Monday, August 1, 2022

7/29-8/1 swing High




 Rajacar

From the 7/22 T&C CIT High, we declined into 7/26 Geo CIT Low. From here, the bias remains we rally into 7/29-8/1 T&C Cluster at the 7/29 and 8/1 Geo time CIT and 8/1 Apex CIT.

The recently 5 forecasted Highs and Lows are shown as #1-5 on chart above, including the 8/1H.

7/29-8/1H has the potential to become a more important intermediate swing High...

Thursday, July 28, 2022

Yesterday's Forecast versus Actual & Today's intraday cycle Forecast


Yesterday's 7/27 forecast:
We see a rally day on Fed day 

Versus 7/27 Actual: We saw an even stronger rally day than expected. 

Today's 7/28 Forecast: We see a decline day today.

Let's  see how that plays out.

Tuesday, July 26, 2022

Free T&C Forecast


We predicted the 6/17 major Low and more recently the 7/8H, 7/14L & 7/22H and we are declining as expected. I will post what the various T&C is saying is the next swing Low & swing High if I get 377 likes and or 55 retweets on twitter and on my free blog:
http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/



7/27 Update: Forecast from 7/22 weekend Update: "From 7/22H, we should decline into 7/26 Geo time CIT Low, then see a volatile rally into XXX T&C Cluster High"

Shorter term: From 7/26L we should rally on Fed Day"

Actual: From 7/22H, we declined into 7/26 Geo CIT Low, and we are rallying today.

Wednesday, July 20, 2022

Forecast vs Actual & Next: 7/8H, 7/13-14L, 7/19H => 7/22H

Fri-Mon 7/8-11  Raj T&C Forecast: "If we rally into the 7/8 double Geo CIT, we will see a 7/8 High (#1), we then decline into 7/13-14L (#2) at the 7/13 Solar & Geo CIT and rally into 7/19H+/-1 (#3)"

Actual: Markets unfolded as expected as we made a 7/8H, declined into 7/14L and rallied into 7/20H, +1 TD so far.




What's Next: The close above the key red down channel is bullish and the rally should continue into Friday 7/22H at the 7/21 Geo & 7/23 Solar & 100 TD Cycle.



We are also approaching in this T&C Cluster,
Long term Trendline resistance from the March 09 Lows at the 4000+/- SPX area.

Monday, July 18, 2022

Intraday cycle 7/1822: 1st hour HOD to last hour LOD

 Intraday cycle 7/18/22: 1st hour HOD (High of day) to last hour LOD (Low of day)



Friday, July 15, 2022

Time of day

 

There is a quadruple time CIT (Change in Trend) Cluster today at 12.15-20, 12.30** pm Eastern, should be fun to watch.

Monday, July 11, 2022

Friday 7/8 High, when Time and Cycles meet with channel resistance


On Jan 6 2022 and Jan 21 2022, we mentioned the various Time and Cycles, including the 980 TD Cycle looking for a 1/04/22 major swing High. 

Evernsince that High, we saw a sharp decline, below long term red Trendline support, which now acts as Make or Break (MOB) Bull Bear TL resistance (1) on the current rallies.

We rallied into this long term trendline resistance at the 6/28 High at 3945.80 SPX, which remains  MOB (Make or Break) Bull/Bear resistance to watch.


A 3rd fan-line (pink) break is bearish. We have now rallied into 7/8 double Geometric Time CIT (Change in Trend), into the 77 TD Cycle (grey lines) and into the pink 3rd fanline and red down channel resistance, suggesting we saw an important 7/8 double top with the 6/28 High and a reversal lower is due.

Conclusion & What's next: The long term MOB Trendline resistance is the Bull Bear divide to watch and we have rallied into 7/8 Time & Cycle cluster and double channel resistance.


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Wednesday, June 29, 2022

6/29/22 Intraday Time CITs

 From yesterday's post: "Watch 9.40 double time CIT (Change in Trend, ie High or Low) as a short term Low"



Time CITs: 9.40**, 11.20, 2.25 pm Eastern.

