Intraday Time & Cycles

The intraday 5 min SPX Time CIT 06/15/20: 9.35, 1.20, 3.20 pm Eastern (Cyan vertical Lines). Pink lines is the intraday cycle

Revisiting the 75 week Flash Crash (FC) Cycle

On 5/3 on my public blog, I mentioned that “the Flash Crash Cycle is due in late May 2020”

The 75 week/360TD/525 CD FC Cycle may have inverted to a 6/8/20 major High, which was also at Long term red Channel resistance.

06/08/20H is:

04/14/00L = 14 X 525.71 CD 

09/21/02L = 13 X 525.77 CD

03/12/03L = 12 X 524.83 CD

08/13/04L = 11 X 525.27 CD

11/21/08L = 08 X 527.13 CD

05/06/10 FC= 07 X 526.57 CD

10/04/11L = 06 X 528.33 CD

02/11/16L = 03 X 526.33 CD

12/26/18L = 01 X 530.00 CD

As mentioned before, at times the FC Cycle skips a beat, out of the last 14, 9 (64%) were direct hits and 5 (36%) were misses. It is possible it was a miss as 36% of them were misses, but if the 6/8/20H remains the High in the next few weeks, it becomes more likely that this 75 wk cycle was the 6/8/20H. The 75 week cycle is +/-2 weeks, 3/12/03L, 10/4/11L and 2/11/16L were 1 1/2- 2 weeks off.

Review of the last weeks: 

From the 5/19 Email: “The 45 TD Hurst cycle Low was the shallow 5/14L at 2766 SPX, which was confirmed today at 37 TD Long and now projects an average rally into 6/11-25H”

From the 6/2 Email: “Shorter term, we see a 6/4 swing High, before we see a sharper decline into 6/11 WBOE Low”

Actual: From the 5/14 swing Low, the rally continued into the 6/8 swing High, 2 TD later and saw a sharper decline into 6/11 Low.

Conclusion: Shorter term, we are expecting a 6/11 Low +/-1 and another short term rally phase. Once and if the 6/8 swing High gets confirmed as the FC High, we should see a relative sharp 300-500 SP decline in the coming weeks. Are you ready?

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When will this Covid Crisis be over?

"Things would get a little better after 1st of July and progressively better after 9/20/20, when Ketu moves out of Mula Nakshatra (Destruction stargroup)" according to the Vedic Astrologers.

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2020/02/the-186-year-cycle-of-mars-and-dragon.html

Review Hourly Time CIT

Yesterday's 11.40-12.45 hourly time CIT (Change in Trend) was the 10.55 Low of the day, 45 minutes earlier, and we have rallied sharply eversince into today. 

The next important hourly time CIT is due Friday 5/29 in the last hour to the 1st hour Monday 6/1. 

There is also a 6/1 double Daily Solar and GeometricTime CIT, which should be an important Daily time CIT to watch.

Intraday Time and Cycles 5/27/20

Today is a daily CIT (Change in Trend) and the hourly arrives around Noon time+/-1 hr. The intraday 5 min SPX Time CIT 05/27/20: 10.10, 11.30, 11.40-12.45 hourly, 1.15 pm Intraday Cycle are the Pink lines: (9.40L), 10.30H, 11.15L, 12.20H, 2.00L, 3.40H, all +/-30 min

Two Hourly time CITs are due in the coming week

Markets have been in a volatile 180 SP's sideways channel for the last 7 weeks now.

The last hourly time Geometric CIT (Change in Trend) was the 5/18 High of day and we saw a decline the next day into the close. 

The next hourly time CIT is due:

1. 5/27 at 11.40-12.45 pm Eastern and 

2. 5/29 at the close.

Please remember, the hourly time CIT are short term time CITs only as opposed to the long term daily time CITs. The hourly time CITs could turn into longer term Highs or Lows if other Time and Cycles agrees. The Geometric Time CITs are 70-80% accurate, ie 20-30% of them won't work. It is best to combine them with various other Time and Cycle Techniques to give a higher degree of accuracy.

Conclusion: The next 2 hourly time CITs should cause increased Volatility in the coming week.

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The next Geometric hourly Time CIT is due this Monday 5/11 in the 1st hour

The next Geometric hourly Time CIT (Change in Trend)  is due this Monday 5/11 in the 1st hour.

The last hourly 5/6 Apex CIT was a miss as it was off by a few hours.

Geometric time CIT are 70-80% accurate, so 20-30% will not work. 

The hourly time CITs are short term CITs, but could turn into longer term CITs.

The next hourly Time CIT is coming Up on 5/6

The next hourly Time CIT (yellow vertical lines) is coming up on 5/6 around Noon time. There should be plenty of volatility in the coming days.

The Flash Crash Cycle is due in late May 2020

I have written extensively about my discovery of the Flash Crash (FC) cycle in past posts, including the more recent December 2018 Flash Crash Lows. 

I first mentioned the Flash Crash cycle back in May 2010, when the Flash Crash happened and I discovered then there was a regular Flash Crash cycle, which is a Gann 360 TD/525 Calendar day/75 week crash cycle.

