Pinpointing the short term Cycle Low

In my previous post, my proprietary Series of cycles was looking for an 8/19 Low, I also had an unusual triple Change in Trend (CIT) Cluster intraday on 8/21, right at the Open at 9.40-45 am.

Result: We had an 8/20 Low right at the Open (click on chart to enlarge), and an 8/21 Low exactly on the triple Time Cluster.

The Series of Cycles and Intraday Turning Points

The proprietary series of Cycles has been back on track and was looking for an 8/8L, 8/15H and a 8/19 Low, and is now looking for higher prices, but other cycles are suggesting the Low could stretch to a 8/21-22 Low. We'll see which dominates, but the Series has been the dominant Cycle for now.

In any case today, 8/20, intraday (Change in Trend) CIT and bias (sent to clients) was:

"Speculative Path: C/Open High, 9.55 Low, 10.45-55* High, 11.30 High and 12.20 Low"

We had a Open High, 10.05LOD, 11-11.15HOD, 11.30H, 12.25L

For tomorrow, 8/21 there is a 9.40-45 am Time Cluster, bias is it will be a Low.

Other CITs for 8/21 are 1.40, 2.25 and 3.50 pm EST.




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3 Major CITs, 3 Major Lows

3 Major CITs, 3 Major Lows:

In the last couple of posts, I had 3 Major CITs, which produced 3 Major Lows:

7/15 Major Low ("1 " chart, click on chart to enlarge), 8/4 2nd Higher Low most recently the 8/8 3rd higher Low.

We have entered the Olympic festival Mood. This is very bullish along with Crude Oil crashing.

The NDX/QQQ is leading the way breaking UP and away and rallying off its long term Up Channel support. We should be much higher by the end of the Month.

It is time to be bullish...

8/8/2008

8/8/2008

What is so special about this number? The Chinese considers 8 an extremely lucky number, as the sound of 8 in Chinese is associated with great fortune, that is why the Olympic Games in Beijing are scheduled to begin on Aug. 8, 2008 - yep, 8-8-08 - at 8:08:08 p.m. and tons of people plan to marry on this once in a lifetime date, 8/08/2008.

http://www.cnn.com/2008/LIVING/wayoflife/08/06/couples.marry.lucky.eights.ap/index.html?section=cnn_latest

When you count all the numbers up, 8/08/2008 =8+8+2+8 =26 = 2= 6 = 8!

In Vedic Astrology and Numerology and also in Western Astrology, 8 stands for Saturn, the planet of Death & Change, suffering and sorrow, but Saturn also stands for Wisdom gained through experience, Discipline and Maturity. Saturn is considered the Father of Time as it governs change.

In general, it is considered inauspicious and a sign of hardships. However, Saturn "delays, but never denies", according to Vedic Astrology, once you have learned Saturn's lessons, after some delays and obstacles through the school of hard knocks, it becomes the greatest friend to you, and gives you "Self made Luck". Saturn eventually gives you a Kingdom. Here are some real time examples.

http://www.nydailynews.com/entertainment/movies/2008/04/13/2008-04-13_films_lucky_number_8.html

This Friday is also the Midpoint of the 2 Eclipses, one on 8/1/08 and the other on 8/16/08. We had a possible negative Omen for the Olympics, when we had an earthquake there a couple of days before the start of the Olympics tomorrow. Starting important events in between eclipses is considered inauspicious in Vedic Astrology, unless it is something of a spiritual nature.

In any case, 8/8/2008 will be an important time to watch for a Major change in the World as well as the Stock Markets. What Direction?

Time will Tell.

Sixsigma's 1987 Fractal

This is an interesting 1987 Fractal pattern (Click on chart to enlarge) that has been in the markets for over a year now. It is "1 Trading Day is a week" Fractal. This was posted a couple of weeks ago on our T&C Group, courtesy of "sixsigma trading" (sixsigmatrader@yahoo.com) that I thought was worthwhile to share with everyone.

