Thursday, July 30, 2015

Raj Time and Cycle Review and Forecast July 30, 2015

http://safehaven.com/article/38447/raj-time-and-cycle-review-and-forecast

In my last public post, I was looking for a 7/16-17 CIT High, that was later updated to Monday 7/20 geometric CIT.

From 7/18 Raj T&C weekend Report:We could see a spillover rally to higher Highs on Monday 7/20 Geometric CIT that could be the High, if not Friday. From the 7/20 High (1 on chart), we will see a decline into 7/27 (2) Geometric and Solar CIT, which is also the 19-20 TD debilitated Scorpio Moon cycle of Lows. From there we rally into 7/31 geometric CIT Highs. (3)


Actual: We made a 7/20 High, declined 69.30 SP’s into 7/27 Low and rallied 47+SP’s into 7/30 High so far. Those were 3 Bull’s eye Hits.



What’s next: We make a 7/31 High at the 7/31 Geometric Time CIT and start another decline into XXX August Time and Cycle Cluster Lows and rally once again.

Thursday, July 16, 2015

7/16 is the next major Time and Cycle Cluster CIT swing High


From my 6/30 Daily Email: "We are Lower into 6/30 T&C cluster Low,  at the 6/29 and 7/1 Geometric CIT and at the 13 and 19 TD cycle Lows. From here we rally into a 7/6 High at the 7/5 weekend Solar CIT"

Actual: We made a 6/30 Low and rallied into 7/2 High, 1 Trading day before the 7/5 High and we then declined into 7/7 marginally Lower Lows.




7/16 is the next major Time and Cycle Cluster CIT  

Time CIT:
17/16 Solar +/-1
2. 7/15 Geometric CIT



3. Time Squares from 7/08/09 major Low
a.  +1512 CD = 08/28/13L+0. 1512 CD = 38.88^2 + 2 = 40.89^2 = 1672 CD
b.  +1672 CD = 02/04/14L+1. 1672 CD = 40.89^2 + 2 = 42.89^2 = 1840 CD
c. + 1840 CD = 07/22/14H+2. 1840 CD = 42.89^2 + 2 = 44.89^2 = 2015 CD
d. + 2015 CD = 01/13/15L+2. 2015 CD = 44.89^2 + 2 = 46.89^2 = 2199 CD
e. + 2199 CD = 07/16/15H+/-2

Cycle CIT
1. 7/16: The 7 yr cycle is the 1800 TD Cycle: 05/19/08H + 1801 TD
7/16/15H+/-
2. 66 wk Cycle or 460 CD cycle: 07/01/10L-460-10/04/11L-454-12/31/12L-466-= 4/11/14L-4617/16/15H+/-
3. Peter Eliades 784/112wk Cycle: 
(784 CD X 4 = 3136 =close to 3141 Armstrong Cycle)
start from 9/3/29, recent examples:
a. 38 X 784 = 4/03/11L
b. 39 X 784= 5/22/13H
c. 40 X 784 = 7/14/15H major +/-  
4. Bradley 7/16
5. 4/16 SP Cycle is due on 7/15.

What's Next: We have rallied strongly in Option expiration week into the 7/16 major Time and Cycle Cluster CIT, and close to the key 2130-35 SPX resistance, suggesting a swing High forming, before we start the next sharp decline. As all trends are Up, we need a clear reversal lower to confirm.

Update Friday 7/17:  I have a Monday 7/20 Geometric CIT that could be the High, if not today.
Around this Mid July window, the Solar CITs shifts a few days here and there, ie it could be on 7/18 weekend CIT, instead of 7/16.