Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Intraday Time and Cycles for Tuesday June 28 2016

Intraday 5 min SPX CIT Times 6/28/16: 10.05, 11.10, 11.25, 12.40, 3.35 pm Eastern

Actual: 10.05H, 11.10L

Intraday Cycle is the Pink lines (9.40L), 10.00H, 11.00L, 12.30H, 2.30L, 3.50H

Actual: 10.05H, 11.10L

If the midday High is higher than the 1st hour High, it indicates strength and suggests we will see a last hour highest High.

If the midday High is lower than the 1st hour High, it indicates weakness and suggests we will see a last hour lowest High and lower Low.

Friday, June 24, 2016

The Dominant cycle has 6/24-27 as the next cycle Low


In my last 6/10 blogpost, "I was looking for a 6/10 High+/-2 of the month, which was the 6/8 High" 

From the Raj T&C 6/13 Weekend Email: "The Dominant Cycle 6/10 cycle High arrived 2 days earlier at the 6/8H and is looking for a straight down decline into 6/17 Low, then a  sharp rally into 6/22 High at the 2100-05 SPX area and then another sharp decline into 6/24 Low at 2025-30 SPX"

Actual: From the 6/8 High, we saw a straight down decline into 6/16 Low, 1 day earlier, at 2050.37 SPX, reversed and saw a sharp rally into 6/23 High, 1 day later, at 2113.32 SPX, only to see a sharp reversal back lower to a 6/24 Low at 2032.57 SPX so far.

The Golden ratio fixed Cycle suggests a 6/25 Low, supporting the dominant cycle.

Golden ratio 1618 CD Cycle of Lows: 10/10/02L 1616- 03/14/07L - 1618- 08/20/11L-1614- 01/20/16L

Golden ratio 1618 CD Cycle of Lows: 10/08/98L-1616- 03/12/03L  -1618- 08/16/07L-1618 X 2 = 06/25/16L?

What's next: The dominant cycle is looking for a 6/24-27 swing Low at the 6/27 Geometric Time CIT, chop around and then start a new rally phase.

Friday, June 10, 2016

The dominant Cycle 6/10 major High of the month +/-2


In my last public blogpost, I was looking for a 5/27 high +/-1

From the 5/30 Raj T&C Weekend Email: “The dominant cycle suggests we are generally higher into 5/27-31H at 2100+ SPX. It then suggest a few days pullback into 6/1-2L at the 6/1 Solar and 6/2 Geo CIT, followed by another rally into 6/10H, retesting the 5/20/15 ATH at 2134.72 SPX”

Actual: We rallied into a 5/31H,1 day from the 5/27H, declined into 6/1 Low at 2085.10 SPX, chopped for 2 days into 6/3 double bottom, before we rallied into 6/8 High at 2120.55 SPX so far. The Cycle High may have arrived 2 days earlier. Normally the cycle is exact or off by 1 day and at one other time at the 4/22 High, it was off 2 days. Swing traders that were long from the 5/19 Low at 2026 SPX made 60+ SP’s profits today, which is $3000/Emini Contract (each mini SP is $50/point) and those that just went long from the 6/1L at 2085 SPX made 17 SP’s or $850/Emini contract today.

The dominant cycle saw 14 “hits” and 1 miss: 2/11L, 2/24L, 3/4H, 3/11L(-1), 3/17H (miss), 3/28L(-1), 3/31H(+1), 4/12L, 4/22H (-2), 4/27H, 5/4L, 5/6L, 5/12H (-2), 5/19L, 5/27H, 6/1L

What’s Next: We make a 6/10+/-2 major swing High of the Month and start a volatile decline. The dominant cycle is a historic cycle that predicts exact Highs and Lows +/-1-2 days. The cycle suggests to be prepared for some large volatile swings, both Up and down in the coming weeks.

Monday, June 6, 2016

Quick Update

"The dominant Cycle was looking for a 5/27-30H, then a decline into 6/1L, chop around into 6/3L, before we get a stronger rally going, no later than by Monday 6/6+/-1"