1. 08/25/87H = 10/11/07H
2. 09/08/87L = 01/23/08L
3. 09/22/87L = 03/17/08L
4. 10/02/87H = 05/19/08H,
5. 10/12/87L = 07/15/08L
6. 10/13/87H = 07/23/08H
7. 10/20/87L = 09/11/08L???

If I calculated it correctly, this Fractal Cycle has roughly a 7 Times expansion (1 Trading Day in 1987 is equal to a week in 2008) and bottoms around 9/11/08, the 7 Year anniversary of 9/11/01, but it could arrive earlier or later, as the fractal can expand or contract.

In Sixsigma's work it is the pattern that is strikingly similar and it doesn't always have to abide by the exact 7 Times expansion of 1987. In any case it is an interesting pattern at an interesting Time.

Intraday Turning points for 7/28/08

Intraday CITs: 9.50-10, 11.50, 2.05, 2.20-2.30 and 3.25 pm

Actual: 9.50H&10.10HOD (#1 on Chart, click to enlarge), 11.45L (#2)

Markets are declining as expected.
TL support is at 1238-40 SPX.


Either the 2-2.30 CIT or the 3.25 CIT is expected to be the Low of the day.

The next Major Turn: 7/31-8/1/08

The major CIT (Change in Trend) due 7/11-14 (see last post) arrived a day (more like an hour) late on 7/15 Low at my 10 am intraday CIT cluster. I also had a 214 (2*108) hourly Cycle (Click on chart to enlarge) due around that time. We have rallied 85-90 SP's in the 6 Tradings days ever since.

The next Major daily CIT is due 7/31-8/1/08 and should be just as important as the one that called the 7/15/08 Low. Never a dull moment with these markets. We should see a powerful move after the 7/31-8/1 time frame.





For further formation: timeandcycles@gmail.com

The next Major Turn: 7/11-14/08

Kudos to all Astrologers that called the decline this past week (see previous post). We didn't get their expected crash, but the decline continued down.

Initially, I was looking for a 6/30-7/1 Low from the 6/5/08 Highs . This last week had alot of crash calls, but you know what is very strange? We are ONLY 20 SP's Lower than the 7/1/08 Lows (click on chart to enlarge), but it feels like we dropped over 100 SP points as bearish sentiment has grown even more extreme in the last week.

I have my next Major daily CIT due 7/11 -14 (Friday-Monday) and we are declining into it, so we should be making an important Low right in this time frame. Ideally we will see a Monday 7/14/08 Low.




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For further formation: timeandcycles@gmail.com

Looking for some Fireworks after the 4th of July?

Looking for some Fireworks after the 4th of July?

Well, that is what many of the respected astrologers on the Time and Cycles (T&C) Yahoo Group and others are predicting for the coming week, including AstroCycle trader, Jaywiz, Jonathan Pearl, Olga, Marina, as well as Rosecast and Barry Rosen and others.

Some other cyclists (not astro based) in the T&C Group are also looking for a steep decline in the coming weeks, most notably Eurobum, with his mathematically based, often accurate model, who correctly called for a 6/4 Major High and is now looking for a sharp decline into 7/14 Low. Then there is the Master of Cycles himself, Slawek with his "Oscar nominated" 847 Month Cycle, who is looking for a sharp decline from a 7/7 high to 7/19 Low.

Will they be right? We'll soon find out, but many of the Astro based calls for a potential crash next week is based on the Sun opposite Jupiter and Mars conjuncting Saturn on 7/9-10/08.

