- We were expecting a choppy OE week, which we have seen. We saw as expected a 6/9H, 6/12L & 6/14H at the 6/14 Fed CIT, which was a retest.We should now decline into 6/15-16L at the 6/15 Geo CIT at the next 19 TD Cycle of Lows Markets have been stuck in a narrow channel.
However, every day that passes, is one step closer to the Flash Crash Abyss. You have been warned.
9 comments:
Thanks Raj for 6/15 update here. U are seeing a Flash Crash possible in next 1-3 weeks from today, june 20???
tom
ISE equity only call/put ratio (10d MA) at one of the lowest levels in its short history (since 2006). I think SPX 2600 is coming first.
Hi Tom, the FC should be anytime between now and end of July.
Intraday Time of Day to watch: Intraday Time Cluster CIT for 6/22: 10.20**, 10.40-50 am Eastern should be the Low (or High) of the day.
Rajacar @TimeandCycles 38m38 minutes ago
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The intraday cycle is a Low am to High pm day or a High am to Low pm day
Rajacar @TimeandCycles 37m37 minutes ago
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Often, though not always, in a Low am to High pm day, we see the Low of Day (LOD) in the 1sthour and the High of Day (HOD) in the lasthour
Rajacar @TimeandCycles 37m37 minutes ago
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Often, though not always, in a High am to Low pm day, we see the High of Day(LOD) in the 1sthour and the Low of Day (HOD) in the last hour.
Rajacar @TimeandCycles now
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If today is a Low am to High pm day, with a 10.35 CIT Low, then here is the speculative chart
Rajacar @TimeandCycles
4/14/00L + 4320 Trading Days (TD) = 12 X 360 TD = 6/19/17H.
http://time-price-research-astrofin.blogspot.com/search?q=432
The 55 Month Inverse cycle saw 11/16/12L = 6/19/17H.
GM Raj,
Today is June 28 and are we closer to FLASH CRASH??? Sure feels like something ugly could happen between this morning and close of Q2 on June 30.
Thanks for your excellent work.
Tom
Ditto on that...do you expect the time frame for the flash crash to be completed prior to July 20th...thanks
Fwiw, As long as all trends remain Up and we see no clear reversal lower, our clients will not consider any shorts or Flash crash Scenarios.
1st things first, we need to get the hourly and daily trends to turn lower first to even consider shorts. Getting prematurely short is wrong.
This is in respond to all questions wrt if the Flash Crash is still possible, please use common sense when trading and follow the rules.
Since 3/1H at 2400.98 SPX, for 4 1/2 months now, we have a net gain of 20 SP's, suggesting the Bull market has been stalling.
Since 6/2 we have been in a narrow (red) sideways channel, since 6/19H we have been in a mild down channel/
We are currently stuck in those same red channels, with 2434 SPX resistance and 2411 SPX channel support.
Intraday 5 min SPX CIT(change in Trend = High or Low) Times 7/11/17: 9.35, 11.55, 1.25, 2.05 pm Eastern
Actual: 9.45L, 11.55H
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