Raj Time and Cycle Review and Forecast

http://www.safehaven.com/article/34629/raj-time-and-cycle-review-and-forecast

In my last public post, I was looking for a 7/10-11 Low. http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2014/07/forecasted-73-high-decline-into-710-11.html

Forecast (1) from my July 11 Report: “After the 7/10-11L, we rally into OE crook’s week into 7/16 Solar and Geometric CIT High of the week”

Actual: We made a July 10 Low and rallied 32.75 SP’s into a 7/16 High. From there we saw a sharp decline afterwards.

Forecast (2) from the 7/19 weekend Report: “The bias has shifted that the 7/16 CIT was the 7/17L and we will rally into the 7/24 double Geometric CIT and the 70/140 TD and 270 TD Cycle due 7/22+/-wk. Any rally above 1986 SPX targets the 2000 SPX area.”

Actual: From the 7/17 Low, we rallied to All time Highs at 1991.39 SPX into 7/24 double Geometric CIT Highs.

There were 2 fixed cycles due around this time (Fixed Cycles has a variance of a couple of days)

1. The 70/140 Trading Day (TD) Cycle: 2/5/10L, 8/27/10L, 3/18/11L(-2), 10/6/11L(-2), 4/27/12H(+2)-138 TD- 70 TD: 11/16/12L, 3/1/13L, 6/10/13, 9/19/13H, 12/31/13H-4/11/14L-7/24/14H.

2. 270 TD Cycle: 3/6/09L -542 TD - (2X271)-5/02/11H-275-6/4/12L-264-6/24/13L-271- 7/24/14H.

What’s next: We should make a July 24-25 High that could stretch into Monday's July 28 Solar CIT and start a decline. We have a double long term monthly SPX resistance (see chart above) for July at the 2000 SPX area.

Forecasted: 7/3 High, decline into 7/10-11 Low

http://www.safehaven.com/article/34486/raj-time-and-cycles-july-2014-review-and-forecast

Forecast made on 7/1: We should see one last higher High by 7/2-3 at the 7/2 Geometric and Solar CIT and decline into 7/10-12 Lows. The 10 TD Hurst Cycle was 10 TD long at the 6/26L from the 6/12L and is next due 7/11L+/-3, right at the reliable Time Square from 7/18/06L + 54^2 = 07/12/14. The 45 TD Hurst Cycle should then bottom at that time."

Actual: We made a 7/3 High and declined 32.73 SP's into 7/10 Lows, 9 TD from the 6/26L.

From 7/10 update:  "Markets so far has declined into 7/10 in an ABC decline. We are expecting a Low today, so it is time to TMAR (Take the money and run). "Globex has been down all night. Often, though not always, we see the Low of the day right near the Open or 1st half hour."

"Declines since the 4/11/14L has been maximum 30-40 SP in 2-4 TD. This suggests max a 7/10L at 1945-55 SPX ."

Actual: Markets bottomed right at the Open on 7/10 in an ABC decline, in 4 TD and 32.73 SP's at 1952.86 SPX, right at the 1945-55 SPX target zone.

We have had 6 declines since the 4/11/14L that has ALL been between 30-40 SP in 2-4 TD.

1. 4/22H - 4/28L = 34.28 SP in 4 TD

2. 5/02H - 5/07L = 31.54 SP in 3 TD

3. 5/13H - 5/15L = 39.81 SP in 2 TD

4. 6/09H - 6/12L = 29.77 SP in 3 TD

5. 6/24H - 6/26L = 23.48 SP in 2 TD

6. 7/03H –7/10L = 32.73 SP in 4 TD

It would be a Change in Trend, if we declined more than 4 TD and more than 40 SP's.

Time Squares from 7/18/06 Major Low have a long history of accuracy

The Squared Days from certain past Highs and Lows have marked important future Highs and Lows. For example, 7/18/06L + 50 Squared CD = 50 X 50 = 2500 CD + 7/18/06L = 5/22/13H

26^2 = 05/24/08 -5 = 05/19/08 Major High  27^2 = 07/16/08 -1 = 07/15/08 Major Low

28^2 = 09/09/08 -5 = 09/02/08 Major High  29^2 = 11/05/08 -1 = 11/04/08 Major High

30^2 = 01/03/09+2 = 01/06/09 Major High  31^2 = 03/05/09+1 = 03/06/09 Major Low

32^2 = 05/07/09+1 = 05/08/09 Major high   33^2 = 07/11/09-3  = 07/08/09 Major Low

34^2 = 09/16/09      = 09/16/09 High            35^2 = 11/24/09+3  = 11/27/09 Dubai Low

36^2 = 02/03/10 +2 = 02/05/10 Major Low  37^2=  04/17/10  -2 = 04/15/10 High

38^2 = 07/01/10 Major Low                         39^2 = 9/16/10 Miss

40^2 = 12/04/10 was the 11/29/10L              41^2 = 02/23/11=> 2/18/11 High

42^2 = 05/17/11 Low                                    43^2 = 8/10/11 => 8/9/11 Low

44^2= 11/5/11 => 10/27/11 High                  45^2= 2/2/12 => 1/30/12 Low

46^2 = 5/3/12 => 5/1/12H                             47^2 = 8/4/12 è 8/2/12 Low

48^2 = 11/7/12  => 11/16/12 major Low       49^2 = 2/12/13 Miss

50^ 2 =5/22/13 => 5/22/13 High                   51^2 =8/31/13=8/28/13L   

52^2=12/12/13L                                            53^2 = 03/27/14  => 3/27/14 Low

54^2 = 07/12/14 is next

What's next: We make a 7/10-11 short term Low and rally into the next Solar and Geometric CIT.