6/3 Time and Cycle Cluster Low

From our public Post: "From the predicted 5/1-3 major multi week & month High and the forecasted decline into 5/13-15 Lows, we then predicted a 5/21 lower High. From there we would decline into the next Time and Cycle Cluster Low"

From 5/24 Daily Email: "The markets broke decisively below the contracting triangle. If wave C = wave A = 2739.50 SPX. The triangle is also projecting to 2740 SPX area. "

The next Time and Cycle cluster Low was the 5/29-6/3 Low:

Time CITs:

5/29 Geometric time CIT
6/1 Weekend Solar time CIT
6/3 Geometric time CIT

Cycle CITs:

The 168 TD or 35 week Cycle has been off max 2-3 TD and supports a decline into 5/31-6/3 Lows.

What's Next: Ideally we bottom at the 6/3 Low at the T&C Cluster Low and start a rally phase into the next T&C Cluster High. The 2740 SPX triangle Target was also achieved today, right at the 1.50-2.55 hourly time CIT today.

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Trapdoor to Hell

Daily cycles are still pointing lower, taking out the 5/13 Low at 2801 SPX, opens up the Trapdoor to Hell.

Forecast vs Actual 5 min intraday SPX

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles

Forecast Vs actual 5 min intraday SPX

Tomorrow sees a 1st hour High, midday High and last hour High

Review of various Time and Cycles

The 5/1 triple Top was a T&C Cluster High that should be the swing High for a number of weeks and months.

Next was the 5/13-15 T&C Cluster Low (A on chart), which held the 50 DMA and the pink triple Top turned support. 

Time CITs: 

5/15 Quadruple Geo Time CIT

Cycle CITs:

5/14: 47 CD Cycle: 9/21/18H -47-11/7/18H -49-12/26/18L -47-2/09/19L -45-3/28/19L-47- 5/13L

5/15: 94 TD/20 wk Cycle: 6/29/17L-96-11/14/17L-92-4/2/18L-95-8/15/18L-91-12/26/18LL-92-5/13L

From our 5/17 T&C Daily Email: "The current bias is 5/15 triple CIT was the 5/15L gap Low Open retest Low and we rally into 5/21-22H at the 5/21 Solar and 5/22 Geo Time CIT. From there we decline into XXX"

Actual: Since the 5/13-15 Low, we have seen a choppy contracting triangle B wave rallying into our projected 5/21-22 solar and Geometric CIT Highs (B on chart).

What's next: We start another sharp decline into our next T&C Cluster Low.

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Next Time & Cycle Cluster is coming

My last Time and Cycle cluster was the 5/1-3 major High. 

We mentioned that once we broke below the 4-5 week compressed mini up channel, we would see a sharp and fast decline, which we are seeing right now. 

My next Time and cycle cluster should be a mini crash Low. Are you ready to rock and roll?

Right on Time!

Right on Time!

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2019/04/time-cycle-cluster-430-53.html

The 4/30 Solar Time CIT was the 5/1H

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles 18m18 minutes ago

The 4/30 Solar Time CIT was the 5/1H

Time & Cycle cluster: 4/30-5/3

For a number of weeks now, I have had 4/30-5/3 as a Time & Cycle Cluster, where I was expecting a swing Low to be made. However, we have been in a relative narrow compressed channel & trading range these last 4 weeks.  

In these "Stuck Up" markets the last 4 weeks, the normal Time and Cycles gets ignored, so we will have to see if we are seeing a swing Low or a High in this time period.

Time: 

4/30: Saturn Retro 4/29-30

4/30: Solar Time CIT: 4/30

5/2: 9 Days of MD Cycle: 5/2/19

5/3: Apex of the rising wedge due 5/3

5/3:4661 TD 

07/19/99H +4661= 01/26/18H

10/18/99L +4664= 05/03/18L

03/24/00H +4660=10/03/18H

04/14/00L +4663= 10/29/18L

05/24/00L +4659= 12/03/18H

09/01/00H +4661= 03/21/18H

10/18/00L +4660= 05/03/19

Cycles: The 77 TD,136 TD, 316-17 TD/461 CD cycles and 96 weeks/672 CD Cycle  are all due end April to early May.

