tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post5361954302440605999..comments2024-03-01T13:05:41.496-06:00Comments on Raj Times and Cycles: The Flash Crash Cycle is coming soonRaj Time and Cycleshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18047159489817484147noreply@blogger.comBlogger23125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-23299519959127193742013-03-05T13:20:34.279-06:002013-03-05T13:20:34.279-06:00it is like I feel the crash cycle coming on as the...it is like I feel the crash cycle coming on as the optimism is way to high right now bobhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00151063264766838223noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-59393104769453987782013-03-05T13:01:10.335-06:002013-03-05T13:01:10.335-06:00MarketGuy,
Subscribers were long into today's...MarketGuy,<br /><br />Subscribers were long into today's rally from 3/1 Low, perhaps I should update and review the recent action.Raj Time and Cycleshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18047159489817484147noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-42482952567230698282013-03-05T12:28:51.447-06:002013-03-05T12:28:51.447-06:00flash crash huh Raj? looks alot more like a blow ...flash crash huh Raj? looks alot more like a blow off top (or maybe it just keeps going). <br />Marketguyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10505580216913402997noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-86116791268660279472013-03-02T19:42:55.389-06:002013-03-02T19:42:55.389-06:00qichengm,
I don't know why the comercials are...qichengm,<br /><br />I don't know why the comercials are net short, but the FED has made a<br />QE3 Sep 2012 Announcement: Fed Announces 40 Billion Dollars in Monthly MBS Purchases, ZIRP Through 2015 <br /><br />http://www.policymic.com/articles/14668/qe3-announcement-fed-announces-40-billion-dollars-in-monthly-mbs-purchases-zirp-through-2015Raj Time and Cycleshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18047159489817484147noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-4622443389436759832013-03-02T17:54:51.902-06:002013-03-02T17:54:51.902-06:00Hi Raj,
If it were FED to buy the market, why c...Hi Raj,<br /><br /> If it were FED to buy the market, why commercial would short ES ands SP1 as shown here,<br /><br />http://snalaska.com/cot/current/charts/SP.png<br /><br />and<br /><br />http://snalaska.com/cot/current/charts/ES.png<br /><br />Thanks,<br />qichengmhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08930699201626719492noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-89878106346705677152013-02-28T13:33:24.459-06:002013-02-28T13:33:24.459-06:00Marketguy, the market is unfolding as it should.
...Marketguy, the market is unfolding as it should. <br /><br />The only question there is how mcuh can the FED control any decline here.<br /><br />http://www.mcoscillator.com/images/uploads/POMO_Cumulative_600px.gif<br /><br />This chart of Tom McClellan shows why in general we don't fight the FED.<br /><br />Notice how the FED pumped lots of Dollars starting 12/31/12 Lows. Raj Time and Cycleshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18047159489817484147noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-58023771306781510412013-02-28T13:30:42.924-06:002013-02-28T13:30:42.924-06:00since this Feb is looking like a positive month to...since this Feb is looking like a positive month to me the Flash crash should correct this in March. Just my 2 centsbobhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00151063264766838223noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-81725023741669495722013-02-28T13:01:55.230-06:002013-02-28T13:01:55.230-06:00Feb after the election is usually a negative mont...Feb after the election is usually a negative month so I guess that can add to the theory of a Flash crashbobhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00151063264766838223noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-16563006105883369652013-02-28T12:47:22.497-06:002013-02-28T12:47:22.497-06:00lol, at this rate the flash crash will be from 160...lol, at this rate the flash crash will be from 1600 :-)Marketguyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10505580216913402997noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-1214588429734928062013-02-28T08:09:12.690-06:002013-02-28T08:09:12.690-06:00Marketguy, it is most likely in March, then we ral...Marketguy, it is most likely in March, then we rally againRaj Time and Cycleshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18047159489817484147noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-22097141072366829072013-02-27T19:57:35.981-06:002013-02-27T19:57:35.981-06:00Correction:
7 out of 9 were declines, 2 were not...Correction: <br /><br />7 out of 9 were declines, 2 were not.Raj Time and Cycleshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18047159489817484147noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-12513833299747697242013-02-27T19:16:23.446-06:002013-02-27T19:16:23.446-06:00Raj, do you think the flash crash low is also goin...Raj, do you think the flash crash low is also going to be in March (or just the initial decline)?<br />Marketguyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10505580216913402997noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-23792761504710396062013-02-27T17:33:07.559-06:002013-02-27T17:33:07.559-06:00Hi Bob,
5 out of 7 were declines, 2 were notHi Bob,<br /><br />5 out of 7 were declines, 2 were notRaj Time and Cycleshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18047159489817484147noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-26017601987886262442013-02-27T17:27:44.053-06:002013-02-27T17:27:44.053-06:00has all flash crash cycle outcome been declines in...has all flash crash cycle outcome been declines in the past years?bobhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00151063264766838223noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-65846787746204352392013-02-27T15:02:08.972-06:002013-02-27T15:02:08.972-06:00Damn good call on the decline and then new high. ...Damn good call on the decline and then new high. DOW hit a new high today although Nasdaq & SPX did not. Merriman calls this intermarket bearishness.<br /><br />I am looking forward to the weeks of 15-20% FC/correction.Surenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07008726310464408060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-79106172090808937272013-02-27T07:12:32.939-06:002013-02-27T07:12:32.939-06:00That is right Suren,
I am not only referring to t...That is right Suren,<br /><br />I am not only referring to the 5/6/10 FC day, but to the entire FC Cycle, the 1-3 weeks (or more) surrounding that day.<br /><br />There is a definite FC Cycle lasting weeks, which is due again in March 2013.<br />Raj Time and Cycleshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18047159489817484147noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-20614782404342574702013-02-27T07:00:32.922-06:002013-02-27T07:00:32.922-06:00I was refering to the 5/6/10 Flash Crash where tra...I was refering to the 5/6/10 Flash Crash where trades were cancelled by the SEC. Here DOW dropped a 1,000 points within minutes.<br /><br />I would not put the 9/20/11 to 10/3/11 as a Flash Crash. It was a market correction.Surenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07008726310464408060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-12149761622650281062013-02-26T21:46:31.725-06:002013-02-26T21:46:31.725-06:00It is in March sometimeIt is in March sometimeRaj Time and Cycleshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18047159489817484147noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-37534842500520391972013-02-26T21:27:49.931-06:002013-02-26T21:27:49.931-06:00bold call bud....any estimate on early or later in...bold call bud....any estimate on early or later in the month?Marketguyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10505580216913402997noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-68353314550568360062013-02-26T20:57:34.474-06:002013-02-26T20:57:34.474-06:00Marketguy, The cycle has been in the market since ...Marketguy, The cycle has been in the market since 4/14/00 Crash Lows.Raj Time and Cycleshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18047159489817484147noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-6295022382471980022013-02-26T20:35:24.891-06:002013-02-26T20:35:24.891-06:00Raj, how can you have a "cycle" with 1 i...Raj, how can you have a "cycle" with 1 instance (ie., the 05/10 flash crash)?Marketguyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10505580216913402997noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-15270504371010041652013-02-26T16:11:12.107-06:002013-02-26T16:11:12.107-06:00Suren, that is a good question,
Not all are flas...Suren, that is a good question, <br /><br />Not all are flashy, but you are aware that we lost a whopping 145 SP's in 2 weeks from 9/2011H to 10/4/11L. If that is not worth trading, then I don't know what is!Raj Time and Cycleshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18047159489817484147noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6192106371062372803.post-53927527111213842992013-02-26T15:34:30.385-06:002013-02-26T15:34:30.385-06:00What is the probability of a FLASH CRASH coming? ...What is the probability of a FLASH CRASH coming? We were supposed to have one in Oct. 2011 which never came.<br /><br />Most of the short trades were cancelled anyways later on. How can you capitalize if it materializes, if the trade is going to get canceled by the SSEC?Surenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07008726310464408060noreply@blogger.com