Intraday CITs review and the current bias

The 5 min intraday geometric CITs (Change in Trend, ie Highs or Lows) in the last few days are marked with arrows on the 5 min SPX chart. Intraday 5 min CITs for 2/11 are: 10.05 and 2.05 pm EST (red vertical lines in the chart).


Furthermore, for a week now, I have had an hourly CIT in the 1st hour today 2/11, the 5 min of that CIT came at the close 2/10. There is also daily NDX CIT on 2/12 and a Solar CIT on 2/14 in the weekend. The speculative bias is we make a Low in the 1st hour today, which may have arrived at the close yesterday and rally into 2/12-14 CIT, as Monday is a Holiday, 2/12-16 High.

The 463 TD/22 Mo Cycle and the MC, Lows in?

The 463TD/22 month Cycle should provide downward pressure into February 16th 2010 Lows. Looking at the 3 previous declines of the 463 TD/22 Month Cycles, from Swing High to Swing Low was a 8-10% decline:



3/05/04H at 1163.23 - 8/13/04L at 1060.72 = 102.51 SP's or 9% decline
5/08/06H at 1326.70 - 6/14/06L at 1219.29 = 107.51 SP's or 8% decline
2/19/07H at 817.68 – 4/14/97L at 733.54 = 84.14 SP’s or 10% decline

An average 9% decline would suggest 1046 SPX, which was achieved by the 2/5 Lows at 1044.50 SPX.

The MC in CD was looking for a decline into 2/8 Lows. So far we have seen the expected 9% decline from the 22 month cycle into Friday 2/5 Geometric and Solar CIT Lows, which was 1 TD early. There is a real possibility that the 2/5 Low was the MC Low, even though there are other Cycles suggesting the MC in TD will be correct, ie the decline should last into 2/12-16 Lows, where the next SPX geometric CIT is. If 2/5 was the MC Low, we should see a retest of these Lows by 2/10-12 higher Lows and go sideways into Option Expiration week.

Intraday CITs for 2/10: 9.50, 12.05, 12.25 and 3.20 pm

The next Solar CIT is on 2/14

2/5 was the most important CIT for last week as it was both a geometric and Solar CITs:

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2010/02/solar-cits.html

Result: 2/5 was a Low and we have rallied ever since.

The next Solar CIT is on 2/14/10, along with a NDX geometric CIT on 2/12, making 2/12-16 the most important CIT for this week.

The SPX Geo CIT is on 2/17-18

Gold and US Dollar Times and Cycles

The Gold index has 2 Major CITs coming up: 2/9** and 3/8-9**.

If Gold is closely related to the stock markets, they will influence them as well. Cash Gold has Major support at the 1000 area, which is the 50% retrace and TL support.



The US$ Dollar Monthly chart is still in a long term down channel with Major resistance at the 86 area, The regular Long term 39-40 month Cycle is next due in July 2011.




The US$Dollar has major resistance at 81.50-90, the previous wave 4 and 50% retrace. Dollar Daily CITs: 2/22, 3/10 and 3/12.





If anyone is interested in the Free 2010 MC forecast, simply email: timeandcycles@gmail.com

SPX Hourly

I had a 5min CIT at 10.05 am, which was the Low and Trendline support as well. That should be good for a short term bounce, before heading lower.

Time and Cycles forum Open House

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Solar CITs

I received some questions on the Solar CITs.

A Solar CIT is a proprietary Sun based timing system.

The Solar CIT (Change in Trend) has an unusual High 85-90+% accuracy:

Take the recent examples as documented daily in my T&C daily Email, : 26/31 = 84% CITs were direct Hits +/-1 TD

The Solar CIT on 7/2 was a 7/1 High.The Solar CIT is on 7/8 was a 7/8L. The Solar CIT on 7/13 was a 7/13 Low. The 7/18 and 7/23 CITs were non-events due to the extreme SU move. The Solar CIT on 7/29 was a 7/29 Low, The Solar Cit on 8/5 was an 8/6 low. The Solar CIT on 8/11 was an 8/11 Low. The Solar CIT in 8/17 was an 8/17 Low. The Solar CIT on 8/23 was the 8/25 High. The Solar Cit on 8/29 was the 8/28 High. The Solar CIT on 9/6 and 9/12 was no shows. The Solar CIT on 9/18 was a 9/17 High. The Solar CIT on 9/25 was a 9/25 Low. The Solar CIT on 10/2 was an 10/2 Low. The Solar CIT on 10/9 was a minor 10/9L. The Solar CIT on 10/19 was an 10/19H. The Solar CIT on 10/26 was an 10/23H. The Solar CIT on 11/3 was an 11/2L. The Solar CIT on 11/7 was an 11/6L. The Solar CIT on 11/15 was an 11/16H. The Solar CIT on 11/23 was an 11/23H. The Solar CIT on 12/01 was a non-event. The Solar CIT on 12/9 was an 12/9L. The Solar CIT on 12/16 was an 12/16H. The 12/24 Solar CIT was a 12/28H (1 TD). The 1/1 Solar CIT was a 12/31L. The 1/9 Solar CIT was a 1/11H (+1TD). The 1/18 Solar CIT was a 1/19H. The 1/27 Solar CIT was a 1/26H.