77-78 TD Cycle: 11/4/16L-78-3/1/17H-76-6/19/17H-2X76-1/26/18H-80-5/22/18H-75-9/07/18L-75-12/26/18LL-80-4/29/18

136 TD Cycle: 4/29/18

461 CD/317 TD Cycle: 7/1/10L -460-10/4/11L-454-12/31/12L-466-4/11/14L-465-7/20/15H-473-11/4/16L-448-1/26/18H-461-4/30-5/3/19

96 wks/ 672 CD/ 463 TD cycle of Lows: 4/14/97L-3X668- 10/10/02L-672-8/13/04L-670-6/14/06L-2X676- 2/25/10L-12/19/11L- 2 X 672 = 8/24/15L-6/26/17L+3—4/29/19

Conclusion: 4/30-5/3 Time and Cycle Cluster, should be an important Change in Trend.

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SPX and US Dollar in compressed channels

SPX has been a narrow compressed sideways to Up channel for more than a month now.

Everyone is talking about the recent US Dollar Breakout, but it remains in a long term channel and right at channel resistance.

and the beat goes on..

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles 51s51 seconds ago

and the beat goes on. Shorter term, we could sell channel resistance and buy channel support until the channel breaks.

Stuck in a narrow compressed Up channel the last 2 weeks

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles 3m3 minutes ago

Stuck in a narrow compressed Up channel the last 2 weeks, once it breaks, it should be relatively sharp and fast.

The Master Cycle Update: 4/2-3 High

In my last post, I was looking for a 3/4 swing High

From 3/4 Raj T&C Daily Email: I found a possible Master Cycle (MC) that forecasted the:

1. 09/21/18H

2. 10/29/18L

3. 11/07/18H

4. 12/03/18H

5. 12/26/18 major Low.

It is now suggesting a 3/05 swing High, followed by a decline into 3/11L, up into 3/14-15H, 3/19L, 3/21H. I don’t expect this cycle to follow perfectly all the details, as it has been off at times by 1-2 TD, but it should generally be in there."

Actual: 

1. 3/05H => 3/4 short term swing High, 1 TD earlier

2. 3/11L => 3/8 Low, 1 TD earlier

3.3/14-15H =>  Miss

4. 3/19L => 3/20L, 1 TD earlier

5. 3/21H => 3/21 High.

From the above we see that although the MC is not perfect as it had 1 miss, the cycle is still "active" with future hits +/-2. The MC is a time Cycle that doesn't predict Price Magnitude.

From 3/21 & 3/27 Raj T&C Daily Email: "The MC suggests a 3/21H, decline into 3/27L, rally into 4/2 swing High"

Actual:

6. 3/27L => 3/25L, 2 TD earlier, 3/27 retest Low

7. 4/2H => We are currently rallying into 4/2H

There is a 16 TD, 66 TD and 25 TD fixed cycle supporting an 4/3-5 CIT as well.

Conclusion and what's Next: The Master Cycle has had some misses and is not perfect, but it remains in the markets with "active" hits +/-1-2 TD and is now suggesting an 4/2 swing High+/-2 at the 4/2 Geometric Time CIT, 4/4-5 Time Square CIT and 16, 25 and 66 TD Cycles due 4/3-5.

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Hourly Channel support breaking...

Hourly Channel support breaking...

Rajacar‏ @TimeandCycles 48s49 seconds ago

Hourly channel support has held since 12/28/18 and is currently at 2777 SPX, a break below that is an initial sell signal.

The Master Cycle suggests a 3/4-05 major swing High

Review from 2/26/19 Report: "The 2/21 time Square CIT High could be the overdue 45 TD Hurst swing 2/25H, along with the 2/22 time Geo and 2/23 (2/22-25) Solar Time CITs."

"There is a CD to TD CIT is on 2/28, along with 25 TD cycle due 3/1, the 3/1 Bradley and 3/4 Emini Apex CIT is biased to be another High."

Review from 2/27/19 Update: "We are seeing a further decline this morning, confirming the 2/25H is in place, but after a 2/27L, we are still expecting another High due 3/1-4 lower or higher High."

Actual: We made a 2/25H, declined into 2/27L and made a 3/4H

What's Next: There is a proprietary Master Cycle (MC) that forecasted:

1. 9/21/18H
2. 10/29/18L
3. 11/7/18H
4. 12/3/18H
5. 12/26/18 major Low. 

The MC can be off by 1-2 TD, but it has been generally in there.  

The MC now suggests a 3/04-05 major swing High, followed by a sharp decline into XXX. 

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