some may be wondering what this "Biblical numerology" that the active cycle is based on, is all about, here are some simple examples http://numerology.center/bible_num.php
This is a stockmarket site for both intraday and swingtraders, trading the SP emini,ETF's like QLD, SSO, etc. Various Timing techniques and Cycles are researched. Precise Timing is everything. Both Intraday and daily Change in Trend (CIT) Times are calculated through several unique timing methods that are often exact or off by mostly +/- 5-10 minutes for intraday times and +/-1 day for the daily CITs. All the different Cycles in the SP 500 markets are discussed.
Friday, August 10, 2018
Tuesday, August 7, 2018
Update
The active biblical cycle was looking for an 8/2 Swing Low, then a multi week rally, with a short term 8/6-7H, but it is allowed to be a few days off, so we don't try to trade this too perfectly. In general we are higher for a number of weeks.
Monday, August 6, 2018
The active Biblical Cycle: 8/2L, 8/6H
The 25 TD Cyan Fixed cycle on the Emini SP (see above chart) and the 8 TD Cycle, which was at most 1 TD off, was the 8/2L
Fixed Cycles Cluster: 8/2/18L
The 139 CD, 90 CD, 358 TD & 331 CD fixed Cycles below were all the 8/2/18L.
96 TD/139 CD Cycle:
2/25/15H-145-7/20/15H-135-12/1/15H-141-4/20/16H-140-9/7/16H-136-1/23/17L-(6/7/17 miss)-2
X 137.5 10/25/17L 139- 3/13/18H – 139- 7/30/18+/- => 8/2/18L
90 CD: 90 CD: 5/20/15H-8/18H-11/16L- 2/14/16H, 5/14+5L,
8/12+1H, 11/10L-6, 2/10/17L-2, 5/11H-2, 8/9/17H-1, 11/7/17H -94- 2/5/18 -83-
5/3/18L -90- 8/2/18L
358 TD
Cycle: 5/12/04L-359-10/13/05L-354-3/14/07L-356-8/11/08H-357-1/11/10H-361-6/16/11L-358-11/16/12L-351-4/11/14L-369-9/29/15L-357-3/1/17H-358-8/02/18+/-=>
8/2/18L
331
CD/228 TD/46-47 wk Cycle:
8/11/08H-331-7/08/09L-335-6/8/10L-328-5/2/11H-336-04/02/12H-330-2/26/13L-329-1/21/14H-329-12/16/14L-335-11/16/15L-329-10/10/16H-330-9/5/17L-
8/2/18L.
The active Biblical cycle recently predicted the 7/25 High and suggests 8/2 Low was the Low for some time. Next it is suggesting Monday 8/6+/-1 should be a short term High, before we see a retrace, then higher Highs afterwards. Once this cycle eventually tops out, be prepared for a giant roller coaster ride of biblical proportions.
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Wednesday, July 25, 2018
7/24 Geo CIT was the 7/23 Low instead
We have seen no reversal lower, so the current bias is the 7/24 Geo time CIT was the 10 TD Hurst Low at the 7/23 Low.
We should now be rallying into a major Time & Cycle Cluster coming Up, will update when we get there.
We should now be rallying into a major Time & Cycle Cluster coming Up, will update when we get there.
Tuesday, July 24, 2018
7/24 short term High
Review: In our July 2 update, we were looking for a 7/2 major Low, with a hard retest of the 6/28 Low and a sharp rally afterwards: https://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2018/07/the-active-dominant-cycle-july-2-major.html
Actual: We made a 6/28-7/2 double Low and have since rallied into today's Highs.
What's Next?: We are rallying into the 7/24 Geometric time CIT & 1st hourly CIT today, suggesting a 1st hour High at 2830 SPX channel resistance, but as bullish momentum is strong, we need a reversal lower to confirm. There is a 25 TD Cycle due 7/25 supporting a 7/24-25 short term High as well.
2.44 pm Eastern Update: We are seeing a nice reversal lower from the 1st hourly CIT High today, Key channel support to watch 2801 SPX and the 7/23 last siwng Low at 2795 SPX.
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Monday, July 9, 2018
Monday, July 2, 2018
The active dominant cycle: July 2 major swing Low.
Review: From the June 4th Raj T&C Weekend Email (One month ago): "There is a cluster of 6-7 fixed cycles all due end June/early July that should be a major High or Low"
Review: From the June 23 Raj T&C Daily Email: "There is a possible active cycle (grey lines in chart), which is the current cycle bias, that suggests from 6/22H, we decline into 6/25L (1), rally into 6/27H (2) and decline into 7/2 swing Low (3)"
Actual: From 6/22H, we declined into 6/25L, rallied into 6/27H and we are now declining into 7/2 swing Lows, which makes the above active cycle the dominant cycle to watch.