In September 2011 for example, the FC cycle was predicting an October 2011 FC Low: http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2011/09/flash-crash-cycle.html
Actual: We saw an 10/4/11 major Low

The Flash Crash 360 TD/ 525CD/ 75 week cycle 

04/14/00L – 09/21/01L = 01 X 358.00 TD = 01 X 525 CD = 01 X 75.00 weeks

04/14/00L – 03/12/03L = 02 X 363.50 TD = 02 X 531 CD = 02 X 75.86 weeks

04/14/00L – 08/13/04L = 03 X 362.00 TD = 03 X 527 CD = 03 X 73.33 weeks

04/14/00L – 11/21/08L = 06 X 360.67 TD = 06 X 524 CD = 06 X 74.83 weeks

04/14/00L – 05/06/10L = 07 X 361.14 TD = 07 X 525 CD = 07 X 74.98 weeks

04/14/00L – 10/04/11L = 08 X 360.63 TD = 08 X 524 CD = 08 X 74.82 weeks

04/14/00L – 01/20/16L = 11 X 360.36 TD = 11 X 524 CD = 11 X 74.79 weeks

04/14/00L – 12/26/18L = 13 X 361.46 TD = 13 X 525 CD = 13 X 75.05 weeks

9 out of 14 FC Cycles saw 7%-26% (avg 12-16%) declines, 5 in 2-3 wks, 4 in 7-14 wks
03/24/00H - 04/14/00L was a 14% decline in 3 weeks
08/31/01H - 09/21/01L was a 20% decline in 3 weeks
01/31/13H - 03/12/03L was a 16% decline in 8 weeks
06/24/04H - 08/13/04L was a 7% decline in 7 weeks
11/04/08H - 11/21/08L was a 26% decline in 3 weeks
04/26/10H - 05/06/10L was a 12% decline in 3 weeks
09/16/11H - 10/04/11L was a 12% decline in 2 weeks

11/03/15H - 01/20/16L was a 14% decline in 11 weeks

09/21/18H –12/26/18L was a 20% decline in 14 weeks

The 360 TD Cycle is about 75 weeks, which has been in the markets ever since the April 14 2000 mini Crash Low and has since pinpointed 9 major crash Lows in the past 19 years, including the 4/14/00 mini crash Low, 9/21/01 crash Low, 3/12/03L, 8/13/04L, 11/21/08 crash Low, 5/6/10 Flash Crash, 10/04/11 Low, 1/20/15 Crash Low and more recently the 12/26/18 crash Low. It is next due in May 2020.

Many of the 360 TD/75 week flash crash cycle Lows were major Panic Lows, like the 4/14/00 Low, 9/21/01 Panic Low and the 11/21/08 Banking crisis Low. A few, like the 3/12/03 Low and 8/13/04 Low were not Panic Lows, but still major Lows.  At times the FC Cycle skips a beat, out of the last 14, 9 (64%) were direct hits and 5 (36%) were misses.

Conclusion: The 360 TD Flash Crash Cycle predicted many crashes and major Lows in the past, including the 4/14/00 crash Low, 9/21/01 crash Low,  3/12/13 Low, 8/13/04 Low, 11/21/08 crash Low, 5/6/10 FC, 10/04/11 crash Low, 1/20/16 Crash Low and the  December 26 2018 crash Lows. It is next due late May 2020.  Some were misses, but in general, it is a regular cycle to be reckoned with. The Flash crash (FC) cycle, once active sees an average 12-16% decline. As the Flash Crash (FC) Cycle is a 1 1/2 year fixed cycle, it will have a +/- variance of a few weeks, so timing the exact Low will be Key as once the Flash Crash cycle bottoms, we will see a sharp rally afterwards. 



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12 Secrets for fastest healing, growth in Health, Happiness & well being

https://www.miu.edu/introduction-to-mav

Your Health is your greatest wealth especially in this Covid Environment, below are 

12 Secrets for fastest healing, growth in Health, Happiness & well being

1. Consistently go to bed before 10:00 p.m facing East or South and wake up early before the rising sun.

2.  Daily elimination, scrape tongue, brush teeth, do a 5-20 min warm Oil massage with Sesame or Coconut Oil, then shower.

3. Walk outdoors in the rising Sun while breathing deeply.

4. Do Yoga Asana’s (postures) and Pranayama (breathing exercises) before meditation twice a day.

5. Practice Transcendental Meditation (tm.org or tm.nl) morning and evening at fixed times, facing East.

6. Exercise daily in mornings (6-10 am) to maximum 50-60% of ability, with no stress and straining.

7. Drink warm water when thirsty throughout the day.

8. Eat light at breakfast before 8 am and dinner (6-8 pm) and the heaviest main meal at 12.00-1.00 pm

9. Eat only fresh organic foods to 3/4 of capacity, no junk, deep fried, canned, frozen or packaged foods or leftovers. Avoid all cold, sugary and carbonated drinks & foods.

10. Use Rasayanas, which are herbal mixtures that build up your Immunity & create Bliss, like Amrit Kalash

11. Practice healthy behaviors like love, compassion, modesty, respect for elders and teachers, calmness, free from anger, sweet speech, self-controlled, study of deeper truths, etc.

12. Create a sweet, loving, stress free environment, avoid stress and drama as much as possible.  Keep company of the wise, learned, good conduct, devoid of anxieties and peaceful. Avoid those who are negative in thought, speech and conduct; who habitually speak ill of others, sarcastic, cruel or greedy people.

The next hourly time CIT arrives today

The next hourly time CIT arrives today in the last hour, bias is it will be a High.

The next hourly time CIT was the last hour High yesterday

The next hourly time CIT was the last hour High yesterday, right at Key MOB resistance and with various negative divergences, that was a decent time to short. It doesn't get better than that for daytraders. The next hourly CIT is today at 12.45-1.50 pm Hourly Eastern.

Review 4/5 weekend Forecast versus Actual

Forecast from the 4/5 Raj T&C Weekend Report:

"From the 4/1L B wave Low, we should see a C wave rally unfold"

Actual: From the 4/1 Low, we saw a strong C wave 11% rally in the last week.

Yellow vertical Lines are hourly time CITs.

What's next: We see a decline and another rally phase afterwards. (Exact dates reserved)

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Triple 5 min CIT today

I don't have any hourly time CITs until 4/15, but today there is a 5 min triple CIT (Change in Trend) at 3.15-20**, 3.35 pm Eastern, which should be watched closely.