I decided to research all the Mars conjunct and opposite Saturn from 1994 to present. This is what I found:

Mars 000 Saturn 03/14/1994 04:54
Mars 180 Saturn 07/12/1995 07:05
Mars 000 Saturn 03/22/1996 01:41
Mars 180 Saturn 01/09/1997 11:05
Mars 180 Saturn 02/16/1997 16:33 ===> 2/19/97 High, 3 days later
Mars 180 Saturn 07/29/1997 03:14
Mars 000 Saturn 04/02/1998 07:23 ===> 4/6/98 High, 4 days later
Mars 180 Saturn 01/19/1999 19:33
Mars 180 Saturn 04/20/1999 01:19 ===> 5 Daydecline into 4/20/99L
Mars 180 Saturn 08/11/1999 12:24
Mars 000 Saturn 04/15/2000 20:21 ===> Day meltdown into 4/14/00L
Mars 180 Saturn 02/03/2001 21:23 ===> 1/31/01 High, 4 days earlier
Mars 000 Saturn 05/04/2002 05:51
Mars 180 Saturn 02/20/2003 14:00
Mars 000 Saturn 05/25/2004 05:34
Mars 180 Saturn 03/07/2005 15:58 ===> 3/7/05 High
Mars 000 Saturn 06/18/2006 05:58 ===> 6/14/06 Low, 4 days earlier
Mars 180 Saturn 03/22/2007 19:14 ===>3/14/07 Low, 1 week earlier

Mars 000 Saturn 07/10/2008 18:06 ???

Conclusion: Out of the last 18, 8 or 44% were important (some were off by a week) with 4 Major Highs and 4 Major Lows.


This is what the Sun opposite Jupiter did from 1994 to present:

Sun 180 Jupiter 04/30/1994 08:55
Sun 180 Jupiter 06/01/1995 11:22
Sun 180 Jupiter 07/04/1996 11:41 ===>7/1/96 High, 2 week crash
Sun 180 Jupiter 08/09/1997 13:39 ===> 8/7/97 High, 7 day decline after
Sun 180 Jupiter 09/16/1998 03:02 ===> 9/17/98 Secondary Low
Sun 180 Jupiter 10/23/1999 19:04 ===> 10/18/99 Low, 5 days earlier
Sun 180 Jupiter 11/28/2000 02:12 ===> 12/2/00 Low, 4 days later
Sun 180 Jupiter 01/01/2002 05:53 ===> 1/7/02 High, 6 days later
Sun 180 Jupiter 02/02/2003 09:12
Sun 180 Jupiter 03/04/2004 05:05 ===> 3/5/04 High
Sun 180 Jupiter 04/03/2005 15:30
Sun 180 Jupiter 05/04/2006 14:36 ===> 5/5/06 High
Sun 180 Jupiter 06/05/2007 23:13===> 6/4/07 High

Sun 180 Jupiter 07/09/2008 07:39???

Conclusion: Out of the last 13, 9 or 69% were important (some were off by a week) with 6 Major Highs and 3 Major Lows.

Both aspects are important to watch, especially how they are coming together on 7/9-10. Although they do have misses 55% (Mars 0,180 Saturn) and 30% (Su op Ju) of the time, it remains an important astro aspect be aware of, especially if they complement your own work.


Please note these are not my opinions as I was looking for a 6/5 High and a decline into 6/30-7/1 for many months now.

For further formation: timeandcycles@gmail.com

The new moon - 2 Day is today, 7/1/08!

The long awaited New Moon - 2 Day has arrived today (see previous posts). 717 Lunar Months ago we matched the top on 5/29/08 and bottomed on 7/1/08. Fwiw, I am still expecting a Low today. Markets are deeply oversold and sentiment is at rare extremes (everybody is talking Crash here).

Remaining Intraday Turning points were 12.25 pm, 2.00 pm and 2.45 pm EST. 12.25 pm has been the LOD sofar. I do expect a last hour rally today.

In previous posts, I mentioned the 1250-67 SPX Price was the ideal Price for a Low and we are now in the ideal Times and Cycles for a Low.






For further information: timeandcycles@gmail.com

The 6/30 -7/1/08 New Moon -2 Crash Harmonics

This one is in the Fwiw Department.