The 9.40 double time CIT today was a 9.45 Low of the day (LOD).

11.20 CIT was a 11.25 Low.

2.25 CIT was a 2.20 High.

Crude Oil major Low

We posted on 6/22 that a major Low was due 6/21L+/-1 TD in Crude Oil.

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2022/06/the-666-140-td-crude-oil-cycles.html

The Crude Oil 140 TD Cycle Low bottomed exactly at 6/22L and in the last 4 TD alone, we have rallied a sharp 11%. Brace yourself as the Inflation wave is just at its beginning.

Tuesday, June 28, 2022

Wednesday, June 22, 2022

The 666 & 140 TD Crude Oil Cycles

The 666 TD Crude Oil Cycle: 

02/12/09L - 10/04/11L - 06/03/14H - 01/03/17H - 08/07/19L - 03/07/22H

666 is the mystery number of the Beast. 

Every 666 TD Cycle (see chart) was a multi month major swing Low or High. 

The 666 TD Crude Oil Cycle suggests a major multi month High on 03/07/22H.



The 140 TD Cycle of Lows: 

10/03/19L - 04/21/20L - 1/02/20L - 05/21/21L - 12/02/21L - 6/21/22L+/-

The 140 TD Cycle of Lows has been intermediate multi week and month Lows. 

This suggests the next 140 TD Cycle of Lows due 6/22/22L+/-1 should see a multi week & month rally phase in Crude Oil. This suggests the decline in the stock markets will resume around this time.

Shorter term Geo Time CITs are next due 7/1 & 7/5.

A cluster of major Time CITs are due  late August 2023, it might be good to make a note of this date. 

Friday, June 17, 2022

The active Master Cycle: 6/17 Low


Forecast From Monday 6/13 Update
: "Short term, based on another cycle, that is in the markets, since the 1/04/22H, we see a 6/13-14L, bounce 1 day into 6/15H, then decline again into 6/17 lower Lows"

Actual: We saw a 6/14L, 1 day rally into 6/15H, before we declined again into 6/17L as expected.

What's next: The current active Master Cycle is a Fortune creating cycle when active. It is next looking for a 6/17 short term Low+/-1, we then rally into XXX short term High, then decline into lower Lows once again.



Meanwhile Bitcoin, the bubble leader, closed lower today. For now, it remains below its large Bear flag and first targets the 18,000 area, then 16600, 13800 and 11,000. 

Technically a break below the 78.6% at 18,000 should lead to a test of the 3/2020 Lows at 3858.

All the crazy bubbles we have seen in the last years, will reverse back to “normal” in the coming years. The rule in a parabolic bubble advance is, it doesn't matter how fast it went Up in a parabolic Up move, once the bubble burst, it will come down twice as fast.

Monday, June 13, 2022

The Bear is growling


The decline below 5/20L at 3810 SPX confirms a major Bear market is ongoing, so despite any short term Lows and rallies, this market is in major growling mode. Timing will be Key.

Sunday, June 12, 2022

June 13 2022 T&C major Low?

We are at major Make or Break red channel support right at the 693 week (green vertical) cycle due in the coming week.

I had a major Time & Cycle Cluster on 6/10 double Geo and 6/11 weekend Solar time as well as 6/13-14 Time Square and now a 6/13-14 debilitated Scorpio Full Moon. 

I had a couple of Cycles, including a Master Cycle due Monday 6/13/22 as well. I was expecting a major High, but we are forming a major Low instead. 

Be prepared for a possible sharp rally afterwards as 6/14 is Fed decision on IR in Option Expiration week, which has an Up bias 72% of the time.



 An Updated chart of the projected Jan 4 2022 major swing High we publicly posted at :

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2022/01/the-334-371-and-556-week-cycles-were.html

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2022/01/10422-time-and-cycle-cluster-high.html