend and mentor, Mr. James Brock

http://safehaven.com/article/41578/in-memory-of-my-good-friend-and-mentor-mr-james-brock

I first spoke to James back in the 1990's, when he made some amazing predictions in an article in Gann and Elliot magazine, now http://tradersworld.com/Archives/

Silver Astrology and the Golden Mean Ratio

Over the years and decades, I became a close friend of his and I was blessed to learn all of his unique market techniques. 

James was a Mensa and also a biblical scholar and he often loved to quote the bible in our many conversations.  I had many philosophical hours long conversations about both the markets and the christian religion as those were his passions.

One of the first techniques I learnt from him, was his unique Time Squared methods to pinpoint future major Highs and Lows, like his amazing 55 Squared weeks from 9/3/29H was 8/25/87H and 10/29/29L + 55 Squared weeks was 10/20/87L. From the 9/3/29H, these squares continue to predict future turning points like 9/3/29H + 60 Squared weeks = 9/1/98L, etc.

Over time, I also learnt all of his various unique timing methods, like his Venus Saturn Sine waves, his Mars Passover (crossover) Venus positions, which pinpointed future major Highs and Lows, his Master Time Codes in the markets and his amazing discovery of his Ezekiel wheel in the bond market back in 1989, where he made a fortune with, as it was following the Ezekiel wheel with amazing precision for many months and years, which is a Mirror Image point found in the Cosmic Heavens that strangely enough I found a "live" one just a few days ago, I am sure this was James last gift to me. I first discovered a "live" "Ezekiel Wheel" (Symmetry Point Cycle) in the markets in 1994, that predicted exact Highs and Lows, within 1 day and in October 1994, I turned $5000 into over $112,000 in one month, my first time I twenty folded my account. There are other personal ways that James helped shape my own life, like when my third child was born in 2003, he helped give him one of his names, after the great biblical warrior, Joshua.

James has been suffering from various Health issues for some time now, he had a stroke many months ago and got bladder cancer and in the last few weeks, he was in a lot of pain and couldn't breathe. His 90 year old Mom explained to me today that he passed away on May 25 at 2 am in the morning. She mentioned that his old friends could give her a call if they like.

James was a truly unique, brilliant, religious and spiritual man with many insights in Life. 

He will be missed, but I know he is now a free spirit and his soul is free to wander the Cosmos and find Peace, wherever he may be in this Universe.


Ian

Sunday, May 29, 2016

So Far, so good.

http://safehaven.com/article/41566/so-far-so-good


Forecast from the 5/19 Raj T&C Daily Email: "From the 5/10H, The dominant cycle is generally lower into 5/19L, ideally targeting 2026 SPX area and then we rally to 5/27H, targeting 2100 SPX"

Forecast from my 5/19 my public blog post: "Market hit double channel support Low at 2026 SPX at the 5/19 Cycle Low, it doesn't get any better than that! BEARS BEWARE!"



Actual: We bottomed exactly on 5/19 Low at 2025.91 SPX and along the way we made 4 Gaps higher and rallied a whopping 73.15 SP’s, reaching a 2099.06 SPX High, less than 1 SP from the 2100 SPX target and at the forecasted 5/27 High.

The Dominant Cycle, when active as it is now, is a rare and unique fortune making precise cycle, predicting exact future Highs and Lows. I have not seen an active cycle like this for quite some time, other than my proprietary Master Cycles. There is also another inverted Symmetry Point (SP or Mirror Image) Cycle, on the basis of the "Ezekiel Wheel" discovery from one of my mentors (who wishes not to be publicly named anymore) that is supporting the Dominant cycle's forecasts for the next weeks and months, within one day, which means that this amazing dominant cycle, combined with the SP Cycle, becomes a power Cycle that needs to be watched closely. Be prepared.

Friday, May 27, 2016

The dominant Cycle

The dominant Cycle, active as it is now, is a rare and Fortune making precise cycle, predicting exact future Highs and Lows, let’s enjoy it while it lasts as it can start fading without warning, but that is not expected at the moment.

Tuesday, May 24, 2016

5/24 Update

Today is a short term High only, we are just at the beginning of this rally phase.

We saw a higher midday High, giving an 80% chance we see a last hour High of Day.

We also have a Gap and Go SU day, giving a 90% chance we see a last hour High of day.

Target is 2083-85 SPX.

Thursday, May 19, 2016

Quick Update

Market hit double channel support Low at 2026 SPX at the 5/19 Cycle Low, it doesn't get any better than that! BEARS BEWARE!



Friday Morning 5/20 Update 10.20 am Eastern: 

This Morning's power rally proves Timing is Everything.

The dominant cycle is now projecting a 5/19-20 swing Low

 http://safehaven.com/article/41482/the-dominant-cycle-is-now-projecting-a-519-20-swing-low

Forecast from my last public 5/4 blog post: The inverted cycle has a 5/4 Low, bounce for 1 day 5/5H and it does have another retest higher Low at 5/6-9L, but as this is a Time cycle that 5/6-9L could be a possible lower Low.”



Forecast from the 5/5 (2 weeks ago) Raj T&C Daily Email: The dominant inverted turned straight cycle has 5/4 Low, bounce for a day into 5/5H, followed by a 5/6-9 retest higher or lower Low (“A” on chart), we then rally into 5/11-12 High (“B” on chart) at the 5/11 Solar and 5/12 Geo CIT and then see a volatile (Up and down) decline into 5/20 Low (“C” on chart)”




Actual: From the projected 4/20H and 4/28 Highs (see previous posts), we declined 71.60 SP’s and 51.48 SP’s to a 5/6 swing Low, with first a 5/4 Low, bounce for a day and then the 5/6 swing A wave Low, we then rallied a sharp 45.42 SP’s to a 5/10 High at the 5/11 Solar time CIT in a B wave High and have seen a volatile 50.38 SP decline into 5/19 Low so far in a C wave. Double channel support target is at 2022-25 SPX.


The Dominant cycle



The above forecasts were based on the dominant cycle (click on chart to enlarge), which is a historical cycle that predicts future Highs and Lows, within 1-2 days accuracy. The dominant cycle has been in the markets many months now, since the 2/11/16 major Low and so far saw 11 direct “hits” and 1 miss (arrows on chart): 2/11L, 2/24L, 3/4H, 3/11L(-1), 3/17H (miss), 3/28L(-1), 3/31H(+1), 4/12L, 4/22H (-2), 4/27H, 5/4L, 5/6L, 5/11-12H (-1). 

What’s Next: The dominant cycle is looking for a 5/19-20 swing Low and then projects a rally phase into the next cycle High. It has a market map laid out for the next couple of weeks and months.




Notes: This will be our last public blog post for some time. If you don’t want miss our free updates you may follow us on twitter at: https://twitter.com/TimeandCycles or sign up via “Follow by email” (on the right side) at http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/

Wednesday, May 4, 2016

5/4 quick Update

Globex futures are lower, down -14 confirming lower Lows this morning 5/4L.

I was looking closely at the inverted turned straight cycle last night. 

It has a 5/4 Low, bounce for 1 day 5/5H and it does have another retest higher Low at 5/6-9L and as this is a Time cycle that 5/6-9L could be a possible lower Low. I do have a 5/9 double Geo CIT supporting a Low at that time.

In Summary, ideally we see plenty of volatility the next couple of days, lasting through 5/6-9L, before the actual rally phase starts, which is then followed by another decline to lower Lows.  As we are not seeing a crash wave Low right now, we should still see lower Lows in the coming weeks, but after a rally phase first.