The 6/30-7/1/08 New Moon -2 Crash Harmonics is:

1. 84 Lunar Months (= 7*12) 9/21/01 Crash Lows
2. 132 Lunar Months (= 3 *44) 10/28/97 Crash Lows
3. 176 Lunar Months (=4 * 44) 04/04/94 Mini Crash lows
4. 256 Lunar Months (=2*128=4*64) 10/20/87 Crash Lows
5. 717 Lunar Months (Carolan Crash Analog) 7/13/1950 Mini Crash Lows

This last one was one of the Major Cycles I have been watching closely these last months for my clients and is now coming to a conclusion:

3) The 717 Lunar Month (LM) Cycle:

This cycle was discovered and made famous by Chris Carolan and its of historic importance as it connected the 1929 Crash to the 1987 Crash, Day for day!, the distance between them? 717 Lunar Months, 1 LM =29.53 CD, so 717 LM = 21173 CD.

So I looked back 717 Lunar Months and guess what I found?

1. 6/11/1950 High = 05/30/08 High, Actual 5/29/08 High.

These are rough estimates, as I couldn't find the exact date, but see the green chart at: http://mrci.com/special/ddji51.php

2. 6/25/1950 = 6/13/08, is when N. Korea invaded S. Korea and markets were down heavily on the days after that.

3. 7/13/1950 Low = Major 07/01/08 Low = New Moon -2, often associated with Crash Lows.

The next Time and Cycle Cluster: 6/30/08

The last Major Time and Cycle Cluster was on 6/3-6/08 (see previous posts). We had a 6/5 Major High. The markets are now declining into my next Time and Cycles Cluster due on 6/30/08 +/-1.

Potential Price Targets are shown on the Monthly chart (Click to enlarge).

The first area of support is 1290-1300 SPX (where we are now), but the more likely target is the 1257-67 SPX area.

The 1257-1267 SPX is the 38% and 62% retraces and is the previous 1/23 and 3/17 support lows as well as the long term UP (green) channel. Only if we manage to crash through this triple Major 1257-67 SPX support, then 1172 SPX is the 50% retrace and (Red) Down Channel (1st chart) Major support.

There are several proprietary Timing Clusters due on 6/30/08. There is also the well known New Moon-2 (due early am 7/1/08) harmonics with past crashes:

6/30/08 NM-2:

1. 84 Lunar Months (= 7*12) 9/21/01 Crash Lows
2. 132 Lunar Months (=2 *66=4*33) 10/28/97 Crash Lows
3. 256 Lunar Months (=2*128=4*64) 10/20/87 Crash Lows

Although there are Lunar Harmonics with past crashes, a crash remains unlikely into the 6/30/08 Lows, but you won't want to be long during this time period.

The potential bullish counts are shown on the chart. This suggests we should get an explosive rally in July, once the 6/30 Major Lows are in.




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For further formation: timeandcycles@gmail.com

Gap and Go day?

Gap and Go day? It sure looks like it. We got our 6/5 High @ Close. There was an hourly CIT at Close yesterday/Open Today, which appears to be the High. This would confirm the series of Cycles looking for a 6/5-6 High.

The possible wave count is shown on the chart (click to enlarge).

I am still looking for a 6/9 Low as mentioned in the last post.

Fasten your seatbelts, it should be a wild ride.


Please note: When applying for T&C Membership, you need to disclose your email, If you haven't heard back from us, that is probably the reason.

This will be my last post for awhile out of respect for subscribers.

The June 3-6 Time Cluster

Since my last timing post on 5/19's Major CIT (Change in Trend), which has been the Major High sofar, I had a 5/30 CIT lower High (Click on Chart to enlarge).

There has been a huge Cluster of "Hits" mentioned by various respected timers in the June 3-6 Time Frame, through their own various Timing methods, some say this time frame will be a Major Low, others, a Major High.

In my own Timing and Cycle methods, I have 2 separate timing CITs, an NDX 6/4 CIT and a Major 6/9 SPX CIT. My Series of Cycles has the last High due on 6/4-5, so my current bias is that we will see a 6/4-5 HIGH, right along with my 6/4 NDX CIT. We should then see a fast decline into my next daily SPX CIT due on 6/9/08 LOW. It becomes clearer to me once my Timing methods confirms my Cycles.




For further formation: timeandcycles@gmail.com