Actual: The fixed cycles due end June/early July: the 80 CD Cycle, the 90 CD Cycle, the 95 CD Cycle, the 32-33 wk cycle, the 5 Month cycle and the 1308 CD Cycle are all due late June/early July should be a major swing Low based on the dominant active cycle shown below. Fixed cycles can expand and contract by a few days to a few weeks and are not exact, while an "active" cycle is a precise historic cycle as it is +/- 1 to 2 days max.
Actual: From 6/22H, we declined into 6/25L, rallied into 6/27H and we are now declining into 7/2 swing Lows, which makes the above active cycle the dominant cycle to watch.
What's Next: We should see a hard retest of the 6/28 Lows and ideally see lower Lows at today's projected July 2 major swing Low+/-2 and start a multi week rally phase. Bears beware.
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Friday, June 29, 2018
The 15 CD/10-11 TD pattern
We have had 3 rally phases since the 4/2 Low. The 1st two were followed by a 15 CD/10-11 TD decline and suggests the decline from 6/13H should last 15 C/11 TD into 6/28/18L+/-,which we have now seen. Will this be the Low?
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Thursday, June 21, 2018
Monday, June 18, 2018
June 18 Low
The 55 TD Cycle was due today Monday, 6/18.
The next Apex CIT was due today, 6/18.
The next Geometric time CIT was also due today 6/18.
We have declined into 6/18 Geo Time CIT, 6/18 Apex CIT and 55 TD Cycle, suggesting a 6/18 short term Low is forming.
We remain in the large Pink channel since the 4/2 Low.
Tuesday, June 12, 2018
The 80-20% rule in the markets
The 80-20% rule is certainly in these markets (80% of the price move happens in the last 20% of time), but applies to most everything else in our lives.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fCn8zs912OE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fCn8zs912OE
Thursday, June 7, 2018
Wednesday, June 6, 2018
Raj Time and Cycles 6/6/18 Review & Forecast
In my last major Cycle update, I was looking for an 4/18-19 swing High
From 4/19 Daily Email: “From the 4/18-19H, we were
looking for a 5 day sharp decline into 4/25L”
Actual: We made an 4/18H and saw a 5 day relatively
sharp 105 SP decline into 4/25L.
The dominant cycle (green Lines) then predicted a choppy rally, with an 4/30H, 5/1L,
5/3H-1, 5/4 swing Low, followed by another
rally into 5/10H+2, which was the 5/14 swing High.
The dominant
cycle recently had 7 hits: 5/15L, 5/17H, 5/21L (5/18L -1), 5/22H, 5/29L,
rally into 5/30H at the 5/30 Geo CIT and another decline into 6/1 Low (5/31L-1).
What’s next: We are looking for a short term 6/7 High,
followed by another decline into XXX and another rally afterwards.
Daytraders: Intraday Time and Cycle Forecast:
Intraday 5 min SPX CIT
Times 6/06/18: 10.35-40, 12.35, 3.50,
4.15 pm Eastern
Actual:
Intraday Cycle is the Pink lines: (9.40H), 10.20L, 11.15H, 12.30L, 2.00H, 3.10L
Actual: 9.45H,
10.10L
Wednesday sees a possible
9.40 cycle High+/- , decline to a 10.20 cycle Low at the 10.35-40 time CIT,
rally to a 11.15 cycle High+/-30, decline to a 12.30 cycle Low at the 12.35
time CIT, rally to a 2.00 cycle High+/-30 min, decline to a 3.10 cycle Low at
the 3.50-4.15 pm time CIT.
Actual: We gapped higher to a 9.45H and made a 10.10 1st hour Low so far.
The intraday cycle sees a 1st hour Low, midday Low and last hour Low.
If the midday Low is lower than the 1st hour Low, it suggests a last hour lowest Low and Vice Versa.
Tomorrow’s intraday cycle is biased higher.
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Tuesday, May 15, 2018
5/14 Apex CIT High and 2.15-40 pm CITs
The most recent daily Apex CIT (Change in Trend) was on 5/14 at the 5/14H. The hourly Apex of the same, was on Friday 5/11 at the close. The actual swing High arrived a little more than 1 hour later on Monday 5/14 at 10.40 am. There are other future Apex Time CITs to watch.
The last 9 consecutive days saw an important CIT (Change in Trend) centered on 2.15-2.50 pm Eastern. 5 were High of Day (HOD) and 3 were a Low of day (LOD).
5/2 2.15HOD
5/3 2.45HOD
5/4 2.50HOD
5/7 2.40HOD
5/8 2.45LOD
5/9 2.15HOD
5/10 2.45L
5/11 2.15LOD
5/14 2.20LOD
5/15 2.15-50?
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