6/29/22 Intraday Time CITs

 From yesterday's post: "Watch 9.40 double time CIT (Change in Trend, ie High or Low) as a short term Low"

Time CITs: 9.40**, 11.20, 2.25 pm Eastern.

The 9.40 double time CIT today was a 9.45 Low of the day (LOD).

11.20 CIT was a 11.25 Low.

2.25 CIT was a 2.20 High.

Crude Oil major Low

We posted on 6/22 that a major Low was due 6/21L+/-1 TD in Crude Oil.

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2022/06/the-666-140-td-crude-oil-cycles.html

The Crude Oil 140 TD Cycle Low bottomed exactly at 6/22L and in the last 4 TD alone, we have rallied a sharp 11%. Brace yourself as the Inflation wave is just at its beginning.

6/28 Intraday cycle forecast VS Actual

 

The 666 & 140 TD Crude Oil Cycles

The 666 TD Crude Oil Cycle: 

02/12/09L - 10/04/11L - 06/03/14H - 01/03/17H - 08/07/19L - 03/07/22H

666 is the mystery number of the Beast. 

Every 666 TD Cycle (see chart) was a multi month major swing Low or High. 

The 666 TD Crude Oil Cycle suggests a major multi month High on 03/07/22H.

The 140 TD Cycle of Lows: 

10/03/19L - 04/21/20L - 1/02/20L - 05/21/21L - 12/02/21L - 6/21/22L+/-

The 140 TD Cycle of Lows has been intermediate multi week and month Lows. 

This suggests the next 140 TD Cycle of Lows due 6/22/22L+/-1 should see a multi week & month rally phase in Crude Oil. This suggests the decline in the stock markets will resume around this time.

Shorter term Geo Time CITs are next due 7/1 & 7/5.

A cluster of major Time CITs are due  late August 2023, it might be good to make a note of this date. 

The active Master Cycle: 6/17 Low

Forecast From Monday 6/13 Update: "Short term, based on another cycle, that is in the markets, since the 1/04/22H, we see a 6/13-14L, bounce 1 day into 6/15H, then decline again into 6/17 lower Lows"

Actual: We saw a 6/14L, 1 day rally into 6/15H, before we declined again into 6/17L as expected.

What's next: The current active Master Cycle is a Fortune creating cycle when active. It is next looking for a 6/17 short term Low+/-1, we then rally into XXX short term High, then decline into lower Lows once again.

Meanwhile Bitcoin, the bubble leader, closed lower today. For now, it remains below its large Bear flag and first targets the 18,000 area, then 16600, 13800 and 11,000. 

Technically a break below the 78.6% at 18,000 should lead to a test of the 3/2020 Lows at 3858.

All the crazy bubbles we have seen in the last years, will reverse back to “normal” in the coming years. The rule in a parabolic bubble advance is, it doesn't matter how fast it went Up in a parabolic Up move, once the bubble burst, it will come down twice as fast.

The Bear is growling

The decline below 5/20L at 3810 SPX confirms a major Bear market is ongoing, so despite any short term Lows and rallies, this market is in major growling mode. Timing will be Key.

June 13 2022 T&C major Low?

We are at major Make or Break red channel support right at the 693 week (green vertical) cycle due in the coming week.

I had a major Time & Cycle Cluster on 6/10 double Geo and 6/11 weekend Solar time as well as 6/13-14 Time Square and now a 6/13-14 debilitated Scorpio Full Moon. 

I had a couple of Cycles, including a Master Cycle due Monday 6/13/22 as well. I was expecting a major High, but we are forming a major Low instead. 

Be prepared for a possible sharp rally afterwards as 6/14 is Fed decision on IR in Option Expiration week, which has an Up bias 72% of the time.

 An Updated chart of the projected Jan 4 2022 major swing High we publicly posted at :

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2022/01/the-334-371-and-556-week-cycles-were.html

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2022/01/10422-time-and-cycle-cluster-high.html

The D cycle skipped a beat

Forecast from 4/21/22: "The D Cycle skipped a beat with the 4/18 lower Lows, so to consider it active again, it need to have 3-5 direct hits. The D cycle forecasts a 4/19H, 4/20L, 4/21H & 4/25L & 4/27 major Lows"

Actual: We saw a 4/21 swing High and a sharp decline into 4/27 swing Low so far.

Intraday Forecast Versus Actual 4/21/22

 

Intraday Forecast Versus Actual 4/19/22

 

Intraday Forecast Versus Actual

 

Make or Break today

 Today 4/12 is Make or Break (MOB) day for the D Cycle looking for a 4/8 swing Low+/-2 TD, ie, we see latest a Low today and reverse higher, otherwise the D Cycle will be incorrect. Once the Low is in, no later than 4/11-12L, we should see a volatile rally into XXX.

We are in for some volatile swings the next few weeks.

Support below is 4398-4405 SPX, the 50% retrace at the 35 DMA

The intraday cycle (which is different from the above daily Cycles) today is an Inversion day, with a possible spillover 9.40L+/- and a 79% chance we see a 1st hour High and normal bias higher. If we do see a 1st hour High, we will have a 68% chance we see a last hour High and a 32% chance we invert.

Intraday Forecast Versus Actual Monday 4/11/22:

We were expecting lower Lows today and it doesn't look like it has bottomed yet.

Let the markets follow its course and prove itself.

Ready for a powerful Rally phase

In our last March 23 public post, the D** cycle was looking for a short term 3/23 High.

From the March 23 Raj T&C Daily Email: "From 3/8L, we rally into 3/23H, decline briefly into 3/25L and continue to rally into 3/31-4/1 swing High"

Actual: From 3/8L, we saw a 3/22H (-1 TD), decline 1 day into 3/23L (-2) and rallied into 3/29 (-2) swing High.

From the March 31 Raj T&C Daily Email: "From the 3/31-4/1H, we see a sharp decline into 4/8 major Low +/-2."

Actual: From 3/29H (-2), we declined into 4/6-7 Low (-2 TD) so far.

What's Next: The D cycle suggests we make a 4/8 major Low+/-2 TD and start a powerful rally phase.

** The D cycle is a historic repeating cycle that is accurate +/-2 TD.

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