Friday, August 10, 2018

Biblical numerology

some may be wondering what this "Biblical numerology" that the active cycle is based on, is all about, here are some simple examples http://numerology.center/bible_num.php

Tuesday, August 7, 2018

Update

The active biblical cycle was looking for an 8/2 Swing Low, then a multi week rally, with a short term 8/6-7H, but it is allowed to be a few days off, so we don't try to trade this too perfectly. In general we are higher for a number of weeks.

Monday, August 6, 2018

The active Biblical Cycle: 8/2L, 8/6H


The 25 TD Cyan Fixed cycle on the Emini SP (see above chart) and the 8 TD Cycle, which was at most 1 TD off, was the 8/2L



Fixed Cycles Cluster: 8/2/18L

The 139 CD, 90 CD, 358 TD & 331 CD fixed Cycles below were all the 8/2/18L. 


96 TD/139 CD Cycle: 2/25/15H-145-7/20/15H-135-12/1/15H-141-4/20/16H-140-9/7/16H-136-1/23/17L-(6/7/17  miss)-2 X 137.5 10/25/17L 139- 3/13/18H – 139- 7/30/18+/- => 8/2/18L

90 CD: 90 CD: 5/20/15H-8/18H-11/16L- 2/14/16H, 5/14+5L, 8/12+1H, 11/10L-6, 2/10/17L-2, 5/11H-2, 8/9/17H-1, 11/7/17H -94- 2/5/18 -83- 5/3/18L -90- 8/2/18L


358 TD Cycle: 5/12/04L-359-10/13/05L-354-3/14/07L-356-8/11/08H-357-1/11/10H-361-6/16/11L-358-11/16/12L-351-4/11/14L-369-9/29/15L-357-3/1/17H-358-8/02/18+/-=> 8/2/18L

331 CD/228 TD/46-47 wk Cycle: 8/11/08H-331-7/08/09L-335-6/8/10L-328-5/2/11H-336-04/02/12H-330-2/26/13L-329-1/21/14H-329-12/16/14L-335-11/16/15L-329-10/10/16H-330-9/5/17L- 8/2/18L.

There is an active “Biblical” cycle (a Cycle following biblical numerology) right now, which is our current bias and takes precedent above other cycles. This cycle may be off a few days, but it is still "active". An active Cycle is a cycle that is repeating past Highs and Lows and has at least 3-5 "hits".  

The active Biblical cycle recently predicted the 7/25 High and suggests  8/2 Low was the Low for some time. Next it is suggesting Monday 8/6+/-1 should be a short term High, before we see a retrace, then higher Highs afterwards. Once this cycle eventually tops out, be prepared for a giant roller coaster ride of biblical proportions.



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Wednesday, July 25, 2018

7/24 Geo CIT was the 7/23 Low instead

We have seen no reversal lower, so the current bias is the 7/24 Geo time CIT was the 10 TD Hurst Low at the 7/23 Low. 

We should now be rallying into a major Time & Cycle Cluster coming Up, will update when we get there.

Tuesday, July 24, 2018

7/24 short term High


Review: In our July 2 update, we were looking for a 7/2 major Low, with a hard retest of the 6/28 Low and a sharp rally afterwards: https://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2018/07/the-active-dominant-cycle-july-2-major.html

Actual: We made a 6/28-7/2 double Low and have since rallied into today's Highs. 


What's Next?: We are rallying into the 7/24 Geometric time CIT & 1st hourly CIT today, suggesting a 1st hour High at 2830 SPX channel resistance, but as bullish momentum is strong, we need a reversal lower to confirm. There is a 25 TD Cycle due 7/25 supporting a 7/24-25 short term High as well. 



2.44 pm Eastern Update:  We are seeing a nice reversal lower from the 1st hourly CIT High today, Key channel support to watch 2801 SPX and the 7/23 last siwng Low at 2795 SPX.



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Monday, July 2, 2018

The active dominant cycle: July 2 major swing Low.

Review: From the June 4th Raj T&C Weekend Email (One month ago): "There is a cluster of 6-7 fixed cycles all due end June/early July that should be a major High or Low"

Actual: The fixed cycles due end June/early July: the 80 CD Cycle, the 90 CD Cycle, the 95 CD Cycle, the 32-33 wk cycle, the 5 Month cycle and the 1308 CD Cycle are all due late June/early July should be a major swing Low based on the dominant active cycle shown below. Fixed cycles can expand and contract by a few days to a few weeks and are not exact, while an "active" cycle is a precise historic cycle as it is +/- 1 to 2 days max.