The next Solar CIT’s is on 2/5, which is also a geometric CIT (which are 70-80% accurate) and should be the most important turning point Date for this week.

The MC and the 22 Month cycle

The Master Cycle was looking for a 1/11 High and sharp decline into February.

One other cycle that is supporting the MC is the 22 Month cycle of Lows (see chart) that is next due in February 2010.

There are 2 ways of counting the MC in CD or in TD, they interchange. The TD version was looking for a 1/27L and a brief rally, but the CD version just have us straight down, despite brief rallies, which has now become the dominant version.

Ever since the 1/19 highs, we have been straight down with 1-1 ½ TD counter trend rallies. We should see Lower Lows in the coming days, with brief rallies along the way. The hourly, daily and weekly trends remain down. Keep it simple and trade with the trend.

In general we should be much lower soon.

Good Luck trading.


If anyone is interested in the Free 2010 MC forecast, simply email me: timeandcycles@gmail.com

1/29 MC Update

The ideal MC target was 1079 SPX by 1/27 Low, the actual Low was 1 TD later by 1/28 Low at 1078.46 SP.

The 8/16L-11/2 Channel support remains intact and we have broken above the steep down channel.

We should now see an oversold rally and then another down into February.

1/27/10 was the next MC swing Low

Today, 1/27/10 was the next Master Cycle (MC) swing Low. The Price target given was 1079-1085 SPX (see chart). We were looking for a reversal Up today.

The markets made a 1083.11 SPX Low, right in the target zone, right in the 1/27 double geometric and Solar timing CIT ( I love these solar CITs as they are 85-90% accurate) and right in the MC 1/27 Low, reversed up as expected, confirming that the Master Cycle is in active status. We completed wave 1 or A down. We should now see an oversold rally and then another down into February.



Note: I received over 200+ requests in the 1st 24 hours for the annual MC forecast. It might be wiser to just email the MC forecast to those that really want it, than to post it on any public forum (excepting ofcourse my own timeandcycles.com forum), so that we don't need to deal with those that are not interested, etc.

To get your report by 2/19/2010, all you'll need to do is email: timeandcycles@gmail.com.

The Master Cycle 2010 stockmarket and Crash forecast

The Master Cycle is a Natural Law based Vedic Numerology Cycle that has been very precise and dominant in the market.
It is a Time Series Cycle, predicting precise future swing Highs and Low.
It doesn't always project the magnitude of the Price Highs and Lows.

The Master Cycle can and does fade or invert at anytime, so take it Fwiw, but when it is active it tends to be very precise for weeks and months. Of course we should NOT expect an exact repetition, but it should give you a general idea, as the Master Cycle can be amazingly PRECISE day by day. For this reason only, it has worth its price in gold.

It recently predicted the 9/2L, 12/18L and 1/11 Major High (see previous posts)and sharp decline afterward, which should continue into February 2010.

Just for fun, If there is enough interest (100+ requests), I will post the general MC forecast for the entire 2010 on this public blog by Option Expiration of next Month. It includes a crash period as well.

To request the forecast, please email timeandcycles@gmail.com. If there is not enough interest (100+ requests) well then those that send me their request will simply receive it free by Option Expiration day 2/19/10, but I will limit it to the 1st 50 requests.

The 1/8-11/2010 High

In the last blog post a couple of weeks ago, I was looking for a 1/8-11 High, the date is marked by the arrows. Timing is important.

January 8-11 2010 High

The 55 CD/38 TD Cycle of HIGHS: 6/5H, 7/30H, 9/23H, 11/16H, next due 1/11-12

Some fibo dates supports this: 10/21H+54-55 TD = 1/8-11, 9/2L +89 TD = 1/11

There was also an 11 and 77 wk Cycle due now, combining it with my 1/8-9 (read 1/8-11, due to the weekend) Geometric and Solar CIT:

11 Wk Cycles: 12/19/08L(12/22L)-3/6/09L-5/22L(5/21L)-8/7H-10/23H, 1/8/10H

77 Wk Cycles: 8/20/02H(8/22)-2/10/04-8/2/05H(8/3)-1/23/07-7/15/08L- 1/8/10H



This will be my last post for some time. Good Luck.

For Questions: timeandcycles@gmail.com

Timing is everything

If I would have shorted the last couple of weeks (and months) I would have been seriously hurt by now, so in this relentless market, Timing remains everything.


Here are some timing stuff, worth mentioning:

11/16/09H + 34 TD = 1/6
08/28/09H + 89 TD = 1/6
06/11/09H + 144 TD = 1/6

77 Wk Cycles: 8/20/02H(8/22)-2/10/04-8/3/05H-1/23/07H-7/15/08L- 1/6/10H.

The Master Cycle was looking for the next Major High anytime now, but the markets might be waiting on the 1/8 unemployment news at 8.30 EST.

My next Major Timing CIT is on 1/8-9.