Review: From the June 23 Raj T&C Daily Email: "There is a possible active cycle (grey lines in chart), which is the current cycle bias, that suggests from 6/22H, we decline into 6/25L (1), rally into 6/27H (2) and decline into 7/2 swing Low (3)"

Actual: From 6/22H, we declined into 6/25L, rallied into 6/27H and we are now declining into 7/2 swing Lows, which makes the above active cycle the dominant cycle to watch.


What's Next: We should see a hard retest of the 6/28 Lows and ideally see lower Lows at today's projected July 2 major swing Low+/-2 and start a multi week rally phase. Bears beware.




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Friday, June 29, 2018

The 15 CD/10-11 TD pattern


We have had 3 rally phases since the 4/2 Low. The 1st two were followed by a 15 CD/10-11 TD decline and suggests the decline from 6/13H should last 15 C/11 TD into 6/28/18L+/-,which we have now seen. Will this be the Low?



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Thursday, June 21, 2018

Retest of Lows in the coming days

The projected 6/18L was the 1st hour 6/19L at the 55 TD Cycle & 6/18 Geo time CIT.
We touched upper down channel resistance yesterday and we are now declining off that High and remain firmly in the 5 min & hourly down channel.
We should see a retest of the Lows in the coming days.

Monday, June 18, 2018

June 18 Low


The 55 TD Cycle was due today Monday, 6/18.



The next Apex CIT was  due today, 6/18.

The next Geometric time CIT was also due today 6/18.

We have declined into 6/18 Geo Time CIT, 6/18 Apex CIT and 55 TD Cycle, suggesting a 6/18 short term Low is forming.

We remain in the large Pink channel since the 4/2 Low.

Tuesday, June 12, 2018

The 80-20% rule in the markets

The 80-20% rule is certainly in these markets (80% of the price move happens in the last 20% of time), but applies to most everything else in our lives. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fCn8zs912OE

Thursday, June 7, 2018

SP near pink channel resistance at the projected 6/7 High, will it hold?

SP near pink channel resistance at the projected 6/7 High, will it hold?

Wednesday, June 6, 2018

Raj Time and Cycles 6/6/18 Review & Forecast



In my last major Cycle update, I was looking for an 4/18-19 swing High

From 4/19 Daily Email: “From the 4/18-19H, we were looking for a 5 day sharp decline into 4/25L”

Actual: We made an 4/18H and saw a 5 day relatively sharp 105 SP decline into 4/25L.



The dominant cycle (green Lines) then predicted a choppy rally, with an 4/30H, 5/1L, 5/3H-1, 5/4 swing Low, followed by another rally into 5/10H+2, which was the 5/14 swing High.

The dominant cycle recently had 7 hits: 5/15L, 5/17H, 5/21L (5/18L -1), 5/22H, 5/29L, rally into 5/30H at the 5/30 Geo CIT and another decline into 6/1 Low (5/31L-1).

What’s next: We are looking for a short term 6/7 High, followed by another decline into XXX and another rally afterwards.


Daytraders: Intraday Time and Cycle Forecast:

Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 6/06/18: 10.35-40, 12.35, 3.50, 4.15 pm Eastern

Actual:

Intraday Cycle is the Pink lines: (9.40H), 10.20L, 11.15H, 12.30L, 2.00H, 3.10L

Actual: 9.45H, 10.10L

Wednesday sees a possible 9.40 cycle High+/- , decline to a 10.20 cycle Low at the 10.35-40 time CIT, rally to a 11.15 cycle High+/-30, decline to a 12.30 cycle Low at the 12.35 time CIT, rally to a 2.00 cycle High+/-30 min, decline to a 3.10 cycle Low at the 3.50-4.15 pm time CIT.


Actual: We gapped higher to a 9.45H and made a 10.10 1st hour Low so far.

The intraday cycle sees a 1st hour Low, midday Low and last hour Low.


If the midday Low is lower than the 1st hour Low, it suggests a last hour lowest Low and Vice Versa.

Tomorrow’s intraday cycle is biased higher.





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Tuesday, May 15, 2018

5/14 Apex CIT High and 2.15-40 pm CITs


The most recent daily Apex CIT (Change in Trend) was on 5/14 at the 5/14H. The hourly Apex of the same, was on Friday 5/11 at the close. The actual swing High arrived a little more than 1 hour later on Monday 5/14 at 10.40 am. There are other future Apex Time CITs to watch.


The last 9 consecutive days saw an important CIT (Change in Trend) centered on 2.15-2.50 pm Eastern. 5 were High of Day (HOD) and 3 were a Low of day (LOD).

5/2 2.15HOD
5/3 2.45HOD
5/4 2.50HOD
5/7 2.40HOD
5/8 2.45LOD
5/9 2.15HOD
5/10 2.45L
5/11 2.15LOD
5/14 2.20LOD
5/15 2.15-50?